As Amazon reaches for the stars in nearly every market it enters, entering this red hot stock without getting burned requires a bit of finesse even as Bezos cashes out nearly 1 billion dollars’ worth of stock. Entering into the summer doldrums, some pullback is expected before a year end run into holiday season as Amazon seeks to expand into Australia. Read More...
In these unprecedented times of monetary intervention, the negative rates employed by the central bank; either here or abroad, often put extreme stress on banking institutions to create revenue along with increased regulation but recent activity in the Eurozone suggests that some banks may have been incorrectly priced from recent restructuring attempts. To...
It is no mystery that the longer the Fed keeps from raising rates, the harder it is for banks to make money which depresses their stock values. In anticipation of the eventual rate increase, certain banks have taken the brunt of the punishment the past few years as they struggle to restructure to become more efficient in an ever increasingly competitive market...
It is not hard to look back and see that when central banks push money into the system, stocks rise and when they pull money out – they fall. In simple terms, the markets are an inflation valve overlaying a system of innovation. What has changed since December? The Federal Reserve has begun the process of raising rates and now the markets must re-balance based...
Self-inflicting wounds provide the best opportunity when markets mirror an emotional response that diverges from the economic realities of a nation awash in resources. Patience is an investors best friend and when pull backs occur, we take notice and begin positioning ourselves to benefit from a shift in social mood or rather a saturation in news that provides a...
Every so often investors can be lulled into complacency with hopes of endless supplies; wishful thinking around finite resources and the costs associated to extracting them. Recently, Shale has been the new kid on the block, promising exactly that and delivering on the promise – lifting the United States to the coveted spot of largest producer but all that flows...
As investors start searching for yield, opportunities will materialize in real estate once more. As the Fed continues its drum beating around low rates, a quick opportunity exists to extract some yield with a nice dividend to boot before the year end. Enter stage right, Western Asset Management who is leading the pack with high dividends and a chart pattern that...
Given the recent rally in bonds from the beginning of the year, some relief from the rush into them is expected as investors look to re-position themselves as the moves in Europe begin to take shape. While the Fed continues to communicate longer than usual stimulus to ensure low rates, the bonds are especially sensitive to outflows into other markets as investors...
As more liquidity continues to come online over the summer from countries around the world, commodities will once again ignite investor interest as they seek to avoid the inflationary pressures which should materialize first in this sector. To understand how to trade this chart: www.chann3ls.com Free Month Trial available from www.chann3ls.com
Positioning for a summer dip, look to acquire some good fortune as Japan pulls back with the markets into the long upward channel in preparation as the Fed continues to wind down the asset purchases. Prime Minister Shinzo Abe will find himself, along with Europe, increasing quantitative easing to accelerate growth spurring the initial spark of inflation. To...
As the reality around the lack of subscriber growth sinks in, Twitter will need to pivot in a different direction to generate revenue by realizing the power of the platform is in the emotional metrics. This will likely take a quarter for investors to see how the company is positioning itself, leading to weakness over the summer as Twitter works to arrive at...
I am neutral as I wait to see if 443 holds but would not go short unless 400 confirms the breakdown. The Green channel is where I am watching with a greater than 65% probability a short squeeze occurs into 617 area in short order. If we get a quick rise, I would only look to add shorts at 710-720 area, looking for wicks. One could short the initial 617 price...
As the Shale Boom, however temporary, continues to push crude supplies to record levels not seen since the early 1930’s – expect to see weakness which goes against the seasonal trend into the driving months. Barring any social unrest around Russia on the global stage, a pullback is expected as both a stronger dollar from Fed actions along with $5-$8 dollars per...
While an initial rise is expected, I would look to build a short around 356-360 - as Amazon receives multiple sectors of revenue under attack especially from Google/Microsoft on the Cloud sector, small measurable decrease revenue from Amazon Prime renewals from price increase, and possible product launch issues around the new set-top box if it is not well received...
Updated chart from the other day posted - if it breaks, the other chart gives my next addition to add. We have a rising wedge which provides increasing risk and without participation or wage inflation, the risk is to the downside.
Will be taking advantage of the low risk in options being offered.
Things just feel wrong in the markets structurally.
I am looking for gold to dip into 1345 but the short term should bounce around this target before a final drop into the Fed meeting.