reflects the ongoing dominance of sellers, declining towards the 0.5935 mark. While signs of bearish control are evident, there is a clue of bullish resilience, hinting at a neutral to bearish The daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) maintains a consistent presence in the negative territory below 50, with the latest value at 38 which indicates that sellers are in...
and sold off all the way back to the key support zone around the 0.65 handle. Today the price broke down and the sellers are now targeting the 0.6442 low. That’s where we will likely find the buyers stepping in with a defined risk below the level to position for a rally back into the 0.6623 resistance
On the 1 hour chart, we can see that we have a possible resistance zone around the 1.2571 level where we can also find the confluence with the red 21 moving average. This is where we can expect the sellers to step in with a defined risk above the level to position for a breakout below the 1.25 support. The buyers, on the other hand, will want to see the price...
Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the upside for the moment. Current rise is part of the whole rally from 0.8331 Next target is 161.8% projection of 0.8550 to 0.8884 from 0.8722 at 0.8818. For now, near term outlook will stay bullish as long as 0.8995 support holds, in case of retreat.
On the 1 hour chart, we can see more closely the recent price action with the pair bouncing on the most recent swing high level at 192.21. If we get a pullback from the current high, that’s where the buyers should pile in with a defined risk below the 192.10 level to position for a rally into new highs. The sellers, on the other hand, will want to see the price...
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On the 4 hour chart, we can see that the price has been ranging between the 151.00 support and the 151.92 resistance as the risk of an intervention put a lid on further gains. The price recently rallied back into the resistance and it’s now pressing on it threatening a breakout. Even if we get a breakout, it would be better to wait for the US CPI report tomorrow
Gold is ending the week in unchartered territory as traders look to hedge against a further escalation of tensions between Israel and Iran. Earlier this week at least eleven Iranian people were killed, including a senior commander of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, with Iran now vowing to take retaliatory action against Israel. According to newspaper...
No change in GBP/USD’s outlook and intraday bias stays neutral. On the downside, decisive break of 1.2517/31 support zone will suggest that rise from 1.2032has completed at 1.2891already, and turn near term outlook bearish. On the upside, however, firm break of 1.2672 will suggest that fall from 1.2892 has completed at 1.2537 Intraday bias will be turned back to...
Logan, saying that it’s much too soon to think about cutting interest rates in the wake of the upside risk to inflation. This, in turn, forced investors to further scale back their expectations for the total number of rate cuts in 2024 to two as against three projected by the Fed, pushing the US Treasury bond yields higher across the board. The rate-sensitive...
The US dollar eased slightly after the US published strong jobs numbers on Friday. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), the economy created over 303k jobs in March, higher than last month’s 270k. The figure was higher than the median estimate of 212k. Additional data revealed that the unemployment rate retreated from 3.9% to 3.8% while the...
The European Central Bank (ECB) in Frankfurt, Germany, is the reserve bank for the Eurozone. The ECB sets interest rates and manages monetary policy. The ECB’s primary mandate is to maintain price stability, which means either controlling inflation or stimulating growth. Its primary tool is the raising or lowering of interest rates. Relatively high interest rates...
On the 1 hour chart, we can see more closely the recent price action with the pair now trading at the support zone. If the price were to break above the black counter-trendline, we can expect the buyers to gain even more conviction and increase the bullish momentum, although a lot will depend on the US NFP report today as strong figures across the board will likely trigger
(NFP) report for March, which will be published on Friday. The US NFP report is expected to show US employers added 200K fresh payrolls over the month, lower than the former reading of 275K. The Unemployment Rate is anticipated to remain steady at 3.9%. Average Hourly Earnings, which gauge wage growth and provide significant guidance on the inflation outlook, are...
In the bigger picture, correction from 151.81 (2023) high could have completed at 140.25 already. Rise from 127.20 (2023 low), as part of the long term up trend, is probably ready to resume. Decisive break of 151.93 resistance (2022 high) will confirm this bullish case. Next medium term target will be 61.8% projection of 127.22 to 151.88 from 140.22 at 155.21 This...
The Hamburg Commercial Bank (HCOB) and S&P Global released the final estimates of the March Services and Composite Producing Managers Index (PMI), which indicated a subtle yet pivotal shift in the services sector's trajectory. The HCOB Germany Services PMI edged up to 50.1 from 48.3 in February. The survey's findings of sustained job creation and strategic hiring,...
The US will also publish the final estimate of Q4 GDP data. In its last report, the statistics agency said that the economy expanded by 3.2% in Q4 after growing to 4.9% in the previous month. The US will publish this week’s initial and continuing jobless claims. The most important data of the week will be the US personal consumption expenditure (PCE) report set...
The 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) oscillates inside the 40.00-60.00 range, indicating indecisiveness among investors. A downside move below February 22 low at 1.3442 would expose the asset to February 9 low at 1.3423. A breakdown below the latter would extend downside towards January 15 low at 1.3383 On the flip side, the Loonie asset would observe a...