Pilucax

Pilucax Mar 9

When analyzing the bonds, we identified an SMT between them at a PDA located in the monthly premium region, further reinforcing the possibility of a DXY rally and a drop in EURUSD, along with bond depreciation. However, to validate this scenario, we still need confirmations on the daily chart to ensure that the bias remains aligned with the market structure.

Pilucax Mar 9

In my view, the DXY could have a bullish bias this week, but only as a correction after last week's sharp drop. The main bias is still bearish, as we are on the sell side of the curve. Therefore, long trades should be approached with caution since the price can reverse to the downside at any moment—after all, the market is sovereign, and only it determines its...

Pilucax Feb 22

For the DXY, we have an initial outlook of seeking internal liquidity in the discounted region of the monthly range, further reinforcing our bearish trend. Additionally, the presence of a **bottom SMT** in bonds, within a **bullish PDA**, suggests an upward movement for them.

Pilucax Feb 22

If the monthly close occurs as projected, we will confirm a double liquidity purge, signaling a bearish scenario. Additionally, buyer liquidity will have been absorbed, with the price closing within the range, further reinforcing the downside perspective for NAS100. However, we still have one more week to validate this bias. On the daily chart, we will wait for a...

Pilucax Feb 9

Gold showed a **double purge** signal, which could indicate a **bearish correction** move. This correction aims to seek liquidity in a discounted region, allowing the continuation of the **bullish** movement afterward. It's important to note that the correction can be seen as an opportunity for accumulation before the trend resumes upward, with the market looking...

Pilucax Feb 8

Given the current scenario, we maintain a bias toward the continuation of the DXY's decline, as it exhibits MMSM characteristics. Additionally, bonds have invalidated a bearish FVG on the daily timeframe after holding at a bullish PDA in discount. However, caution is essential, as we cannot ignore President Trump's statements, which are shaking the market and...

Pilucax Feb 4

Today, my analysis of EUR/USD points to a potential bearish movement, based on the following points: First, the correction on the 1-hour chart suggests that the pair is seeking liquidity outside the daily range. The daily IRL region coincides with a 4-hour OB (Order Block) and a swing high, which could create an order cluster. The expectation is that the price...

Pilucax Feb 3

At the moment, we can see the MMBM formed on GU. Now, we are waiting for the SMR before taking short positions.

Pilucax Feb 3

Our first trade of the week followed our weekly bias, with the entry based on the AMD concept.

Pilucax Feb 2

When analyzing BTC, we identified that the monthly candle closed with a probable bullish swing. On the weekly chart, we observed the presence of an SMT in relation to ETH, which may indicate a possible correction towards the discounted region of the weekly range, targeting sell-side liquidity.

Pilucax Feb 1

The price broke the previous weekly high, forming a swing. We anticipate the third candle distribution and expect next week to start with a decline, seeking liquidity in the discounted region of the range, so we can continue the bullish movement.

Pilucax Feb 1

In the weekly chart of gold, we can observe the formation of a breakaway gap, indicating that the price is likely to continue its bullish movement. However, it is necessary to confirm this analysis on a smaller timeframe, such as the daily.

Pilucax Feb 1

In the 4H timeframe, we believe the week will start with a decline to seek liquidity in a discounted region, in order to pair orders and continue the macro bullish movement.

Pilucax Feb 1

The price respected the Mean Threshold of the weekly Order Block, forming a swing at a key level. We anticipate the third candle distribution and expect next week to be a classic buy week, with the previous week's daily high as our first target.

Pilucax Feb 1

In the 4H timeframe, we can clearly see the MMSM holding. We moved from the buying side of the curve to the selling side, where we can identify liquidity purges and the continuation of the movement.

Pilucax Feb 1

Reinforcing our weekly view, the daily chart showed the formation of an SMT relative to the DXY within the weekly key level, which strengthens the signs of a bearish move seeking low-resistance liquidity at the bottoms.

Pilucax Feb 1

The price respected the Mean Threshold of the weekly Order Block, forming a swing at a key level. We anticipate the third candle distribution and expect next week to be a classic sell week.

Pilucax Feb 1

In the 4H timeframe, we can clearly see the MMBM holding. We moved from the selling side of the curve to the buying side, where we can identify liquidity purges and the continuation of the movement.