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The long view on the China CSI 1000 Index ▫️ The lows of 2018 at $4,065 have not been taken out ▫️ Price is currently at $4,293 above this level 🚨The RSI has reached its most oversold level ever reaching down to a sub 17 level. Is this an opportunity or a collapse?

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Please review my prior post for a more detailed breakdown Released quarterly, the Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey on Bank Lending Practices (SLOOS) is a survey of up to 80 large domestic banks and 24 branches of international banks to gain insight into credit, lending and bank practices. The Federal Reserve issues and collates the voluntary surveys. The...

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MACRO MONDAY 32 – The SLOOS Released Monday 5th Feb 2024 (for Q4 2023) Released quarterly, the Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey on Bank Lending Practices (SLOOS) is a survey of up to 80 large domestic banks and 24 branches of international banks to gain insight into credit, lending standards and bank practices. The Federal Reserve issues and collates these...

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U.S. Small Cap 3000 - TVC:RUA ✅A new ATH breaking above the Dec 2022 ATH U.S. Small Cap 2000 - TVC:RUT 🚨Continues to demonstrate relative weakness Light Blue by area on the chart 🔵 The U.S. small cap 3000 finally caught up with the other major indices such as the SP:SPX and NASDAQ:NDX as it previously has been demonstrating relative weakness...

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Olive Oil Discovered the following: ▫️ The 21 Smooth Moving Average makes a decent entry and exit signal ▫️ An upsloping 21 SMA, even if lost tends to recover. Down sloping rejection = exit. ▫️ Two recessions @ bottoms

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U.S. Non Farm Payrolls Rep: 353k ✅ MUCH HIGHER than Expected ✅ Exp: 187k Prev: 333k U.S. economy adds 353,000 jobs in January Based on revised figures we have increased the jobs added to the U.S from 150k in Nov 2023 gradually increasing to 353k for the month of Jan 2024.

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Federal Reserve Balance Sheet Update ⚠️DECREASE of $47.1 billion week ending Jan 31st⚠️ ▫️ $1.34 Trillion Reduction since Apr 2022 ▫️ We are $0.436T away from the long term trend line (Red Line). The current trajectory means we could reach this level by Sept 2024

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U.S. Continuing Jobless Claims Rep: 1,806k ✅Lower Than Expected ✅ Exp: 1,845k Prev: 1,832k (revised down from 1,834) Whilst the short term lower than expected continuous jobless claims are welcomed the long term trend is one of thee most concerning charts out there. Chart Trend Since Sept 2022 continuing claims increased from 1.302m to 1.806m (500k+). This...

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The Big 4 Earnings Releases today (POSITIVE) ✅ Novo Nordisk ⬆️ ✅ Mastercard ⬆️ ⌛️ Qualcomm (released later today) ✅ Boston Scientific ⬆️ The chart shows expected & reported earnings & price action. IMO Mastercard looks particularly promising. NYSE:NVO NYSE:MA NASDAQ:QCOM NYSE:BSX

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Bitcoin - Potential Pattern The only monthly candle that I could find that has wicks as long & a body as small. Six years ago in Jan 2017 before an epic run from $900 to $20,000 CRYPTOCAP:BTC Not a prediction. More probable short term scenario is down as outlined on the chart. Just interesting the similarity. Having a position is as important as having...

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The Big 4 Earnings today - THE RESULT ✅Google ✅Microsoft ❌Starbucks ✅AMD See the chart for reported vs estimated and how the price finished up today ▫️ NASDAQ:MSFT a clear leader ▫️ NASDAQ:SBUX missed expectations on both fronts ▫️ NASDAQ:GOOGL & NASDAQ:AMD try to hold ATH

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The 4 Big Earnings Releases For Today I will update these charts later with there reported earnings and revenue. You can see that NASDAQ:MSFT leads the pack with relative strength. Premarket Google and Microsoft are showing higher prices whilst Starbucks and AMD are showing lower premarket prices (see orange price bars) NASDAQ:GOOGL NASDAQ:AMD ...

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Macro Monday 31 U.S. Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index This Index is compiled from a monthly survey conducted by the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas to assess the health of manufacturing activity in the state of Texas. It provides insight into factors such as production, employment, orders, and prices, offering a snapshot of economic conditions in the region. ...

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10Y/2Y Yield Spread & Unemployment Rate Originally shared back in July 2023 (see below charts) Its interesting to see that the yield curve is rising fast (up towards the 0 level) We are reaching into dangerous recessionary territory. No guarantees, just a significantly increased probability. Continuous jobless claims are reaching pre-recession warning levels...

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Visa - NEO:VISA Earnings: Rep: $2.41 EPS ✅ Higher Than Expected Exp: $2.34 EPS Revenue Rep: $8.6B ✅ Marginally Higher Than Expected Exp: $8.56B 6 - 12 Month Trade A potential 29% relatively safe return for the 2024 year in this dividend paying, well performing blue-chip stock. c$2.00 per annum dividend per share . Monthly Chart (left) ✅ Long...

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U.S Core PCE (FEDS FAVOURITE METRIC) Rep: 2.9% ✅ Lower Than Expected ✅ Exp: 3.0% Prev: 3.2% U.S. Headline PCE Rep: 2.6% ✅ In Line with Expectations ✅ Exp: 2.6% Prev: 2.6% Historical Core PCE Norms On the chart you can see that since 1990 the typical Core PCE range is between 1 - 3% (red dotted lines on chart). We are slowly getting back down into this...

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History of prior EU Rate pauses: 4 months | Oct 00 - Apr 01 12 months | Jun 07 - Jun 08 3 months | Jul - Oct 2011 4 months | Sept 2023 - Present ⏳SO FAR⏳ At least they could say that this is not the shortest one ever now that we are into month 4. Historical Average: 6 months (March 2024) Interestingly this is when the Bank Term Funding Program in...

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Paladin Energy Ltd - OTC:PALAF ✅ 25% increase since first shared. ✅ Red Circle pattern may repeat ✅ Above 200 MA ✅ Breakout of Parallel Channel 🎯 Target here is undefined, the plan would be to ride the 200 day until it is definitively broken. I have not entered this trade yet but considering an entry at the 200 day SMA at 0.66c for a small position. This...