ReallyMe

ReallyMe Updated 

The low interest rates set by central banks in recent years have led to a real estate boom in the U.S. and Europe, but as interest rates begin to rise rapidly, banks and real estate companies may become insolvent. The commercial real estate market is in shock and transactions are not as frequent. The high prices of real estate will have to fall until rental yields...

ReallyMe

Now listen to me very carefully, folks! I’ve got some important intel on our new mission, and it’s in the financial markets. Yeah, you heard me right, we’re diving headfirst into the world of finance. Buckle up, buttercups, because this is gonna be a bumpy ride. Now, there are ten crucial mission parameters to keep in mind when it comes to finance, and I need you...

ReallyMe

To everything there is a season ... a time to cast away stones and a time to gather them ... Stock markets do not need a great economic environment to rise noticeably. When reality succeeds in outperforming low expectations, a sustainable tailwind is created. In this sense, the MSCI World Index managed to deliver a very good start to the year despite mixed...

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The US is pulling out all the stops to try to contain the fallout from the Silicon Valley bank failure and avert a banking crisis. US President Biden today appealed for confidence by promising that all deposits of US bank customers would be protected. Customers need not fear losing their money. That does not apply to investors, Biden said. Unlike the financial...

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NASDAQ to Gold - this scenario is possible, just like any other, but based on the pattern, long term trend and previous progression, it seems likely. The price action will never be a straight line, in most cases there will be a retracement to to 50% of the previous peak or trough before it decides on a direction up or down and you will be able to discern it...

ReallyMe Updated 

What is really happening with Bitcoin right now, where is the capital flowing in the markets? Most of the money is flowing into the stock markets and other forms of investment, including crypto. The chart shows how Bitcoin has performed so far compared to equities. Will Bitcoin pull off the Houdini trick again? Time will tell. I think we are at a crossroads.

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Unfortunately, the great master of escape has run out of steam this time... Already in August 2022 it should have become clear that Bitcoin is only a charade and is on a downward path.

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Today we look at how the global economy (MSCI World Index in EUR) has performed in the past and try to derive a forecast for the future. The medium and long-term trend is shown by the red and green dotted lines. Since the future has not yet happened, all possible outcomes are still conceivable, but what is likely from today's perspective? As far as I can see, that...

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Up, down or sideways in the next weeks and months? You hear all kinds of opinions from self-appointed experts about how the stock market will develop and where we are right now. Some just make guesses and cleverly wrap it up in empty TA-worthy phrases, while others try to illuminate the market with fundamental data and key figures to gauge future price...

ReallyMe Updated 

My current view on Bitcoin to check later: still in limbo for a while? As it looks, it could continue to trade range-bound between the very long-term red and green trendlines for a while. It may end up sliding down along the dashed blue medium-term resistance line.

ReallyMe Updated 

Gold is ponderous. It takes its time, keeps a low profile, plays with its cards close to its chest and basically does what it wants. What can be said with certainty, though, is that the long-term trend is upwards, but the channel is so wide that there is enough room for surprises and disappointments of all kinds. It is not a game for the impatient. Will it touch...

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This is a long-term view since 1921 for myself to check later and for all my followers who are interested. You see periods where it was more beneficial to hold Gold and you see periods where it was more beneficial to hold Equities. The question is, are we on the verge of a breakout to the upside, so that the tide will soon turn in favour of Gold, and how long will...

ReallyMe Updated 

When can you be profitable with Bitcoin again? I'll tell you what, without many words, just look at the chart. It gives simple signals when to act. 2-3 trades per year, that's all you need. Calm sleep, nice life. When will the next time come when you should buy Bitcoin again? The answer is up there on the chart. This simple but mega-powerful idea was presented...

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Imagine you set out to write a script that analyses the fall of raindrops to predict the impact location of the next drop. Will it hit to the left or right of the set line? A difficult but solvable task, it seems, isn't it? Or you write a script that tries to predict next Saturday's draw results as accurately as possible using historical data from lottery draws...

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Did we get a signal on May 18, 2021? We will see it with certainty a little later, if the blue moving average line should change sides and cross the yellow circle, but for now it almost looks like it. History of signals (yellow circles) generated so far: 26-Aug-2011 sell Bitcoin, buy Gold 19-Feb-2012 sell Gold, buy Bitcoin 16-Mar-2014 sell Bitcoin, buy...

ReallyMe Updated 

Big Bitcoin Setback Incoming - We're Talking 27k...

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... on Ukraine you should consider whether he is still in his right mind. I used to love Russians because I had many Russian friends myself. I can't talk to them anymore. It's over. I feel only hatred, no forgiveness, nobody can tell me they can't help it and the "normal" people are not to blame, it's just an evil Putin. It was the "normal" Russians who have...

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I'll be brief: if $34,300 breaks, all Hell really breaks loose. That's all. Take care & stay safe!