The spread between German Bunds and France or Italian Goverment Bonds are rising again. On Monday, April 11th 2017 Goldman Sachs recommends a market bet as elections loom in France. "We would expect French bond spreads (and yields) to come under upward pressure if the first round of the Presidential election were to result in a strong showing of...
This "trading idea" is published to provide unbiased and accurate data as available and additional information about stockmarket, investor and traders bias. This trading idea is not published to predict any result about the upcomming election in France or Netherlands. Trader can use this information to be up to date and to compare the market bias with latest polls.
The Spread between German Government Bonds 10 YR Yields and France 10 YR Yields actually as high as in the Euro Crisis 2012. To Yield-Spreads showing ongoing bets against Europe. If ever the far right or far left parties might not succed all those bets needs to be covered.
In the last days and weeks overall fear indicators showing that bets and fears on a shortime drop of global stockmarkets had been rising dramatically. The main reasons - and all are geopolitics: - Trumps tradewars on China, NAFTA, Europe - Geopolitical tensions on Syria, North Korea, Russia - Upcomming First round of election in France What traders missed:...
In the last days and weeks overall fear indicators showing that bets and fears on a shortime drop of global stockmarkets had been rising dramatically. The main reasons - and all are geopolitics: - Trumps tradewars on China, NAFTA, Europe - Geopolitical tensions on Syria, North Korea, Russia - Upcomming First round of election in France What traders missed:...
Since 72 hours Jean-Luc Melenchon run-off hopes improve. The four candidates Fillon, Macron, Melenchon and LePen are in a very tight range wich cause now that the French 1st election round is less predictable. For Stockmarkets now it´s necessary to understand two issues: 1. Wich pairs could be the result of the French Election 1th rounds 2. Bets and hedges...
The upcomming french election is goint to trigger the next major move at least for all European Stockmarkets. Technical Analysis can not predict in wich direction this move will go. Yesterdays Charts can´t what will happen on Monday April 24th 2017 or on Monday 05/08/ 2017. The result of the France Election will be to powerfull and is going to trigger the...
The CNN Great & Fear Index is showing today the lowest reading in 2017 by 36 or "Fear". If ever this bullmarket is not reversed to a new bearmarket than this low number might indicate that downside potential is still limited. Quote: "During the last five trading days, volume in put options has lagged volume in call options by 32.00% as investors make bullish...
The CNN Great & Fear Index is showing today the lowest reading in 2017 by 36 or "Fear". If ever this bullmarket is not reversed to a new bearmarket than this low number might indicate that downside potential is still limited. Quote: "During the last five trading days, volume in put options has lagged volume in call options by 32.00% as investors make bullish...
Germany´s DAX is now just a few points away from the 2015 ATH. - Same time the Handelsblatt.com Sentiment Survey is showing the highest numbers of Bears since 2014. - The U.S. based greed & fear Index showed on Monday "22" or "extreme fear". - AAII Sentiment Survey: Pessimism Rises As Neutral And Bullish Sentiments Fall. Institutionals cut back their...
The Chart of the dutch AEX is showing a clear brake of a major multi-year down trendline. In yesterdays Dutch election 81% of Dutch citizens voted against populism and for the European Union as voters said asked in exit polls. After the BREXIT the overall sentiment for European Stockmarkets had been mostly bearish. After the BREXIT fears are mounting that more...
Austria: ATX -0.92% Likely To Start A New Bull Market More and more European Stockmarkets showing signs of a broad based Bullmarket The Austrian ATX -0.92% is one of those Indices.
The IBEX 35 (D) showing strong momentum to the upside. This is a strong signal that the Euro crisis might come to an end now. Spains IBEX 35 is showing short term an impressive set up for a strong up move. Medium term a break of the multi-year downtrendline would trigger a buy signal for a new and powerfull new bull market wich could last for years.
Todays rise of the Euro might reverse a medium trend out of European Bonds and Stockmarkets from the view of US-Investors. The following article was published on Feb. 17th and is showing the opposite of what is going on today. Quote: "The potential for chaos in Europe ahead of multiple elections and the recurrence of the Greek debt crisis have prompted investors...
Quote: Prime Minister Theresa May formally began Britain's divorce from the European Union on Wednesday, declaring there was no turning back and ushering in a tortuous exit process that will test the bloc's cohesion and pitch her country into the un-known. In one of the most significant steps by a British leader since World War Two, May notified EU Council...
After yesterdays Election in the Netherlands defeating Nationalism and Populism in the Netherlands Spains IBEX sending today a strong message showing that the IBEX is ready for a new bull market in the next years. The IBEX joins stockmarkets in Germany, The Netherlands, Italy and France. It is no issue right now and traders don´t talk about this: But major...
Austria: ATX Likely To Start A New Bull Market More and more European Stockmarkets showing signs of a broad based Bullmarket The Austrian ATX is one of those Indices.
Quote: The leading global economies just found out that they now live in a different world: That of Donald Trump. At a meeting of policymakers from the Group of 20 major economies around the world on Friday and Saturday (March 17 & 18 2017), they were forced to drop their long-standing commitment “to resist all kinds of protectionism” in their communiqué because...