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5/14/24 - vrockstar - NASDAQ:NXT - industrial solar w/ unique IP/ solution and the best industry growth likely has the fewest overhangs as well as bagholders involved. while anyone can see rates picture limits investments industry-wide, these guys should continue to grow through the '24 trough (not the case for... any other solar i can find, esp the consumer...

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6/7/24 - vrockstar - NASDAQ:AAPL - pointing out something interesting here... NASDAQ:NVDA has carried the tape for the last several weeks. other mag 7 too... but today is particularly interesting ahead of NASDAQ:AAPL event to see it getting the bid. this IS THE HAVEN. tape if does go up will go up on the back of NASDAQ:AAPL , and it looks to be the biggest...

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6/12/24 - vrockstar - NASDAQ:LZ - scanning some fringe names this morning that are on a long list of "haven't check in a while". and had sent this text to a friend that's closer to this stuff to inquire his opinion. would love to hear yours in comments if any? this is my current thoughts/ and that text (verbatim): "You have an opinion of legalzoom (LZ)? It’s...

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6/11/24 - vrockstar - NYSE:VTEX - pretty familiar with this one from a past life. deciding to update my thinking for anyone that comes across this ticker w/ own POV's hopefully this helps: have been sidelines on it for the last year-ish. the last Q defn brought a disappointment from the perspective of the revenue growth/ wins that created a bit of excitement in...

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6/11/24 - vrockstar - NYSE:RBRK - this is defn on a shorter list of "cyber-related" names i keep on the related list. but here's my issue here. it's ambiguous middle of the pack financials and cap. 7 bn and you get 1 bn of revenue next year growing 20% a year and not pro forma profitable. that's just not something the market is paying for. the wrinkle? don't...

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6/11/24 - vrockstar - NASDAQ:STRM - interesting niche biz here providing data-related solutions to the healthcare rising tide. 25 mm cap and 10 mm debt - yuck first of all to the debt, but whatever (and it is relevant). looks like revenue growth isn't great - but when you dig in there's a change that seems to have been made to account for revenue and COGS...

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6/10/24 - vrockstar - NASDAQ:RELY - another fintech another lower low. this tape is simply brutal to attempt to buy anything that's not hitting ATH which is just reflexivity to the max. hard to short market. hard to be in cash. so the real "hedge" which is paradoxical and also equally comical and disgusting... is to take a step out of the risk curve and find...

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6/10/24 - vrockstar - NASDAQ:ASO - generally think we should find a spot to buy this but probably won't be necking out in this tape where everything's on edge and i don't believe the mkt has really digested the job's report (which is fake - but for another day friends- i digress). if you look at this name vs. it's mega peer NYSE:DKS - it's defn been a bleeder...

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6/10/24 - vrockstar - NYSE:YEXT - the issue here guys is the market is full stop avoiding this type of factor and probably for good reason. the stock is also reflecting it which means you better know what you're doing either holding this into print. no growth top line is a massive issue where you scale software or your die. betting on some whack management...

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6/10/24 - vrockstar - NASDAQ:MIND - defn not something i'd typically buy. tho i look at it all fam. earnings obsessed lol. this thing has all the makings of something we could defn put on our "would buy if oil starts to rip" bingo card. the financials continue to inch more positively. cash flow remains just inflecting - so it's hard to "really value" this thing....

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6/7/24 - vrockstar - NASDAQ:BRZE - a lot has happened since i wrote a private comment to myself before the previous results at the end of March. basically software is unownable from a factor perspective unless rule of 40 is really rule of 50 or 60... and you're scale... and mgmt can articulate why AI won't eat your PnL for lunch. nearly 6x for a 20-25% grower...

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6/7/24 - vrockstar - NASDAQ:PWFL - doing a friday look at IOT alternatives given my initial start stake in NYSE:IOT today (go read that) seeing if there's anything else to own. this one has a great story. fleet-matics i'll call it. nearly $300 mm in revenue this year is the mgmt goal so 2x sales - which is probably not the right metric - but a starting pt...

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6/7/24 - $vrockstar/private - NYSE:ARLO - doing a review today of all IOT-related names given my small 1% (as of now) starter position in NYSE:IOT (go read that for some nuance on sizing). here's a small cap now and my thinking. for now... not worth owning. i need a much better entry. setting target at sub $10 to take a closer look if/when. looks expensive...

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6/6/24 - vrockstar - NYSE:IOT - > 15x sales for 30% growth is simply too much in this tape, need closer to 12x which is substantially lower. look fam, these guys are perpetual beat/ raise types. so there won't be as much a surprise if this happens. it's the $crwd/ NYSE:NET of the IOT space (he11 they even own the ticker lol). so we need to own this in the MT/LT...

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5/22/24 - vrockstar - NYSE:SNOW - >10x sales for 20% sales growth is a tough rubicon to cross with conviction in this mkt w/ many faster growers at better valuations. nevermind PE... at >100x, which is the inferior metric here mainly b/c the sales optic is so egregious. i'd counterpoint myself by saying 2% fcf yield looks good... but it's... all... stock......

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6/5/24 - vrockstar - NYSE:GWRE - a stock up on EPS print that marginally beat/ look ahead. 10x sales. subscale mid single digit growth. going to get murdered. great funding for some of my dip buys this morning. software rn is an impossible factor to own - if you do - you need funding. gl to the longs, nothing against this one in the MT/LT context, but ST for the...

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6/5/24 - vrockstar - NASDAQ:BASE - among NYSE:CXM , NYSE:SMAR and now this one reporting tn... they all basically suffer from the same factor problems (read those). the issue w base is that it's possibly even worse given the size, higher valuation, actual cash burn (despite dilution) and arguably even more "at risk" of AI-narrative-murda. the chart is defn in...

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6/5/24 - vrockstar - NYSE:SMAR - gawd it's so hard to buy 4x ev/sales even w/ high teens growth, inflecting opex leverage when you look at mid 30s PE, high dilution (stock comp issue/ not real cash generator)... and ALL THE COMPS GETTING REKT in this size/domain (biz optimization let's call it). charts just all match each other with slightly different variation...