The major US indexes (S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, Russell 2000 etc) appear to be coming out of a Wave 3 top, and gearing up for either a flat or triangle in a Wave 4 position. Although the retracement of the initial cash-session decline has been choppy, the futures chart still looks favorable for a turn lower tomorrow. I see 5 down with a 3-3-5 flat in a retracement....
Note the wave 3 projection with near perfection before entering our 4th wave correction. Will be keeping my eyes on this into the coming weeks.
Potential wave counts following our 4th wave ABCDE triangle - Another alternative possibility is we never completed our correction in the 4th wave.
I feel wave 4 correction is potentially invalidated, any takers/thoughts? This was my previous wave count, which I thought was a clear 5 wave breakout from our 4th wave triangle on the daily.
Very clear ABCDE in the 4th, with near perfect alternating .618 relationships. B vs D was near perfection, while A vs C was a bit off, although not surprising given we anticipated the larger support/reversal to come at the daily 200 moving average on that move. Expecting a diagonal 5th here, and will update with a potential sub-wave count. Also based on this...
Here is a quick look at a basic monthly chart for the SPX (S&P 500). As you can see, our previous over-extended run ended in a pullback to the 236 fib line which also corresponds to our major dominant trendline. Currently watching key moving averages on the 1, 2, 4hr & daily charts including our 50, 100 & 200 moving averages.