I have seen a lot of ideas similar to this and I tend to agree. 65% it goes up 35% down. The Macro Chart shows strong support in this area. Seems like a good risk.
It does have a gap to fill lower, but looks like a bottom is confirmed and good potential upside compared to the QQQ.
I can speak from experience that thinking you know the top of an index making new highs is usually a way to part with your winnings $$$. Don't make the same mistakes I made. Trying to short in this market takes a remarkable short trader, which by definition most traders are not. Trying to predict a top and how to profit from it is very difficult even for...
I've been seeing tons of posts stating they are short the SPX, DJIA or the NDX. Anyone else see the possibility that there's going to be massive covering that could send this into a blow off top? The SPX trapped a lot of bears.
You can trade it, or even hold on for a year, but this looks like a cheap entry price with powerful support lines, good potential upside.