konhow

09:49

konhow Wizard

When the yield of the 3-month bond is higher than the 30-year bond yield, this is known as an inverted yield curve. It is a rare and unusual occurrence and we are seeing this today. This signals a potential economic recession in the future. An inverted yield curve suggests that investors have a pessimistic outlook for the future of the economy. They are willing...

konhow Wizard

I have broken it into 2 parts. Part 1 – we can associate it with the sequence then. Part 2 – we can take reference as the situation unfolds. Part 1 - 1929 sequence that seems familiar today: a) Crisis triggered by several factors b) Stocks rose rapidly c) Chain reaction of events d) Bank had invested heavily e) Bank failed Part 2 - As it continued in...

09:50

konhow Wizard

The story of 1929 - The Great Depression was a severe worldwide economic depression that lasted from 1929 to the late 1930s. There were several factors that contributed to the trigger of the Great Depression, but the key trigger is often attributed to the stock market crash of 1929. In the 1920s, there was a period of economic growth and prosperity in the United...

konhow Wizard

US Dollar vs Yuan or US Dollar vs Offshore Yuan, technically they are establishing divergence. Above chart is my projection in time to come. When Dollar vs Yuan moves lower, this means we are seeing a weaker Dollar and a stronger Yuan. See the following link for its video version. The Chinese yuan, also known as RMB, is the official currency of China. It is...

09:43

konhow Wizard

The Chinese yuan, also known as RMB, is the official currency of China. It is used both onshore in mainland China and offshore in international markets. The offshore yuan, also known as the CNH (Chinese yuan - Hong Kong), is the version of the yuan that is traded outside of mainland China. It is traded in offshore financial centers, such as Hong Kong, Singapore,...

konhow Wizard

Gap means a runaway in prices or a confirmation of a clean break away from its downtrend line. (Technical) OPEC-Plus made a surprise announcement to reduce oil production starting May. Unlike OPEC, OPEC-Plus involve many more countries. This signals a synchronise effort to boost crude oil prices. Expect a much higher oil prices to come. (Fundamental) My recent...

09:26

konhow Wizard

02 Apr 23 OPEC+ made a surprise announcement to reduce its production starting May. The direction of the commodities price is always about supply and demand. With the China opening, there will be an increase in the demand for crude. The reduction on its production will likely cause crude to trend much higher. Video explained why crude to break above USD106. ...

07:47

konhow Wizard

Gold rush up accordingly to each major news during the bank run crisis in March. Problem seems to subside for now. We will explore the possibility of a contagion effect to a wider bank run in this video. A story of having too much money problem • It is a bank – need to pay interest to depositors • During pandemic - invested 10yrs bonds yield average...

09:06

konhow Wizard

i) 2D = Time / Price = Chart = Technical analysis ii) 2D = Macro or / and Micro or / and other analysis 3D = Combining the above (i) & (ii) 4D = Projected time and price based on the past data and market developments 3 types of gold for trading: • COMEX Gold 0.10 per troy ounce = $10.00 • E-mini Gold 0.25 per troy ounce = $12.50 • Micro Gold 0.10 per...

konhow Wizard

Gold started its rally since 2000. Whereas inflation and interest rates remain low since 2000. Reason for the "Borrowed Time"? Because easy money policy was needed to create: 1) An increase in money supply 2) By lowering its interest rates Purpose for easy money policy? 3 major events after 2000: 1) Middle East War 2) Subprime crisis 3) Covid-19 rescue...

07:57

konhow Wizard

Bank run crisis causes the current Fed fund rate to trade higher than the rest of the bond yields, what is its implication? As US CPI remain high, global equities will continue to be uncertain this year. Investors are now turning their attention to precious metals. Gold has started to move up since year 2000, it has appreciated more than 700%. However, the...

konhow Wizard

3D Investing or Trading = Technical Analysis + Depth Analysis Depth Analysis: • Macro analysis or / and • Micro analysis or / and • Other analysis See the following video "3rd Dimension Analysis" link for other analysis. Many use either technical or fundamental analysis alone in their research work, I observed they likely to struggle with confidence to make...

08:08

konhow Wizard

. One dimension analysis or the depth analysis can be studying into the financial data of a the company. . Two dimension analysis is when the investor or trader studying into the chart - Price & Time. . Third dimension analysis is where we combine one and two dimension analysis. Third Dimension Analysis = TA + Depth Micro E-Mini Dow Jones Contract value,...

konhow Wizard

2 year, 5 year, 10 year and 30 year yield are all showing a similar characteristic: · Low established in 2020 · Major support trend started forming since then · Seem to have completed its retracement with a double-bottom · Resuming on its major support trend · Target to break above its recent all-time high set on Oct...

09:11

konhow Wizard

What is moving this week? Our weekly eyeball into the different markets. Interest rates likely to be breaking its all time high again, get ready for another volatile month ahead. Difference between yield and interest rate: Borrowers take reference from interest rates and lenders take reference on the yield. Interest rates and yield moves in tandem. Minimum...

konhow Wizard

Inflation is plateauing and likely to end flat in 2023, so what will that impact the markets? Though inflation peaked at 9% last year and has been declining to 6.4%, CPI seems to be plateauing and may close flat in 2023, but this is not good news at all. Why? Because the Fed wanted to see the CPI or inflation coming down to 2% in a sustained manner. Studying...

10:27

konhow Wizard

There are only 3 inflation scenarios that will happen till the end of 2023: i. Improve CPI to 2% ii. Range CPI to hover between the band of 5-8% iii. Continue to trend higher breaking above 9% Many investors believe scenario (i) & (iii) will be unlikely. 70% of the investors feel that CPI should settle unchanged from how the year started at between 5%-8%....

konhow Wizard

Many got distracted when Gold was trading in a range the last few years. A question for you to ponder over: Will there be a situation where interest rates continue to rise and yet a lower Dollar? Why? Let me hear thoughts, I would love to exchange ideas with you. Included last two videos link below, I explained: i) Gold is still an inflation hedge ii) Gold...