ETHUSD - Continuation of the Bull RunAssuming the bull run continues a large W pattern can be created on an angle with the dotted yellow line being the middle of this large structure. Date ranges are very similar from the start of the bear market in each scenario to the end of the bull run. There is still bull moves to come in this market. Longby Bixley5
Ethereum (ETH): Strategic Entries and Potential DropsFor Ethereum, we're observing a chart pattern that has developed a weak divergence, and we believe it is now correcting wo the end of Wave 4 of Wave (3). We plan to place multiple entries; our first entry was at the upper range of the Wave 4 target area around $3200. However, the price has continued to decline. We are now looking to DCA and make a second entry at $2600, with a final entry in our worst-case scenario at $2277. We suspect there might be further downside potential, but the extent is uncertain, and we intend to buy additional spots. Those already in from the first entry can choose to hold or buy more—this is on yourself. Given the expected market weakness, there could be opportunities to establish substantial long-term spot positions. Upon examining the annual VWAP, we're observing a scenario where the 2021 VAH is acting as a current resistance level. We briefly surpassed this level but quickly fell below it again. We believe there could be good entry opportunities in the area between the 2021 VWAP and the 2022 VAH, which closely align around $2,500 to $2,450. Below this, the next significant level could be the 2023 VAH around $2,000, indicating a substantial gap in the middle. This will be elaborated further in subsequent sections of our analysis. However, this setup on the larger chart presents a probable scenario, yet we're also considering managing our positions above this range as shown above. The 61,8% Fibonacci retracement is still the second entry target for us. 12H On the quarterly VWAP, we observe that the VWAP from Q4 2021 acted as resistance at exactly $4,100. Since then, we've experienced a downward trend and identified several levels acting as resistance or support. Currently, we're situated right at the 2022 Q1VWAP and the 2021 Q3VWAP, which could provide enough support to push us above the $3,000 mark. Ideally, surpassing the $3,200 mark would be beneficial, but we perceive this as challenging since the current quarter's VWAP is likely to act as resistance around $3,200. We think it's possible we might revisit the levels of the 2021 Q2VWAP to the 2024 Q1VAL, ranging between $2,670 and $2,426. While we don't anticipate falling much below these levels, it's not outside the realm of possibility. These remain our critical levels for now. 4H Considering the monthly VWAP, there's a scenario where we might see an upward push toward the Previous Monthly VAL, given that the February VWAP has acted as support three times already. This aligns with the desire to see Ethereum exceed $3,200, which would surpass both the February VWAP high and the Previous Monthly VWAP. Achieving and maintaining a position above this level is crucial for a sustained upward move. If we fail to reclaim and hold this level, it's plausible that Ethereum could revisit lower levels, potentially down to the February VAL around $2,500. Holding above the February VWAP is vital; otherwise, we might see a retracement to these lower support levels.Longby freeguy_by_wmcUpdated 117
ETH Respects The Trend, But For How Long?This is my first slightly longer post about the crypto market in some time. Despite being an ETH post, I get more into the market as a whole in this post. Here, I will do a little analysis on the above ETH chart, but primarily I will speak about fundamentals, my accuracies and my inaccuracies, and why I continue to observe the market. Ethereum was my biggest winner in the previous bull market. After buying between $100-200 in 2018-2019, I sold near $3000 at the end of 2021. Since then, I didn't "buy the dip" or return to investing in the cryptocurrency market. Sure, my opinion on things has limited my ability to see the "forest through the trees," so to speak. So far, I've missed out on at least tripling my money again on ETH, when I could have bought close to $1000 if I had been bullish on it long term. Despite the ETF approval for Bitcoin, and despite a looming ETF approval for Ethereum, I am longer term bearish on these assets. This is due to a simple question, the answer to which has not changed: If Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies ceased to exist, would the world be impacted significantly? With the introduction of these ETF's, the answer to this question may change from "not at all" to "a little bit," but even then, the people who would be impacted are asset holders and managers who are generally making small bets on crypto. The bigger concern is that some brazen investors will follow Michael Saylor's suit and create unnecessary risk by buying assets that have very few real-world application. If this snowballs into an even bigger bubble, I do worry about the impact on the broader financial system. As for crypto's effect on the economy: Money goes into crypto and it stays there. All those billions that have been invested in Bitcoin ETF's could go somewhere else and have a positive ripple effect on the economy and people's lives. Instead, it's stagnant money, and it only has value because people continue to buy it. The primary reason why I'm longer term bearish on these assets is because I believe eventually demand will be unable to keep up, and prices will stagnate, ultimately fading into a much longer bear market. This is particularly the case when broader markets fall into a more deflationary period, which I think will happen eventually (though as we know, this is very hard to predict). It is clear that I was wrong in speculating Bitcoin would not make a new all time high. It did, but I wonder how long it could really sustain a SIGNIFICANT higher high. I'm not talking about $70-75k. I'm talking about $100k+ prices. Back in 2022, I speculated that ETH would drop to the green zone in my chart. It came very close, but bottomed out between $800-1000, a major level from the 2017-2018 bull market. I did successfully anticipate much lower prices for Bitcoin and Ethereum than most were expecting at that time. I did not anticipate such an extended move up from those bottoms. It is important to note that in multiples, crypto is outpacing the stock market from bottom to recent top. However, stocks are making more significant new all time highs while crypto is not. Even Gold is booming, breaking significant highs. This is something I did anticipate a while ago. There is no indication that holding crypto ETF's will be better than holding stocks. But hey look, Microstrategy (MSTR) is almost at dotcom bubble peak levels. Back to ETH - if one is to take a big short position, it seems unwise to do so until the long term trendline is clearly broken. Here is the trendline zoomed in. You can see that price even broke down briefly, though continued to hug it for the most part while the decline did not accelerate further. For now, it continues to ride. There could easily be more spikes up, as mania begins to take hold. But I sincerely also wonder how much extra money retail has to drive prices up this time around. Data shows that spending has slowed down, while people have mostly burned through their pandemic savings. Where will the liquidity come from? Is this rally even being driven by enough liquidity to sustain these prices? There is also always money to be made on the short side. Let's not forget that a short ETH ETF already exists. We will eventually find out the answers to these questions. These are the primary reasons I continue to observe markets. I want to know more deeply what's going on. What are the broader cultural and economic shifts that occur under the surface, which cause major impacts on society as a whole? These mysteries keep me coming back. Crypto is still interesting to me in this respect because it has such a psychological impact on the investor. I know directly from experience. It promises big things and then barely delivers. Or, it will appear to be completely dead and then cause eyeballs to pop when it suddenly triples in value. Profiting from it in the last cycle required putting up with a long emotional rollercoaster. Is there a light at the end of the tunnel for the crypto investor? Is this, right now, the light at the end of the tunnel? If so, this is a pretty far cry from the original intentions of Bitcoin. It's all gone right back into the pockets of traditional financial institutions. And perhaps, it is this discrepancy that makes me think it's really a sheep in wolf's clothing, in effect something perfectly boring and ordinary disguised as something disruptive. It is possible that it it may have not turned out this way, but due to human collective decision-making, greed, and exploitation, here we are. Despite my more sporadic posts, I continue to observe and analyze. It is not necessarily about being right or wrong for me. Maybe when I was younger it was, but now it's more about the process. It is important to let go of the attachment to being right. Thank you for reading as always. And of course, this is meant for speculation and entertainment only, not financial advice. Shortby VictorCobra5
Ethereum Long Term IdeaIdeally, would like to see ETH stay above 600s from here on out. Monthly chart, will update on lower weekly time frames as time progresses.by AvenueWorkUpdated 2323122
Ethereum 1d by RB🧐 Hello, dear friends! Today, let's take a look at the Ethereum/Dollar chart!💥 On February 25th, the last line of the descending trend was broken upwards, as indicated by the blue circle - that's serves as an excellent signal for further growth. The question now is when to expect a correction? And how deep will it be?🧐 The next strong resistance levels are 3590 - 3980! Reaching these levels, the price may start a correction for further growth. The depth of the correction will depend on further price formations, so I will update the chart accordingly! Thanks for Your attention. Stay tuned!🫶 Sincerely Yours, Kateryna💙💛 by RocketBombUpdated 2244
Delayed ETF News and its Impact.The recent delay in approving a spot Ethereum ETF by the SEC has dampened some of the bullish sentiment surrounding ETH. This news contributed to the correction from higher levels, alongside a broader crypto market pullback. Falling Channel/Wedge and the $4400 Target: The current chart pattern for ETH/USD does resemble a falling channel or wedge. This pattern often precedes a breakout, potentially towards the upper resistance level around $4400. However, it's crucial to consider: ETF Delay as a Hurdle: The lack of an immediate ETF approval reduces the short-term excitement that could have fueled a rapid breakout. Technical Indicators: Other technical indicators alongside the chart pattern should be considered for confirmation of a bullish breakout. Factors to Consider for a Potential Breakout: Renewed ETF Optimism: While the ETF approval seems unlikely in the immediate future, any positive developments or renewed optimism surrounding the ETF could reignite bullish momentum. Overall Market Sentiment: The broader cryptocurrency market sentiment significantly impacts ETH's price. If the general market experiences a strong upswing, ETH could potentially break out of the falling channel/wedge. Technical Analysis: Utilizing additional technical indicators like moving averages, relative strength index (RSI), and volume analysis can strengthen the case for a potential breakout. Important Caveats: Delays Don't Guarantee Denials: While the ETF approval seems less likely in the short term, it doesn't guarantee a complete rejection. Long-term approval is still a possibility. Technical Patterns Aren't Guarantees: Even though the falling channel/wedge suggests a potential breakout, technical patterns shouldn't be interpreted as absolute predictions. Conclusion: The delayed ETF news has undoubtedly impacted ETH's price, but a breakout towards $4400 remains a possibility. However, it's crucial to acknowledge the influence of broader market sentiment, technical indicator confirmation, and the uncertain timeline surrounding the ETF approval.by ParabolicPUpdated 116
Ethereum: Ready or Not? ⌛In the Ethereum Chart, our alternative scenario, which will be activated on a break above $4091, now carries a high probability of 42%. However, as long as the price remains below this level, we must continue to expect a descent into our green Target Zone (between $2807 and $1813) first.by MarketIntel2
Ethereum Price Yet to React to ETF ApprovalEthereum ETFs were approved partly due to Bitwise's correlation analysis, which has led to analysts expecting spot ETH ETFs to disappoint due to key metrics. The SEC approved 19b-4 spot ETH ETF filings on Thursday due to the high correlation between spot CRYPTOCAP:ETH price and CME Ethereum futures prices, similar to that of Bitcoin. This conclusion was reached through Bitwise's correlation analysis filed with its spot ETH ETF. Bitwise is publishing a new correlation analysis as part of its new spot Ethereum ETF filing, which is the first ETH correlation analysis to replicate the specific methodology used by the SEC in their evaluation of bitcoin. The SEC's pace and breadth of first comments on S-1 filings are key to watch as they are the next key steps before a spot ETH ETF launch. Scott Johnsson, a general partner at Van Buren Capital, mentioned that the SEC's pace and breadth of first comments on S-1 filings are key to watch as they are the next key steps before a spot ETH ETF launch. Eric Balchunas speculated that the SEC's comments may come in four to six weeks. Crypto researcher Noelle Acheson suggests that spot ETH ETFs will meet a disappointing reception when they launch, as the CME's low interest in ETH derivatives — ranking fifth — suggests spot ETH ETFs may not be attractive. He also pointed to ETH accounting for only 15% of the total assets under management (AUM) of Hong Kong's spot crypto ETFs. Technical Outlook Ethereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) is currently trading around $3,740 after moving below the $3,730 price level. If a further decline occurs, the next level to watch out for is the $3,605 support. While prices have yet to react to the 19b-4 spot ETH ETF filings approval, the market may be awaiting the final approval of S-1 applications and the official launch before taking action. CRYPTOCAP:ETH has a positive Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 68.32 which is poise for further gains. CRYPTOCAP:ETH 's daily price chart correlates that of CRYPTOCAP:BTC with both assets depicting a bullish flag pattern in the near to long term respectively.Longby DEXWireNews3
The last bullish chance of Ethereum in Mid term!Hi. BINANCE:ETHUSDT Today, I want to analyze ETH for you in a 1D time frame so that we can have a MID-term view of ETH regarding the technical analysis. (Please ✌️respectfully✌️share if you have a different opinion from me or other analysts). ➡️ETH has done a Impressive Movement recently but the odds of another bullish Movement is Pretty high because the pattern which ETH is in, Is a Bullish Flag Pattern! Since The break out has not happened, there is no confirmation of a Bullish Movement But If It happens, we Can Expect a Bullish Movement as much as the Measured Price movement (flag pole) to happen! ✅ Due to the Ascending structure of the chart... 🟢 ETH has been Bullish Recently! 🟢REEGULAR BULLISH Divergence 🟢ETH is in a Bullish Flag 🟢(AB=CD) 🟢Price is gonna Reach $4100 ✨Targets are: 🎯$3390 🎯$0.3500 🎯$0.62 🎯$0.3750 🎯$0.4100 Stay awesome my friends. _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!Longby CobraVanguardUpdated 1167
ETHUSD: Bouncing back to ATH | 66.67% Probability!COINBASE:ETHUSD has been getting a lot of attention in the crypto world lately. It recently went through a big drop in price (-25%) , but now it's showing signs that it might be bouncing back and heading bullish again. Here's what you need to know: ETH's price dropped a lot over the past 2-3 months, and it's been consolidating since then. According to my Free Probability Indicator , there's a good chance that ETH's price could hit a new high. Around 66% chance on the 3D chart and 62% on the daily chart which is a pretty high number! This drop in price could actually be a good thing because it's created a big opportunity to buy ETH at a lower price. Right now, it's about 38% cheaper than its highest price ever. If you're thinking about trading ETH, here's what you should consider: Entry: Wait for clear signs that the price is going up again, like breaking through certain price levels or seeing strong positive movements on the daily chart. Once you're confident the trend is changing, you could think about buying ETH. I'm currently looking at 4H Equilibrium to get position Exit: To protect yourself from losses, you might want to set a "trailing stop-loss." This means if the price starts dropping again after you buy, your sell order will automatically trigger to limit secure your running profits. Risk Management: Make sure you're not risking more money than you can afford to lose. Only invest what you're comfortable with, and consider how much you're willing to lose if things don't go as planned. This isn't any financial advice. It's just some insights to help you make informed decisions. Always do your own research before investing in anything.Longby FractalystUpdated 2215
ETHUSD Ascending Triangle Breakout ? 24.05.2024- Following US SEC approval of spot ether ETF listing: - Ascending triangle 1HR chart pattern observed on ETHUSD. - Downside break of uptrendline indicates potential price decrease. - Upside break of resistance suggests possible price increase. - Stress the importance of applying risk management strategies. _________________________________________________________________________________ Risk Warning: Trading in CFDs is highly speculative and carries a high level of risk. It is possible to lose all of your invested capital. These products may not be suitable for everyone, and you should ensure that you fully understand the risks taking into consideration your investment objectives, level of experience, personal circumstances as well as personal resources. Speculate only with funds that you can afford to lose. Seek independent advice if necessary. Please refer to our Risk Disclosure. BDSwiss is a trading name of BDS Markets and BDS Ltd. BDS Markets is a company incorporated under the laws of the Republic of Mauritius and is authorized and regulated by the Financial Services Commission of Mauritius ( FSC ) under license number C116016172, address: 6th Floor, Tower 1, Nexteracom Building 72201 Ebene. BDS Ltd is authorized and regulated by the Financial Services Authority Seychelles (FSA) under license number SD047, address: Suite 3, Global Village, Jivan’s Complex, Mont Fleuri, Mahe, Seychelles. Payment transactions are managed by BDS Markets (Registration number: 143350) by BDSwiss_Academy1
$ETH Price Prediction 5/25/2024Not much movement as price holds above 20EMA. Weekly close was off a day so the marker has been adjusted. The goal remains at pattern resistance (3685). www.tradingview.comby CheddarBizcuitz1
$ETH Price Prediction 5/21/2024Price breaks ascending pattern and now holds between 3810 and pattern resistance. Weekly close is now expected at pattern resistance (3685) to maintain bullish momentum. Closing around 3671 could trigger correction for next week with 3371 marking bearish piercing. www.tradingview.comby CheddarBizcuitz1
$ETH Price Prediction 5/24/2024Support remains strong at pattern resistance (3685) allowing 20EMA to cross zone. Although we're positioned below symmetric support eventual recovery is still assumed. Continue to use pattern resistance as the W1 close goal. www.tradingview.comby CheddarBizcuitz1
3835 retestEthusd has found support currently and will retest close to area of 3840 where resistance was met. 3835 retest is now in progress.Longby regkey4131
$ETH Price Prediction 5/27/2024A bit of correction after price falls short of 4k. Look to hold support above 3685/50EMA if we drop below 20EMA. Further recovery is still expected which could begin at the start of next month. www.tradingview.comby CheddarBizcuitz1
$ETH Price Prediction 5/22/2024Price continues to hold between pattern resistance and 3810 forming into a symmetric layout. Early breakout seems very possible but wait to flip 3810 before assuming further recovery. Keep in mind that we're in a MACD convergence phase. www.tradingview.comby CheddarBizcuitz1
History repeats itself??The current price on Ethereum is mirroring price action from the retracement during January 2021 - July 2022. Expect price to fall between 5-6% before the bull market starts!Longby TheForexMessiahUpdated 13
ETHEREUM / DXY chart is telling us something.That we can expect new High's on this ratio But not to expect the kind of run that ETH experienced last cycle obviously . Going from $88 to near 5K was a barn stormer of a Bull run a 50X !!! If this continuation head and shoulder plays out The linear projection would give us a 7.5X Whilst the log target suggests 18x A match for what #BTC did last cycle ... interesting right. Thisis still impressive for a mature network and should provide plenty of fuel for the #altcoinsLongby BallaJiUpdated 112
ETHBTC May 28, 2024: A Bullish FlagAfter a 20% run up with the ETF approval on May 20, 2024, CRYPTO:ETHUSD started to form a bullish flag and moved out on May 28. The flag is above the rising MA-10. The move out provides a buy point here ($3900) with the $4700 target Longby longsonvn2