The price of oil may attempt to test the monthly low ($71.67) as it extends the decline from the previous week.
Crude Oil Price Outlook
Failure to hold above the $72.90 (78.6% Fibonacci retracement) to $73.20 (78.6% Fibonacci retracement) region raises the scope for a move towards $71.50 (38.2% Fibonacci extension) with a breach below the January low ($69.28)...
Having broken to record highs on Friday and with a week to speculate on what Fed chair Jerome Powell may signal on the US rate outlook at the Jackson Hole economic symposium, the bullish breakout in gold could easily extend in the coming days.
The price action today has done nothing to undermine that view, with the price testing former channel resistance before...
The US dollar selling resumed and the AUD/USD having outperformed yesterday on the back of stronger Aussie data, has broken out above 0.6635-45 resistance just now. Can it hold its gains into the close? The breakout certainly suggests more gains could be on the way in the early parts of next week. Apart from PMI data, there is not much Aussie data to look forward...
Friday’s close looms as particularly important for USD/JPY with a break back above the Jan 2023 uptrend setting the platform for potential further upside next week. As things stand, another leg higher will fulfill the criteria to meet a morning star pattern on the weekly timeframe, adding to the case for setting longs with bearish momentum also starting to ebb....
In today’s turbulent markets, it is a timeless reminder to discuss volatility, how experienced traders can navigate volatility and manage their risk, and why it’s important to always be prepared. Recently, we saw dramatic price action with the USD/JPY pair influenced by the Bank of Japan’s policies or even gold’s march to all-time highs against the Dollar. In...
The Dow Jones Industrial Average is rallying again today after strong retail sales and jobless claims data alleviated recession concerns.
The 30-stock index has now re-established itself above the psychologically-significant 40K level, opening the door for a bullish continuation toward the record highs near 41,250 next.
As long as 40K holds, the technical bias...
Looking at the daily chart, GBP/USD is testing a key resistance level near 1.2860. This level capped rallies in Cable in March and June, and as of writing, is serving as an area of selling pressure in today’s trade.
From a broader view, GBP/USD remains in a long-term uptrend with the exchange rate above both the 200- and 50-day MAs, which are themselves trending...
The recovery in US small caps has been unconvincing over the past fortnight, struggling for upside unlike mega-cap rivals. Russell 2000 futures have been capped below the 50-day moving average for much of this period, running into sellers constantly above this level. Wednesday’s rejection above 2132.6 warns of building reversal risk, putting a potential break of...
The recent rebound in GBP/JPY appears to be stalling as it struggles to extend the recent series of higher highs and lows.
GBP/JPY Outlook
Keep in mind, GBP/JPY reversed ahead of the January low (178.74) to pull the Relative Strength Index (RSI) out of oversold territory, and the exchange rate may further retrace the decline from the monthly high (193.26) as...
The AUD/USD has found a bit of resistance around the 0.6640/0.6650 area ahead of the release of US CPI shortly.
The small pullback is largely due to profit-taking ahead of US inflation data and Australian employment data due for release in the early hours of Thursday. The underlying trend is bullish and so long as we don't see a hot inflation report from the US,...
NZD/USD has reversed the downside break sparked by US recession fears, smashing through the downtrend it had been trading in since early June on Tuesday. With RSI and MACD providing bullish signals on momentum, risks are skewing towards further gains ahead of today’s RBNZ interest rate decision.
While economists are evenly split on whether the bank will cut...
USD/MXN seems to be consolidating within the opening range for August as it struggles to extend the advance from the start of the week, but the exchange rate may track the positive slope in the 50-Day SMA (18.3576) should it continue to hold above the moving average.
USD/MXN Rate Outlook
Keep in the mind, the decline from the monthly high (20.2271) pulled the...
The GBP/USD climbed above the 1.28 handle after today's release of a weaker US PPI report caused a mild drop in the dollar. Earlier we had mixed-bag UK employment data helping to lift the pound across the board.
The GBP/USD pair will be facing more tests later this week with CPI inflation and retail sales data to come from both sides of the pond. In recent days,...
The price of oil stages a four-day rally after defending the February low ($71.41) to register a fresh monthly high ($80.16).
Crude Oil Price Outlook
Keep in mind, the rebound from the monthly low ($71.67) kept the Relative Strength Index (RSI) out of oversold territory, with $80.70 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement) on the radar as crude pushes above the opening...
It has been a positive day so far for precious metals with gold and silver both rising thanks to an improving risk appetite following the mini turmoil last Monday.
Gold's ability to surpass the shaded grey zone on the chart, which ranges from $2431 to $2450 and represents the highs from April and May, indicates that a new all-time high above July's peak of $2483...
GBP/USD is testing the top of its 4-week bearish channel.
One tool that traders can use to help handicap when a trend may break is the RSI indicator. In this case, the 14-period RSI on GBP/USD’s 4-hour chart has been stuck in a well-defined range between 30-50 since shortly after the bearish channel formed, signaling consistent, but not excessive, bearish...
Silver's bullish engulfing candle on Thursday may have marked the end of the corrective phase for the metal, potentially paving the way for a new bull trend.
On Thursday, XAGUSD found strong support from the area around $26.50, where it had taken off in May. It is essential that it now finds some follow-through on the upside.
An ideal scenario for the bulls...
Look at the latest weekly candle. Yes, it’s incomplete, but what a turnaround from where we were on Monday. As of the time of writing, it’s a big bullish pin. Unless we see a major reversal to finish the week, that’s a strong signal that we may see further upside ahead.
I say this because when you look at the price action, so many patterns on the weekly...
