Novi_Fibonacci

Will DXY break Descending Channel at Support?!

Long
TVC:DXY   U.S. Dollar Index
Here I have the DXY on the 4Hr Chart!

For the past 2 weeks, Price on DXY has been steadily falling!

With our Highs and Lows marked, we can see that Price is outlining what looks to be a Descending Channel!

If price continues to follow down this channel, I suspect that the ( 105.53 - 105.025 ) Support Zone will be the area price will Most Likely find support to push higher!!

What I want to see is Price test the Falling Support of the Descending Channel for a Third Time with a successful bounce ultimately turning this Descending Channel into a Bull Flag Pattern!

-For added confirmation, once the next low is formed, I'd like to see:
1) The low be Equal too OR LOWER than the Second test of the Falling Support
2) A Bullish Divergence to appear on the RSI so underlying direction

Fundamentally to finish the week:
Advanced GDP, Unemployment Claims, Pending Home Sales (Thur)
Core PCE, UoM Consumer Sentiment (Fri)

-Another big fundamental factor to DXY strength will be the results from JPY Policy Rate decision and Core CPI released Thur!
Comment:
Mixed results from this mornings GDP and Unemployment see the DXY drop to SUPPORT and gain Bullish Momentum!!

-RSI showing DIVERGENCE like we planned!!
Comment:
Fridays PCE results came in HOTTER than expected giving DXY quite the boost!!

-On the chart you can see price has worked right back up to the Falling Resistance of the Descending Channel with ease! Ending the week quite Bullish!

Next week fundamentally is a big one for DXY being the beginning of the month:
ADP Non-Farm, Manufacturing PMI, JOLTS, Funds Rate (Wed)
Unemployment Claims (Thur)
Average Hourly Earnings, Non-Farm, Unemployment Rate, Services PMI (Fri)

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