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End of Week Wrap! SPX, ES & Leading Diagonal

CME_MINI:ES1!   S&P 500 E-mini Futures
As the trading week comes to a close, market participants have witnessed a slow yet steady rise in SPX futures. I'm going to dive into the advantages of trading futures, analyze the recent price action in ES futures and the SPX index, and discuss the leading diagonal pattern that played out in the market. I will also provide insights into what to expect for the week ahead and share some advice on trading cautiously.

The Advantages of Trading Futures

Futures trading offers several benefits to traders, one of which is the absence of theta decay. Theta decay refers to the decline in the value of an option as time passes, which can erode profits in options trading. With futures, traders can benefit from even slight movements in their favor, making it easier to secure profits. Be careful for futures rollover dates, which TradingView conveniently places on the chart for your reference.

Recent Price Action in ES Futures and SPX Index

The ES futures experienced an upward movement, reaching the 4000 mark and hitting the resistance level at 4010. On the other hand, the SPX index did not quite make it to 4000. However, it is possible that it could reach that level next week, potentially after a lower open on Sunday evening. As the market conditions evolve, I will be closely monitoring ES for a move up to 4020.

The Leading Diagonal Pattern in Action

As anticipated, the leading diagonal pattern played out, and after breaking out, the price action briefly retested the trendline before moving up to 4000. This pattern indicates that the market is poised for a significant trend reversal.

Expectations for the Week Ahead

For the upcoming week, I anticipate that the market may open slightly lower, though not significantly. Shorting the market at this stage should be approached with caution and considered only for short-term day trades. After a potential pullback, I expect the market to make a move up towards the 4020 level later in the week before encountering another rejection. That is where I will consider adding short exposure. However, predicting such a scenario far into the future comes with inherent uncertainties, so it is wise to revisit my hypothesis next week and adjust as necessary.

Trade Carefully and Stay Informed

As we venture into the new trading week, it is crucial to trade carefully and stay abreast of market developments. By understanding the advantages of futures trading, closely monitoring price action in ES futures and the SPX index, and analyzing patterns such as the leading diagonal that unfolded over the last 2 days, you can better navigate the financial markets and make informed decisions.

As market conditions evolve, it is essential to continually reassess your strategies and adapt accordingly. By trading cautiously and staying informed, you can minimize risk and maximize your chances of success in this ever-changing landscape.

CE - BitDoctor
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