A lot of weakness trickling downthe entire market and that weakness began with the tech sector. I've been fortunate to be on the right side, shorting small caps such as $ROKU, $TWLO which has seen explosive growth in the last year. Since the drop of December 2018, I've been waiting and scoping out potential short opportunities as it was clear to me that we have been in a market 'melt-up' since December, 2018, and the end of the growth cycle is inevitable. Many predictions stemming from the yield curve inversion suggests that a recession is coming within 8-18 months (the bottom). If that is in fact true, we will see further downside starting end of the 4th quarter.
I have been shorting $TWLO since ~$148 and ROKU since $170. I see potential further downside as I see a head and shoulders pattern on the weekly chart. As seen in this chart, we see that the long-term bullish trend has been broken and further headwinds in the market will only put further downward pressure to small caps such as TWLO.
I have been shorting $TWLO since ~$148 and ROKU since $170. I see potential further downside as I see a head and shoulders pattern on the weekly chart. As seen in this chart, we see that the long-term bullish trend has been broken and further headwinds in the market will only put further downward pressure to small caps such as TWLO.
Comment:
AS S&P bounced heavily, IWM never broke through it's 8 month support, and TWLO did not break $104! We are bouncing off the longer term support. I still think it's a dead cat bounce and that we are going to be heading down further.
Trade closed: target reached:
$65 target reached in Mid-March.
