Beyond Technical Analysis
What if the USD rally is only just getting started?The USD rally has entered its seventh week and continues to defy its seasonal tendency to weaken in Q4. And that is simply because the macro backdrop 'Trumps' its average performance this time of the year. Today I take a step back to admire the bigger-picture view of the USD index, to show why I think this rally could still just be getting started.
MS
Adobe - Triangle Textbook Long Setup!Adobe ( NASDAQ:ADBE ) is breaking out soon:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
After creating a rally of +2.000% over the past decade, Adobe created its all time high back in the end of 2021. The consolidation ever since has been quite expected, especially looking at market structure. But if Adobe breaks out of the current triangle, we will see new all time highs.
Levels to watch: $440, $560
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Consistency in DNA #4Not every day is trading day - BIG THREE
When we start this journey to become successful trader, he hear a lot of b*ll sh*t. People are selling courses, signals or mentorships trying to make money off of you. I think there are very little people that are actually real and honest, and just wanna help you. I'm one of the resistance side after getting to know my mentor SCI - from IG tradesbysci - who changed my trading career and I decided to continue his legacy. Maybe some day I will get to do party with him thanks to this XD
Die rich or die trying - OANDA:XAUUSD OANDA:NAS100USD OANDA:US30USD
~AS
Trump's Impact on Interest Rates: Higher Rates Ahead?After Trump’s decisive win on November 6th, Bitcoin, the USD, and yields (or interest rates) moved higher. In fact, these markets began moving upward in September, more than a month before Donald Trump became the 47th President of the United States.
We will study the direction of interest rates based on the actual market sentiment as reflected in U.S. bond yields.
10 Year Yield Futures
Ticker: 10Y
Minimum fluctuation:
0.001 Index points (1/10th basis point per annum) = $1.00
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BTCUSDSorry for the wait, but I'm here & it's wellllll worth it! Come Tap In! Cause I've most def cracked the DaVinci Code. I'M REALLY HIM!!!!
_SnipeGoat_
_TheeCandleReadingGURU_
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Nasdaq Insights: 13-NOV-2024Good morning! Join me for today's Nasdaq market analysis. Share your charts, ask questions, and let's discuss trading strategies.
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AFTER FLOW: NI225 / USDJPY TRADE RESULTSAccount Performance: The account shows a total net profit of $2,703.38, with all six trades being profitable, resulting in a 100% win rate.
Trading Statistics:
Total Trades: 6 (3 short trades and 3 long trades).
Profit Factor: High, as there were no recorded losses, leading to a consistent profit.
Largest Profit Trade: $1,383.82, with an average profit per trade of $450.56.
Risk Metrics:
Balance Drawdown: 0.00%, indicating that the account did not experience any drawdown during
this period, which suggests effective risk management.
Sharpe Ratio: 0.90, reflecting a solid return relative to the assumed risk.
Observations:
The report highlights effective trade execution with a strategy that maintained positive gains across all positions. This consistency demonstrates a disciplined approach, potentially using hedging or balanced entries to manage exposure. The absence of drawdown could indicate conservative leverage usage or well-planned entry points.
WHAT'S FLOWING: CRYPTO / FX / METALS / ASIAHere’s a breakdown for today’s "What's Flowing" episode based on the latest charts:
UNIUSD: Bullish. Uniswap is showing strength with clear upward momentum, indicating potential for continued gains.
SXPUSD: Bullish. Strong buying signals are evident here, with prices moving toward higher levels, making it favorable for long positions.
EURCAD: Bearish. The pair is exhibiting signs of weakness, with potential for further downside movement, presenting a short opportunity.
CADCHF: Bullish. CAD is gaining over CHF, showing a positive upward trend, suggesting a good setup for a bullish play.
XAGUSD (Silver): Bearish. Silver is trending lower, with indications of continued downside, suggesting it’s suitable for bearish positions.
ZNC (Zinc): Bearish. Zinc’s price action is leaning downward, showing selling pressure that may lead to further declines.
JPN225 (Nikkei): Bearish. Japan’s index is showing weakness, with a downward trajectory suggesting a potential for shorting.
CHNAH (China A50): Bearish. The Chinese index appears to be facing resistance, with bearish momentum indicating possible further declines.
This lineup features a mix of bullish and bearish setups across various assets, including cryptocurrencies, metals, and indices. Use these flows as a guide, and manage your trades with caution. As always, consider market conditions and maintain disciplined risk management.
Bitcoin: Bullish Trend at Risk of a Bearish ReversalBitcoin: Bullish Trend at Risk of a Bearish Reversal
Bitcoin has been in a strong bullish trend, but we may be near to a bearish wave.
The harmonic pattern indicates that the bears may take control of the price, leading to a small bearish move or possibly even a major crash.
You may watch the video for further details!
Thank you:)
NVIDIA is Poised to Reach $200NVIDIA is Poised to Reach $200
NVIDIA finally broke through its all-time high, which was reached on June 20, 2024, at $140.50.
For about 110 days, the price has been developing a larger triangle pattern, accumulating bullish momentum.
So far we have a clear bullish breakout and the price seems poised to reach $200.
However, the first reasonable target I am looking at is near to $170.
We should analyze it again later as long as the price is developing.
You may watch the analysis for further details!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
BUY AUDCAD - Why you MUST analyze multiple time-framesTrader Tom, a technical analyst with over 15 years’ experience, explains his trade idea using price action and a top down approach. This is one of many trades so if you would like to see more then please follow us and hit the boost button.
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Oil is staring down the barrel of a bearish breakdownA stronger USD, prospects of a deregulated oil market alongside disappointment with China stimulus and weighed on crude prices on Monday. WTI is toying with a bearish breakout of a pattern which projects a downside target around the mid 50s. But how realistic is that? Let's take a look.
MS.
Where Can Bitcoin Go? Part 3📈🌐 Where Can Bitcoin Go? Part 3: Revisiting the Big Chart and Preparing for the Next Breakout 🚀💡
chart:
Hey everyone! FX Professor here, and it’s time to revisit what I call my 'Big Chart' as we continue our exploration into Bitcoin’s future price movements.
Back in March 2023, Bitcoin was trading below $25,000, and today, we’re looking at how the landscape has shifted and what we can expect moving forward.
In this post, we’re sticking purely to technical analysis—focusing on Bitcoin’s halving cycles, my 3 major key trend lines, and the overall technical structure that has proven reliable over the years.
Key Insights:
Halving Cycles & All-Time Highs:
Historically, all-time highs have followed 548 to 565 days after a halving event. Could we see similar patterns play out in 2025?
Trend Line Mastery:
My Big Chart tracks three critical trend lines that have been instrumental in identifying breakout and support zones. These levels continue to offer crucial guidance.
February 2024 Breakout:
Earlier this year, we had a major breakout in Februar y, leading to a test of the $73,000 level. After some consolidation, what comes next?
What to Watch Next:
We’ve seen Bitcoin break out above major resistance levels after finding strong support around $58,800. This support is part of an ascending trend, meaning it will rise as the price continues upward.
As we could be approaching the $100,000 zone, the question is:
Will we hit all-time highs (peaks) earlier than usual? (pattern says end of 2025).
With a strong possibility of achieving this 400 to 450 days after the halving, we could see this sooner than expected (550 days historical pattern)
Major Levels:
Support:
Currently, the key support level is at $58,800, but as the price trends upward, this level is ascending and will be rising as time goes by.
Resistance:
The next major resistance is at $105,800. A break above this could propel Bitcoin to new all-time highs. This will be the third attempt (the green 3, if you know you know!)
The journey continues! Follow along as we track Bitcoin’s path toward new highs. Drop your comments below, and let me know what you think!
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Part 1:
Part 2:
and always remember:
Solana - We Will See A New All Time High!Solana ( CRYPTO:SOLUSD ) is preparing for an all time high breakout:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
After dropping -95% in 2022, Solana then rallied an incredible +2.000% and retested the previous all time high. Then we saw a quite long term but tight consolidation and just two months ago, Solana retested the lower support again. It is just a matter of time until we will see a breakout.
Levels to watch: $120, $210
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Trump Media on the Move: Will We See $62 or a Bigger Reset?Alright, trading family, let’s talk about what’s brewing with Trump Media Group (DJT). Here’s what I’m seeing:
1️⃣ Scenario 1: If we close above $34.52 on the 4-hour chart, we could see a strong push up to $42, $51, $62, and maybe beyond.
2️⃣ Scenario 2: A pullback to $28.94–$28 could set the stage for a bounce back up to those same zones.
3️⃣ Scenario 3: If we break below $25.41, we might head down to the $17–$20 range before finding support and potentially pushing back up.
Stay patient, let the price action guide you, and remember—it’s all about riding the waves the market gives you. Always trade what you see, not what you think!
Mindbloome Trading/ Kris