Beyond Technical Analysis
Gold - Time To Close Out Partial Profits!Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) is now back to the upper channel resistance:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
After breaking above the plsychological $2.000 level, Gold created such an incredible rally, massively outperforming stocks and even cryptocurrencies over the past couple of months. Therefore, it is quite likely that big institutions will take some profits at the current levels.
Levels to watch: $2.700, $2.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
How to PREDICT MARKETS! Tops and BottomsIn this video, I go over the following in great detail:
Predicting Markets with Williams %R, RSI, and MACD
Predicting market movements can be challenging, but combining the Williams %R, Relative Strength Index (RSI), and Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) indicators can provide powerful insights for traders.
Williams %R measures the current closing price relative to the high-low range over a specific period, helping identify overbought or oversold conditions. RSI gauges the speed and change of price movements, also indicating overbought or oversold levels. MACD analyzes the relationship between two moving averages of a security's price, identifying potential buy or sell signals.
By using these three indicators together, traders can:
Confirm Trends: When all three indicators align, it strengthens the signal for a potential trend continuation or reversal.
Identify Entry and Exit Points: Overbought or oversold signals from these indicators can help pinpoint optimal entry and exit points.
Reduce False Signals: Combining multiple indicators can help filter out false signals, increasing the reliability of predictions.
WHAT'S FLOWING: METALS | FX | CRYPTOS | COMMODITIESXPDUSD (Palladium): Bearish outlook. The chart indicates potential resistance around the current price levels, suggesting a downward move may be in play.
AUDCHF: Bullish. Positive price action with upward momentum signals the potential for gains, as AUD strength seems to dominate CHF.
CADCHF: Bullish. Similar to AUDCHF, CAD is showing strength against CHF, pushing higher and creating opportunities for bullish plays
GBPAUD: Bearish. GBP appears to be under pressure against AUD, with price action leaning towards a decline, signaling a potential short opportunity.
JPN225 (Nikkei): Bullish. Japan's index is holding strong and showing signs of further upside, making it a favorable option for long positions.
LNKUSD: Bullish. Link (Chainlink) is experiencing upward momentum, making it a strong candidate for a continuation in price appreciation.
XLMUSD: Bullish. Stellar Lumens (XLM) is also looking strong, with buying pressure indicating potential gains in the near term.
CCZ2024 (Cocoa Futures): Bearish. Cocoa futures seem to be in a downtrend, with bearish signals suggesting lower prices ahead.
Tesla - This Will Be A Wild Ride!Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) is deciding about its future in the next 8 days:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
During the next 8 days - until this monthly candle closes - we will see whether or not Tesla will enter the next major bullrun. Currently Tesla is trading at the important triangle breakout level after dropping about -20% this month so far. The future of Tesla will depend on this breakout.
Levels to watch: $160, $200, $270
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Will Silver Close at the High This Year?In September, we discussed the potential of silver forming a 'Cup & Handle' pattern, similar to what we observed with gold at the end of 2023. We saw how gold performed in 2024.
If the Silver can settle at around here at the end of this year, establishing this formation, we should be able to see the rising trend of the Silver in 2025.
In this tutorial, we will discuss why silver may close higher towards end of the year.
Silver Futures & Options
Ticker: SI
Minimum fluctuation:
0.005 per troy ounce = $25.00
Micro Silver Futures
Ticker: SIL
Minimum fluctuation:
0.005 per troy ounce = $5.00
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
THE TRUMP EFFECT - how markets reacted, BUY EURCHFTrader Tom, a technical analyst with over 15 years’ experience, explains his trade idea using price action and a top down approach. This is one of many trades so if you would like to see more then please follow us and hit the boost button.
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Post Election Bitcoin and Crypto Market UpdateThis is a shorter version of my video yesterday, just recapping what I've been seeing and forecasting in these markets.
Didn't expect to see the rally to new ATH so quickly.
Or the DXY to push up higher at the same time...
But here we are breaking and apparently holding new ATH, so I do think we continue to push higher. Even if we get one more sell off, to re-test the ATH as support.
Yesterday's pump was part short-squeeze, and part SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:1B in BTC ETF inflows.
In this video we look at BTC and SOL, which I believe will lead the next leg of the Bull.
Also an interesting speculative study on the Pi Cycle Top, and the idea we could see a double top or dual-cycle in the next 12 months, like we did in 2013.
As well as recapping why my targets are $100k (conservative), $150k (base case), and $200k (aggressive) along with confluent targets based on measured moves from the Bull Flag breakout.
Let me know what you think, and if I missed anything!
Brett
Where Can Bitcoin Go? Part 3📈🌐 Where Can Bitcoin Go? Part 3: Revisiting the Big Chart and Preparing for the Next Breakout 🚀💡
chart:
Hey everyone! FX Professor here, and it’s time to revisit what I call my 'Big Chart' as we continue our exploration into Bitcoin’s future price movements.
Back in March 2023, Bitcoin was trading below $25,000, and today, we’re looking at how the landscape has shifted and what we can expect moving forward.
In this post, we’re sticking purely to technical analysis—focusing on Bitcoin’s halving cycles, my 3 major key trend lines, and the overall technical structure that has proven reliable over the years.
Key Insights:
Halving Cycles & All-Time Highs:
Historically, all-time highs have followed 548 to 565 days after a halving event. Could we see similar patterns play out in 2025?
Trend Line Mastery:
My Big Chart tracks three critical trend lines that have been instrumental in identifying breakout and support zones. These levels continue to offer crucial guidance.
February 2024 Breakout:
Earlier this year, we had a major breakout in Februar y, leading to a test of the $73,000 level. After some consolidation, what comes next?
What to Watch Next:
We’ve seen Bitcoin break out above major resistance levels after finding strong support around $58,800. This support is part of an ascending trend, meaning it will rise as the price continues upward.
As we could be approaching the $100,000 zone, the question is:
Will we hit all-time highs (peaks) earlier than usual? (pattern says end of 2025).
With a strong possibility of achieving this 400 to 450 days after the halving, we could see this sooner than expected (550 days historical pattern)
Major Levels:
Support:
Currently, the key support level is at $58,800, but as the price trends upward, this level is ascending and will be rising as time goes by.
Resistance:
The next major resistance is at $105,800. A break above this could propel Bitcoin to new all-time highs. This will be the third attempt (the green 3, if you know you know!)
The journey continues! Follow along as we track Bitcoin’s path toward new highs. Drop your comments below, and let me know what you think!
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Part 1:
Part 2:
and always remember:
Ethereum - This Is The Last Buying Opportunity!Ethereum ( BITSTAMP:ETHUSD ) is still super bullish:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Despite the correction of about -50% which we saw over the past couple of months on Ethereum, market structure and price action is still overall bullish. Ethereum is currently creating a bullish break and retest with a potential move of +60% towards the upside.
Levels to watch: $2.000, $4.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Delta Airlines: Placing A Huge Options TradeHey, guys. Not a perfect video here, but wanted to lay down an options trade I built in NYSE:DAL . I have another analysis I made on TradingView a long time back on Delta (Found here: ) and it seems like after months of brutal range trading, the stock now wants to move to higher levels.
After having some already successful trades in the name, I am taking more upsized risk here and placing a big, long-term options trade on this name. I am comfortable holding these long term calls over time as I will be able to roll them down the line (unless Delta is sitting at gross levels in 2025) if they are not performing how I had hoped. I also am happy to take in a solid amount of cash while I wait. Here's to happy flights all across the country and the world!
Hope you enjoy the review, and best of luck out there!
WHAT'S FLOWING (TRADE & TRAVEL): TRUMP IS PRESIDENT / STOCKS UP USDCHF (Buy): Strong buy signal; we see accumulation near key support levels, potentially indicating upward momentum.
EXY (Sell) : Bearish sentiment as the chart suggests downward pressure, possibly moving toward recent lows.
USDILS (Sell): Selling signal; volume profile hints at continued selling as the asset moves lower.
GBPUSD (Sell): Selling pressure is present here as well, with potential for further downside.
XAUUSD (Sell): Gold is showing bearish activity, possibly due to stronger USD, with indicators suggesting further declines.
Brent Crude (Sell): Oil is also under pressure, with signs pointing toward a downward move, likely influenced by recent supply data.
US2000 (Bull): Bullish outlook on this index, signaling potential upward moves as support levels hold.
HK50 (Sell): Strong selling sentiment on Hong Kong’s index, with steep drops in price action, indicating a risk-off sentiment in Asian markets.
Bitcoin and Crypto US Election Day Forecast and Bullish TargetsHi everyone,
In this video I break down how my Bitcoin forecast over the last few weeks has been playing out (nearly exactly) and where we likely go from here...
I think Bulls are in control, and we'll see Bitcoin at ATH to $80k in the coming weeks...
We review an article form POMP today, saying that who wins the election isn't really that important, and showing very bullish outomes after every previous election cycle...
But I do think a Trump win is likely, and will propel Bitcoin higher faster.
We look at the DXY and how that's rolling over nicely here, potentially taking us to "Bitcoin Rally Zone" and even the Vall-halla "Bitcoin Super Pump Rally Zone" where prices can really PUMP!
I'm hearing more and more people talk about an early left-translated cycle and parabolic blow-off top by the end of THIS year, followed by an everything bubble bursting and deflationary bust.
This is where a Trump win could save the long-tail of the 4-year cycle, by saving the economy.
If nothing else, a Trump win would be more pro-crypto because it's not jus him but a very pro-crypto cabinet with RFK, Elan Musk, Cythia Lummis, and more.
But we're not here to talk about politics!
It's the markets reaction to the news, that matters.
I've said 100 times THIS year and EVERY year... "Show me the charts, and I'll tell you the news".
Lastly, I review my now Top 11 factors that could push Bitcoin to $100, $150k, and even $200k.
And the charts showing the same... Interesting that the 1.618, 2.618, and 3.618 almost perfectly align with $100k, $150k, and $250k.
I also show how these targets can be achieved by measured moves of the Bitcoin Bull-Flag breakouts, using 2 different scenarios.
Let me know what you think below, and as always would appreciate a like, tip or share with someone you like in the crypto world!
I we can get to 100 likes, I'll do more of these on a regular basis.. and do an end of week post-election breakdown.
Thanks, and thanks again to TradingView for making this great platform we all use.
Brett Fogle
Moonstream Crypto
Election Day Trade: GBPUSDToday marks a significant moment in the United States—Election Day—and as traders, we know that market sentiment can be influenced by political events. This morning, I took a strategic position on GBPUSD, entering the trade at 1.29623. With the current price now at 1.30266, the trade is showing promising momentum.
The volatility associated with elections can create unique opportunities. In this case, the British pound seems to be gaining traction against the dollar, likely reflecting optimism or reactions to the unfolding political landscape. The key to successful trading on days like today is staying vigilant, managing risk, and being ready to adjust your strategy based on incoming news and market reactions.
As always, I emphasize the importance of having a solid exit plan. With the market currently moving in my favor, I’m assessing the best points for taking profits while also remaining aware of potential reversals as the day progresses.
What trades are you taking today, and how are you navigating the uncertainties of Election Day? Share your thoughts and strategies in the comments below! Your perspective could spark valuable conversations among fellow traders.
(All Trading Ideas are shared for Educational Purposes. Trade the market at your own risk.)
Trade Recaps: EURUSD - SHORT, GBPJPY - SHORT, 05/11/2024EU Bias Analysis: Although Price is deeply discounted on the HTF's and the 4H has started trending higher, A shift of 1H structure from a 4H Bearish Order Block presented an opportunity for short positions as price corrected into IRL.
Grade: High Risk
GJ Bias Analysis: Price is trading at a weekly premium and is establishing a 4H bearish trend after a break to the downside and correction higher, pending a continuation lower. Short entries aligned with the current 1H bearish range and entry confirmation was received after a TBL sweep and 15M distribution lower.
Grade: Low Risk
Possible 200+ Pips On ContinuationIn this setup, we're targeting a continuation of the swing sell, awaiting a clear signal of bearish momentum. Our entry confirmation will come once price breaks and closes below the 1.6442 level. After this confirmation, we’ll look for a retracement into the premium level of the intra-trend bearish rally, specifically within the 1.6540-1.6400 range.
From this level, we aim to enter a sell position, targeting the second and third support levels. This setup projects a minimum of 150 pips with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio of 1:4.
For a more detailed breakdown, check out the video analysis.
Previous Call:
Elections aside, AUD/USD still looks oversoldImplied volatility has spiked for FX majors ahead of the US election, and it really could go either way for AUD/USD depending on who wins the race to the Whitehouse. But how much downside is left for the Aussie when taking market positioning, China data and the latest RBA statement into account?
MS
Adobe - Triangle Textbook Long Setup!Adobe ( NASDAQ:ADBE ) is breaking out soon:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
After creating a rally of +2.000% over the past decade, Adobe created its all time high back in the end of 2021. The consolidation ever since has been quite expected, especially looking at market structure. But if Adobe breaks out of the current triangle, we will see new all time highs.
Levels to watch: $440, $560
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)