Oil Short SetupOil Short Setup
🔵 Entry Level: $82.58
🟢 Take Profit: $79.39
⛔ Stop Loss: $84.29
Reasons:
- So far the price is respecting the ascending channel;
- I expect an overbought level on the PVS Indicator by the time the price reaches the upper trendline;
- Volume is not supporting the up movement;
Brentoil
Crude Oil Is Close to Setting New HighsCrude prices continue their steady rise as the Brent crude benchmark is trading close to $77.40 per barrel. The July high is at $77.84 per barrel, well within arm’s reach. The rise in crude prices continues for the fourth consecutive day as investors digest the recent damages to the U.S. oil industry caused by two recent hurricanes.
The damages were confirmed by the Energy Information Administration (EIA) data that showed a decline of crude reserves to 414 million barrels, a record low since October 2018. This week EIA recorded a drop of oil reserves by 3.5 million barrels or 0.8%, and this is the seventh week of declines in the row.
As I said before, Brent crude oil has a potential to rise to $82 per barrel if we consider the height of the downward channel to be the price that has been broken through recently. A decline of prices to $73.26 per barrel was just a test of the new support level that was formerly a resistance level.
So, we may say that further hikes in prices is quite possible even if prices are at record highs for several months. However, we may have a short-term correction to the area of $76.50-76.60 per barrel, where the support level of the upward trend from September 21 is located.
Anyway, any correction now is a good chance to open buy positions. Moreover, if we look at the monthly timeframe we may find a “triple tweezers” candlestick pattern at $65-67 per barrel. Such a pattern indicates a high possibility for the bullish trend to continue. Oil may surge to $90 a barrel if the approaching winter in the northern hemisphere proves colder than normal, said Jeff Currie, global head of commodities research at Goldman Sachs Group Inc. Tightening gas supplies in Europe will elevate demand for oil as an alternative at a time when global crude output is constrained, Currie said during a Bloomberg Television interview on Wednesday. Post-hurricane disruptions in the U.S. Gulf of Mexico were among the worldwide factors he cited.
Backer Hughes oil rigs count report may affect crude prices later on Friday after the company has reported active rigs at 512 including oil rigs at 411 units as of September 17.
Crude Oil Elliott Wave IdeaWorking in the oil & gas industry I've always wanted to plot an Elliott Wave idea with oil reaching $100, one that I felt was realistic and not pie in the sky...in my opinion oil is heading that direction now.
The exact 0.382 retracement level from $44,05 to $33,79 at the end of 2020 leads me to believe that was the end of wave 2 and the next retracement will begin at the 1.618 level around $77 for wave 4, before wave 5 towards $100.
I had a similar idea back when this move from $33 started () that this move could be wave 5 but its flown far beyond those levels and has me thinking this is wave 3 we are in now, and its not quite finished yet.
H4-DAILY OIL BRENT SHORTBased on H4-Daily chart Oil Brent is reaching a strong resistance at 83.0. Possible short correction to 79.0 price range.
Trade wisely
Trading is not about quantity, it is about quality of trades.
UKOIL (Brent Crude Oil) : 1Month TFWell, as we can see, we are technically reviewing Brent oil charts at monthly timeframes. The price finally broke its 13-year downtrend last month ... (This break needs to be stabilized) Currently, the most important support range for Brent oil is from $ 72 to $ 76 ... Brent oil currently has a significant static resistance of $ 85 and we have to see if it can break this resistance after 3 years and pave its way to climb or not.
⚠️ This Analysis will be updated ... TVC:UKOIL
👤 Arman Shaban : @Ar_M_An_4
📅 02.Oct.2021
⚠️(DYOR)
USOIL (WTI Crude Oil) : 1Month TFWell, as we see in the monthly time frame of the US Crude Oil Chart, the price in February finally broke its 13-year downward trend ... After that, it continued to grow well and reached its static resistance level in July 2021, and It failed to defeat it and then rebounded to its broken support level in August. Last month, the price reached to the psychologically and Impostant resistance level which is 77$ ... we have to see if the price can finally break this important 3-year resistance in October or what ...
⚠️ This Analysis will be updated ... TVC:USOIL
👤 Arman Shaban : @Ar_M_An_4
📅 02.Oct.2021
⚠️(DYOR)
UKOIL at very important level.Brent Crude at a very crucial juncture. If crossed the monthly trend line by end of September 2021 decisively, the next bull run will start with a target to the previous high. It will face resistance at blue zone crossing which will be unstoppable. But this will be the last bull run of Crude. It will crash down to an all-time low and by (or before) 2030.
It is also near 50% FIB level which can act as a resistance.
brent oil long idealast week we finished correction wave (zigzag ) i think it was subwave 2 of wave 3 .
if we break the trendline (h4) we can go long for rest of wave 3.