XAUUSD (Gold) 4hr tf analysisXAUUSD (Gold) analysis carried out last week can be found here:
In the analysis last week, an intermediate wave (Y) was anticipated that would see XAUUSD (Gold) continue its bullish trend. This is not what transpired based on market close for last week. XAUUSD instead sold off after reaching ~ $1356.66.
The current analysis shows a bearish scenario for XAUUSD with the major target region expected between ~$1334 and $1338. A corrective (3wave) move back to this target region means that the downtrend should continue and the least target for the sell off would be ~$1310.23. The point of invalidation for the bearish scenario is ~$1,346.97
In the event that XAUUSD pushes well past ~$1,338, it is likely that it will resume its bullish trend. In this case, the safest point to go long would be a breakout above its most recent high ($1,356.66). Conservative projections in this scenario give a possibility of Gold reaching ~$1,395.51 and higher projections (based on intermediate wave (W) and intermediate wave (X) ) give targets into the $1,500's for XAUUSD.
CFD
Copper horizontal pattern! Target 3.0685.
Also I invest in Crypto currencies, but I don't trade as CFD's. Too much risk, mainly because they expire very soon every time. When you want to invest in crypto, I advise you to buy 'real coins' and not to speculate the chart with CFD's. I have bought XRP-Ripple, Bitcoin, Bitcoin Cash, Ethereum, ReddCoin, FeatherCoin, Adcoin (ACC), Bunny Token and looking for NEO now! But wait NEO to buy, because price seems to go to 30.00 first.
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What about my ' Cycle phenomenon' ? read here:
My main strategy is called 'cycle-trading'. After years of learning and practicing after I bought a teaching-package from a visionair, I found a way of how to trade successful with CFD's on the stock-market. Every stock is following an certain cycle which repeats itself. So, movements are often appearing in the same percentage, aswel long as short. This cycles appear at all levels; when you analyse the chart at 1 month, 1 week, 1 day, 1 hour. (others I don't use). This is the case, because all in life is build by the fibonacci sequence. When you analyse the chart, you'll also see the stock market is behaving itself as the fibonacci sequence. But, still the most difficult part and what it's all about, is where does a long or a short start? and which point is telling you that the cycle is started, so that you know it will probably go to the next fibonacci resistance? .... therefore I have developed some own indicators!
The exact positions of where to open, to close and the stop loss position and take profit position is very important to be successful with trading!
My strategy is to never trade on volatile markets. You will lose your money when you do! Trade on technical-chart analysis! not on news and volatility!
One of my other strategies is that trades are only interesting and ‘safe’ to open when: you can possibly lose 1/3rd of the possible profit. So; when you set the indicators after analysing resistances, and you can lose 100 but win 300, it is worth the try!
How do I decide to open a position or not? First I analyse:
- sentiment on the market > are people in buy mode or short mode
- I have some own created indicators, some I show in my charts. Therefor I use the fibonacci sequence. My indicators tell to open a position or not and in combination with other own created indicators I decide where to place the stop loss and take profit positions.
- and this own indicators tell me when probably a new long position starts or a new short > these are the positions where I place my orders! or open directly.
- and again other own created indicators tell me how far long or short it probably goes. The take profit and stop loss positions are other positions than the resistances in the market!
- the moving-averages and bollinger-bands are very important indicators also. They are helping a lot! by making decisions.
And that is Why I win more than I lose in the end. Patience is everything, we’ll wait for the right moment! But don't forget; trading means investing. Sometimes you lose more than you win in the beginning of a period!
Most of the times the sentiment changes on Monday! please consider that when you start a position on Monday. Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday are on steady markets normally calm trading days. Than, my strategies work at their best!
Don't forget to follow me, so you get updated when I post new analysis. Also read my account and the 'status updates' to be informed.
Thank you for following and Succes with trading !
Richard from Rich.Exclusive.Trading
Nikkei testing major resistance, potential for a big drop!Nikkei (JPN225) is testing major resistance at 21409 (Fibonacci retracement, Fibonacci extension, descending resistance) and a strong reaction could occur from here to push prices down to major support at 20276 (Fibonacci extension, horizontal swing low support). We have to be cautious of intermediate support at 20759 (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap support as price might bounce off there too).
Stochastic (89,5,3) is seeing major resistance below 97% where a corresponding reaction could occur.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.
SP500 chance for long 2.690 or short 2.600 Fibonacci retracementThe exact moments to buy and sell with which indicators (take profit and stop loss) I can't tell because of my clients who have exclusivity on this information.
What about this ' Cycle phenomenon' ? read here:
My main strategy is called 'cycle-trading'. After years of learning and practicing after I bought a teaching-package from a visionair, I found a way of how to trade successful with CFD's on the stock-market. Every stock is following an certain cycle which repeats itself. So, movements are often appearing in the same percentage, aswel long as short. This cycles appear at all levels; when you analyse the chart at 1 month, 1 week, 1 day, 1 hour. (others I don't use). This is the case, because all in life is build by the fibonacci sequence. When you analyse the chart, you'll also see the stock market is behaving itself as the fibonacci sequence. But, still the most difficult part and what it's all about, is where does a long or a short start? and which point is telling you that the cycle is started, so that you know it will probably go to the next fibonacci resistance? .... therefore I have developed some own indicators!
The exact positions of where to open, to close and the stop loss position and take profit position is very important to be successful with trading!
My strategy is to never trade on volatile markets. You will lose your money when you do! Trade on technical-chart analysis! not on news and volatility!
One of my other strategies is that trades are only interesting and ‘safe’ to open when: you can possibly lose 1/3rd of the possible profit. So; when you set the indicators after analysing resistances, and you can lose 100 but win 300, it is worth the try!
How do I decide to open a position or not? First I analyse:
- sentiment on the market > are people in buy mode or short mode
- I have some own created indicators, some I show in my charts. Therefor I use the fibonacci sequence. My indicators tell to open a position or not and in combination with other own created indicators I decide where to place the stop loss and take profit positions.
- and this own indicators tell me when probably a new long position starts or a new short > these are the positions where I place my orders! or open directly.
- and again other own created indicators tell me how far long or short it probably goes. The take profit and stop loss positions are other positions than the resistances in the market!
- the moving-averages and bollinger-bands are very important indicators also. They are helping a lot! by making decisions.
And that is Why I win more than I lose in the end. Patience is everything, we’ll wait for the right moment! But don't forget; trading means investing. Sometimes you lose more than you win in the beginning of a period!
Most of the times the sentiment changes on Monday! please consider that when you start a position on Monday. Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday are on steady markets normally calm trading days. Than, my strategies work at their best!
Don't forget to follow me, so you get updated when I post new ones. Also read my account and the 'status updates' to be informed.
Thank you for following and Succes with trading !
Richard from Rich.Exclusive.Trading
XAUUSD (Gold) 4hr tf analysis: Bullish biasPrice action from from Jan 25,2018 (~$1364.62) to March 20, 2018 at ~$1310.23 has been identified in this analysis as an intermediate wave (X). An intermediate wave (Y) upwards is anticipated to complete a zigzag Elliott wave structure.
The current upswing terminated at a minute wave ((iii)) position and a 38.2% to 50% retracement (i.e. between $1339.60 and $1336.59 respectively) is anticipated as the region of termination of minute wave ((iv)), after which XAUUSD (Gold) should resume its uptrend.
The minimum termination price for the current uptrend is ~$1387.85 where intermediate wave (Y) = 61.8% of intermediate wave (W) Projections based on using wave C of a zigag= 61.8% of wave A of a zigzag
P.S. Analysis is based on OANDA FX's data and may vary slightly depending on your broker.
When Oil break $64 we go short; when break $65 long. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
My main strategy is called 'cycle-trading'. After years of learning and practicing after I bought a teaching-package from a visionair, I found a way of how to trade successful with CFD's on the stock-market. Every stock is following an certain cycle which repeats itself. So, movements are often appearing in the same percentage, aswel long as short. This cycles appear at all levels; when you analyse the chart at 1 month, 1 week, 1 day, 1 hour. (others I don't use). This is the case, because all in life is build by the fibonacci sequence. When you analyse the chart, you'll also see the stock market is behaving itself as the fibonacci sequence. But, still the most difficult part and what it's all about, is where does a long or a short start? and which point is telling you that the cycle is started, so that you know it will probably go to the next fibonacci resistance? .... therefore I have developed some own indicators!
The exact positions of where to open, to close and the stop loss position and take profit position is very important to be successful with trading!
My strategy is to never trade on volatile markets. You will lose your money when you do! Trade on technical-chart analysis! not on news and volatility!
One of my other strategies is that trades are only interesting and ‘safe’ to open when: you can possibly lose 1/3rd of the possible profit. So; when you set the indicators after analysing resistances, and you can lose 100 but win 300, it is worth the try!
How do I decide to open a position or not? First I analyse:
- sentiment on the market > are people in buy mode or short mode
- I have some own created indicators, some I show in my charts. Therefor I use the fibonacci sequence. My indicators tell to open a position or not and in combination with other own created indicators I decide where to place the stop loss and take profit positions.
- and this own indicators tell me when probably a new long position starts or a new short > these are the positions where I place my orders! or open directly.
- and again other own created indicators tell me how far long or short it probably goes. The take profit and stop loss positions are other positions than the resistances in the market!
- the moving-averages and bollinger-bands are very important indicators also. They are helping a lot! by making decisions.
And that is Why I win more than I lose in the end. Patience is everything, we’ll wait for the right moment! But don't forget; trading means investing. Sometimes you lose more than you win in the beginning of a period!
Most of the times the sentiment changes on Monday! please consider that when you start a position on Monday. Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday are on steady markets normally calm trading days. Than, my strategies work at their best!
Don't forget to follow me, so you get updated when I post new ones. Also read my account and the 'status updates' to be informed.
Thank you for following and Succes with trading !
Richard from Rich.Exclusive.Trading
XAUUSD should continue to sell off: Short tf (4hr) analysisPrice action for GOLD (XAUUSD) terminated a Primary wave i.e. wave ((C)) at the close on Jan 25, 2018. Price swing from this pivot ~$1365.95 on Jan 25, 2018 up to a low of ~$1309.59 on March 1,2018 can be observed to have completed a 3 wave move best described by a regular flat Elliott wave structure.
It appears that XAUUSD is currently completing a minor wave B position after which a minor wave C should see price return to the target area marked on the chart. Target area is between ~$1348.05 and $1343.38.
Completion of minor wave C will also complete at intermediate wave (X), which implies that XAUUSD should sell off and return to at least the low of March 1 2018 at ~$1309.59.
If XAUUSD holds in the target area, the entire move from Jan. 25, 2018 is therefore going to shape up as a WXY move.
Projections that can be used to take profit = the termination point of a wave Y based on a wave W are the following:
wave Y = 161.8% wave W or
wave Y = 100%wave W (this is more conservative)
POI = Point of invalidation for the 4hr tf analysis i.e. Price closing above 1359.58
P.S. Price swing as used by the author is to describe the overall trend in price. It does not equate to an Elliott wave move or structure.
Analysis was carried out using OANDA FX's data so prices quoted above might defer slightly depending on your broker.
Will NaturalGas test 2600? or go back long to 2800 area ?NaturalGas could probably short to 2600 area when it breaks the current fibonacci resistance. When it doesn't break; long to 2800 area.
Gas is between the two bollinger bands now, so volatility / price fluctuations expected! difficult to open a trade on this one now.
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My main strategy is called 'cycle-trading'. After years of learning and practicing after I bought a teaching-package from a visionair, I found a way of how to trade successful with CFD's on the stock-market. Every stock is following an certain cycle which repeats itself. So, movements are often appearing in the same percentage, aswel long as short. This cycles appear at all levels; when you analyse the chart at 1 month, 1 week, 1 day, 1 hour. (others I don't use). This is the case, because all in life is build by the fibonacci sequence. When you analyse the chart, you'll also see the stock market is behaving itself as the fibonacci sequence. But, still the most difficult part and what it's all about, is where does a long or a short start? and which point is telling you that the cycle is started, so that you know it will probably go to the next fibonacci resistance? .... therefore I have developed some own indicators!
The exact positions of where to open, to close and the stop loss position and take profit position is very important to be successful with trading!
My strategy is to never trade on volatile markets. You will lose your money when you do! Trade on technical-chart analysis! not on news and volatility!
One of my other strategies is that trades are only interesting and ‘safe’ to open when: you can possibly lose 1/3rd of the possible profit. So; when you set the indicators after analysing resistances, and you can lose 100 but win 300, it is worth the try!
How do I decide to open a position or not? First I analyse:
- sentiment on the market > are people in buy mode or short mode
- I have some own created indicators, some I show in my charts. Therefor I use the fibonacci sequence. My indicators tell to open a position or not and in combination with other own created indicators I decide where to place the stop loss and take profit positions.
- and this own indicators tell me when probably a new long position starts or a new short > these are the positions where I place my orders! or open directly.
- and again other own created indicators tell me how far long or short it probably goes. The take profit and stop loss positions are other positions than the resistances in the market!
- the moving-averages and bollinger-bands are very important indicators also. They are helping a lot! by making decisions.
And that is Why I win more than I lose in the end. Patience is everything, we’ll wait for the right moment! But don't forget; trading means investing. Sometimes you lose more than you win in the beginning of a period!
Most of the times the sentiment changes on Monday! please consider that when you start a position on Monday. Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday are on steady markets normally calm trading days. Than, my strategies work at their best!
Don't forget to follow me, so you get updated when I post new ones. Also read my account and the 'status updates' to be informed.
Thank you for following and Succes with trading !
Richard from Rich.Exclusive.Trading
Cocoa daylevel resistance 2443. Short or long? fibonacci analyseCocoa is at a heavy resistance now, 2443. Will it go Short or long?
Price is exactly between two fibonacci resistances now; 2524 and 2368. I think price will bounce between these two before it breaks long or short.
When it breaks the long resistance 2524, I see a target of 2674. When it breaks low; target 2153.
Most difficult part are the exact positions where to buy and positions stop loss.
I have some ideas about which positions to place orders, but I'll try some movements before opening them.
After years of studying, learning and practicing I have developed a way of trading which can provide an profit every month by trading cfd's.
The strategy I learned from an visionair is 'Cycle trading' and I have developed this further and made it my own.
How do I decide to open a position or not? First I analyse:
- sentiment on the market > are people in buy mode or short mode
- I have some own created indicators, some I show in my charts, as; is the trend horizontal / uptrend or downtrend or volatile.
- and this own indicators tell me when probably a new long position starts or a new short > these are the positions where I place my orders! one of the indicators I use here to help me is the Fibonacci sequence.
- and again other own created indicators tell me how far long or short it probably goes. The take profit and stop loss positions are Other positions than the resistances in the market! Here I work with 'the total expected possible profit' and an percentage from this total opportunity where I mostly close the trade to be safe.
And that's not all at all. Also I check if the opportunity is interesting, by analyzing the charts and when I can make the conclusion that when I should open an certain trade and the possible profit would be 2/3rd of the amount you can possibly loss. So, in bad case lose 100 dollar and best case win 300 dollar it is worth the try! losing these kind of trades, I see as an investment on the possible loss. Stop loss needs to be tight here.
Patience is everything, we’ll wait for the right moment!
Sometimes we are in huge loss, before we end the month in good profit. This is all part of the game. Without trading positions which we lose, we could never win more than we lose. Losing orders is investing in the knowledge to trade the right one to earn money.
Thank you for following and Succes with trading !
Richard from Rich.Exclusive.Trading
XAUUSD - buy opportunityGOLD is in the main balance with the range 1307-1362. Last week we saw a false break down of this balance. That often indicates about the movement to the other side of balance. For now you can use 2 strategies:
1. Put buy-stop with the expectation of break out 1325 (aggressive).
2. Wait for a correction wave to the balance level 1307 (conservative).
Stop-loss should be below the false break down, so the second option is more preferable. Also, second option have a much better risk/reward ratio.
Target1: 1356
Target2: 1362
ETH/USD - buy opportunityHi, friends.
ETHUSD is in a wide consolidation (balance1) with a range 580-1000. Yesterday the price breaks out level 850.
Level 850 - it's very important because it is a high level of balance2 and it is a high level of ascending triangle.
So now we have buy priority and we can buy on the retest to this level.
But If false break out happens and the price will return back into the balance2 you need to close position immediately.
Trade recommendation:
entry - 851
stop - 820
target1 - 973
target2 - 998
XRP - level 1.00 is very important Ripple is the stronger than other coins on the market.
The price breakout wide consolidation (balance 1). But there is a large vertical volumes now and we see a bearish price reaction after it.
Also, if BTC goes down, XRP goes down too.
What to expect now?
If the price will return back into the balance1 and break down the level 0.98, it would be a false break out of balance1 and the price will falls to 0.8 with a high probability (to the level of balance2).
To continue growth the price should rebound from level 1.00, it's very important.
If the trend continues, we will see 1.35 soon.
wti crude oil bearish rising wedge pattern (reversal)on a weekly timeframe, it also shows a rising wedge pattern and another one is confirmed with the 4hr and 1hr timeframe so it should be suspected that the market is most likely going to go downwards.
Looking to hit the 55.30 area roughly with a stop loss slightly inside the red area which is 67.04 (resistance)