WTI CRUDE OIL Strong rebound on the Support. Buy.WTI Crude Oil / USOIL almost hit the Support A level and rebounded today.
This is the exact range where the price made a bullish reversal on October 1st and rose to a new Higher High.
Buy and target 78.00 (just under Resistance A).
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CRUDE OIL (WTI): When the Gap Will Be Filled?
I strongly believe that a huge Monday's gap will be filled.
The confirmation that I am looking for is a breakout of a resistance
line of a horizontal range on a 4H.
4H candle close above the yellow structure will indicate
the strength of the buyers and make the market finally start rising.
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Crude Oil WTI, final leg downWTI in the final leg towards long term support (62$). Around that price level, you can find multiple prior lows, the lower Mogalef volatility band, the YTD VWAP 3 SD band, and very oversold levels
Note that below that support level, there's nothing stopping the price from going down to the 43$ level, as very little volume was traded in the 40$ to 60$ range and there's no strong pivot points.
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WTI CRUDE OIL: 1H Death Cross suggests another Low is coming.WTI Crude Oil is bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 42.281, MACD = -0.560, ADX = 26.062) with the bearish bias evident as in the last 3 weeks the price is trading inside a Channel Down. The formation of a 1H Death Cross earlier today, draws comparisons with the October 15th one. Both price actions found a temporary support on the 1.382 Fibonacci level at the time of the Death Cross but the 1H RSI was rebounding on a bullish divergence. We expect the price to extend replicating that bearish wave and approach the 1.618 Fib eventually (TP = 66.00).
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WTI CRUDE OIL Every pull back inside this Channel Up is a buy.WTI Crude Oil / USOIL is trading inside a 1hour Channel Up.
Having crossed above the 1hour MA50, it is now expected to support this new bullish wave.
The 1hour MACD is already on a Bullish Cross, confirming the bullish wave.
Buy and target 73.50 (+5.73% rise).
Previous chart:
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CRUDE OIL (WTI): Bearish Trend Continues
WTI Crude Oil may continue falling after a test of a key daily resistance.
A breakout of a support line of a bearish flag gives us a strong bearish confirmation.
With a high probability, the price will drop to 68.9 level.
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WTI CRUDE OIL: Keeps respecting the long term Support Zone.WTI Crude Oil is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 48.339, MACD = -0.320, ADX = 27.988) as it is recovering from last week's red candle that almost touched the S1 Zone. As long this holds, WTI will be bullish on the medium term at least, as on the long term the formation of the 1W Death Cross is bearish. The presence of the LH trendline doesn't allow much room for higher targets and since the previous rebound on the S1 Zone (December 11th 2023) came close to the 0.786 Fibonacci level, our target is in the vicinity of those (TP = 78.00).
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WTI CRUDE OIL & BRENT OIL Weekly Outlook: Wait For SELL Setup!This weekly forecast is for Oct 21 - 25th.
US & UK Oil have been up and down throughout this Mid East crises. WIth a strong bearish candle and close last week, the indications are that the market has taken a bearish turn.
I will be watching the market closely for a pullback to the newly formed Daily -FVG for a high
probability short setup.
Take caution, day traders. As there will be buys to take as price retraces up, but I would urge you to remain patient and wait for the HP sells.
Check the comments section below for updates regarding this analysis throughout the week.
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Disclaimer:
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All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
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WTI crude hints at cheeky bounce to $72WTI has fallen over 11% in seven days, and the loss of momentum around $70 could appeal to bullish swing traders. We're not looking for anything heroic here given the mixed signals on futures positioning, but it might be able to deliver a cheeky bounce higher over the near term.
MS.
WTI CRUDE OIL: Price is bottoming. Excellent long trade.WTI Crude Oil is borderline neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 45.282, MACD = 0.240, ADX = 34.094) as it is consolidating just over the HL trendline and under the 4H MA200. This consolidation so close to a Support is technically a bottoming process. January-February 2023 exhibited similar behavior that caused the price to rebound towards the R1 level again. The patterns are so far very similar, so we expect the price action to complete the sequence by rising again towards the R1. Aim just under it (TP = 76.50) to lower the risk.
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Crude oil saved by the 200-day MA (for now)A combination of factors saw crude oil snap its 5-day winning streak on Tuesday. China's equity markets plunged at double-digit levels when traders realised no new stimulus from China was to be unveiled after golden weak. US production forecasts were lowered by the EIA and concerns over the Middle East receded somewhat.
An elongated bearish engulfing / outside day formed after its daily high met resistance at the September 2023 trendline. Yet the 200-day MA came to the rescue. For now at least.
Given the 4-hour bullish hammer at the 200-day MA and weekly R1 pivot, alongside a heavily oversold RSI (2) on that timeframe, I suspect a cheeky bounce could be in order. Bulls could cautiously seek dips for a move to $75 or $76.
Yet the magnitude of Tuesday's selloff suggests bears may be lurking at higher prices to re-enter upon any such bounce. Bears could wait to fade into such levels in anticipation of a return to the $70, near a high-volume node (HVN) and 61.8% Fibonacci level.
MS
WTI OIL Channel Down prevailed. Lower Low expected.WTI Oil (USOIL) eventually failed to recover the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which has been the Resistance since August 13, and reversed the short-term rebound. The 3-month Channel Down appears to have prevailed and technically is now looking for its third Lower Low.
The previous two declined by -18.47% and -15.18% respectively, so roughly we same % drop. As the 1D MACD formed a Bearish Cross today, we can claim that we have the necessary confirmation for a Bearish Leg that at best, we are half-way on it.
Assuming the minimum drop of -15.18%, we expect to see at least $62.00 before this Leg prices the Lower Low.
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CRUDE OIL (WTI): Intraday Bearish Confirmation
Update for WTI Crude Oil.
Earlier, I share a very bearish setup on a daily.
Analyzing the intraday time frames today, I spotted
a strong bearish confirmation on an hourly.
Retesting a recently broken horizontal resistance,
the price dropped and violated a support line of a rising wedge pattern.
It is an important sign of strength of the sellers.
With a high probability, the price will drop at least to 67.15 level.
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Crude Oil upside Target 71.70Crude oil is presenting a promising buying opportunity as it approaches a crucial support level at $66. This level has demonstrated significant resilience, making it an ideal point for traders looking to enter the market. Our target for this trade is set at $71.70, which aligns with key resistance levels that could be tested as the market moves upward.
In addition, our proprietary indicator has signaled a buying opportunity on the daily chart, further validating our bullish stance. The geopolitical tensions in the Middle East add another layer of urgency, as such instability often drives oil prices higher due to supply concerns.
As we navigate through these market dynamics, now is an opportune time to consider adding crude oil to your portfolio. Keep an eye on price action around the $66 support, and be prepared for potential upward momentum towards our target of $71.70.
Buying at Current Label
Stoploss - 66
First Target 70
Second Target 71
Third Target 71.70