Commodities
GOLD on an edge of breakoutGold already made 3 attempts to breakout and now in a process of forth attempt. The more times resistance is tested the weaker it becomes - that is a golden rule. And therefore now chances for breakout are at their maximum.
Nearest target levels are 2743 / 2762 / 2790 - after that open targets within ATH
DeGRAM | GOLD correction in the channelGOLD is in an ascending channel between the trend lines.
The price is moving from the upper trend line, channel boundary and resistance level.
After reaching the dynamic resistance, the chart formed a harmonic pattern and afterwards formed a bearish takeover.
We expect XAUUSD correction.
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Gold Buy Signal: Bullish Momentum Alert! The gold market is on 🔥 with strong bullish momentum dominating the charts! 📈 We’ve identified a powerful upward channel that’s guiding prices higher, supported by impeccable price action setups.
Key Highlights:
✨ Price is breaking key levels with confidence, signaling continued strength.
✨ Uptrend intact, with no signs of slowing down.
✨ Perfect entry opportunity to ride the wave as the market pushes toward new highs.
📌 Don’t miss out on this golden opportunity—secure your position now and capitalize on the ongoing rally! 💰
SILVER Will Go Up! Long!
Here is our detailed technical review for SILVER.
Time Frame: 8h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 30.469.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 31.385 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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Silver H4 | Potential bullish bounceSilver (XAG/USD) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 30.17 which is a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 29.60 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 30.96 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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The global economy faces many uncertainties.Gold prices rebounded overnight as Donald Trump is likely to delay imposing tariffs. According to the Wall Street Journal, Trump issued a presidential memorandum directing federal agencies to investigate trade deficits and address unfair trade and currency policies from other countries. However, the directive does not include imposing new tariffs on the first day of his inauguration, which many countries have feared.
Fears of tariffs and a global trade war have significantly affected the precious metals market. Last week, gold prices rose above $2,700 an ounce, while silver prices returned above $30 an ounce, reflecting the urgency of the market.
Some analysts have attributed the rise in gold and silver prices to disruptions in the global supply chain as the precious metals are moved from London to New York. Donald Trump’s tariff threats have created huge volatility in the futures and physical asset swaps market, as banks have moved large amounts of metals to the US to avoid the risk of potential tariffs.
🔥 XAUUSD SELL 2726 2628🔥
✔️TP1: 2710
✔️TP2: 2700
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫 SL: 2736
SILVER SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
Hello, Friends!
Bearish trend on SILVER, defined by the red colour of the last week candle combined with the fact the pair is overbought based on the BB upper band proximity, makes me expect a bearish rebound from the resistance line above and a retest of the local target below at 29.300.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
XAUUSD BUY NOW XAUUSD - GOLD
TRADE SETUP & KEY POINTS :
4Hr time frame forming a Parallel Channel.
Market Coming Channel Bottom.
Support Level - 2710 $
Next Support & Channel Bottom - 2692 $
Entry - Focus on Support Levels
Target - Channel Top
Stoploss - Channel Breakout ..
Happy trading .. we will Update soon ..
Gold Trends and Signals UpdateOn the daily chart, the daily chart broke the 4-day winning streak and fell slightly on Friday. The decline at the end of the trading day caused a continuous decline. The price effectively crossed the short-term moving average and led the short-term moving average to turn downward at 2710 and 2707. Other periodic indicators also formed a short position arrangement. The Bollinger Bands as a whole shrank sharply. In addition, the MACD indicator once again crossed downward. Therefore, the 4-hour level should still be prepared for an intensified decline!
Trump took office today, and the market may become complicated. Beware of abnormal market fluctuations. From a technical perspective, Huang Jin ended the strong bullish pattern last week. After a weak closing, a break of 2700 was formed, and there was a further wide adjustment in prices. Trading ideas: short-term layout of selling high and buying low.
Gold fell directly after the opening of the Asian session. Gold bulls had no power to fight back. For key points, even if gold wants to go out of the downward wave, it is good for our short-term layout! In addition, today is the date when Trump takes office. The gold market will inevitably suffer from the rise of risk aversion caused by irresistible factors! That is, the market is still relatively bullish in many aspects!
The 1-hour moving average of gold has begun to turn downward, and the gold bull market has temporarily come to an end. If the moving average forms a dead cross downward, the downward space of gold will increase, and the 1-hour gold is now also suppressed by the downward trend; the downward resistance moves down to around 2708, and the Asian session rebounds around 2708 and continues to sell at highs. The rebound near 2705 can be empty first.
First support: 2681, second support: 2670, third support: 2662
First resistance: 2695, second resistance: 2708, third resistance: 2725
Operation ideas:
BUY: 2680-2683,
SELL: 2705-2708,
Is Gold the Ultimate Safe Haven in 2025?In the labyrinthine world of finance, gold has once again captured the spotlight, breaking records as speculative buying and geopolitical tensions weave a complex narrative around its valuation. The precious metal's price surge is not merely a reaction to market trends but a profound statement on the global economic landscape. Investors are increasingly viewing gold as a beacon of stability amidst an ocean of uncertainty, driven by the Middle East's ongoing unrest and the strategic maneuvers of central banks. This phenomenon challenges us to reconsider the traditional roles of investment assets in safeguarding wealth against international volatility.
The inauguration of Donald Trump as President has injected further intrigue into the gold market. His administration's initial steps, notably the delay in imposing aggressive tariffs, have led to a nuanced dance between inflation expectations and U.S. dollar strength. Analysts from major financial institutions like Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley are now dissecting how Trump's policies might steer inflation, influence Federal Reserve actions, and ultimately, dictate gold's trajectory. This intersection of policy and market dynamics invites investors to think critically about how political decisions can reshape economic landscapes.
China's burgeoning appetite for gold, exemplified by the frenzied trading of gold-related ETFs, underscores a broader shift towards commodities as traditional investment avenues like real estate falter. The Chinese central bank's consistent gold acquisitions reflect a strategic move towards diversifying reserves away from the U.S. dollar, particularly in light of global economic sanctions. This strategic pivot in one of the world's largest economies poses a compelling question: are we witnessing a fundamental realignment in global financial power structures, with gold at its core?
As we navigate through 2025, gold's role transcends simple investment; it becomes a narrative of economic resilience and geopolitical foresight. The interplay between inflation, monetary policy, and international relations not only affects gold's price but also challenges investors to adapt their strategies in an ever-evolving market. Can gold maintain its luster as the ultimate Safe Haven, or will new economic paradigms shift its golden allure? This enigma invites us to delve deeper into the metal's historical significance and its future in a world where certainty is a luxury few can afford.
Crude OIL $UKOIL Classic patternI've seen this pattern many times over the last 5 years on different instruments, and its working out to over 50%
The essence of this pattern is a classic triangle with horizontal support, most of the participants realize that we will break down, but not everyone believes that we will take liquidity off the top before going down.
An instrument like oil is quite trivial and it can fall without taking liquidity off the top.
But I want to share a few examples of my theory working out, where the upper resistance line is broken before the drop-down
Best regards EXCAVO
Bullish rise?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance which aligns with the 50 Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 78.08
1st Support: 77.07
1st Resistance: 79.18
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GOLD skyrocketed, Trump's influence provided strong supportIn the Asian market today, Tuesday, January 21, influenced by Trump's tariff comments that stimulated risk aversion, OANDA:XAUUSD suddenly jumped to 17 USD in the short term and are currently approaching the mark of 2,725 USD/ounce.
Trump was sworn in as the 47th President of the United States in the Oval Office of the Capitol.
US President Trump recently announced that he plans to impose tariffs on Mexico and Canada no later than February 1, possibly up to 25%, and reiterated his view that the two neighboring countries America's neighbors are allowing illegal immigration and drugs into the United States.
Complaining about fentanyl and migrants crossing the northern U.S. border, Trump called Canada a “very bad abuser” and said the target date for tariffs would be “I think February 1st. "
Trump made the remarks shortly after returning to the Oval Office to sign a series of executive orders. The executive orders cover everything from regulation to energy to immigration.
This is an early sign that Trump has increasingly focused on trade since taking office. These comments have stimulated risk aversion in the market to increase rapidly. Not only did gold strengthen, but the safe-haven Dollar also increased strongly. Impacting the market, we can see that recently both gold and Dollar, which have a negative correlation, have increased in price together.
Trump's sweeping trade tariffs are expected to spur further inflation and spark a trade war, which could increase gold's safe-haven appeal.
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold has approached the $2,725 level that was the initial upside target noticed by readers in the previous issue, followed by the $2,730 price point of the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement.
Technically, gold still has all the conditions for price increases with the trend being noticed by the green price channel, main support from EMA21 and the nearest support is the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level.
Meanwhile, the uptrend of the Relative Strength Index also creates an uptrend and is still quite far from the overbought level, showing that there is still wide room for price growth ahead.
Moving forward, the technical outlook for gold remains bullish and notable levels are listed below.
Support: 2,700 – 2,693USD
Resistance: 2,725 – 2,730 – 2,750USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2746 - 2744⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2750
→Take Profit 1 2739
↨
→Take Profit 2 2734
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2684 - 2686⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2680
→Take Profit 1 2691
↨
→Take Profit 2 2696
XAUUSD H4 | Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 2,727.65, which is a pullback resistance near the 61.8% Fibonacci rprojection. This level is expected to act as a potential reversal point in the bearish setup.
Our take profit is set at 2,696.87, aligning with a significant support level, marking a logical target for the trade.
The stop loss is set at 2,762.20, above the recent swing high, providing room for price fluctuations while protecting against invalidation of the bearish bias.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Gold showing strength after Trump entered White House
President Trump's recent phone call with Chinese President Xi Jinping has created a strong expectation for a more conciliatory relationship with China. In response, the dollar, which had previously surged due to fears over tariffs and inflation, has begun to weaken and gold is on a consistent upward trajectory.
Goldman Sachs firmly predicts that gold will likely be exempt from widespread tariffs, asserting that there is less than a 10% chance of a 10% real tariff on gold being introduced in the next year. They also confidently forecast that the gold price will soar to $3,000 per ounce by mid-2026.
XAUUSD sustains a steady uptrend within an ascending channel. The price holds above EMA21, awaiting further price triggers to test the resistance at 2720. If XAUUSD breaches above 2720, the price may gain upward momentum toward 2735. Conversely, if XAUUSD breaks below EMA21, the price may fall further to the ascending channel’s lower bound, where EMA78 coincides.
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNASDAQ
The NASDAQ closed early due to the U.S. market holiday, and yesterday’s and today’s daily candles will merge into one. As anticipated, the U.S. market showed an upward trend, but it is likely to exhibit sideways or downward movement during the pre-market and regular trading sessions today.
While the daily chart has generated a buy signal, confirmation will only occur if today’s candle closes as a bullish one. With significant resistance levels overhead, the market needs a strong bullish candle to widen the gap between the MACD and signal line. Failure to generate such a rally may lead to repeated resistance at the upper levels and increase the likelihood of a downturn.
On the 240-minute chart, no sell signal has been generated yet, but the market appears to be absorbing overhead supply. If a MACD dead cross emerges, the buy signal on the daily chart may fade, potentially reversing the trend to bearish. Avoid chasing prices and refer to yesterday’s detailed pre-market analysis for further context.
CRUDE OIL
Crude oil closed lower, correcting down to the 10-day moving average. After a brief consolidation at the $76 support, it declined further. The $74–$75 range serves as a critical support level and aligns with the 5-day moving average on the weekly chart. Buying on dips within this range is favorable. However, it is advisable to enter at lower levels, as rebound risks make shorting less viable.
On the 240-minute chart, the MACD is falling towards the zero line, steepening its angle against the signal line. Even if oil rebounds from key support levels, it may face further selling pressure, as a MACD golden cross appears unlikely. Since yesterday’s expected downtrend materialized, today’s strategy should focus on cautious dip-buying at lower levels.
GOLD
Gold closed lower, finding support near the 5-day moving average as anticipated in yesterday’s analysis. The strong pullback to the 5-day moving average provides a reasonable entry point for buying on dips. However, the weekly chart indicates potential for further downside, suggesting short-term positions to manage risk effectively.
On the 240-minute chart, a sell signal has emerged as a head-and-shoulders pattern broke its neckline. A further drop below 2730 could lead to additional downside toward the 2718 support level, where dip-buying may be considered. The MACD and signal line remain significantly below the zero line on the 240-minute chart, increasing the likelihood of a rebound at key support levels.
Avoid aggressive short-selling and note that the broader trend remains bullish, as gold's daily chart exhibits strong buying momentum. Focus on buying near major support levels during pullbacks for a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. Manage your risk carefully and best of luck with your trades today.
■Trading Strategies for Today
NASDAQ - Range-bound Market
-Buy: 21660 / 21620 / 21570 / 21510 / 21480 / 21350
-Sell: 21780 / 21880 / 21940 / 22005
Crude Oil - Bullish Market
-Buy: 75.70 / 74.95 / 74.50
-Sell: 77.50 / 77.85 / 78.25 / 78.65 / 79.10
Gold - Bullish Market
-Buy: 2726 / 2716 / 2708 / 2700
-Sell: 2738 / 2747 / 2753 / 2758
These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks.
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GOLD is setting up for the week! Switched to doing my breakdown on the micro contract since is what I actually trade and the forex chart is not moving in sync with it currently so I cant trust that price action. Expecting for a set up on a major play tonight some time between Asian session and London. Price is ultimately bearish so we not looking to get in until price moves outside of value to give us a entry.