4 Winning Years Ahead for Traders Under TrumpOn November 5, 2024, the markets made it loud and clear—they’re excited about Donald J. Trump’s return to office. Stocks, the dollar, and other key assets all responded with strong moves that reflect investor confidence in what his policies might bring. Compare this to the last few years under Biden, and the difference is striking. The market barely budged during Biden’s presidency; even when he contracted COVID-19, it was business as usual. With Trump back, though, there’s an undeniable surge of optimism. Let’s look at what’s happening across the major assets and what it could mean for us traders in the days ahead.
S&P 500 (SPX)
The S&P 500 spiked from $5,704 to $6,018 on election night—a powerful rally that signals investor optimism. It seems the market is embracing Trump’s expected focus on tax cuts and pro-business policies. This kind of jump doesn’t happen without a reason; investors are clearly betting that Trump’s return will be good for corporate America and, by extension, for the economy.
Gold (XAU/USD)
In times of uncertainty, gold usually rallies as investors look for safe havens. But on election night, we saw the opposite: XAU/USD dropped from $2,750 to $2,643 per troy ounce. This decline tells us that investors feel less inclined to hedge their bets with gold, opting instead for assets tied to economic growth. When people pull out of safe havens, it's often a sign they’re feeling pretty good about what’s ahead.
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY)
The dollar had its own rally, with the DXY climbing from 103.3 to 105.4. This spike reflects confidence in the U.S. economy’s potential under Trump’s leadership. With the dollar gaining strength, it’s clear that investors expect strong economic fundamentals and possibly higher interest rates—both of which could keep the dollar in demand.
Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI)
The Dow also rallied, jumping from $41,649 to $44,173. This boost is especially interesting because it reflects optimism in sectors like manufacturing, energy, and infrastructure—industries Trump has supported in the past. Investors are likely betting on policy moves that could provide a lift to U.S. industries, potentially driving corporate profits higher.
WTI Crude Oil (WTI)
Looking forward, I’m expecting WTI prices to come under pressure as Trump likely revisits his focus on domestic oil production. If he revives the “drill, baby, drill” approach, we could see supply levels increase, which would weigh on prices. This potential shift in energy policy is something to keep an eye on, as it could create fresh trading opportunities.
The Big Picture
From stocks to the dollar, the market’s reaction seems to signal that Trump’s return is seen as positive for growth and stability. Reflecting on his previous term, I remember trading seemed almost simpler—beyond economic reports, following Trump’s statements (especially on Twitter) often gave insight into market sentiment. We might be looking at a similar environment now.
Final Thoughts for Traders
Trump’s re-election sets the stage for market dynamics we’ve seen before, with a familiar blend of optimism and volatility. For traders, this could mean more straightforward strategies, particularly by keeping an eye on policy shifts and economic indicators. With Trump’s leadership back in play, I believe the next four years could be some of the best trading years we’ve seen. Whether you’re in stocks, commodities, or forex, it’s clear the market is responding—and as traders, there’s a lot we can take away from that.
Commodities
Gold Price Today (Nov 9): Reversal and DeclineOn Friday, gold prices recorded a sharp decline, marking the biggest weekly drop in over five months. This decline was primarily driven by two main factors: the strength of the US dollar and expectations surrounding US interest rates, particularly in light of the potential re-election of Republican candidate Donald Trump. The strengthening of the greenback created downward pressure on gold, which typically suffers when the US dollar appreciates. At the same time, expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) may maintain high interest rates for an extended period to control inflation also added pressure on the gold market, causing investors to shift towards assets with higher yields.
Gold prices reversed course, registering a decrease of 24.2 USD, falling to 2,684.6 USD per ounce for spot gold. According to technical analysis, the resistance level at 2,706 prevented further gains, leading to a drop toward the support level at 2,685. If this downward trend continues, gold may test the previous support level at 2,648, and the possibility of breaking through this level cannot be ruled out.
As we head into the new week, it remains uncertain how gold prices will behave. Will they rise or continue to decline?
XAGUSD_3Hhello
Analysis of silver in the medium term time frame
Elliott wave analysis style
The market is in 5 downward waves, which is currently in a descending channel and in the 5th downward wave.
For the next week, the important resistance is the number 31.700, and by maintaining this number, it will continue to fall towards the number and range of 3.000 and 30.400, which is the end of the fall, and it can enter a new upward trend towards the number 33.000.
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GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another great day on the charts following on from the election move that gave the drop into the lower Goldturns and our weighted levels all giving bounces inline with our plans to buy dips.
The swing range is providing the swing although the full swing range level has not been tested. We also have the swing completing the retracement range and leaving a candle body close gap above 2696 opening 2724, which will be further confirmed by ema5 lock.
Our current range is now between 2640 and 2724 to play within, until we see a ema5 lock breakout to confirm the next range.
We will now come back Sunday with our updated Multi time-frame analysis, Gold route map and trading plans for the week ahead.
Have a smashing weekend!! And once again, thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Barrick Gold (GOLD): Up 33%—Time to Take Profits?What a rise by Barrick Gold since we bought some shares at the end of February 2024. Patience pays off most of the time, and so it has with Barrick Gold. We are now up over 33% with this stock, and we’re very happy with this last-second entry before the stock took off. Gold continues to rise, and Barrick Gold is following suit. However, after every rise, a setback—whether major or minor—will happen sooner or later, and we’re definitely not getting greedy here.
We’re going to take our first profit now and move our stop loss to break even. If we decide to reenter with a second position, we’ll let you know with a new limit.
For now, we’re just enjoying this setup and the profit. Let’s keep this going 🔥
C-Wave for Copper-Miner?We could be in a 1-2 / 1-2 / 1-2 and in the C wave. Let's see if the current 2 holds and we can see an upward impulse after a 5-divider downwards.
Gold (XAUUSD): Is a Long-Term Cycle Ending Soon?We came across a long-term view of TVC:GOLD on the monthly chart, and it’s hard to ignore what it suggests. Since 1980, Gold has shown clear Elliott Wave structures, with Wave III respecting key Fibonacci extension levels. Now, we appear to be concluding Wave V, which could mark the end of a multi-decade cycle.
While the RSI on the monthly timeframe is overbought, it’s not definitive on its own. However, when paired with the chart structure, it raises concerns. We expect a potential max price for Gold at $3,000, a significant psychological level. If this marks the end of Wave V, Gold could retrace to a range of $1,400-$1,700 as part of a major correction.
An alternate scenario is that we’re still concluding Wave III, with more upside left. Either way, we anticipate a short-term push above the current trend channel, targeting $2,910-$3,000, before a correction for Wave (4). Alternatively, breaking the trend channel prematurely could trigger the start of this correction sooner than expected.
Our short-term target is $2,420-$2,150 before resuming a push to $2,900-$3,000. Alerts are set, and we’ll provide updates or potential setups as this unfolds.
Gold Rise to Resistance Zone: Elliott Wave!!!Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) started to correct as I ✅ expected in previous posts ✅. Did you profit from this move!?
Gold started to rise well from the Support zone($2,645-$2,625) and 50_SMA(Daily) .
Gold is moving near the Resistance zone($2,720-$2,700) and the lower line of the ascending channel (broken) .
According to the Elliott wave theory , it seems that Gold has succeeded in completing microwave 3 . We should wait for the completion of microwave 4 , and then probably microwave 5 will end in the Resistance zone($2,720-$2,700) and Monthly Pivot Point .
⚠️Note: We should expect more pumps if Gold goes above the Resistance zone($2,720-$2,700).⚠️
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Gold can make small correction and then continue to move upHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. Looking at the chart, we can see how the price some days ago entered to wedge, where it at once rebounded from the resistance line and started to decline to the support line. When the price dropped to this line, it broke the 2650 level, after which later, Gold started to grow and in a short time backed up to the 2650 level. Soon, the price broke this level one more time and then made a retest, after which continued to move up. In a short time price rose to the resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone, and then started to trades between the 2740 level. Later, the price broke this level and rose to the resistance line of the wedge, and even exited from this pattern. But then it dropped to the seller zone, some time traded inside, and then made a downward impulse to the buyer zone, breaking the 2740 level. After this, Gold started to grow and now it continues to rise to this day. So, in my mind, Gold will little correct and then continue to move up to the 2740 resistance level. For this case, my TP is at this level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Three days after elections and one after FED cutStarting with #VIX the value decreased a lot after elections showing the decrease in investors fear
With less fear we can follow the #SPX #DX1! #BTC1! which strongly rise their value.
Commodites in general seems to had loss some points with Dollar strength, in this chart we can watch #GC1! and #BZ1! as benchmark
In the case of Brent we can see a double top even with line chart.
#US10Y decreased after 25bp cut nevertheless with Trump election US will probably activate more worldwide tariffs and this can lead to an increase in prices, and so the next couple months CPI will be a important measure to look at US economy in the future. So even it's decreasing and bonds are inversly to prices, I should keep an eye on it
GOLD - Price can reah resistance level and then start to fallHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago price grew inside rising channel, where ot fell to support area and then bounced up, breaking $2500 level.
Then price rose in channel to $2605 level, exited from rising channel, and started to trades inside flat.
In flat, Gold rose to top part and then made a correction to $2605 support level, after which bounced up.
Price exited from flat and continued to grow inside pennant, where it rose to resistance line, breaking $2710 level.
But recently, XAU turned around and made downward impulse, exited from pennant, and broke $2710 level one more time.
Now it growing and I think Gold can reach resistance level and then fall to $2605 support level.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Focus on 2700, short on highs in US tradingGold's 1-hour moving average continues to diverge downward in the short position, without any signs of turning. Gold's short position has not ended yet, and there is still room for downward movement. Yesterday's rise in gold has digested the expectations brought by the interest rate cut. It has fallen back after being under pressure at 2710 many times, indicating that gold's bullish momentum at high levels is not strong. The US market rebound is still short. Gold rebounds below 2710 in the US market, and it continues to be short at highs.
It can be shorted first when it rebounds near 2700. The market changes rapidly. Don't be fooled by the seemingly strong rebound as a reversal. Gold continues to be short.
Trading strategy:
Shorting on rallies in US market.
SELL: 2699-2701
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 11-8 : Counter-trend RallyHappy Friday everyone,
Today's SPY Cycle Pattern is a Rally in Counter-trend mode.
I interpret this as a moderate downward price trend for the SPY - possibly pulling the SPY into the GAP created after yesterday's opening GAP rally.
I got into deep detail related to the potential anomaly event setting up over the next three weeks for the SPY & QQQ in this video.
I also go into a fairly deep analysis of Gold and Silver - relating my expectations and how these moves align cleanly with an inverted Excess Phase Peak pattern.
And, I even go into broad detail for BTCUSD and how I see multiple aligned Excess Phase Peak Patterns setting up to drive big trends over the next 3-4 weeks.
As I stated near the end of this video, the next 5-7+ years are going to be filled with opportunity. I suggest everyone get ready for the biggest opportunity of your life.
I hope you enjoy my videos and research. I know some of you have already experienced tremendous success following my research.
I'm urging to you consider the opportunity that will be available as the markets continue to trend through my window of opportunity - and how you want to try to profit from these moves.
Remember, the markets will always be there - but these opportunities are unique to the next 5-7+ years.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
GOLD A BUY ZONE FOR YEAR 2025 RALLY TO 2900$HELLO TRADERS
As i an see gold has just retrace after creating a |ATH 2790$ and now successfully retraced to 2665 zone which we draw in our previous drawings and now created a validation confirm of 3rd test to trend line and with fibo level it had tested 0.50 golden levels also we draw another channel on this chart it is trading in uptrend and investors are looking for the 3000$ per ounce in 2025 easy TP we combine both technical and fundamental for more accurate confirmation have a previous outlook on our posted charts from since April 2024 till now ..
Trading is an Art learn and earn from markets easy money Friends Geopolitical issues around the Global running conditions is really bad. If some 1 is thinking Trump can Solve these War issue, then it looks impossible in my view angry IRAN RUSSIA NORTH KORA SUDAN GAZA LEBONAN and other many regions.. We can see a very bad economy conditions of US which need years to reset Bricks in the Game now for more De-Dollarizing and we can see how banks and hedge fund manager Smart money Accumulating the Gold from the day Wars going on and escalating more and more day by day .... Trump Need some Serious actions to change his economy which is hard to seem.
Friends its just a trade idea with very low risk and looking for a bigger reward share ur thoughts with us it help many
Stay Tuned for more updates if trend gets change bez trend is ur friend
GOLD (XAUUSD): Updated Support & Resistance Analysis
Here is my updated structure analysis and
important supports & resistances on Gold.
Horizontal Structures
Resistance 1: 2708 - 2732 area
Resistance 2: 2745 - 2761 area
Resistance 3: 2787 - 2790 area
Support 1: 2638 - 2648 area
Support 2: 2586 - 2608 area
Vertical Structures
Vertical Resistance 1: Rising trend line
For now, we can expect a bearish pressure from a Horizontal & Vertical Resistances 1.
Local bearish bias remains.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
SILVER: Move Down Expected! Sell!
Welcome to our daily SILVER prediction!
We made our analysis today using SMC and ICT trading theories, which, combined with our trading experience all point to the downside. So we are locally bearish biased and the target for the short trade is 31.08239$
Wish you good luck in trading to you all!
GOLD: Strong Bullish Bias! Buy!
Welcome to our daily GOLD prediction!
We made our analysis today using SMC and ICT trading theories, which, combined with our trading experience all point to the upside. So we are locally bullish biased and the target for the long trade is 2,711.710$
Wish you good luck in trading to you all!
GOLD: Long Signal with Entry/SL/TP
GOLD
- Classic bullish setup
- Our team expects bullish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long GOLD
Entry Point - 2690.7
Stop Loss - 2669.9
Take Profit - 2732.4
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
INTRADAY SHORT CHANCE we expect another impact on gold we expect good an opportunity for short
just we have to follow the instructions
this is not financial advice that was my won analysis of my view any design you take under your own responsibility
XAU/USD : Bullish Movement Ahead ? (READ THE CAPTION)Analyzing the #Gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we see that yesterday’s bearish trend played out as expected, hitting all downside targets at $2717, $2700, and $2686, even extending further to $2643. This aggressive decline resulted in over 1000 pips of movement within a single day.
Currently trading around $2670, gold faces a significant liquidity gap, and with the interest rate decision due tonight, I expect the price to recover and potentially fill this gap. Expect heavy market volatility—trade cautiously!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
GOLD → Fundamental Swing. What to expect from gold?FX:XAUUSD updates the low to 2643. The reason - change of fundamental background and outflow of funds to safer assets... But, Powell supported the metal by lowering the US interest rate....
Overall, the fundamental backdrop for gold has changed to negative. The impact is not short-term and can only increase further, but the metal will be supported by the Chinese market and the Middle East conflict. Yesterday gold strengthened to 2710, testing key resistance on the back of 0.25% interest rate cut. Powell gave a hint that the Feds are generally willing to continue the easing course. The environment is quite interesting...
Technically, gold is in a local descending channel and below 0.5 Fibo. If the bears keep the 0.5 - 0.7 fibo zone under their control, gold may continue to weaken towards 2650 - 2600.
Resistance levels: 2696, 2714, 2720
Support levels: 2685, 2652
Technically, after a busy week, the metal may go into a consolidation phase, for example in the area of 2714 - 2685, but it is still worth paying attention to resistance and support from which strong moves can be formed...
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
