Crude Oil
Crude oil 4H Symetrical triangle, breakout of a down channelOn this 4H chart for Crude oil you can notice that the price has been moving in a very obvious down trend channel for a while. Recently the price broke out of it and started consolidating above the down tren resistance ( now a support ). In the proces the price formed a symetrical triangle. It is important to observe this triangle in the following hours as it can provide a breakout.
Usually, when having a symetriacal triangle, it's better for the pattern to break in the direction of the movement that lead into it. If you observe the first green line, you will notice that this was an increase. If the pattern produces a Buy entry, this will also align with the breakout from this down trend channel.
If the price starts increasing, it can encounter the first resistance around 75.80 - 76, this is the current major high point. If the price manages to surpass it, this will create a new bullish market structure and it can set the for a new bullish trend.
The price can also correct from it. If it does, it can retrace to around 73 - 74 before getting the chance to bounce to the up side again.
The development in the following days will be important not only for this setup, but possibly for the next 2 - 3 weeks. If the price breaks above the 76, the new bullish market structure can send it on an up trend. If the price breaks bellow the triangle and it goes back in the channel, then it can continue on a down trend.
Crude oil could rally from $72Price action has been very choppy on the daily crude oil chart, but if we place a line chart over the top is shows prices are trying to break out of a small triangle / pennant. Whilst these are usually expected to be continuation pattern, they can also make decent reversal pattern. And this case, we've see prices hold above $70 on a closing basis, and the lower candle wicks made a series of higher lows. Momentum is now turning higher.
Bulls could seek dips down to $72 (yesterday's low) or a break of its high, with an upside target around $78, near the 200-day MA and 100-day EMA.
USOIL Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance )
Risk Disclaimer:
Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in these analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
#202405 - a weekly price action market recap and outlook - oilGood evening and i hope you are well.
wti crude oil
Here my commentary from last week:
If you have read the gold one, this one is self explanatory i think. Market is compressing prices and will soon break out. Which direction? Guess. Your’s is as good as mine. I won’t say more about it. Breakout will come soon, so if you haven’t played the range so far, you should not start now because the odds of a breakout rise daily.
The bulls got their big breakout and we made 465 points last week. The next obvious target is 80 where i expect sideways movement. I also don’t think we can get there without a pullback first. Target for that pb is around 76.5 - 77. We can also just trade sideways in a tighter range but i think a retest of the 2023-12 high is an obvious magnet.
Bull case: Clear breakout of the triangle and they want a measured move up to 84. First more reachable target is the 50% pullback from the big bear trend which started 2023-10 and that is around 79 and where i expect more sideways trading. If bulls can keep this above the daily 20ema, i expect they will go for the measured move target of the triangle which we broke out of, to around 84.
Bear case: They see this as a leg inside a trading range 68 - 80 and there are 2 potential bull channels and we are at the top of both. Bears want a strong reversal and trading back to the tight bull channel bottom at around 76. They also see 3 clear pushes up inside that channel and have reasonable arguments to short up here and make bulls want to take profits.
outlook last week: “neutral (means sideways)” → bad outlook, since we got a big bull breakout
short term: sideways to down for a pullback but market is clearly always in long for now. so pullbacks will fail and we trade higher to at least 79.5 or 80.
medium-long term: odds for higher prices (up until maybe 90) raised significantly but i want to see market trading above 80 first. above 80 i turn full bull for 90 or higher.
CRUDE OIL BULISH STRUCTURE FORMATIONcrude oil last trading week completed its bullish structure, thus indicating the potential for price to exceed $90 in the coming days. The market has witnessed the formation of a bullish structure characterised by higher-low and higher-high, signifying a positive momentum in the oil market.
N.B!
- USOIL price might not follow drawn lines . Actual price movement may likely differ from the forecast.
- Let emotions and sentiments work for you
- ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades
#usoil
#crudeoil
#wti
#brentoil
WITH BULLISH STRUCTURE ESTABLISHED, BRENT OIL TO RISE ABOVE $90Brent oil last trading week completed its bullish structure, and thus indicating the potential for price to exceed $90 in the coming days. The market has witnessed the formation of a bullish structure characterised by higher-low and higher-high, signifying a positive momentum in the oil market.
N.B!
- UKOIL price might not follow drawn lines . Actual price movement may likely differ from the forecast.
- Let emotions and sentiments work for you
- ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades
#usoil
#crudeoil
#wti
#brentoil
Crude oil back about $96 a barrel With the slowing of oil production
and conflict at the Nile, I think that oil prices are
going to increase, if the fed decides to cut or leave interest rates unchanged
this may weaken the USD and strengthen other currencies creating more demand for oil
and if inventory continues to lessen you will see a further surge in oil prices.
otherwise, if the fed raises interest rates next week and productions issues come to resolve
oil prices will begin to drop and I will update this post with a bearish Analysis.
a daily price action after hour update - wti crude oilGood evening and i hope you are well.
Here is a quote from my substack on Monday about oil:
"Most interesting market today. I do believe its a breakout of the bear channel, beginning 2023-09, if bulls can generate follow through tomorrow/Wednesday. The trend line on higher time frames is more of an area than a narrow line with exact prices. But we are there and had a strong bull day. This could be leg 2 of a 3 legged move and a measured move target could bring us to around 80 again. That would certainly make a whole lot of bears cover and fuel the rally probably further. I’d be very cautious with shorts here and look for strength.
short term: sideways to up"
Being prepared pays. Daily close above 75 and market is accelerating. 80 is my next target but i don’t think we get there without a pullback first. PB could be deep to the lower bull wedge around 75.5 but if we get there, the odds that it holds are excellent.
short term: very short term, sideways to down but ultimately bullish for target 80. from there i wait for market to show new impulse.
medium-long term: up
trade of the day: that 1h 20ema held since Wednesday before us open. look for longs.
USOIL. will continue range trade?#USOIL.. market is in range from last 4 to 5 weeks.
The reason is market have upside strong resistance.
If it will continue his range trading then again drop expected from here.
Otherwise if market clear upside then upside areas also mentioned.
Trade wisely
Good luck
Crude oil is a buy with S/L 70.00The entry prices for long position at 71.80 and 70.60 offer attractive entry points near support levels. A stop-loss at 70 provides a good risk management buffer, limiting potential losses if the trade turns against us. The target prices at 73 and 75 represent potential profit levels based on technical analysis.
CRUDE OIL (WTI) Bearish Move From Key Level 🛢️
WTI Crude Oil formed a double top pattern after a test of a strong horizontal resistance.
Its neckline breakout is a strong bearish confirmation.
We can anticipate a retracement at least to 73.0 level now.
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Light Crde Oil ( CL1!, US Oil ).... BULLISHAs I mentioned in the Weekly Outlook video, I expected the fair value gap + the bullish breaker block to hold price, and provide support for a potential rally. It chopped since Tuesday, but we've seen the bulls come in and slowly start to move price higher.
I expect that price will continue that move today.
I am looking for price to pullback a bit, after taking the yesterday's high. I should pullback halfway into Thur's candle, and push higher towards the highlighted draw on LQ (red line).
If it doesn't happen today, then I look towards the beginning of next week for it to play out.
May profits be upon you.
USOIL Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance )
Risk Disclaimer:
Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in these analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Important Key Levels to Watch Next Week 🛢️
Here are the important key levels & structures to watch next week on WTI OIL.
Support 1: 69.3 - 70.4 area
Support 2: 67.7 - 68.7 area
Resistance 1: 75.2 - 76.2 area
Resistance 2: 78.5 - 79.7 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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Crude Oil (#WTI): Detailed Structure Analysis 🛢️
Please, check the important key levels on ⚠️WTI Crude Oil.
Support 1: 69.3 - 70.4 area
Support 2: 67.7 - 68.7 area
Resistance 1: 75.2 - 76.2 area
Resistance 2: 78.5 - 79.7 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️