Cryptomarket
Elliott Wave Analysis on Bitcoin (BTCUSD)Elliott Wave Analysis on Bitcoin (BTCUSD)
Wave (I) and Wave (II) on Weekly Time Frame
Starting from the beginning of the Bitcoin chart, the first significant move up in price has been labeled as Supercycle wave (I). This wave represented the initial major bull run in Bitcoin's history, culminating in a peak, followed by a corrective phase, labeled as Supercycle wave (II). This corrective wave ended at the low observed in November 2022.
- Supercycle Wave (I): This wave exhibited impulsive characteristics with five clear subdivisions (waves 1, 2, 3, 4, and 5).
- Supercycle Wave (II): This was a corrective wave, taking the form of an ABC correction, and concluded in November 2022.
Wave (III) on Weekly Time Frame
Since the low of November 2022, Bitcoin has been unfolding Supercycle wave (III). This wave is expected to be a major bullish phase, often characterized by strong upward momentum and significant price increases. Wave (III) typically shows the following characteristics:
- Strength and Momentum: Wave (III) is usually the longest and most powerful wave in a five-wave cycle.
- High Volume: Accompanied by increased trading volume, indicating strong market interest.
- Impulsive Nature: This wave should subdivide into five smaller waves on a lower time frame, confirming its impulsive nature.
Subdivisions of Wave (III) on Daily Time Frame
Within the context of Wave (III) on the weekly time frame, we are currently analyzing the subdivisions on the daily time frame. The current structure suggests the following:
- Wave ((1)) of Wave (III): This wave is unfolding and subdividing into five smaller waves.
- Wave (1), (2), and (3) of ((1)): These waves have been completed.
- Wave (4) of ((1)): Recently completed around April 2024.
- Wave (5) of ((1)): Expected to breach the all-time high to confirm the start.
Current Status and Invalidation
- Current Status: Bitcoin is potentially in Wave (5) of ((1)) of Wave (III), which needs to breach the all-time high for confirmation.
- Invalidation Point: If the low of April 2024 (where Wave (4) finished) is breached, this would invalidate the current count. It would suggest that Wave (4) is still unfolding, possibly as a double correction.
Characteristics and Structure of Wave (III)
1. Wave ((1)): Typically the smallest wave but should be identifiable as a five-wave move.
2. Wave ((2)): A corrective wave, usually retracing between 50% to 61.8% of Wave ((1)).
3. Wave ((3)): Often the largest and most powerful wave, usually extends to 161.8% of Wave ((1)).
4. Wave ((4)): Another corrective wave, typically shallow, often retracing 23.6% to 38.2% of Wave ((3)).
5. Wave ((5)): Completes the impulse sequence, may extend or truncate but should be a five-wave move.
Conclusion
The Elliott Wave analysis on Bitcoin (BTCUSD) indicates a bullish market ahead, driven by the development of Supercycle wave (III). This analysis is based on the assumption that the low of April 2024 will hold, confirming the end of Wave (4) of ((1)) and the start of Wave (5) of ((1)). If this low is breached, the market might still be in Wave (4), unfolding as a double correction.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
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Explanation of my video analysis:
Back in 2020 Binance Coin created a decent bullish break and retest of a horizontal structure which was followed by a rally of 10.000% towards the upside. After this rally, which ended in April of 2021, Binance Coin has been trading sideways ever since. Currently it seems like Binance Coin is preparing another bullish breakout, which could lead us all the way up to $70.000 in the future!
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Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Ocean merger with Fet and Agix offers opportunityOCEAN, FET and AGIX look to be migrating to ASI
This is a very interesting move as we see the market began a wave of M&A. It is important to keep an eye on these developments and can be a sign of industry about to send it higher.
OCEAN opportunity
With OCEAN being on OP it offers a low cost gas fee to buy into. It looks like it will have the lowest conversion rate of 1 OCEAN = 0.433226 ASI while 1 AGIX = 0.433350 ASI and 1 FET = 1 ASI. This is quite fair considering current prices.
This merger could lead to be a bit of volatility
Must be careful of the swings created by this expectations and speculations. While migration may offer an opportunity for OCEAN holders there is also significant risk. Ideally, ASI will be better placed come bull market but can be safest to wait for ideal entries to reduce risk.
Ethereum - $5.000 retest soon?Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at Ethereum .
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Explanation of my video analysis:
By connecting the significant highs from 2018 and 2021 and the significant lows from 2019 and 2022 you can see that Ethereum is clearly trading in a rising channel formation. Furthermore Ethereum is approaching the previous all time high which is roughly at the $4.500 area but even then the path of least resistance is certainly higher. Eventually I do expect a retest of the $5.000 level.
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Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
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Explanation of my video analysis:
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Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
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Explanation of my video analysis:
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Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
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Explanation of my video analysis:
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Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
ETHUSD: Thoughts and Analysis Today's focus: ETHUSD
Pattern – Continuation
Support – 2878 & 3060
Resistance – 3150 & 3315
Hi, traders. Thanks for tuning in for today's update. Today, we are looking at ETHUSD on its daily chart.
Do we have a continuation confirmation? Firm buying continues to push that case as the price continues to track higher today. Do you agree with our top-down analysis?
Watch out for any new push lower that moves back to support. This could be a warning that buyers don't have the number just yet.
Good trading.
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Explanation of my video analysis:
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Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
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Explanation of my video analysis:
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Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
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Explanation of my video analysis:
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Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
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Explanation of my video analysis:
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Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
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Explanation of my video analysis:
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Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
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Explanation of my video analysis:
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Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
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Now, let's take a quick trip down memory lane and revisit our last analysis. We talked about support zones, resistance levels, and the thrilling highs and lows of the Bitcoin rollercoaster. But guess what? The saga continues! With recent developments shaking up the market, it's time to dive back into the fray and see where the winds of fortune take us.
Picture this: We're keeping a keen eye on the charts, waiting for that sweet, sweet pullback to the FWB:65K levels. But hold onto your hats, folks – there's a chance we might see an even deeper retracement on the higher timeframes. It's like trying to tame a wild bull – unpredictable, exhilarating, and just a tad bit nerve-wracking!
But fear not, brave traders – the Bitcoin halving has come and gone, and you know what that means: bullish momentum galore! So, whether you're a seasoned HODLer or a daring day trader, now's the time to seize the moment and ride that bullish wave like there's no tomorrow.
And hey, speaking of waves, remember the golden rule of crypto trading: Dollar-cost averaging could be your best friend right now. So, grab your surfboards and hang ten as we navigate these choppy waters together!
But hey, let's not forget the most crucial piece of advice: Keep an eye on the news! With Elon Musk lurking in the Twitterverse like a mischievous crypto wizard, you never know when a single tweet could send the market into a frenzy.
So, here's to the thrill-seekers, the risk-takers, and the crypto crusaders – may the charts be ever in your favor, and may your profits be as plentiful as a Bitcoin bull run!
Keywords: BTC/USD, trading update, Bitcoin analysis, support zones, resistance levels, risk management, trading decisions, volatility, investing, cryptocurrency news, rollercoaster ride, dollar-cost averaging, HODLing, Bitcoin halving, Elon Musk tweets.