GBPUSD Elliot wave Monthly chart update , 28.07.20 All the predicted bearish models are invalidated buy the current price move today
To be honest I was so bearish but this is Forex and things does not always go in our way.
So today it proved that we finished wave X and we are in the Y leg of the 4th wave correction in the monthly chart
I am expecting the GBP price gets to 1.39$ finally. this price prediction is based on the **flat correction model**.
This price target is a cluster that is confirmed by fibo and reverse RSI methods
I will publish the bullish models for daily and hourly charts after the current up trend stops
For now do not short or long the market as It is very hard to fit a model to this move. there are couple of models valid now so I can't chose on until this up trend stops
Elliotwavecount
LZB, big SHORT possible from rising wedgeStock Practice #3
Multiple confluences of bear trend -
1. Creating a picture perfect Elliot wave pattern called Impulse Wave Ending Diagonal.
2. Could also be called a rising wedge that will produce a bear trend.
3. Bear divergences occurring in multiple time frames.
4. ATR at mutl-year highs, could help with the breakdown of the rising wedge pattern.
Wait for confirmations for trend-line break.
Trend Analysis: ROKU - Elliot Wave and C&H PatternNot an expert at EWT , but it's relatively easy to see a wave 4 correction of larger wave 3. I'm targeting a pullback here before earnings to the horizontal white line (which was previous resistance before the recent breakout) and then continuation of wave 5 of 3 to about $210 (2.618 x total length of wave 1 (which is about 80 ($140-$60)). Furthermore, I see the wave 4 correction allowing for a potential handle of a cup n handle pattern. Which takes the chart ultimately to about $260 before the next consolidation phase.
SPX CASH INDEX FORMING ENDING DIAGONAL FINAL HIGHUpdate on my last post on SPX futures but this time on the cash.
My opinion that an ending DIagonal final wave C (in the Bear Market Rally since March lows) is being formed has not changed.
Ending diagonals can be tricky creatures and we often see short-term sharp overshoots of the top trendline in the final 5th subwave.
The above count is the worst-case scenario I see for the bears.
We should end this ending diagonal anytime in the next 1-3 trading days so the final subwaves I have shown rising above are not necessary but I believe based on the latest price action a very real possibility to give the "right look" to the ending diagonal.
Link to my longer-term Elliotwave counts on the S&P 500 futures is below.
Cheers!
Cyrus
Hdfc bank good short candidateHdfc bank positional short candidate,, can be sold in range 1080 to 1130,,
view gets negated above 1200 levels on closing basis
down side breaking 983 and closing below this levels for 2 consecutive days would confirm trend reversal
fast and furious fall can be seen below 983 levels to levels of 888,,777
time horizon will be 2-3 months,,,,,
Complete elliot wave analysis on S&P 500 recent moveYou can see the complete wave analysis of S&P 500 recent crash and pullback.
All the structures have been confirmed using fibo rations as can be seen in the chart.
my opinion is that the current uptrend is a 1-2-1-2 structure, we are at the end of the correction level for the last second wave and after that we will see a wave 3/3. that should scream!
SPX FUTURES (SPX500USD WAVE 3 OF 1 OF 3 DOWN NEXTOn July 1st I posted the Elliot Wave Count since the Feb highs to July 1 and outlined the future path DOWN.
This is an update on that post zooming in on the minute wave counts down from the recent wave 2 (of 3 of C DOWN).
On the left is the same chart (also see a link to that post below) where I have not moved my projections (see red line down of wave 3 shown).
As can see so far we are nicely following along that path.
I believe today marked the top of minute wave 2 of wave 1 of 3 (of C) down which formed a complicated series of 3 wave moves in a corrective TRIPLE ZIGZAG.
Wave 3 of 1 of 3 of C down is next and I have shown the Fibonacci 1.618 projection of the size of leading diagonal wave (I) form today's corrective (ii) up.
The Trendline shown on the daily chart has been respected and next major waves are DOWN from here.
If this count is correct we should close the week on a solid red candle down and resume the drop next week with more minor corrective bounces punctuating the drop.
RALLIES ARE TO BE SOLD HERE ON OUT!
VIX is bottoming out in minor wave 2 UP also and I am expecting a massive volatility spike coming in the next few days which confirms the above S&P count DOWN.
VXN is still not confirming the new highs in the NASDAQ100 (NDX) which signals a bearish divergence and a top in the NASDAQ should be right around the corner and the NASDAQ will follow the DOW and S&P DOWN.
All the sentiment indicators I am following (Put/Call Ratios De-trended, Daily Sentiment Index (Trade Futures.com), Dumb Money confidence, Sentimentrader.com's CNN Fear & Greed Index PROXY, etc .) are all showing still extreme bullishness with plenty of room to drop before bearish extremes are reached.
The BEARS are about to be rewarded for their patience.
Cheers!
Cyrus
USDCAD BULLISH RALLYThe USDCAD chart below is analyzed using both elliott wave and Demand and supply zone(the two most powerful technical analysis tools).The wave 2 of wave 3 extension is a potential zigzag in formation which on completion will end in the Demand zone(potential zone where buyers will come into the market massively) hence, a bullish rally is expected to end at the 1.618(no extension) or 2.618 (extension) fibonacci level as those are levels where wave 3 tends to end.The risk to reward ratio is compelling.......more pips guys....Kingofthemarket says hi
VIX ABOUT TO EXPLODE HIGHERElliot wave counts on VIX.
It calls for VIX (volatility and fear) to soon explode higher in line with my Elliotwave bearish projections on the S&P Futures (SPX500USD and SPX) and higher calls for the US Dollar Index (DXY).
See below links for Elliotwave counts just posted on S&P Futures and US Dollar Index.
RIsk OFF is about to enter the markets in a major way.
Even though I call for wave C DOWN in the S&P to reach (slightly exceed) the March lows I believe VIX will reach a LOWER High than the March highs as I see the coming wave C down in the S&P to be more orderly and less violent than the Feb and March crash in the S&P.
It is notable the VXN DID NOT MAKE A NEW LOW when the NASDAQ 100 has been making higher highs. This is a Major red flag and warning signal that the NASDAQ has gone too far. See link to he VXN and NASDAQ divergence comparison below also.
Cheers!
Cyrus
EURCAD ShortThis pair is currently within an expanding channel. Now, after a bearish push which started last June 12, 2020, price has corrected and formed a rising wedge pattern. Expecting a reversal from the 78.60% fibonacci retracement level. A bearish candlestick reversal would be a good signal for the completion of wave E.
The coming days could be redIt looks like we've reached a top of wave 2 for the current C wave and we're know preparing for a move further down. I've drawn a possible pattern we could follow the next weeks. Wave 1 of the C wave was 155 points, so we should see wave 3 be even large then that - possibly moving down to around 2900 before wave 5 could reach 2800 which would act as a very strong support for the market to bounce off of. A wave down below the bottom of wave B where i've drawn the red line would be confirmation that we're in a strong move down.
S&P500 Primary Elliot Wave count.Y wave went 0.618 to the tick.. w/ the hidden bullish divergence im leaning more bullish combined with the fact we didn't go 90%+ to meet the strong guideline for an X wave which would likely make this an expanded flat to complete 4 of the impulse that began in 2009.
still holding my $SNAP puts waiting to see how Monday plays out.
GBPUSD is creating the last impulse wave 🦐GBPUSD is creating the last impulse wave of Elliot's theory. If the price will break the resistance and retest it, we can set a nice long according to Plancton's Strategy, otherwise we can wait on 0.5 fib where we aspect a bounce.
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Here is the Plancton0618 technical analysis, please comment below if you have any question.
The ENTRY in the market will be taken only if the condition of Plancton0618 strategy will trigger.
GBPJPY WAVE 4 SHORT We can see that there is some divergence from wave 3 to 5 of WAVE 3 . This shows that a short is in play. As Ellioticians, we look at WAVE 4 to not go beyond 38% of WAVE 3. Once WAVE 4 is completed I will be looking to buy this market for its final push to the upside before it comes back down.Be very careful when trading this, as corrections are risky to trade. If you do trade corrections, always trade the final C wave only.
I look it as Wave A to be a sign that it wants to go down. Wave B gives the possible entry and stop loss as well as TP. Wave C is where you should trade it. However, the market is on bullish trend as Major market levels have been broken. In my opinion, the trend is your friend till the very end till it bends. The overall trend is bullish, I will be looking to buy the market instead of selling this correction. Remember, its only correcting to go back up for one last push.
Please do not consider this as a signal.
Capital preservation is important.
Trade responsibly.