“Weak Demand Signals Potential for a Lower Low”Currently, the position of NCF1! or Newcastle Coal is within wave 5 of wave (C) of wave , indicating that Newcastle Coal remains vulnerable to further corrections toward the 86.55–96.15 range, as represented by the black labels.
A similar pattern is observed in the red labels, where Newcastle Coal is also nearing the completion of wave (5) of wave .
We observe continued pressure on coal demand due to weak consumption and oversupply, as many countries are increasingly investing in renewable energy sources amid slower global economic growth.
Fibonnacci
Altseason 2025 is upon us *A different take*Welcome back dearest reader,
I've been covering some altcoins i'm bullish on, and a deeper dive into bitcoin dominance is key for their succes. Well the downfall of the dominance that is.
On the chart:
~The fibonacci extension has shown gradual weakness throughout the cycles starting at the 1.618 then the 1, now the 0.786 is inbound. I expect it to be hit soon topping at around 66% dominance. We can see what happened next ''1''
~MFI is hitting an oversold zone like never seen before on the 3 month ''2''
~Stoch RSI is hitting an oversold zone and is bound to see a cross ''3''
Load up on your favourite alts and enjoy the ride.
~Rustle
EURUSD - Bearish Breakout or Bullish Rebound? Key LevelsThe EUR/USD 1-hour chart shows a bearish breakout from the rising channel, indicating a potential shift in momentum. Price is currently interacting with the Fair Value Gap (FVG), making this a critical decision point.
Here are three possible scenarios:
✅ Scenario 1: If price reclaims the FVG and re-enters the bullish channel, we could see a rally toward the 0.618-0.65 Fibonacci retracement level.
❌ Scenario 2: Price could reject at the FVG and continue its bearish momentum but remain above recent lows.
📉 Scenario 3: A stronger bearish continuation could push price further down, breaking through key support levels.
Which scenario do you think will play out? Drop your predictions below! 🔥📊
$NIO Wyckoff Accumulation – Schematic #1 or #2 in PlayMy base case at the moment is Wyckoff Accumulation Schematic #2 , where the Secondary Test ( ST-B ) could mark the very bottom. This idea will be validated for me especially if we see interaction with the High Time Frame Channel projection.
Green Zone:
We have multiple levels of confluence around this zone:
0.786 Fibonacci Retracement from the 2020 low to the 2021 top
MO – Monthly Open level
Volume cluster from previous local consolidation
Blue Zone:
If price drops as low as VAL, I expect it to be just a quick, volatile wick breaching into the Blue Zone.
High Time Frame Channel projection:
ETH - Bearish Reversal Expected from FVG ZoneIn this 1-hour chart analysis of ETHUSDT on Bybit, we observe a potential price reaction from a Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone. The current downtrend has left an imbalance in the market, and price is retracing towards the 0.618 - 0.65 Fibonacci retracement levels , which align with the FVG area.
Key Observations:
🔹 Market Structure: The price is in a bearish trend, forming lower highs and lower lows.
🔹 FVG & Fibonacci Confluence: A strong resistance zone is marked within the $1,980 - $2,000 range, coinciding with the Golden Pocket (0.618 - 0.65 Fib levels) .
🔹 Expected Price Action:
- A bullish retracement ( green path ) into the FVG zone.
- A rejection from this resistance area, leading to a continuation of the downtrend ( red paths ).
- Potential targets for the drop are around $1,860 - $1,800 , aligning with previous liquidity zones.
Trading Plan:
📌 Short Entry: Around $1,980 - $2,000 if rejection signs appear.
📌 Stop Loss: Above $2,020 to invalidate the bearish setup.
📌 Target: $1,860 - $1,800 based on historical support levels.
This idea is based on market imbalance and liquidity dynamics , so watching for confirmation before entering a trade is crucial. 🚀🔍
Bitcoin Squeeze Point – Breakout or Breakdown?Bitcoin is approaching a key inflection zone where the Daily Downtrend Resistance and the Monthly Uptrend Support intersect. This confluence could be setting the stage for a major breakout or breakdown, and the next move could define BTC’s medium-term trend.
🧠 Key Levels to Watch:
Daily Downtrend Resistance (Red) – Price is testing this descending trendline again.
Monthly Uptrend Support (Green) – Strong support held since August 2024.
Fibonacci 0.5 Level (~79.3K) – Acting as mid-zone control point.
Fibonacci 0.618 Golden Zone (~72K) – Strong historical retracement support.
🟦 Bullish Scenario (Blue Arrow):
If BTC breaks above the daily downtrend and holds above the green uptrend line:
Possible target: 110K, aligning with the 1.0 Fibonacci extension.
Would confirm continuation of the larger bullish trend.
🔻 Bearish Scenario (Not drawn but implied):
If BTC breaks down below 79K and the monthly trendline:
Eyes on 72K for a potential bounce at the 0.618 Fib level.
Below that, potential deeper retracement toward the 65K–60K zone.
⏳ Conclusion:
BTC is sitting at a high-confluence zone. This is not the time to chase—wait for confirmation of breakout or breakdown before reacting.
Gold Price Outlook: Key Fair Value Gap (FVG) and Potential PriceThis 4-hour chart of Gold/USD highlights a critical Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone in the $2,960 - $2,980 range. The chart outlines two potential scenarios:
1. A bullish reaction with a price push toward the $3,040 resistance level.
2. A bearish move breaking below the FVG, targeting the $2,880 support zone.
Traders should monitor price action within the FVG for confirmations, with upcoming economic events marked at the bottom as potential catalysts.
LINK/USDT - Bullish Channel Breakout and FVG Re-TestThe LINK/USDT chart showcases a clear uptrend within a bullish channel. Currently, there’s a potential retracement towards the Fair Value Gap (FVG) around the $14.50 zone, offering a possible entry opportunity. If this zone holds, a new bullish impulse could push the price toward the channel's upper boundary around $16.50. Watch for price reactions in the FVG zone to confirm the continuation of the uptrend.
What is Gold Waiting For? Is This the ATH 3045? In our group, we secured profits in two rounds when gold hit an all-time high of $3045. Currently, we are still focusing on selling at $3040-$3045, as this is the liquidity grab zone for sellers.
I believe we can still trade within the sideway range, and be cautious of the two liquidity sweep zones as I have marked in the image.
Sell Liquidity 3040-3045: We can place Sell Limit orders in this area.
Buy Liquidity 3020-3025: We can place Buy Limit orders in this area.
The reason for this sideway phase of gold is that the market is awaiting the Fed meeting at 1:30 AM tomorrow, March 20th. After that, a strong trend will emerge. My plan is still leaning towards the Buy side, as the market is currently concerned about a potential economic recession in the US.
Therefore, we can focus on making small profits during this sideway period and wait for the next upward wave.
Thank you for your review, and I hope you'll stay longer by pressing Follow.
$AIOZ @AIOZNetwork Future Outlook - with Wider Range$AIOZ @AIOZNetwork ─ Wyckoff Re-Accumulation Schematic #1 or #2 scenarios.
Wider Trading Range: Range defined by Pivots from AR ─ ST
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Note:
A long trade is the most bullish scenario possible.
As always, my play is:
✅ 50% out at TP1
✅ Move SL to entry
✅ Pre-set the rest of the position across remaining TPs
It's important to take profits along the way and not let a winning trade turn into a losing one.
TRUMP/USDTFundamental Overview of TRUMP/USDT:
Official Trump Coin (TRUMP) has gained attention due to its association with former President Donald Trump. With a current price of $11.86 and a market capitalization of approximately $2.37 billion, TRUMP ranks among the notable digital assets in the market. (coinmarketcap.com) Its popularity and volatility attract both investors and traders seeking new opportunities.
Technical Analysis:
We see that TRUMP coin is currently trading within a descending channel, respecting two trendlines that form a falling wedge pattern. If the downward momentum persists, we expect the price to drop into the $4.5-$5.0 range, where we anticipate strong buying pressure to emerge.
Key VWAP levels, highlighted with green circles, act as price magnets, making them crucial points of interest for a potential reversal. Additionally, Fibonacci retracement levels indicate significant resistance around $21.15 (0.618 Fib) and $24.22 (0.786 Fib), which could serve as key breakout targets if the price initiates an upward move.
If the price successfully reclaims these resistance levels, a bullish scenario could unfold, potentially targeting $30+ in the mid-term. However, failure to hold support around $4.5-$5.0 could lead to further downside exploration.
Falling Wedge Breakout in Play? Key Levels to Watch!After analyzing the chart across multiple timeframes, we have identified a Falling Wedge pattern, signaling a potential bullish breakout. Additionally, bullish divergence is visible on most timeframes, reinforcing the likelihood of upward momentum.
Currently, the price is trading above a strong support level at 146.213, indicating a solid base. Our nearest resistance stands at 147.807—a breakout above this level could pave the way for further gains. The next key targets align with the 38.2% and 50% Fibonacci retracement levels, offering potential profit opportunities.
As always, stick to your risk management strategy to protect your capital. Stay disciplined and trade wisely!
What do you think about today's gold price trend on March 10th?t is likely that today, Monday, gold will break below the 2900-2905 support area to move down towards the 50% Fibonacci level to liquidate all BUY orders in the 2880-2900 zone, and will then adjust strongly upwards again in the mid-week and weekend sessions
Wishing you all profitable trading.
RioNguyen
NIO | China will Lead the EV BattleNIO, Inc. is a holding company which engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of electric vehicles. Its products include the EP9 supercar and ES8 7-seater SUV. It provides users with home charging, power express valet services, and other power solutions including access to public charging, access to power mobile charging trucks, and battery swapping. It also offers other value-added services such as service package, battery payment arrangement, and vehicle financing and license plate registration. The company was founded by Bin Li and Li Hong Qin on November 28, 2014 and is headquartered in Jiading, China.
Bitcoin, Mind The Gap (85,720) The massive move initiated from Trumps tweet Sunday about the Crypto Strategic Reserve has left a massive gap on the Bitcoin Futures Chart. Gaps tend to get fill sooner rather than later, with a high 90% hit rate on gaps getting filled.
We could see a pullback this week to fill the gap with another run up following back above 90k to save the weekly close ... again.
We see confluence with the golden pocket (0.6128 - 0.65 Fib) here on that retracement and also the most amount of volume (VPVR) being traded there.
A final test of the demand below 90k, which if shown as support, will lead us back into the range of 90k to 110k.
XAUUSD Refocus Trendback📌Gold price extends the rebound early Monday and re-focuses on the $2,900 level.
📌US Dollar falls as EUR/USD rallies hard on potential Ukraine truce; market mood improves.
📌Gold price recovers but remains below 21-day SMA at $2,895 amid the bullish daily RSI.
🔥Buy Gold
$2832 -> $2834
SL $2825
TP 1->$2840 >2->$2850 >3->$2860
🔥Sell Gold
$2882 -> $2886
SL $2890
TP 1->$2875 >2->$2860 >3->$2855
Ada strategic reserve idea Trump has single handedly turned Ada into a desirable digital asset, as he looks to add it to the U.S strategic reserve along side Bitcoin. Now if it actually happens I believe these fib levels and trend line are good targets. It's crazy how one man can turn vaporware into a desirable digital asset. All bets are off however if the strategic reserve does not get passed. Ada will most likely die then.
BITCOIN FILLED CME GAPToday BTC might have bounced-off a 5 months away gap.
OPPORTUNITY :
Ideal buy was in the now filled CME GAP.
We might revisit these price, so 79100$ remain a good spot for a BUY/LONG alert.
General buy zone is from 72.5k$ to 85k$ and should last until approximately mid April .
TARGETS :
Ideal sell would be 136425$ in late July (23/07).
Probable sell zone go from 130k$ to 160k$ and should span from early June to early August .
MAXIMAL $ TARGET :
- There is still a chance for a powerful leg up, in the event of prices nearing 200k$ , profit will have to be taken regularly and without restraint.
MINIMAL $ TARGET :
- A faillure to break above last ATH, so 110k$ is definitely a partial sell price (and will react).
MAXIMAL time TARGET :
- All positions (including altcoins) should be closed before October 2025.
Based on
Chart Tools :
- Fibonacci levels from Retracement and Extension
- Expansion/Consolidation periods durations tendencies from this bullrun
- Regression over time of said periods
- Percent change of said Expansions periods
Statistical Arguments :
- Past Bitcoin cycles (2016 & 2021) general seasonality
- Coinglass's Bull-Market-Peak-Signals had 0/30 indicators showing a top
Fundamentals :
- Optimistic US inflation
- Peace negociations
- Pro-business policies
- Blockchain technology usage growth
- Bitcoin & major crypto adoption in finance
Bias :
- Up-trend intact
- No hard corrections compared to previous bullrun
- I guess i could use some profit
Mastering Fibonacci Retracement: Spotting Key Market Levels! Fibonacci retracement is one of the most powerful tools traders use to identify potential support and resistance levels in trending markets. These levels, derived from the Fibonacci sequence, help predict where price pullbacks might end before the trend resumes.
How Does It Work?
1- Identify a strong move (trend direction). In this case, we see an uptrend after a sharp decline.
2- Apply the Fibonacci retracement tool from swing low to swing high to map key levels.
3- Watch how price reacts at important retracement levels:
🔸 0.236 (23.6%) – Weak retracement, minor support/resistance.
🔸 0.382 (38.2%) & 0.5 (50%) – Moderate pullback, potential reversal zones.
🔸 0.618 (61.8%) – The Golden Ratio, often a strong level for trend continuation.
🔸 0.786 (78.6%) – Deeper retracement, last defense before a reversal.
How to Use It for Trading?
- Look for buying opportunities at the 0.5 or 0.618 retracement if price finds support.
- Watch for resistance near 0.382 or 0.5 in a downtrend.
- Combine Fibonacci with candlestick patterns, volume, or indicators (RSI, MACD) for confirmation.
In this chart, we see price bouncing from the Fibonacci levels, showing how these zones act as potential support and resistance!