AUDNZD Technical Analysis! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for AUDNZD below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 1.1074
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear High, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 1.1051
Safe Stop Loss - 1.1088
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Forex
MicroStrategy FEAT BTC $500 by 2025 Bitcoin Investment Strategy: MicroStrategy has heavily invested in Bitcoin, making it the largest corporate holder of the cryptocurrency. If Bitcoin's value appreciates significantly, as it has in past cycles, this could directly boost MicroStrategy's stock price due to the large unrealized gains on its balance sheet. Posts on X mention the company's Bitcoin holdings as a major influence on its stock performance.
S&P 500 Inclusion: There's speculation that MicroStrategy could be included in the S&P 500, which would likely result in substantial capital inflows from index funds and ETFs. Analysts like Willy Woo have speculated that this could lead to $10-15 billion in inflows, potentially driving the stock price higher. This is discussed in web results where potential S&P 500 inclusion is seen as a catalyst for MSTR to reach $500.
Accounting Rule Changes: New accounting standards from the Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) effective from 2025 will allow MicroStrategy to report unrealized gains on its Bitcoin holdings, potentially boosting reported earnings and making the stock more attractive to investors. This change could qualify MicroStrategy for the S&P 500 if it reports positive earnings, as noted in several web results.
Capital Raising and Shareholder Votes: MicroStrategy plans to raise significant capital for further Bitcoin purchases, with a shareholder vote to increase the number of authorized shares dramatically. This strategy, including the $42 billion capital plan, could fund more Bitcoin acquisition, potentially increasing the value of the company's assets. Discussions on X highlight this as a move that could lead to a significant run-up in stock price.
Market Sentiment and Bitcoin Cycles: The stock market's perception of MicroStrategy as a Bitcoin proxy means that bullish sentiment towards Bitcoin often translates into gains for MSTR. If Bitcoin experiences another bull run, as some analysts predict, MicroStrategy's stock could follow suit, especially given its aggressive Bitcoin acquisition strategy.
Leverage and Bitcoin Yield: MicroStrategy's use of leverage to increase its Bitcoin per share (BTC Yield) is another factor. By selling shares at a premium over net asset value (NAV) and using the proceeds to buy more Bitcoin, the company can reduce leverage while increasing its Bitcoin holdings per share, which could drive stock price appreciation. This strategy is highlighted in posts on X discussing MicroStrategy's unique approach to Bitcoin investment.
Institutional Adoption of Bitcoin: If larger institutions or even governments start adopting Bitcoin as part of their reserves or investment strategy, this could elevate Bitcoin's price, directly benefiting MicroStrategy. There's mention of possible U.S. government involvement with Bitcoin, which could further fuel this scenario.
DXY Is Going Down! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for DXY.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 108.155.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 107.189 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
USOIL Will Fall! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for USOIL.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 74.10.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 72.60 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
EURJPY Will Go Lower From Resistance! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for EURJPY.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 164.158.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 162.995.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
How to Analyze a Stock ? Key Questions to Ask Before You InvestShould I invest in this stock ? This is a common question investors face many times
But where do you begin? What should you look for, and what pitfalls should you avoid?
This guide will walk you through the essential steps to analyze a stock, focusing on the business itself rather than the stock chart. Since earnings per share (EPS) growth drives returns, it’s crucial to understand how revenue growth and margin expansion contribute over time.
Before buying any stock, ask yourself these six critical questions:
1.Company: What does the business do?
2.Economics: How does it generate revenue?
3.Opportunities: What are the potential upsides?
4.Risks: What challenges could it face?
5.Financials: What do the numbers reveal?
6.Valuation: Is the price justified?
1.What’s the Business?
- Mission: A clear mission drives long-term success. For example, Google’s mission, “to organize the world’s information and make it universally accessible and useful,” is simple yet powerful. Does the company’s mission align with a growing trend or an unmet need?
- Leadership: Effective leadership, especially from founder-led teams or CEOs with a strong track record, often outperforms. Assess the team’s vision, execution skills, and employee approval ratings.
- Products: Are the company’s offerings essential, innovative, or part of a growing market? Consider their uniqueness, potential obsolescence, and innovation history.
2.How Do They Make Money?
- Revenue Mix: Is the company’s revenue diversified or reliant on a single product or customer? A diverse mix offers stability, while over-reliance can be risky.
- Unit Economics: Examine profitability metrics like gross margin and operating margin. Where does the bulk of profit come from?
- Key Metrics: Identify metrics like annual recurring revenue (ARR) for subscriptions or gross merchandise value (GMV) for e-commerce that best reflect the company’s performance trends.
3.What Could Go Right?
- Market Growth: Does the company operate in a growing industry, such as AI or renewable energy?
-Innovation: Look for ongoing R&D and a track record of successful product launches.
-Moat Expansion: Assess the company’s competitive advantage, whether it’s a strong brand, proprietary technology, or cost leadership.
4. What Could Go Wrong?
-Market Disruption: Is the company prepared for sudden changes, like new technologies or regulations?
-Competition: Strong rivals can erode market share. Analyze customer reviews and competitor benchmarks.
- Moat Erosion: A shrinking competitive edge—such as declining pricing power or poor retention—can signal trouble.
5.What Do the Numbers Say?
- Profitability: Check revenue growth, gross margins, and net income for consistent improvements.
- Solvency: Assess the balance sheet for debt-to-equity ratios, cash reserves, and financial stability.
- Liquidity: Positive and consistent cash flow indicates sustainability and growth potential.
6.Is the Price Right?
- Valuation Metrics: Use Price to Earnings (P/E), Price to Sales (P/S), or other relevant metrics depending on the company’s growth stage. Compare these to peers and market standards.
-Investment Horizon: Longer investment timelines can justify higher valuations if growth potential exists.
-Focus on Fundamentals: Valuation matters only if the business is strong. Avoid being tempted by low prices without underlying value.
By breaking a company into these six dimensions, you can turn complex decisions into actionable insights. Start with the business fundamentals, evaluate opportunities and risks, and finish by assessing valuation.
What stock will you analyze next? Let’s put this framework into action now
GOLD Will Move Lower! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 2,644.615.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 2,625.451 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
GOLD SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
GOLD uptrend evident from the last 1W green candle makes short trades more risky, but the current set-up targeting 2,592.930 area still presents a good opportunity for us to sell the pair because the resistance line is nearby and the BB upper band is close which indicates the overbought state of the GOLD pair.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
USD/CAD BULLISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| LONG
Hello, Friends!
We are targeting the 1.443 level area with our long trade on USD/CAD which is based on the fact that the pair is oversold on the BB band scale and is also approaching a support line below thus going us a good entry option.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
CAD/CHF BULLISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| LONG
Hello, Friends!
CAD/CHF is making a bearish pullback on the 1H TF and is nearing the support line below while we are generally bullish biased on the pair due to our previous 1W candle analysis, thus making a trend-following long a good option for us with the target being the 0.631 level.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
GBPAUD Channel Up pull-back expected.Our last GBPAUD signal (September 27 2024, see chart below) couldn't have gone any better as, not only did it hit our 1.92600 Sell Target but the price then also bounced to hit the top of its Channel Up:
The price is currently on a rejection path following the new Higher High of the Channel Up and based on the previous Bearish Leg, it should hit at least the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). As a result, our Target is now 1.09600.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
EUR/GBP Starts ConsolidationEUR/GBP Starts Consolidation
EUR/GBP is consolidating and might aim for a fresh increase above 0.8320.
Important Takeaways for EUR/GBP Analysis Today
- EUR/GBP is trading in a bearish zone below the 0.8330 pivot level.
- There is a short-term contracting triangle forming with resistance near 0.8305 on the hourly chart at FXOpen.
EUR/GBP Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of EUR/GBP at FXOpen, the pair started a consolidation phase after it failed to surpass 0.8330. The Euro traded below the 0.8320 and 0.8300 support levels against the British Pound.
The EUR/GBP chart suggests that the pair even declined below the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.8275 swing low to the 0.8317 high. It is now consolidating losses and trading below the 50-hour simple moving average.
The pair is now facing resistance near the 0.8305 level. There is also a short-term contracting triangle forming with resistance near 0.8305.
The next major resistance could be 0.8320. The main resistance is near the 0.8330 zone. A close above the 0.8330 level might accelerate gains. In the stated case, the bulls may perhaps aim for a test of 0.8380. Any more gains might send the pair toward the 0.8400 level.
Immediate support sits near 0.8290. The next major support is near 0.8285 or the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.8275 swing low to the 0.8317 high.
A downside break below the 0.8285 support might call for more downsides. In the stated case, the pair could drop toward the 0.8265 support level.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
GBP/USD RecoversGBP/USD Recovers
GBP/USD is attempting a recovery wave above the 1.2500 resistance.
Important Takeaways for GBP/USD Analysis Today
- The British Pound is attempting a fresh increase above 1.2420.
- There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at 1.2455 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen.
GBP/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen, the pair declined after it failed to clear the 1.2600 resistance. As mentioned in the previous analysis, the British Pound even traded below the 1.2500 support against the US Dollar.
Finally, the pair tested the 1.2350 zone and is currently attempting a fresh increase. The bulls were able to push the pair above the 50-hour simple moving average and 1.2450. The pair even climbed above the 1.2500 level.
There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at 1.2455. The pair climbed above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.2607 swing high to the 1.2352 low.
On the upside, the GBP/USD chart indicates that the pair is facing resistance near 1.2545 or the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.2607 swing high to the 1.2352 low. The next major resistance is near 1.2605.
A close above the 1.2605 resistance zone could open the doors for a move toward 1.2650. Any more gains might send GBP/USD toward 1.2750.
On the downside, there is decent support forming at 1.2480. If there is a downside break below 1.2480, the pair could accelerate lower. The first major support is near the 1.2455 level. The next key support is seen near 1.2410, below which the pair could test 1.2350. Any more losses could lead the pair toward the 1.2220 support.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
#CHFJPY 1DAYCHFJPY (1D Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price is testing a trendline resistance, which has previously acted as a barrier to upward movement. A bearish engulfing candlestick pattern has also formed near this resistance zone, indicating potential selling pressure.
Forecast:
A sell opportunity is anticipated as the price faces rejection from the trendline resistance, supported by the bearish engulfing pattern signaling downside potential.
Key Levels to Watch:
Entry Zone: Near the trendline resistance after confirmation of rejection.
Risk Management:
Stop Loss: Placed above the trendline resistance or the high of the bearish engulfing candle.
Take Profit: Target the next support levels or Fibonacci retracement zones for potential downside targets.
Market Sentiment:
Bearish signals suggest sellers may take control if the price remains below the trendline resistance, maintaining downward momentum.
#GBPCHF 1DAYGBPCHF (1D Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price is trading within a descending channel, respecting both resistance and support levels. It is currently near the upper boundary of the channel, suggesting potential selling pressure.
Forecast:
A sell opportunity may develop if the price respects the channel resistance and shows signs of rejection, indicating a possible move toward the lower boundary of the channel.
Key Levels to Watch:
Entry Zone: Near the channel resistance after confirmation of rejection.
Risk Management:
Stop Loss: Placed above the channel resistance or recent swing high to minimize risk.
Take Profit: Target the midline or lower boundary of the channel for potential downside movement.
Market Sentiment:
The price structure within the channel indicates a bearish outlook, with selling pressure likely to continue as long as the price remains below the resistance level.
#USDJPY 2HUSDJPY (2H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price is trading within a channel pattern, respecting both support and resistance levels. Currently, it is near the upper boundary of the channel, indicating possible resistance.
Forecast:
Wait for a retest of the channel resistance before considering a sell position, as confirmation is required to validate a potential move downward.
Key Levels to Watch:
Entry Zone: After a retest and rejection from the upper boundary of the channel.
Risk Management:
Stop Loss: Placed above the channel resistance or recent swing high.
Take Profit: Target the midline or lower boundary of the channel for potential downside movement.
Market Sentiment:
The setup suggests a cautious bearish bias, but confirmation signals are needed before executing a trade.
EURUSD, swing of the year.FOREXCOM:EURUSD / 1D
Hello Traders, welcome back to another market breakdown.
EURUSD is showing strong bearish momentum after the dollar index DXY
broke above the 2 years range. However, the price is oversold for now. Hence, instead of jumping in at current levels, I recommend waiting for a pullback into the middle of the range zone for a more strategic entry.
If the pullback holds and sell off confirms, the next leg higher could target:
First Resistance: Immediate levels formed during prior consolidation.
Second resistance: Yearly lows.
Stay disciplined, wait for the market to come to you, and trade with confidence!
Trade safely,
Trader Leo.