Breaking Down the FX Market: What You Need to Know Get ready for a packed week of Forex analysis, traders! We're diving into the charts with a focus on the dollar, pound, and euro. But that's just the start - we're also keeping an eye on earnings from big names like Apple, Amazon, and Google. We'll take a look at a few charts on our watchlist and break down both technical and fundamental analysis. This week, we're paying special attention to central bank rate hikes with the ECB, BOE, and FED all in play. With the possibility of rate hikes and NFP on the horizon, it's important to stay ahead of the game. Follow our analysis and insights to make the most of this exciting week! Good luck and let's hit those charts!
Fundamentalanalsysis
GJ - 1 Hr Projection and AnalysisI am leaning towards more of a bullish projection but I'm not sure yet it's too early to tell and I do not trade on Mondays.
It looks so indecisive at the moment, so I need to wait for price to break out and show me what it wants to do. Don't forget we are stuck in choppy and unclear behavior at the moment, especially on the higher Tfs, so I am not looking to force any trades. I need clear and concise price action and behavior before i even think about putting my capital at risk.
For me to take a trade i have pointed out what I would like price to do as that would give me the best position possible for buys.
If it does not retrace back to my Point of interest i will not be trading it this week or at all until it gives me something significant to work off.
I honestly just used to force trades for the sake of it and I also felt like if I wasn't actively taking trades, it meant I wasn't that i wasn't 'working' - but boy was I proven wrong. You should never over-trade or force trades if you are not 110% convinced it has a high probability or working out according to your strategy or trading plan because 9 times out of 10, it will hit your stop loss or blow your account.
So just remember if your pair/s are not giving you enough confirmations or are abiding by your trading plan/strategy - do not trade them because you WILL lose your money. Your trading plan is there to protect and guide you.
Once again - this is just what I would personally like from GJ this week and if it doesn't give me what I want I will trade AJ or not trade at all until i am satisfied with the market conditions for either or each pair :)
GJ - DAILY PROJECTION + ANALYSISFor me to enter i would need GJ to come down and hit the current fib and 158.500 or 157.500 to buy it up.
At 164.500 I'll need to assess what price wants to do to there because it can drop from there or it can retrace temporarily and fake everyone into selling at that fib only to continue bullish and raid everyone's stop losses. (I would if I was a bank)
This is probably my 1st choice of outcome as it just screams pure evil and hedge funds. Now as you can see - there are 2 bullish options and they both just depend on the depth of the retracement at the fib.
Basically, it depends on how pissed off the banks are on a Monday morning (today). If they feel like running everyone out of the market, they will flood the market and cause that deep retracement at about 156.500 or 157.500 or lower and THEN continue bullish.
Or they will only cause a shallow liquidity raid and let some of us live at roughly 162.500 or slightly lower and then continue bullish.
Remember - whatever I say here is not verbatim.
ANYTHING and everything can happen. I am always re assessing and readjusting my analysis's - as some of my projections will change mid-week and I'll then have a new projection depending on how price plays out and also depending on this week's news as there's a lot. (I don't trade news)
I will say this again and again - you MUST adapt to the market. Just because your projection at the beginning of the week says one thing it doesn't mean you need to stick to it just to prove to everyone on trading view and on your Instagram that you are 'right'. You will end up losing all your money and end up deleting your insta and blocking everyone.
During the week, if your analysis plays out differently to your Sunday projection so be it! Who cares if your wrong? Change it and adapt to the market conditions and be confident.
That is the difference between professional and amateur traders. There is no shame in being wrong in your analysis. What's wrong is being stubborn and wanting to always be right just to prove a point. The market doesn't give a f*ck if you are right or wrong it will just eliminate you with everyone else. The traders who adapt and evolve with the market conditions are the ones that make it and thrive. The sooner you can do that, the sooner you will make money consistently. :)
Dixon Tech The company has 18 Manufacturing units spread across the nation and they offer complete solutions to its customers from the Manufacturing and designing to assembly and delivery support across all the verticals.
In FY22, the Co. has incurred a capex of Rs. 417 Crore. It believes that the annual business capex will likely continue to be in the vicinity of Rs. 300 to Rs. 320 Crore for FY 22-23 relating to expansion of capacities across existing verticals & diversifying into new verticals linked to the core of electronics; backward integration, PLI related capex & development of state of art infrastructure.
The Co. received 5 approvals under the PLI scheme of GOI including that for manufacturing of Mobile, Telecom & Networking Products, IT Hardware, Air Conditioners and LED Lighting, which is likely to redefine its revenue model.
and RSI indicates the buy zone today and stock making amazing revenue and profit also and it is a fundamental strong company.
AUDCAD I Potential fall to support following BOC Rate StatementWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
**AUDCAD Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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Hindustan Copper (HINDCOPPER)I think this stock will be a multi bagger stock because due to increasing demand of copper for EV's and cables and many other uses of the copper and it is government holding and biggest player in copper of India.
DISCLAIMER - IT'S MY STUDY PONTS NOT ANY RECOMMENDATION. THIS IS ONLY FOR STUDY PURPOSE.
#stockanalysis #governmentstock
The little 3OO+ pips sell-off before the buy continuation !Price has been ranging for days which is almost spanning into weeks but i strongly believe price should start selling from today into next week.
Short EURCAD @ the marked zone at the top for an optimal trade entry or @ CMP.
Happy new year everyone, we are back at it again this year, lets get it !!!.
catching THE BIG GOLD SHORT!Over last 2 weeks, the market has stopped responding to fundamentals which are showing a stronger labor market than the Fed is willing to tolerate; should have pushed XAU lower.
We're 2 weeks away from the next rate hike (February 1st) and we could see a correction in this time, especially if the market is expecting a less aggressive Fed. In that case, price will likely correct going into the hike and then explode higher on Feb 1-2.
XAU is reaching a key monthly lvl by tomorrow (1937) - valid short.
*NOTE: I'm looking to catch a large reversal and 1937 is 1 of 2 scenarios for this potential upcoming move (see chart for more details)
Ingersoll-Rand (India) Ltd (Small Cap)I think this stock will be a wealth maker in the long term. Bonus point is Promoters holding 75%(Max. holding according SEBI guidelines) and FII's holding increasing continuously and company paying nice dividends and reinvesting of it's earnings and doing expansions. Recently company announce that they will setting up own new plant in GUJRAT. The Co. serves Industries like Aerospace, Chemical Plastics & Rubber, Consumer, Electronics and semiconductors, Environmental, Food & Beverage, among others. Co. has a strong brand presence in the Indian compressor market with a dominant market share of over 45% in the centrifugal compressor segment.
Working Segment:- Ingersoll-Rand (India) Ltd. engages in the manufacture and sale of industrial air compressors. The firm offers products under the following brands: Club Car, Ingersoll Rand, Thermo King, Trane, ARO, American Standard, Ameristar, ARO, BuTech and much more. The company was founded in 1921 and is headquartered in Bengaluru, India.
$PWR Potential Bullish & Bearish CaseNYSE:PWR
$PWR Analysis Breakdown:
11JAN2023
Relevant News : Quanta just scored a new contract for huge construction and optic fiber placement in Colorado.
Financials : Looking at statement of Cash Flows we see Quanta is using reinvested operating income into company asset's last year to pay current debt and lower debt-equity ratio, still exited with 30+ million in cash flow change. With new contract and reinvested capital providing cushion for incoming recession/bear market, this will probably be the last bull rally for awhile (probably until June or July once Fed pivots hopefully start) until project in Colorado starts and they can start seeing positive amounts in accounts receivable.
Daily Chart - Earlier this week $PWR fell below strong support 141.68 PL (price level), on 05JAN2023 $PWR bounces back from 134.41 PL establishing that PL as new support w/ good volume to confirm level. RSI shows momentum died 14DEC2022 where momentum bottomed out at -1.64 w/ MACD sell off dying out and buyers looking to enter market.
4hr Chart - confirms bounce from 134.41 PL , MACD shows steady buyer entry fighting off remaining sellers.
2hr Chart - RSI showing new bullish momentum verified by bullish cross and chart shows buyer/seller fighting started in 06JAN2023 now buyers are pushing forward.
Summary and Consensus :
If tomorrow (12JAN2023) $PWR can confirm a break past 141.68 PL & MACD buyers enter while RSI momentum makes a bullish cross with confirmation on 2hr/4hr chart then $PWR will enter 145 PL zone and hopefully create consolidation to verify new support. With a 1.13 beta rating on Darqube $PWR will flow it's own trend closely and accurately. Current Change = +0.65%
TBLA impresses on new deals and attractive valuationTBLA signed new deals, including Yahoo, and beats EPS estimates for 5 quarters in a row. At 800 mil mkt cap and revenues above 1.2 bn looks attractive. Also the price seems to just have started a bigger move up. TP 40% higher SL 25% lower. Fast traders can cancel the trade at -15%. Adjust your sizing accordingly.
Growth potential for CSGrowth potential for Credit Suisse, that is currently trading at the lowest ever reached.
CS quite likely hit bottom and is slowly crawling out of the hole.
Mismanagement hit the company in the recent years and the recent (few days ago) reshuffle at the top of its Investment Banking division is yet another step for the company to seek a way out of the current situation.
Two important levels are to be monitored in my opinion.
3.40 and 3.80 are two levels to keep in mind as strong resistances to break in order to see a real bull run.
*** This Content is for educational and informational purposes only, you should not construe any such information or other material as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice. ***
ETH - USDT, 1D Interval Resistance and Support I invite you to review the ETH/USDT chart on a one-day interval.
However, here we can use white lines to mark a long-lasting sideways trend channel, while locally it is worth marking a local uptrend line.
Now with the help of Fib Retracement we will check where the price has support, and here we see that we first have a support zone from $ 1213 to $ 1180, but when the price falls below this zone, we have another support at $ 1134 and then 1074 $ at the bottom of the channel and at the previous low.
Looking the other way, in a similar way, we can check where the ETH price will meet resistance. And as you can see, we have the first resistance at $1227, which the price is currently fighting, the next resistance is at $1,251, then we have a strong resistance zone from $1,276 to $1,309, and when the price breaks it, it will go towards the resistance at $1,352, to the top of the channel.
It is worth noting that the volume is very small, but there is a growing advantage of buyers.
The CHOP index indicates that we have a lot of energy, so we can expect more traffic to come. The MACD indicator indicates that we have entered an uptrend, while the RSI is moving around the middle of the range, which makes it difficult to determine a specific price direction.
GBPUSD H4 - Long SignalGBPUSD H4 - Breakout seen on cable, we covered this in the weekly watchlist video at the start of the week on the Youtube channel, and mentioned we really want to see this break and retest play. Hoping to see a corrective test of 1.23 support for long entries over the next 12-18 hours
THE BLUEPRIINT OF THE DOLLA (DXY) Wave 1 is equal to wave 5. It signifies that the high distance of wave 1 is the same high distance with wave 5. The question is what will be the DTD of US dollar next year?. As from the above analysis, I expect a crash in the dollar as of next year. I guess non of us will see it coming.
AUD/USD: FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS AND NEXT TARGET - LONGThe Australian AiG Services Index for November came in at 45.6. Forex traders can compare this to the Australian AiG Services Index for October, reported at 47.7.
Australian Building Approvals for October plunged by 6.0% monthly, and Private House Approvals decreased by 2.2% monthly. Economists predicted a drop of 6.0%and 2.2%. Forex traders can compare this to Australian Building Approvals for September, which collapsed by 8.1% monthly, and Private House Approvals by 7.8% monthly.
The Australian GDP for the third quarter expanded by 0.6% quarterly and 5.9% annualized. Economists predicted an increase of 0.7% and 6.2% annualized. Forex traders can compare this to the Australian GDP for the second quarter, which rose 0.9% quarterly and 3.2% annualized. Capital Expenditure for the third quarter decreased by 0.2% quarterly, the Chain Price Index rose 0.2% quarterly, and Final Consumption expanded by 0.8% quarterly. Forex traders can compare this to Capital Expenditure for the second quarter, which increased 0.5% quarterly, the Chain Price Index, which surged 4.3% quarterly, and Final Consumption, which expanded by 1.2% quarterly.
The Chinese Trade Balance for November came in at $69.84B. Economists predicted a figure of $79.05B. Forex traders can compare this to the Chinese Trade Balance for October, reported at $85.15B. Exports for November plunged by 8.7% annualized and Imports by 10.6% annualized. Economists predicted a drop of 3.6% and 5.0%. Forex traders can compare this to Exports for October, which decreased by 0.3% annualized, and Imports by 0.7% annualized.
Preliminary US Non-Farm Productivity for the third quarter is predicted to increase by 0.6% quarterly and Unit Labor Costs by 3.1% quarterly. Forex traders can compare this to US Non-Farm Productivity for the second quarter, which rose 0.3% quarterly, and Unit Labor Costs, which increased 3.5% quarterly.
US Crude Oil Inventories for the week ending December 2nd are predicted at -3.305M. Traders can compare this to US Crude Oil Inventories for the week ending November 25th, reported at -12.580M. US Gasoline Inventories for the week ending December 2nd are predicted at 2.707M, and US Distillate Stocks at 2.208M. Traders can compare this to US Gasoline Inventories for the week ending November 25th, reported at 2.769M, and US Distillate Stocks at 3.547M.
The forecast for the AUD/USD remains bullish after this currency pair paused its 500+ pips rally.
APTOS: Long or Short? Hello everyone, we are a new derivative exchange Sunflower Corporation. Our aim is to bring value to traders and make trading process more conscious. We would like to explain and demonstrate the project in terms of the product, its competitive advantages, the team, tokenomics, and prospects.
You’ll gain a better understanding of the essence and content of what you are trading, and you’ll look at the token from a different angle, from the fundamental approach and metrics, which will allow you to enter the project more consciously and profitably.
So the first project we would to tell you about is APTOS - APT token
What is the project?
Layer 1 blockchain running on the Proof-of-Stake consensus system. It is based on the Move language.
Blockchain
Aptos is powered by its own blockchain. Diem was the project's original name, and was developed entirely within Meta (ex. Facebook ). Diem was created in 2019 by the team in charge of developing blockchain technology within what was then Facebook . Diem-Aptos was tested in closed mode from 2019 to spring 2022. The open test phase began in the spring 2022, and in October 2022, the APT token was released, and the blockchain began operation on the main network.
PRODUCT PART
Key mechanics:
Its own language (Move) for development
Batch processing of transactions
Parallel execution of transactions
Sharding
Smart contract types definition on the blockchain level
Availability of mem-pool transactions
Strengths:
Fast operation due to mem-pool transactions
High TPS through parallel execution and batch processing
Ease of Dapps development through specific types of smart contracts and proprietary programming language
BUSINESS PART
How does the product make money?
Currently, the only way for the product to profit is through the sale or further investment of native APT token into Aptos ecosystem and other prospective projects.
Aptos Foundation tokens total 165 million, valued at ~ 750 million USD according to current estimates.
Among them, 5 million tokens were initially available, equivalent to approximately $23 million USD by current estimates.
The remaining 160 million tokens have a 120-month linear unlock: ~ 1.3 million APT tokens per month and ~ 6.3 million USD at the current token valuation
In other words, at a monthly APT token price of ~ 4-5 USD, the APT team will receive ~ 5-6 million USD for investment and venture activities.
How can a product make money in the long run?
If Aptos' technical solutions can be implemented, Aptos will be able to sell its infrastructure to financial and technical firms for use in implementing their products or developing joint products. Aptos' declared TPS is ~ 130k transactions, with a target of ~ 160k transactions; in comparison, Ethereum's average TPS is ~ 10 transactions per second, Arbitrum's is ~ 2 transactions per second, and Solana's is ~ 4k transactions per second.
Team
The founders and main developers are former Meta employees who worked on the predecessor of Aptos, Diem/
Funds and investors
Aptos had 3 rounds of investments, total amount of fees ~400m USD
Here are the main investors:
Binance
ParaFi Capital
OAK
Circle Ventures
Apollo
Bixin Ventures
Franklin Templeton Investments
Jump Crypto
Tess Ventures
Superskrypt
Tokenomics
1. Total amount of tokens: 1b APT
2. Current circulation: 130m APT (125m APT for the community and 5m APT for Foundation)
3. Current market capitalization: 610m USD
4. Total market capitalization: 4.6b USD
5. Token unlocks:
a) 160m APT tokensf or Foundation - monthly for 10 years, ~1. 3m APT monthly
b) 385 217 358 APT tokens for the community - monthly for 10 years, ~3.2m APT monthly
c) 324 782 640 APT tokens for key participants and investors - blocking the first 12 months, once every 2 months from 13 to 18
months ~6.7m APT, monthly from 19 to 48 months ~6.7m APT
At the moment, users are not charged for transactions, so validators and stackers are incentivized with APT tokens for the community. This means that by the time the project's initial investors and key players unlock tokens, validators and stackers will have a higher aggregate volume than investors. The situation will level out over time. It is worth noting that, as retail investors and traders follow the trend, APT tokens of validators and stackers will be sold rather than accumulated during a bear market.
CONCLUSION
What to expect in the future?
Aptos is a long-term project. If no technical risks occur, the project will be among the top 10/20 CMCs in terms of capitalization in the long run. Given the amount of money raised by the Aptos team and the monthly unlocks, the project should easily survive the current crypto-winter and grow to be one of the best projects in the industry. We should understand that the first year of Aptos is a year of ecosystem formation, development, and expansion. The same thing happened to Solana and Near.
Our output: long or short
In the short term, given the advantage of retail investors and the availability of futures markets on all of the top exchanges:
On a falling market - short, because the project lacks the critical mass to deviate from the market trend.
On an ascending and positive market - long, capitalization is small, circulation is a little over 10%, Aptos can show very good growth.
In the long term, it is long. The project includes a buffer for quiet work in the next 2-3 years. For example, Near and Solana's resources have been significantly reduced, and the protocols' weaknesses can now be seen.
In any case, your trading strategy, investment and trading planning horizon are significant to make decisions and these decisions are up to you! Thanks for reading this idea and the next one will be about Solana so follow us and get more knowledge about crypto projects.
EURUSD I Bearish breakout to support Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
**EURUSD Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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📈 Warren Buffett famous quotes 📈Warren Buffett famous quotes:
“Time is the friend of the wonderful company, the enemy of the mediocre.”
“Do not take yearly results too seriously. Instead, focus on four or five-year averages.”
“I always knew I was going to be rich. I don’t think I ever doubted it for a minute.”
“It is not necessary to do extraordinary things to get extraordinary results.”
“One can best prepare themselves for the economic future by investing in your own education. If you study hard and learn at a young age, you will be in the best circumstances to secure your future.”
“You know… you keep doing the same things and you keep getting the same result over and over again.”
“I insist on a lot of time being spent, almost every day, to just sit and think. That is very uncommon in American business. I read and think. So I do more reading and thinking, and make less impulse decisions than most people in business.”
“Someone’s sitting in the shade today because someone planted a tree a long time ago.”
“Chains of habit are too light to be felt until they are too heavy to be broken.”
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