EURCAD: BEARISH POSITIONS BELLOW 1.3138 (Updated)
THIS IS AN UPDATE FROM PREVIOUS ANALYSIS SINCE STOP LOSS WAS NOT PLACE ACCORDINGLY TO THE ACTAL ANALYSIS ON THE PREVIOUS ONE FX:EURCAD
Hello folks!!!,
This is my analysis brought to you after deeply analyzing the EUR/CAD Forex pair from a technical, trend and fundamental perspective:
Pivot point : 1.3138
Stop loss : 1.3200 (Updated)
Take profit : 1.2914
Entry Price : 1.3113 (Updated)
Risk/Reward Ratio : 1 : 3.2
If this post was useful to you, do not forget to like and comment.❤️
Trade Safely,
Best Regards,
Yasser Tavarez
Fundamentalanalsysis
Blockchain Companies: Expectation vs RealityCryptocurrency bubble?
When analyzing the financial data of companies in the blockchain/cryptoassets area, more specifically the EPS (Earnings per Share), we can see a huge discrepancy between expectation and reality.
It should be noted that some of these companies have never made a profit during their entire existence, and have negative cash flow.
The question is: to what extent has the market already priced in these negative results?
Would there be more room to fall?
Below is the concept of EPS, and shortly after a snapshot of the current EPS versus expected EPS, from the main companies in the cryptocurrency and blockchain area.
I'm not optimistic about this data, unless there's something that only I didn't see.
What is basic EPS?
Earnings per Share is the amount of earnings per share of issued, ordinary shares. When companies report financial results, earnings per share is one of the most commonly measured metrics.
(TradingView)
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Companies analyzed:
Marathon
Riot Blockchain
Hut 8 Mining
Coinbase
Bitfarms
BitNile
CleanSpark
Core Scientific
Argo Blockchain
Canaan
Hive Blockchain
Digital Bit
Galaxy Digital
BIT Mining
Valour
Ebang
Greenidge
Iren
The Blockchain Group
TeraWulf
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ETFs analyzed:
Proshares Bitcoin Strategy
Grayscale Ethereum Trust
Grayscale Bitcoin Trust
BTC MarketAction Analysis (Techno/Funda Analysis)After breaking its ascending channel that lasted for about 2 months, BTC fell in a falling wedge from the 25,000 to 19,500.
Now BTC is in its demand range and according to the importance of this level which has the potential to reverse price, and the orders available in this range, there are 2 scenarios:
Bullish scenario : It is possible that if the demand increases in this range, the price will rise to the $25,000 range.
Bearish scenario : considering the macro factors ( Economic Data, Inflation, War, Political conflict about the JCPOA which can lead to gas shortage in upcoming winter) and also the price ranging at this level unlike the previous times, if demand decreases and sell pressure increases, we may once again see the price drop to the 17,500 and if it does not hold above this range there is a possibility that the next support will be seen at the 16,400 range.
Fundamentals versus Technical Analysis - Part OneMany people believe that fundamentals are responsible for causing the price to move up and down.
This traditional view couldn't be further from the truth.
Fundamentals are in fact just a story, a narrative. Let me explain.
In the chart you can see 3 price rises represented by 3 arrows.
The fundamentals whether in the financial times, Twiitter, Forbes, NBC, YouTube, Facebook e.t.c would tell you that the price rise was due to:
Whales heavily invested in this crypto on those days.
Or that they trillions of crypto were burnt on those days,
or that Binance and other platforms decided to list that crypto coin on those days. e.t.c These are some examples of fundamentals
Fundamentals have NO bearing on up or down price movement.
See Part 2 to understand why....
Technical Analysis - The Truth - Part 2Imagine you are a detective. You arrive on the crime scene and find a body surrounded by blood at the bottom of some stairs.
The suspect says the victim accidently stabbed himself whilst he fell down the stairs. The story seems credible.
However, the Technical Analysis (the data) tells a different story. It shows that the victim was first poisoned. Then stabbed in the back. Then the body was dragged to the bottom of the stairs.
The Technical Analysis showed the fundamentals up for what they were. A story.
The same is true when trading.
Trading is a science. It is not a mystery. And it has nothing to do with fundamentals.
The Technical Analysis (data) shows that sine waves are responsible for the up and down price movement. The price follows the pattern of the sine wave. Not fundamentals.
The price does not move up because Elon Musk likes that particular crypto, or that they have started to burn more crypto than normal, or because Forbes says the Government are now backing that crypto. e.t.c
Just think about it. Light waves, sound waves, gamma waves, brain waves, electricity all travel through sine waves. They all follow the same pattern.
Price movement is no different. It follows the path, pattern and contours of the sine wave. It is the law of physics.
When the sine waves rises, so does the price. When the sine wave falls so does the price.
If you are not trading sine waves you are trading blind.
I hope this helps.
Regards
Jason
Etherum 2.0 is COMING... More DetailsHello friends
So finally we will ee ETH 2.0 as soon as posibble.
I want to explain more details about MERGE upgrade
and launch day.
then have a look at some NEWS about ETH 2.0.
lets see again whats Etherum 2.0 and MERGE upgrade?
Ethereum will move from a proof-of-work consensus mechanism to a proof-of-stake blockchain known as MERGE
Right now Ethereum uses the same consensus mechanism as Bitcoin known as proof of work.
This requires miners to validate transactions and keep the network secure.
It is slow, costly, and uses large amounts of energy by design.
Proof of stake is different because it gets rid of miners altogether and uses validators
(people who “stake”—or lock-up—Ethereum to keep the network secure and running).
After the upgrade the only way to create new ETH will be to stake pre-existing ETH on the network
which analysts expect could have a deflationary impact on the cryptocurrency.
Moving to proof of stake will then make Ethereum “99% more energy efficient.
Ethereum Merge expected between 10 and 20 September.
Now lets check some HOT news about this happening:
22 August 2022: CME Group to launch Ethereum options prior to ETH 2.0 Merge
17 August 2022: Coinbase pausing ETH deposits during Merge is ‘not significant’
12 August 2022: Ethereum Merge to take place 15/16 September after Goerli success
I hope this upgrade be successful and after that Vitalik can go ahead
SHARDING mechanism...
More incredible things will be happpen...
just BE patient...
Share me your opinion about this article.
are you like this type of atticles???
so let me know..
thanks
BTC GOING $10KIn current economic situation, BTC or any cryptocurrency can't go back to old good nice high price. All world leading economists saying that recession is coming. Remember, All we look for is short. So BTC is going back to price during pandemic which is $6000 - $10000 area (value area for BTC)
USDCHF Headed Upward Pending FOMC NewsWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
**USDCHF - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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$RANA - Consolidation phase + Oversold Technical Analysis
Oversold - William %R on 1Wk chart below -80% and there are reversal signs of a RSI bounce off the 1Wk 30 level.
1D chart showing consolidation phase happening within the wedge.
We need to wait for the consolidation to finalise and 1D indicators to reset before we have a BUY or SELL signal.
Price Target
BUY side price target looking like NOK 48-56. Upside of 9%-27%
Quality Screen
EV/EBIT: 1.86
P/B: 4.68
ROIC: 83.12% with current ROCI at 70.84%
EPS: 1.39 USD
Tesla Fundamental, Technical and IdeasTSLA—Tesla Fundamental and Price Chart Analysis ( Concluding and comparing historical financial health, stability, growth and value of company to current and future projections to help make investment decisions. )
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TSLA Fundamental Analysis
Income Statement
- Income, Earnings and profit margin for Tesla all increased over past 5 years
- Tesla reported higher than forecast earnings for company for the past 4 quarters
Balance Sheet
- Increasing Assets and liabilities with a shrinking Debt-Asset Ratio
Cash Flow ( Value of the Company is ALWAYS a reflection of FREE CASH FLOW )
- 2018-2019 Tesla free cash flow growth risen by 442.2%.
- 2019-2021 Telsa free cash flow growth is still increasing but by smaller percentages. Since 2019
Tesla free cash flow growth decreased by -455.04%.
- Trailing Twelve Month free cash flow for TSLA is nearly 70% higher than free cash flow ending year 2021.
Source: tradingview.com
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TSLA Price Chart Analysis
Tesla decreased more than 50% in value since November 4, 2021 bringing the value of the company near 52 weeks low between 790.00 - 640.00 on Daily timeframe. Largest movements to downside are near Company Earning Announcements ( though Tesla has reported higher than expected earnings for 4 consecutive quarters, the growth rate between the both has been declining.
*Tesla is expected to announce lower than previously forecasted and actual earnings ( @ 1.81/per share ) and
revenue ( @ 16.5 billion ) report today July 20, 2022 during after market hours.*
Sub-chart indicators demonstrates indecision in direction of price with 750.00 being close to the highest price investors are currently willing to pay for stock. Near 790.00 is assumed to be safest and most profitable position to enter a short term sell entry.
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Sentiment for TSLA:
-Short Term Bearish
- Mid Term Bullish
Entry and Exit Levels for TSLA:
-Short Term SELL - up to 2.5 months Holding period )
- Limit 790.00
- Stop Loss 900.00
- Take Profits 400.00
- Reward-Risk 3.50/1.00
Mid Term BUY - up to 5 month Holding period )
- Limit 500.00
- Stop Loss 400.00
- Take Profits 1000.00
- Reward-Risk 5.00/1.00
……………………………………………………………………………………………………………
*Follow me to be notified when new trading ideas are posted, leave comments and/or messages for fundamental and technical analysis for any stock, currency, cryptocurrency, commodities and more.
*All information is to help educate and assist you in your investing/trading journey and doesn’t guarantee any favorable outcomes.
TSLA short term sell signalTSLA Financial Analysis
Income Statement
- Income, Earnings and profit margin for Tesla all increased over past 5 years
- Tesla reported higher than forecast earnings for company for the past 4 quarters
Balance Sheet
- Increasing Assets and liabilities with a shrinking Debt-Asset Ratio
Cash Flow ( Value of the Company is ALWAYS a reflection of FREE CASH FLOW )
- 2018-2019 Tesla free cash flow growth risen by 538.85%.
- 2019-2021 Telsa free cash flow growth is still increasing but by smaller percentages. Since 2019
Tesla free cash flow growth decreased -455.04%
..................................................................................................................................
TSLA Price Chart Analysis
Tesla stock has been decreasing in value since November 4, 2021 losing more than 50% of yearly gains.
Largest decrease in value is near Earning announcements. ( Though Tesla reported higher than forecast earnings—Tesla earnings growth has been declining )
*Tesla forecast to report lower earnings and revenue compared to previous quarter results for the first time in 5 most
recent earning announcements.*
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Sentiment: Short Term Sell - Long Term Buy/Hold
$BTC #Bitcoin Just Gonna Leave This Here (Hmmmm..Maybe?) 😝This is just adding onto my logarithmic regression-inversion theory and how I personally believe the $BTC price movements may specifically play out. The general theory is that the logarithmic regression of $BTC will invert at a certain point in the next 1-3 years, changing the price suppression $BTC has had for its whole life into exponential support. I personally believe this is very possible, with exponential adoption of #Bitcoin for things like sovereign wealth funds, countries' legal tender and possibly even a world reserve asset. If those things (plus other possible variables) occur then this is how I see that possibly playing out.
Here is a detailed explanation of what I personally believe is happening/going to happen here.
Phase 1:
There would be a breakdown of price like we have now (possibly) completed. This would be in order to accomplish a few things for global institutions. Some of those things are:
1) Get Bitcoin out of the hands of the "common man". It would not be possible to acquire the amount of $BTC needed with so many people holding.
2) Cause liquidity issues for exchanges, making it more difficult for just anyone to purchase. (We have already seen this. ex: Voyager, Celsius, etc.)
3)Allow large accounts to be created at more feasible prices, while also providing a good (high) enough entry price to sustain value for the overall asset in the eyes of the public. (To keep people from losing interest)
There are obviously more reasons, but that's another post.
Phase 2:
A relief rally back up to the median range. This will obviously be a very volatile range, as 50% of investors sell (expecting a sharp move downward) and others (possibly the central financial institutions and/or sovereign wealth funds, who will not initially disclose their acquisitions) accumulating within this range.
Because of this volatility, the likely range it will be in, the immediate supports/resistances, and the typical movement of the $BTC price; My current prediction is that $BTC will move upward, after flipping the top of the recent range into support, and break above the main down-trend of a massive flag that $BTC has been forming for over a year. Then after a retest of that upper trend, price will attempt to break the new-found resistance as traders long from that trend line. Believing that this is the last upward movement, traders will then short the resistance level, and other holders may sell out of fear (or just simply because they will be at a break-even price, since a lot of volume was transacted in that range). This range will then prove to be the median range, previously mentioned. $BTC will then make a lower low, again at the upper trend of the flag. This will seem like a "bear-signal" but will actually be a second confirmation of support off of the upper-resistance trend of the flag, which will "fake-out" traders, causing a short squeeze. Then more traders will continue to short as others switch to a long stance. All of these movements will print an inverse-head-and-shoulders, the break-out of which will give $BTC price the momentum needed to make it back up to the $60K-$70K range.
Phase 3:
After making it back to the "all-time-high" range, there will undoubtedly be heavy volatility, as some call for a triple-top and others "FOMO" into #Bitcoin. This volatility, bouncing between the upper regression curve and the inversion curve, will begin to print a "rising-wedge" pattern. The break-out of this wedge will be the ultimate inversion of regression into exponential growth.
This is all pure speculation, however it is based on both, strong fundamental data as well as technical data. I personally believe in this theory, and it could also play out in other ways, but this scenario seems to make the most sense to me at the moment.
**This is my own opinion based on data observed. This is not financial advice.**
GBP/USD:UPDATE | NEWS | PULLBACK BEFORE NEW SELL IMPULSE | SHORTGBP/USD stays pressured near two-year low around 1.1900, BOE’s Bailey eyed
GBP/USD struggles to recover from the lowest levels since March 2020.
Multiple key UK politicians have applied for British President’s seat, tax cuts appear as the key promotion.
Broad fears of inflation, recession join UK retailers’ biggest squeeze since pandemic to weigh on prices.
BOE’s Bailey, risk catalyst will be important for near-term directions.
GBP/USD bears flirt with the 1.1900 threshold during Tuesday’s Asian session, after refreshing the two-year low around 1.1845 the previous day. The Cable pair’s latest losses could be linked to the political moves in the UK, as well as fears of recession.
That said, multiple key British diplomats ranging from ex-Chancellor Rishi Sunak to Foreign Secretary Liz Truss, not to forget present UK Finance Minister Nadhim Zahawi, all are in the race to become the British President after sacking Boris Johnson. While Brexit is the key aspect to favor the candidature, tax cuts are being heard as the promise to win the favor.
Elsewhere, British shoppers cut back on spending for the third month in a row and sales volumes fell by the most since they were hit hard by the COVID-19 pandemic as surging inflation squeezed the economy, an industry survey showed on Tuesday per Reuters.
It should be noted that Bank of England (BOE) Governor Andrew Bailey said, per Reuters, "UK is facing a very big real income shock." The news also exerts downside pressure on the GBP/USD prices amid economic fears in the nation.
On a broader front, the all-time high US inflation expectations and comments from the US policymakers suggesting more pain ahead escalated the fears of economic slowdown, which in turn propelled the risk-off mood and drown the GBP/USD prices. That said, one-year US inflation expectations jumped to the record high of 6.8% in June, versus 6.6% prior, per the NY Fed’s survey of one-year-ahead consumer inflation expectations. Also contributing to the market’s pessimism are the hopes of the Fed’s aggression, previously backed by the latest US jobs report. As per Friday’s release, the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) rose by 372K for June, versus expected 268K and downward revised 384K prior while the Unemployment Rate remained unchanged at 3.6%.
Against this backdrop, equities remained depressed and the US Treasury yields kept flashing recession fears. Further, S&P 500 Futures track Wall Street losses by the press time.
Moving on, the second round of testimony from BOE Governor Bailey will be important for the GBP/USD traders to watch. However, major attention will be given to risk catalysts like political updates and inflation fears.
EURCHF Plan After Swiss Rate Hike Welcome back! Here's an analysis of this pair!
**EURCHF - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future.
Thanks for your continued support!
Brian & Kenya Horton, BK Forex Academy
BTC target $36,653 or $25,218BTC has been consolidating in symmetrical triangle for last 1 month and still there is more room to consolidate further. Upon breakout and retest from triangle, Technical target of this pattern is $36,653 and upon breakdown and retest we can see the target of of $25,218. So right now BTC is ranging in purgatory. There was a wick down on 12th may towards $26,702 but price went back up so right now BTC is in state of wait and watch. Don't take any positions until we have clarity plus weekend is here so expect some choppy movements.
BTC broke the target short and fights with $ 31,822Hello everyone, let's take a look at the BTC to USDT chart on a 1 day time frame. As you can see, price is moving above the local uptrend line.
Let's start with the designation of the support line and as you can see the first support in the near future is $ 31,100, if the support breaks down, the next one is $ 30,340 and $ 29,619 and $ 28,859.
Now let's move from the resistance line as you can see the first resistance is $ 31,822, if you can break it the next resistance will be $ 33,417 and $ 34,974 and $ 37,177.
Looking at the CHOP indicator, we can see that in the 1-day interval we still have a lot of energy to use, while the MACD indicator shows that we are in a local upward trend.
BTC price is based on support!Hello everyone, let's take a look at the BTC to USDT chart on a 1 day time frame. As you can see, price is moving above the local uptrend line.
Let's start with the designation of the support line and as you can see the first support where the price is currently at is $ 29,519, if the support breaks down, the next is $ 28,833 and $ 27,866 and $ 26,650.
Now let's move from the resistance line as you can see the first resistance is $ 29799, if you can break it the next resistance will be $ 31764 and $ 33354 and $ 34944.
Looking at the CHOP indicator, we can see that on the 1-day interval we have a lot of energy to make the next move, while on the MACD indicator we see that the blue line is approaching the red one, if it crosses the red one from above, it can potentially give a local downward trend.
Will we see a triple top on BTC?Hello everyone, let's take a look at the BTC to USDT chart over the weekend 1 timeframe. As you can see, the price is moving in the uptrend channel.
Let's start with marking the support line and as you can see we are currently in the designated support zone from $ 31,251 to $ 26,665, if the support zone is broken, we are still around the previous ATH.
Now let's move from the resistance line as you can see the first resistance is $ 36,758, if you can break it the next resistance will be $ 43,001 and $ 47,937 and $ 53,018.
Looking at the CHOP indicator, we can see that during the weekend interval, some energy has been used, but we still have some further move, while the MACD indicator shows that we are on a decline and we are waiting for the blue line to go up, crossing the red line from the bottom.
BTC continues the sideways trendHello everyone, let's take a look at the BTC to USDT chart on a 1 day time frame. As you can see, the price is moving below the downtrend line.
Let's start with the designation of the support line and as you can see the first support in the near future is $ 28,551, if the support breaks down, the next one is $ 27,719 and $ 26,727.
Now let's move from the resistance line as you can see the first resistance is $ 29,860, if you can break it the next resistance will be $ 31,764 and $ 33,351.
Looking at the CHOP indicator, we can see that we have a lot of energy in the 1-day interval, while the MACD indicator shows that the blue line is moving over the red one. When the blue line crosses the red one from above, we can start a further downward trend.
USD/CAD: Alexa, Play "Put your head on my shoulder"Cute caption, but enough romance, time to get to business! As we can see USDCAD is forming a very nice H&S pattern. The price that is currently at 1.28 is expected to complete the neckline at 1.27 (support #1) with some further correction. This should set up us for a longer-term goal of 1.246. Obviously, these types of trades don’t happen overnight. However, once we zoom in it is important to keep this bigger image in mind and not get caught in crossfire!
IS BITCOIN ON THE VERGE OF FURTHER DIP?Investors are fleeing speculative assets as central banks tighten monetary policy to battle spiraling inflation and dwindling liquidity. The value of TerraUSD or UST, an algorithmic stablecoin that attempts to maintain a one-to-one peg to the dollar, dropped below $1 over the weekend before rebounding, adding to the concern surrounding digital assets. Fears of increasing inflation have caused most investors to take a risk-averse attitude, selling both equities and cryptos to reduce risk.
As a results, we've come to the situation we're currently in. Now, the big question is.. Are we done yet? The answer is most likely no. Though, the variable we can't predict is the longevity of this process. Are we expecting a quick sellout to 25k$ with subsequent recovery or some tedious ranging?
Let's try to take it one step at a time. If we look at the BTCUSD graph right now, one could notice a symmetrical triangle forming after a downtrend. This is usually an indication of another attempt to test lower levels. 25k$ is an important psychological level to watch out for once/if the breakout happens.
Stay safe, fam, and no matter what let's kill this week!