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Geopolitics

Will America's Tech Sovereignty Rise or Fall on a Silicon Chip?In the high-stakes chess game of global technological supremacy, Intel emerges as America's potential knight—a critical piece poised to reshape the semiconductor landscape. The battleground is not just silicon and circuits, but national security, economic resilience, and the future of technological innovation. As geopolitical tensions simmer and supply chain vulnerabilities become increasingly apparent, Intel stands at the crossroads of a transformative strategy that could determine whether the United States maintains its technological edge or surrenders ground to international competitors. The CHIPS and Science Act represents more than a financial investment; it is a bold declaration of technological independence. With billions of dollars earmarked to support domestic semiconductor production, the United States is making an unprecedented bet on Intel's ability to leapfrog current manufacturing limitations. The company's ambitious 18A process, slated for 2025, symbolizes more than a technological milestone—it represents a potential renaissance of American technological leadership, challenging the current dominance of Asian semiconductor manufacturers and positioning the United States as a critical player in the global tech ecosystem. Behind this narrative lies a profound challenge: can Intel transform from a traditional chip manufacturer into a strategic national asset? The potential partnership discussions with tech giants like Apple and Nvidia, and the looming geopolitical risks of over-reliance on foreign chip production, underscore a moment of critical transformation. Intel is no longer just a technology company—it has become a potential linchpin in America's strategy to maintain technological sovereignty, with the power to redefine global semiconductor production and secure the nation's strategic technological infrastructure.
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by signalmastermind
2
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Nov 15, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: As anticipated in last week's analysis, the Eurodollar has sustained its downward trajectory with notable intensity, successfully reaching all predefined targets: Mean Support at 1.069, Key Support at 1.062, a retest of the completed Inner Currency Dip at 1.060, and the realization of the Inner Currency Dip at 1.050. While this downward movement is significant, the following primary target is the Outer Currency Dip at 1.042. It is imperative to acknowledge and initiate a rebound, which is currently taking place, guiding prices back toward the newly established Mean Resistance at 1.063 before resuming the down movement.
by TradeSelecter
Will Religious Tensions Reshape Europe's Financial Future?Europe stands at a critical crossroads where religious tensions are silently transforming its financial landscape, with the CAC 40 emerging as a crucial barometer of this unprecedented shift. What many market analysts initially dismissed as temporary social friction has evolved into a fundamental force reshaping investment strategies and corporate valuations. The extraordinary security measures deployed for the France-Israel football match – requiring 4,000 police officers – signals a new reality that transcends simple event management, pointing to deeper structural changes in how European markets must operate in an increasingly divided society. The continent's financial centers are witnessing a profound transformation as religious tensions ripple through market fundamentals. In France, where Europe's largest Jewish and Muslim populations intersect, companies are frantically adapting their business models to navigate these uncharted waters. Traditional valuation metrics are proving inadequate as firms face rising security costs, shifting urban demographics, and evolving consumer behaviors driven by religious and cultural dynamics. This new paradigm forces investors to consider whether Europe's markets have entered an era where social cohesion rivals financial metrics in importance. The emerging religious divisions in Europe represent more than a social challenge – they're reshaping the very foundation of market analysis. As witnessed in recent events across Amsterdam, Paris, and other major cities, what begins as cultural tension quickly translates into market volatility, altered consumer patterns, and revised risk assessments. Forward-thinking investors are now recognizing that success in European markets requires a sophisticated understanding of religious and cultural dynamics, marking a revolutionary shift in investment strategy. The CAC 40's journey through these turbulent waters may well predict how global markets will adapt to a world where religious tensions increasingly influence economic outcomes.
EURONEXT:PX1Short
by signalmastermind
Is Russia's Financial Fortress Built on Shifting Sands?The transformation of Russia's financial system has been nothing short of seismic. Once deeply integrated with global markets, Moscow's monetary landscape now finds itself in a state of radical reconfiguration, navigating the turbulent waters of international isolation. This shift carries profound implications, not just for Russia, but for the very foundations of the global financial order. At the heart of this evolution lies the Russian Central Bank, whose Governor, Elvira Nabiullina, has found herself at the center of an unprecedented storm. Tasked with controlling inflation amid soaring interest rates, Nabiullina faces a growing chorus of dissent from Russia's business elite - a rare and significant development in a country where corporate voices have long remained muted. This internal conflict underscores the delicate balance the Central Bank must strike, as it seeks to stabilize the ruble and safeguard economic growth in the face of crippling Western sanctions. Russia's financial system has demonstrated remarkable adaptability, forging new international partnerships and developing alternative payment mechanisms. Yet, these adaptations come at a cost, as increased transaction costs, reduced transparency, and limited access to global markets reshape the country's economic landscape. Consumer behavior, too, has evolved, with Russians increasingly turning to cash transactions and yuan-denominated assets, further signaling the shift away from traditional Western financial systems. As Russia navigates this uncharted territory, the implications extend far beyond its borders. The reconfiguration of its financial architecture is shaping new models for sanctions resistance, the emergence of parallel banking networks, and a potential realignment of global currency trading patterns. The lessons learned from Russia's experience may well influence the future of international economic relationships, challenging long-held assumptions about the resilience of the global financial order.
Long
by signalmastermind
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Nov 8, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: The Eurodollar has resumed its downward trend with notable intensity, completing an inner currency dip at 1.075 and stopping just short of the critical support level at 1.068. It is anticipated that the Euro will continue its decline, potentially retesting the completed Inner Currency Dip at 1.060 and reaching the next significant target of 1.054. While this downward movement is of considerable importance, it may also instigate a rebound, guiding prices back to the newly established resistance level at 1.080.
by TradeSelecter
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Nov 1, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: The Eurodollar surpassed our Mean Resistance level of 1.083 during this week's trading session, demonstrating enough strength to initiate a robust interim rebound. However, ongoing selling pressure has pushed the Eurodollar back down to our Mean Support level of 1.083, which now acts as the inverse of the previous resistance. The Euro will likely decline further, potentially hitting the Inner Currency Dip of 1.075 through Mean Support at 1.078. This price action will be significant and trigger an interim rebound to the newly established Mean Support level of 1.082.
by TradeSelecter
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Nov 1, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: According to the analysis of the Bitcoin Daily Chart for October 25, the "Interim Rebound" in Bitcoin has successfully concluded the Main Inner Coin Rally at 73300. It has subsequently retraced to the support level of 69400. This level represents the inverse of the previously completed Inner Coin Rally at 69400. We anticipate initiating a primary rebound, which is expected to support a recovery that will retest the Key Resistance at 73200. This movement will align with the completion of the Main Inner Coin Rally at 73300 and may lead to further progression into the next phase of the bullish trend, designated as the Next Inner Coin Rally at 78500 and beyond. Conversely, we project a potential additional pullback to satisfy the criteria of the newly established Inner Coin Dip at 66200.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradeSelecter
Gold:$2700 in Sight Amid Falling Interest Rates & Rising TensionHey Realistic Traders, let’s dive into the analysis of OANDA:XAUUSD In the H4 timeframe, gold has touched the bullish trendline three times before continuing its upward trajectory. This consistent support underscores the strength of the bullish trend. Recently, the price formed a descending broadening wedge pattern followed by a breakout, signaling further bullish potential. Over the past few days, gold has held strong above the upper trendline, increasing the likelihood of sustained bullish momentum. Additionally, the MACD has made a bullish crossover, indicating upward momentum. With these technical indicators aligning, we could see an exciting continuation of this upward movement toward Target Area 1 at $2,708, or even reaching Target Area 2 at $2,766. However, traders should watch the stop-loss level at $2,614 closely. A break below this level could give bears a chance to take control. Stay tuned and be ready to capitalize on these movements! Fundamental factors support the bullish trend in gold prices. Global central banks are cutting interest rates to boost their economies, leading to weaker currencies compared to gold. Additionally, geopolitical tensions are escalating, exemplified by the unprecedented Israeli attacks on Lebanon and the killing of Hezbollah’s leader on September 27, which may provoke retaliation. This global uncertainty is driving investors to seek safe-haven assets, particularly gold. Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on Gold. " Please support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by financialfreedomgoals101
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Oct 25, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: The Eurodollar has experienced persistent bearish sentiment during this week's trading session, demonstrating insufficient strength to initiate any interim rebound. The prevailing selling pressure has lowered the Eurodollar to our Mean Support level of 1.079. A temporary rebound led to the reversal of the previously established Inner Currency Dip at 1.083, which currently stands as Mean Res 1.083 and might serve as the Interim Rebound's first stage. The Euro appears poised for further decline, potentially reaching the inner currency dip of 1.075, which remains notably significant and triggers second stage Interin Rebound to Mean Sup 1.078.
by TradeSelecter
Will the World's Most Vital Artery Become Its Achilles' Heel?In the intricate dance of global energy markets, few factors wield as much influence as the Strait of Hormuz. This narrow waterway, often overlooked in daily discourse, stands as a silent titan, controlling the ebb and flow of 21% of the world's daily oil consumption. As geopolitical tensions simmer in the Middle East, the stability of this crucial chokepoint hangs in delicate balance, challenging us to confront a stark reality: how vulnerable is our global economy to disruptions in this single maritime passage? The potential for conflict to spill over into the Strait of Hormuz presents a fascinating study in risk assessment and market psychology. Despite the looming threat of supply disruptions that could send oil prices soaring to unprecedented heights—some analysts project as high as $350 per barrel—the market remains surprisingly sanguine. This dichotomy between potential catastrophe and current calm invites us to explore the complex interplay of factors that shape oil prices, from geopolitical maneuvering to the subtle influence of alternative supply routes. As we stand at this crossroads of energy security and global trade, we are challenged to think critically about the future of oil markets and international relations. The Strait of Hormuz serves not just as a geographical feature, but as a mirror reflecting our world's intricate dependencies and the delicate balance of power that underpins global stability. In contemplating its significance, we are invited to look beyond the immediate concerns of oil prices and consider broader questions of energy resilience, diplomatic strategy, and the evolving landscape of international trade in an increasingly uncertain world.
FX_IDC:USDBROLong
by signalmastermind
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Oct 11, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: The Eurodollar experienced sustained bearish sentiment during this week's trading session, reaching our reignited Inner Currency Dip of 1.090. The prevailing selling pressure towards the support level of 1.079 is temporarily halted. A transient rebound is anticipated due to the significance of completing the Inner Currency Dip. However, considering the current bearish price action, the probability of further declines to the support level of 1.079 remains substantial.
by TradeSelecter
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Oct 4, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: The "Interim Squeeze" of Bitcoin has witnessed a significant decline to our Mean Support levels at 64400 and 63100, as well as the newly established 60200. On the upside, the cryptocurrency is approaching the critical Mean Resistance level of 64000. A breach of this pivotal level will trigger the movement to the Inner Coin Rally 67000 target, accompanied by further upward momentum, with the primary objective being the subsequent Inner Coin Rally identified at 69300. Nevertheless, the prevailing market interim bearish sentiment anticipates a drop to the Mean Support level at 58000, with the potential for an extension to the Inner Coin Dip 55500 before initiating the primary recovery and progressing into the subsequent phase of the bullish movement.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradeSelecter
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Sep 27, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: The Eurodollar has exhibited volatile fluctuations in the current trading session, encountering resistance at the pivotal Key Resistance level of 1.119 with a possible extension to retest the completed Outer Currency Rally of 1.124. This pattern reflects uncertainty regarding the currency's trajectory amidst the ongoing Dead-Cat rebound activity. The prevailing short-term buying pressure is directing the currency towards a potential downward movement to the support level of 1.111, with the prospect of further declines to supplementary support levels at 1.108 and 1.101, given the present interim price action.
by TradeSelecter
Is Global Oil Demand the Key to Energy Market Stability?In the intricate landscape of global energy markets, the question of oil demand remains a central enigma. Driven by a confluence of geopolitical tensions, OPEC+ production strategies, and economic dynamics, global oil demand is a complex tapestry that shapes the future of energy markets. Geopolitical events, particularly in the Middle East, have historically been a significant driver of oil price volatility. The recent escalation of tensions has once again underscored the delicate balance between geopolitical stability and global oil supply. As geopolitical risks rise, so too does the price of oil, impacting investors in oil-related securities like the United States Oil Fund (USO). However, geopolitical factors are just one piece of the puzzle. The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies, OPEC+, play a crucial role in regulating global oil supply. Their production decisions, often influenced by economic considerations and geopolitical pressures, can significantly impact oil prices and, consequently, global oil demand. Beyond geopolitical tensions and OPEC+ dynamics, economic factors also play a vital role in shaping global oil demand. The global economy, with its cyclical nature, influences energy consumption. During periods of economic growth, oil demand tends to increase, while economic downturns can lead to reduced consumption. The interplay between geopolitical risks, OPEC+ strategies, and economic factors creates a complex and dynamic environment for the global oil market. Understanding these intricate relationships is essential for investors seeking to navigate the challenges and opportunities presented by the oil sector.
AMEX:USOLong
by signalmastermind
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Sep 20, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: The current market activity exhibits a robust recovery from our Mean Support level at 57300, surpassing the Mean Resistance of 60500. It is poised to achieve our secondary rebound target: the Completed Interim Coin Rally denoted at 64500. Nonetheless, prevailing market sentiment suggests a potential retracement to the Mean Support level at 61900 before initiating the primary recovery and progressing into the subsequent phase to retest our completed Interim Coin Rally at 64900 and beyond.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradeSelecter
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Sep 13, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: During the current week's trading session, the Eurodollar exhibited a modest decline, briefly breaching the predefined support level of 1.103 and decisively transitioning to the freshly established resistance level of 1.110. The transient selling propels the currency downwards to the support level of 1.101, with a potential extension to the supplementary support levels of 1.097 and 1.091 amidst the interim price movement.
by TradeSelecter
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Sep 13, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: The recent market activity demonstrated a resilient rebound from our Key Support level at 53000, surpassing the Mean Resistance levels at 56700 and 59700 and peaking at the newly established Mean Resistance level at 60500. Current market sentiment indicates a potential retracement to the Mean Support level at 57300 before initiating the primary rekindled rebound and progressing into the second phase to retest our completed Interim Coin Rally at 64900.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradeSelecter
Is IBM's retreat from China a strategic gamble or a harbinger ofIBM's recent strategic decision to shutter its research and development center in China has sent ripples through the global tech industry. This move, coupled with the exodus of other American tech giants, has ignited a heated debate about the forces shaping the future of business in the world's second-largest economy. Is IBM's retreat a calculated response to changing market dynamics, or is it a canary in the coal mine, signaling a broader shift in the geopolitical landscape? As we delve deeper into the intricacies of this decision, a complex picture emerges, one that challenges our understanding of the delicate interplay between business, politics, and economics. IBM's withdrawal from China is not merely a corporate decision but a reflection of the evolving tensions between the world's two superpowers. The escalating trade wars, regulatory hurdles, and geopolitical uncertainties have created a challenging environment for foreign businesses, forcing them to reassess their strategies. However, IBM's decision is also a strategic one, driven by factors such as cost optimization and a desire to focus on core competencies. By relocating its operations to regions with lower labor costs, IBM can enhance its profitability and allocate resources more efficiently. As we navigate the complexities of this situation, it's imperative to recognize that IBM's retreat is not an isolated incident. It is a symptom of a broader trend, a reflection of the challenges faced by foreign companies operating in China. The economic slowdown, increased nationalism, and regulatory uncertainty have created a perfect storm that is forcing businesses to rethink their China strategies. The future of business in China remains uncertain. IBM's decision is a stark reminder of the delicate balance between economic opportunities and geopolitical risks. As the world continues to evolve, it is essential for businesses to remain agile, adaptable, and prepared to navigate the challenges and seize the opportunities that lie ahead.
NYSE:IBMLong
by signalmastermind
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Sep 6, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: The recent market activity witnessed a continued decline in the value of Bitcoin, leading to a significant drop and triggering a shift to our designated Key Support level of 54000. Current market sentiment indicates a potential recovery towards Mean Resistance 56700, possibly extending to Mean Resistance 59200. It is pertinent to acknowledge that persistent selling pressure at this stage could precipitate a further down towards the previously completed Interim Coin Dip 50000 before a resurgence occurs.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradeSelecter
Is This the Beginning of a Global Food Crisis?Wheat, a cornerstone of global food security, is facing unprecedented challenges. Rising temperatures, extreme weather events, and geopolitical tensions are converging to create a perfect storm for wheat production. The result? A significant wheat rally that could have far-reaching implications. Climate Change's Impact: As the planet warms, wheat-growing regions are becoming increasingly vulnerable. Extreme heat and unpredictable weather patterns are disrupting harvests and reducing yields. This is especially pronounced in Europe, where persistent rainfall and heatwaves have devastated crops. Global Supply Chain Disruptions: The war in Ukraine, coupled with export restrictions and transportation challenges, has further strained global wheat supplies. This has led to a surge in demand for wheat from other regions, exacerbating the price increase. The Looming Food Security Threat: The rising cost of wheat, a key ingredient in many staple foods, poses a significant threat to food security, particularly in developing countries. As prices continue to climb, access to affordable food becomes increasingly difficult for millions. The Road Ahead: The future of wheat production and global food security is uncertain. The world must adapt to the changing climate, invest in sustainable agricultural practices, and develop strategies to mitigate the risks posed by geopolitical tensions. The stakes are high, and the time for action is now.
ICEEUR:WHT1!Long
by signalmastermind
You Are a Puppet - How The Elite is Manipulating the MarketsWelcome back Future Demons Let me make it very clear. I’m here to help you become a better trader, and make money. I’m not a fan of Wall Street, the Elite, the big asset management companies like BlackRock, Vanguard who own most of the biggest companies in the world. They are known for manipulating the markets, to bait you in, and take advantage of you. They are ruthless. They have secret collabs with journalists around the world from big mainstream media, who will trick you with clickbait articles. But there is way more.. Also there is a big misconception, that the big American asset management companies only hold Western stocks. No, my friend. They hold Russian and Chinese stocks as well. They try to disguise it of course via shadow companies and banks. The Elite in USA, Europe, Russia and China are all "working together", and all have part in the world’s biggest companies and share the same goal. More money and more power. This is NOT a war between sides - East vs West - as they will portrait it in the mainstream media. They have and will continue to brainwash you to believe in this narrative, while they are making money, and the people are dying in war. This is in reality a war between up and down. The elite vs the people. Historically it has always been like that. The church vs the illiterate people. The Kingdom vs the peasents. And there is no difference this time. —— Why am I telling you this? We haven’t seen a bear market in 15 years, which is unheard of. We have been very close many times, but suddenly came COVID, which made the markets blossom again. The small businesses went bankrupt, while the giants made money again. After some time we saw a decline again. Russia invaded Ukraine, and USA (NATO), didn’t try to stop the war. They rejected any kind of diplomatic negotiations. Why? Obviously because they knew, that especially a proxy-war is good for the markets. All the weapons US has sold to Ukraine, made the markets recover. Then again very conveniently Israel had an excuse to use their power against Palestine, which meant more war-money, and again the market managed to recover. The recent little trick is now the 600,000 polio-vaccines UN will give to the Palestinian kids, who are suffering in Gaza. There is catch though, that many is not aware of. The polio vaccine is made by a French company Sanofi. It only takes a Google search or 2 to find out, who the biggest investor is: Dodge Cox, owned by Johnson, Wells Fargo, Alphabet (Google), Microsoft and more. Last but not least, let me also state, that the AI hype lately has been the main reason the markets has increased. But with this post I just want to make it clear, that the Elite, the Deep State, whatever you want to call them, will do whatever it takes to make money. And they are ruthless. What to do now? If you are out of the markets, stay out! If you are in the markets secure profit. We have no idea how high we will go, but there is no doubt imo, that this is a huge bubble, and we will most likely soon go into a Depression like we did 100 years ago in the 1930s. War has historically always been the last instrument before a crash. Kind Regards LaPlaces Demon PS. I know that some people might disagree with my analysis, which is totally ok. What I have learnt the last 10 years trading is to follow the money. And market psychology is my biggest strength.
SP:SPXShort
by Lapl4cesDem0n
10