Dollar Index (DXY): Is That a Bearish Setup 💲
Hey traders,
Dollar index is approaching a key structure.
The price formed a descending triangle on that on a daily time frame.
Wait for its neckline bearish breakout.
It will most likely push the index lower.
Daily candle close below 103.4 will confirm the breakout.
Alternatively, a bullish violation of a trend line may push the price higher.
Good luck!
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Indexes
No doom, gloom or pivot. Just one aliens TA.An alien trader landed on earth and was given a chart of the combined** US indices (futures). Luckily, and not coincidentally, he knew TA.
He had never heard of people like J.Powell and J.Cramer, or places like China, Ukraine and Russia.
this is what he saw:
Bullish:
- Broke out 'above' the main diagonal trend (bullish)
- Made a Higher High (bullish)
- Note that, on a VERY high TF, the Bull market rides on and up (see "Higher Range Frame" box)
Neutral
- Has arrived at the key POC (neutral) and is sandwiched between zones of lower past volume (LVN's)
- The 100MA/400MA was moving towards a "neutral cross" (the midpoint between the MA's is flat and not changing)
Bearish
In higher time/range frames the index has not made a new swing high. (see "Higher Range Frame" box)
NOTES
**There are multiple ways to merge ES, NQ and YM, as well as alternative indices like $NYA and Wilshire 5000. The *best* option depends on what it is used for (ex. a sphere is a good model of the earth for the astronomer, but not for the mountain climber). A simple average (ES + NQ + YM)/3 is ruled out because one point has a different value for each index. To address this, each index is weighted so that a 1 point change will imply the same change in $ terms (For weights see www.barchart.com
Alternative criterion for weighting include capitalization, number of stocks and beta weighting.
[i Epilogue - After watching a TA channel on You Tube for 5 min. he departed abruptly pausing only to grab a clean towel. He is believed to be following in the dolphins footsteps.
Dow Jones Index (US30): Detailed Technical Outlook 📈
Price action analysis on US30.
Key levels & directional bias.
Potential scenarios explained.
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$XLE looks like a short- back to $60?I know everyone wants to be bullish energy, and I agree with the thesis over the long term, but the shorter term looks ugly.
XLE looks like it's topped out here and wants to fall back to the $70 range, or below back to $60 (as this region has never been tested as support on the way up).
I'd be a seller here and not a buyer. I do think a drop to $60 or so is a good long term buy.
Dow Jones Index (US30): Bearish Outlook Explained 📈
Multiple time frame analysis on Dow Jones.
Price action & key levels.
Directional bias & thoughts.
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S&P500 Index (SPY) Very Bearish Outlook
2 important bearish breakouts on S&P500 Index on a daily:
the price broke and closed below a support line of a rising parallel channel,
the price violated a horizontal demand zone.
Look for shorting opportunities from the underlined blue area.
I will expect a bearish continuation to 3750 from that.
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Dow Jonex Index (US30): Important Breakout & Bearish Outlook
Dow Jones broke and closed below an important daily structure support on a daily.
The broken structure turned into resistance.
I will expect a bearish trend continuation from that.
Goals will be 32550 / 32000
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Dollar Index (DXY): Time to Grow 💲
Dollar Index reached a key daily structure support this week.
The price bounced nicely after its test.
The price broke and closed above a resistance line of a falling wedge pattern on a daily,
confirming the strength of the underlined structure.
I expect a growth next week.
Goals: 105.56 / 106.8
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Nasdaq-100 Index (US100) Bearish Outlook Explained
Nasdaq Index formed a huge head and shoulders pattern on a daily.
Its neckline was broken yesterday and the market closed below that.
It may initiate a bearish continuation.
Next supports: 10900 / 10700
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DOLLAR INDEX (DXY) FOMC Ahead! What to Look At?💵
Dollar index is approaching a key daily structure support.
103.4 - 103.8 is the zone on focus.
Depending on the reaction of the market to that, I see 2 potential scenarios:
If the price breaks a resistance of a falling wedge pattern on a daily,
a bullish movement will be expected.
If the price breaks and closes below a green support though,
a bearish movement will be expected.
Everything will most likely depend on the FOMC meeting.
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Dollar Index (DXY): Bearish Outlook 💵
We spotted a head and shoulders pattern on Dollar Index on a key resistance last week.
Probabilities are high, that the market will reach 104.19 support soon.
Be prepared for a bearish continuation.
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Dollar Index (DXY): Bearish Outlook For Next Week 💵
Dollar Index is trading in a bearish trend.
After a bearish breakout of key structure, the market retested that.
The price formed a head & shoulders pattern and violated its neckline then.
We see its retest now.
I believe that the market will keep falling.
Next support - 103.73
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Dollar Index (DXY): Bearish Continuation 💵
Update for Dollar Index:
Yesterday, we spotted a head and shoulders pattern on a 4H time frame.
Its neckline was broken later on.
The index will most likely keep falling.
Goals: 104.18 / 103.8
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Dollar Index (DXY): Waiting For Breakout 💵
Dollar Index is coiling around a solid horizontal supply area on 4H.
The price formed a head and shoulders pattern, testing that.
The next bearish move will most likely initiate after a breakout of its horizontal neckline.
We need a 4H candle close below 104.87 - 105.05 to confirm the breakout.
Goals will be 104.18 / 103.8
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S&P500 Index (SPY): Your Trading Plan For Today
S&P500 Index is trading within an expanding wedge pattern.
The price is currently approaching its support.
To buy with a confirmation, watch an hourly time frame.
I spotted a double bottom pattern there.
4008 - 4011 is its neckline.
Wait for its bullish breakout. You need an hourly candle close above to confirm that.
Buy aggressively or on a retest.
Goals will be 4041 / 4059
If the price sets a new low, the setup will be invalid.
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DOLLAR INDEX (DXY) Technical Outlook & Levels to Watch 💵
Here is my latest structure analysis for Dollar Index.
Support 1: 103.4 - 103.8 area
Support 2: 101.3 - 101.7 area
Resistance 1: 104.6 - 105.6 area
Resistance 2: 106.8 - 107.2 area
Resistance 3: 107.8 - 108.0 area
The price broke a very important demand cluster last week, it turned into Resistance 1.
Probabilities are high that the index will drop from that area at least to Support 1.
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Dollar Index (DXY): Bearish Outlook Explained 💲
Hey traders,
Dollar Index was testing an important demand zone on a daily time frame this week.
Yesterday, the price violated that: we see a daily/weekly candle close below.
It may push the index lower next week/
Next support - 103.8
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S&P500 Index (SPY) Detailed Technical Outlook 📈
S&P500 index is trading within an expanding wedge pattern on a daily.
The price was stuck within a horizontal trading range for 2 week.
Its resistance was finally broken yesterday.
I think that it may push the market higher.
Next resistance - 4118.
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Nasdaq-100 Index (US100) 2 Scenarios Explained
Us100 index is approaching a peculiar horizontal support.
Depending on the reaction of the price to that structure, I see 2 potential scenarios.
Bearish
If the price breaks and closes below 11480 - 11550 horizontal support on a daily,
I will expect a bearish continuation at least to 11200 level.
Bullish
The price may also respect the underlined green structure.
If the price breaks a falling parallel channel to the upside on a 4H,
I will expect a pullback to 11650.
Wait for a breakout, that will indicate you the future direction of the market.
What do you expect?
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Dow Jonex Index (US30): Key Levels to Watch
Here is my structure analysis for US30 index.
Resistance 1: 34100 - 34400 area
Resistance 2: 35200 - 35500 area
Support 1: 33100 - 33400 area
Support 2: 32480 - 32550 area
Support 3: 31700 - 32000 area
Consider these structures for pullback / breakout trading
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Dow Jonex Index (US30): Important Resistance Ahead
Hey traders,
Dow Jones Index is approaching a key level.
The underlined yellow area is based on a historical structure that was respected many times in a row recently.
I will expect a pullback from that.
Wait for a confirmation on lower time frames to short next week.
I will post an update once I spot a decent setup.
Have a great weekend!
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Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️