WTI Crude Oil - 4H Still BullishWTI Crude Oil shows promising bullish momentum as it consolidates above a key static support zone, indicating potential for further gains. The price action demonstrates two major bullish legs, with the current position in the middle of the second major leg, suggesting continued upward movement.
Additionally, the presence of a second minor leg forming suggests that the bullish momentum might lead to a breakout, propelling prices to higher targets. Traders should monitor the minor leg’s completion and potential further advances in the price of oil, taking advantage of the bullish trend.
J-OIL
A long-term bull market is likelyGreetings,
Dear friends, I hope you are well and have had a week filled with successful and profitable transactions.
Regarding the oil market, I believe that it has the same behavior as the gasoline market. Anyway, gasoline is one of the derivatives of oil. Now we need to examine patterns 1.2 and 1.2. We had an impulse pattern for the first wave in the larger degree and then again in the smaller degree, which did not look regular.
With this assumption, I have considered a shock pattern and the second wave is a zigzag, whose price has crossed the B wave and is expanding. The price action of the impulse pattern extended by a shallow correction completes the third wave of the same level. After the completion of five waves, it is expected to wait for a corrective pattern following growth and correction. It is possible that it can be a superficial correction and the continuation of the trend will happen quickly.
Note: I am a new analyst in the world of wave principles with three years of experience, and I am developing an analytical idea. There is no 100% certainty in financial markets due to the complexity of various patterns that can change. However, I do my best to back up any analysis I share with you guys with everything I've learned so far.
A brief explanation of the three fundamental laws of the wave principle:
1. The second wave should never go beyond the beginning of the first wave.
2. The third wave should never be the shortest wave between waves 1, 3, and 5.
3. The fourth wave must never enter the territory of the first wave.
Ralph Nelson Elliott was the founder of this theory, and when asked about his view of the market, he always referred to five waves in the direction of a larger trend and three waves against the direction it was taking. After completing an eight-wave cycle, a larger cycle is formed in the future. It's as simple as that.
May his memory be cherished, and may his soul rest in the shelter of God Almighty and the eternal world.
I am attaching the analysis of this market that I shared with you earlier to this current analysis.
The last word of my analysis text is repetitive, except for the explanation of the current analysis, because I also trade in the financial markets and am active in my social networks, working hard to improve my skills in analysis and trading to reach my goal.
I apologize for repeating the text.
I welcome suggestions and criticisms, and I will certainly respond, but a logical reason is important to me.
Thank you for taking the time to review my analysis, and thank you all.
To all my dear friends and colleagues, first of all, I wish you health and success in your goals.
Mehdi Abbasi with the nickname (Mr. Nobody)
Turbo Tuesday's So we are heavily bullish and in this scenario I like to see a retracement around NY that will enable me to start looking for my entry model that will Target the BSL that is marked.
Pretty simple today...
I have a 1hr fvg that I would like to be respected meaning 1hr candle closes above the discount of the FVG.
If before NY we take out the BSL marked I will update here..
Oil Set to Re-test $82.71 Amidst Market ConsolidationOil prices are currently in a consolidation phase and are expected to test the $82.71 level by the London session.
This price action suggests a continuation of the uptrend. For those already in the market, it's advisable to seek sell opportunities in line with your trading strategy. For instance, if you trade using Supply and Demand principles, identify supply zones towards $82.71.
Once the market tests this zone and it holds, look for buy signals as confirmation of the continuing uptrend.
Oil recently hit a fresh two-month high, driven by mounting geopolitical risks in Europe and the Middle East, as well as the threat of a hurricane in the Caribbean. With these factors in play, a significant drop in prices is unlikely.
Therefore, it's crucial to monitor for sell setups towards this re-test zone and then prepare to capitalize on the anticipated upward momentum. There is potential to capture substantial moves towards the upside.
Natural Gas Bleeding LowerNatural gas has seen negative price action since we got the golden cross.
The 50 & 200 moving average is touted as a bullish signal but often sold into in the near term.
This sell off in Nat gas is going quick and deep.
The problem with that is the sector is leveraged with triples & doubles.
If we complete the measured move down, we should see a bit lower price.
Intra day I would not be surprised for a sharp dead cat bounce.
USOILOil analysis
Time frame 4 hours and 12 hours
Middle oil oil broke and stabilized its 12-hour trading range. Now it has formed a new 4-hour trading range, the supply and demand areas of which are clear in the picture. The price is expected to return to the limit of $80.7 and move towards the target of $84 by filling the FVG.
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Your Trading Plan For Next Week
Crude Oil is consolidating after a strong bullish wave.
The price is stuck within a narrow range on a daily.
To buy the market with a confirmation,
wait for a bullish breakout of the resistance of the range.
A daily candle close above 82.0 will confirm the violation.
A bullish continuation will be expected to 83.5 level then.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
CRUDE OIL BULLISH BIAS|LONG|
✅CRUDE OIL will be retesting a support level of 80.50$ soon
From where I am expecting a bullish reaction
With the price going up but we need
To wait for a reversal pattern to form
Before entering the trade, so that we
Get a higher success probability of the trade
LONG🚀
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Saudi Arabia delivers a major blow to the dollar!Oil prices have shown steady growth from $76 to $85 per barrel of Brent crude (#BRENT) since the beginning of June. This rise is driven by seasonal factors: high consumer activity during the summer driving season, increased demand from the transportation sector, and higher electricity consumption for air conditioning.
However, a more significant development in the oil market is the expiration of the 50-year-old Security Agreement between Saudi Arabia and the USA, signed in 1974, and Riyadh's refusal to renew it.
The agreement facilitated economic cooperation and military needs between the two nations, stabilizing the situation after the crises of the 1970s. The US benefited from oil at favorable prices, while Saudi Arabia gained a technological ally and wealth. Crucially, this agreement mandated that Saudi Arabia sell its oil exclusively for dollars, a restriction that no longer applies. This system greatly strengthened the dollar's position as the dominant global reserve currency by creating worldwide demand for dollars directly tied to oil transactions. Many have called this the "deal of the century."
Abandoning the petrodollar system could, in the long run, weaken the dollar's influence and impact US financial markets, reducing Washington's ability to accumulate national debt and profit from exports. Countries like China, Russia, Iran, and India are increasingly settling trades in their national currencies. By 2023, already 20% of global oil was being purchased without using the dollar. Now, Saudi Arabia can sell oil for any currencies or assets, including the yuan, gold, and even cryptocurrencies, which could significantly boost the value of these assets over time.
FreshForex analysts recommend closely monitoring changes in settlement schemes in the energy markets. Trading instruments like Bitcoin (BTCUSD), Gold (XAUUSD), and the US Dollar to Chinese Yuan (USDCNH) might become very profitable investments in the future .
Invest ahead of the curve!
Oil is still under Bearish PressureHello Guys,
I see a larger Timeframe Consolidation since some Years from 98 - 70 Dollars. We have approached the middle Line of this Yearly Consolidation Line and see some weekness taking place. However, for this idea to be confirmed I will wait for the black trendline to be broken and have a bearish pattern below it.
This may take place from the green highlighted area of 84-86 - a break of the area with a retest would be bringing more optimism from bullish territories into the fields. Below this I believe that we are going to see a leg lower - with the targets being 80 - 75 - 70 Dollars.
I will use my trading strategy to enter safely on the lower timeframes. Ideally this will happen on the 2h-4h Chart - but I prefer to enter on the hourly.
WTI support continues to attract buyers.WTI - 24h expiry
Bespoke support is located at 80.70.
Offers ample risk/reward to buy at the market.
Our short term bias remains positive.
50 4hour EMA is at 80.73.
80.59 has been pivotal.
We look to Buy at 80.75 (stop at 79.95)
Our profit targets will be 82.75 and 83.25
Resistance: 81.50 / 82.24 / 83.00
Support: 80.50 / 79.50 / 79.00
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
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WTI Crude Oil: Geopolitical Tensions and Technical SignalThe US crude oil benchmark, is trading near $82.00 on Monday. This modest uptick is driven by escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and expectations of increased oil demand during the summer season.
Geopolitical Tensions and Market Impact
The prospect of a broader conflict in the Middle East, which could threaten crude oil supplies from the region, is fueling the rise in WTI prices. The UN Secretary-General’s statement on Sunday, warning that a full-scale war between Israel and Hezbollah would be disastrous, has further intensified these concerns.
Technical Analysis: Signs of a Possible Retracement
Technically, there are signs that WTI might experience a price retracement. The current levels suggest a potential pullback to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement within a bearish channel, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicating overbought conditions. This setup hints at a possible near-term correction before any further upward movement.
Outlook
In conclusion, while geopolitical tensions and seasonal demand are bolstering WTI crude oil prices, technical indicators suggest a potential retracement. Market participants should remain vigilant, watching for price movements around the 61.8% Fibonacci level and the behavior of the RSI in the coming sessions.
WTI OIL Death Cross formed Pullback to $76 would be very healthyWTI Oil (USOIL) is forming a Death Cross on the 1D time-frame, the first since December 22 2023. That comes after the former Channel Down had a bullish break-out following a rebound on the 1W MA50 (red trend-line), a series of events that happened also on December 20 2023 and before that on May 17 2023.
We already have a 1D MACD Bullish Cross. Circling back to the 1D Death Cross, the one on December 22 2023 formed a short-term top that had the price pull back within the 0.618 - 0.786 Fibonacci retracement Zone.
As a result, even though we have confirmed a new long-term uptrend, we technically turn bearish on the short-term, expecting a pull-back towards the 0.618 Fib, targeting $76.00.
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2024-06-25 - priceactiontds - daily update - oilGood Evening and I hope you are well.
wti crude oil
comment: Trading range at the highs but bears printing bigger bars and they broke out of the bull channel that started 2 weeks ago. Measured move down would bring us to around the breakout retest price area 78.5 / 78.8. Bulls still want to break above 82 for 83/84 and test the bear trend lines again.
current market cycle: Trading range
key levels: 80 - 82
bull case: Bulls still see this as a second leg of a pullback around the lower bull trend line and they want to start their third leg (W5) up to 83/84. They need to keep it above 80 or bears might get cheeky and want to push it to the daily ema around 78.8, which would also be a breakout retest.
Invalid below 80.
bear case: Bears are not able to print two decent looking consecutive bear bars on higher time frames. Until they get much stronger or give up again, best they can probably hope for is sideways around 80. Selling today looks like a leg inside a trading range and not a stronger pullback below 80.
short term: Neutral 80-82. It’s moving sideways. Don’t make it more complicated.
medium-long term: We are seeing the big triangle playing out between 72 and 86 (could also be 87 but for now I see the spike above 83 as a failed breakout of the triangle. We hit the lower trend line and now we will test back up to above 83. —will update this Wednesday
current swing trade: None
trade of the day: Buy low, sell high and scalp. Clear key levels given