GBP/USD - Sell Zone !Hey there!
I'm selling on GBP/USD:
-RMID (Range Manipulation Initiation Distribution)
-We have liquidity uptake.
-We have an interesting zone.
-We have the optimal Fibonacci.
-We have accumulation before/on the zone.
-We are with the trend.
The GBP is likely to start depreciating due to the UK entering a recession!
And the USD, on the other hand, is the complete opposite; it's extremely strong/performance currently thanks to rather positive economic results!
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J-OIL
GBP/USD - Interesting sell zone! (Swing)Hello everyone!
- Here's my view on GBP/USD:
- We have liquidity. (Recovery and Accumulation!)
- We have an interesting zone.
- We have the optimal Fibonacci.
- We have accumulation before/on the zone.
- We are with the trend.
Fundamentally, we have a very strong USD.
Particularly thanks to the very positive NFP for the US, among other factors!
10Y T-Notes have risen by 3%, so far everything is going well for the USD, so it's advisable to favor sales on pairs with XXX/USD.
But we also have the UK entering a recession, so we have a pound that's very affected but still seems to be fighting not to depreciate too much following this recession, supported by several financiers in the UK; investors are mixed.
That's why I see GBP/USD rebounding in the zone and dropping!
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BRENT - Interesting buy zone!Hello everyone!
we're turning bullish on BRENT!
- Here's my view on BRENT :
- We have liquidity.
- We have an interesting zone.
- We have the optimal Fibonacci.
- We have accumulation before/on the zone.
- We are with the trend.ù
stay cautious.
That's why I see GOLD rebounding in the zone and dropping!
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Hellena | Oil (4H): Long to 100% Fibo lvl 81.85. Dear colleagues, earlier I wanted to write a forecast with a deep correction, but after reviewing the data I suppose that the price will go higher. I assume that it will be wave 2, but for now I expect a small correction to the support area of 78.88. Then I expect an upward movement to the area of 100% Fibonacci extension at 81.85.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
WTI momentum play shortGlossary:
VA – Value Area
Liq.P – Liquidity Point
PiPo – Pivot Point
BO – Break-Out
H1 – Hourly Time-frame
M15 – 15min Time-frame
LTF – Lower Time-frame
HTF – Higher Time-frame
Magenta horizontal Ray – Area of Interest
Magenta rectangle – Gap / Area of Significance
***********
Momentum run play to the previous low around 76.07
Price finished a 3-touch structure into the Liq.P at 79.79 and started to reverse. The H4 shows a strong impulsive move back into structure and is now starting to consolidate.
Waiting for a continuation flag on the H1, preferably with a small pull-back for an entry short.
USOIL getting positioned for more gains? Yesterday, OPEC and its allies announced plans to extend a voluntary oil production cut of 2.2 million barrels per day through June 2024. Currently, the USOIL trades near $80.20 per barrel, and its structure is undergoing a significant change. Since late November 2023, the USOIL has traded predominantly sideways between $70 and $80 per barrel. However, last week, it broke above the resistance at $79.25 and established a new high in more than three months. By doing so, the USOIL formed an ascending channel, which is a bullish structure. In addition to that, the ADX started to tick slightly higher on the daily chart, suggesting the trend might be gaining bullish momentum. On top of that, technical indicators (on the daily chart), including RSI, MACD, and Stochastic, all turned to the upside, which is yet another bullish sign. Finally, it looks like the USOIL might be awakening and getting positioned for more gains in the short-term and medium-term future.
Illustration 1.01
While OPEC and its allies are cutting oil production, the United States is doing the opposite; in fact, the U.S. crude oil production rose approximately 10% in 2023.
Technical analysis
Daily time frame = Bullish (weak trend)
Weekly time frame = Neutral
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
GBP/USD - Interesting sell zone! (Swing)Hello everyone!
- Here's my view on GBP/USD:
- We have liquidity. (Recovery and Accumulation!)
- We have an interesting zone.
- We have the optimal Fibonacci.
- We have accumulation before/on the zone.
- We are with the trend.
Fundamentally, we have a very strong USD.
Particularly thanks to the very positive NFP for the US, among other factors!
10Y T-Notes have risen by 3%, so far everything is going well for the USD, so it's advisable to favor sales on pairs with XXX/USD.
But we also have the UK entering a recession, so we have a pound that's very affected but still seems to be fighting not to depreciate too much following this recession, supported by several financiers in the UK; investors are mixed.
That's why I see GBP/USD rebounding in the zone and dropping!
🚀 If you liked it and want more, don't hesitate to subscribe and boost the post!
EUR/USD - Interesting sell zone! (Swing)Hello everyone!
- Here's my view on EUR/USD:
- We have liquidity. (Recovery and Accumulation!)
- We have an interesting zone.
- We have the optimal Fibonacci.
- We have accumulation before/on the zone.
- We are with the trend.
Fundamentally, we have a very strong USD.
Particularly thanks to the very positive NFP for the US, among other factors!
10Y T-Notes have risen by 3%, so far everything is going well for the USD, so it's advisable to favor sales on pairs with XXX/USD.
That's why I see EUR/USD rebounding in the zone and dropping!
🚀 If you liked it and want more, don't hesitate to subscribe and boost the post!
EUR/USD - Sell Zone !Hey there!
I'm selling on EUR/USD:
-RMID (Range Manipulation Initiation Distribution)
-We have liquidity uptake.
-We have an interesting zone.
-We have the optimal Fibonacci.
-We have accumulation before/on the zone.
-We are with the trend.
The CPI figures aren't so good for the € compared to the $, which is in great shape!
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Questions? Leave a comment!
Crude Oil - Buy Zone!Hey there!
I'm selling on WTI: (Second trade)
-RMID (Range Manipulation Initiation Distribution)
-We have liquidity uptake.
-We have an interesting zone.
-We have the optimal Fibonacci.
-We have accumulation before/on the zone.
-We are with the trend.
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Questions? Leave a comment
WTI OIL Sell opportunity targeting the 1D MA50.Oil (USOIL) is trading within a Channel Up pattern since the December 13 2023 market bottom and currently is on the 3rd Bullish Leg towards the top (Higher Highs trend-line). This indicates that on a R/R basis, there is greater incentive selling with the price being closer to the pattern's top than the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line).
As a result we are bearish, targeting the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the bottom of the Channel Up at 76.00, which is also marginally above Support 1. Notice also how symmetrical the Higher Highs and Higher Lows legs have been within the pattern.
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CRUDE OIL (WTI): Important Decision Ahead 🛢️
Crude Oil is currently testing a wide horizontal supply area.
Its bullish breakout may trigger a strong bullish movement.
Daily candle close above 80.8 will confirm a violation.
A bullish continuation will be expected to 82.4 level then.
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West Texas Crude Oil Long COT and Technical Analysis West Texas Crude Oil Long
Price has come back up to the important psychological level of 79.000.
We can see that previously this area has acted as strong resistance and support.
In August last year we saw price find support here before continuing upwards.
Since November last year we have seen it act as an area of resistance.
On last weeks close we had price finally break through after consolidating the past few weeks.
Non-Commercial traders, as can be seen through COT filings, are a majority long West Texas Crude Oil.
103,350 long positions are currently held by Non-Coms vs 53,597 shorts.
Commercial Traders, who are in most cases contrarian to price, are relatively even.
This should be taken into account when using COT for conformation.
Geopolitical factors need to be considered. I prefer to leave these out of analysis as much as I can due to unintentional bias that comes with them, and the difficulty of quantifying them. However, when it comes to something like Oil, they often have to be at the forefront of analysis.
The current Israel-Hamas conflict is one of the geopolitical factors at play here. While Israel has no dominant position in the Oil industry, Hamas links to Iran have created the possibility that the USA may harden its sanctions against Iran, the 4th largest Oil producer.
The conflict against the Houthis is a major factor here. There is a concern these strikes will spill over and expand into a larger region wide conflict, heavily affecting the shipment, and therefore the price of Oil. Houthi links to Iran are also a concern, just as with the Israel-Hamas conflict.
I will most likely take a position on Monday 50% of my usual size. If we can get a retest of 79.000 I will enter another 50% of my usual size. Holding this trade long-term, and moving my SL to follow new swing lows, is my current trade plan. If the two conflicts begin to cool however, it may be a good idea to look at closing my positions.
If peace talks do commence for these conflicts, we will see Oil fall, but if the peace talks again amount to nothing, this would be a good opportunity to increase my position.
Natural Gas & Oil : is energy breaking out!Natural gas got a positive weekly close. this close sets up a potential short squeeze to $2 & $2.25 as long as we stay above the hourly chart neckline.
Oil has just made it highest weekly close in 18 weeks. Oil has now broken out to the upside and this could be very detrimental to consumers and the inflation fight.
If oil holds above $80 it's going to try to push for $84 and $90.
Crude Oil WTI - Analysis (ICT)Simple analysis on the Monthly timeframes.
There is trendline liquidity residing above, which I believe is the next draw on price.
With that in mind, I noticed price react nicely off of a 5-Month FVG and Orderblock. With that in mind, I'm anticipating price using the current Sibi that it is in to become an iFVG. I would like to see a Monthly candle close above it and then use it or a created Bisi as support to trade higher.
Life is simple, don't complicate it.
- R2F
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