💡SILVER (XAGUSD) - Weekly Technical Analysis UpdateMidterm forecast:
While the price is above the support of 23.75, a resumption of an uptrend is expected.
We make sure when the resistance at 28.75 breaks.
If the support at 23.75 is broken, the short-term forecast -resumption of uptrend- will be invalid.
Technical analysis:
The symmetrical triangle is taking shape, and as a continuation pattern suggests, we will soon see another leg higher if the price breaks and closes above the downtrend line of the triangle.
While the RSI resistance #1 at 48 is not broken, the probability of price increase would be too low.
A peak is formed in the daily chart at 26.75 on 07/06/2021, so more losses to support(s) 24.50 and minimum to Major Support (23.75) are expected.
Price is below WEMA21; if the price rises more, this line can act as dynamic resistance against more gains.
The relative strength index (RSI) is 39.
Take Profits:
TP1= 25.75
TP2= 26.60
TP3= 28.30
TP4= 29.85
TP5= 33.45
TP6= 37.50
TP7= 44.20
TP8= 49.80
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J-XAG
SILVER a turn at the 0.618 🦐SILVER after the last bearish impulse retraced at the 0.618 first and then retested the 0.5.
Now the market is approaching daily support and according to Plancton's strategy if the market will break below we will set a nice short order.
–––––
Follow the Shrimp 🦐
Keep in mind.
🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
⚫️ Black structure -> <4h structure.
Here is the Plancton0618 technical analysis , please comment below if you have any question.
The ENTRY in the market will be taken only if the condition of the Plancton0618 strategy will trigger.
SILVER Bearish Bias! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
SILVER is trading between the horizontal support and resistance
And the metal failed to break the resistance level
Then broke out of the rising channel
And I think that after a pullback and a retest
Silver is likely to go lower
To retest the support below
Sell!
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💡SILVER (XAGUSD) - Weekly Technical Analysis UpdateMidterm forecast:
While the price is above the support of 23.75, a resumption of an uptrend is expected.
We make sure when the resistance at 28.75 breaks.
If the support at 23.75 is broken, the short-term forecast -resumption of uptrend- will be invalid.
Technical analysis:
The symmetrical triangle is taking shape, and as a continuation pattern suggests, we will soon see another leg higher if the price breaks and closes above the downtrend line of the triangle.
A trough is formed in the daily chart at 25.50 on 06/29/2021, so more gains to resistance(s) 26.60, 28.30, and maximum to Major Resistance (28.75) is expected.
Price is below WEMA21; if the price rises more, this line can act as dynamic resistance against more gains.
The relative strength index ( RSI ) is 47.
Take Profits:
TP1= 25.75
TP2= 26.60
TP3= 28.30
TP4= 29.85
TP5= 33.45
TP6= 37.50
TP7= 44.20
TP8= 49.80
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💡SILVER (XAGUSD) - Weekly Technical Analysis UpdateMidterm forecast:
While the price is above the support of 23.75, a resumption of an uptrend is expected.
We make sure when the resistance at 28.75 breaks.
If the support at 23.75 is broken, the short-term forecast -resumption of uptrend- will be invalid.
Technical analysis:
The symmetrical triangle is taking shape, as a continuation pattern suggests, we will soon see another leg higher if the price breaks and closes above the downtrend line of the triangle.
A trough is formed in the daily chart at 25.50 on 06/29/2021, so more gains to resistance(s) 26.60, 28.30, and maximum to Major Resistance (28.75) is expected.
Price is below WEMA21; if the price rises more, this line can act as dynamic resistance against more gains.
The relative strength index (RSI) is 47.
Take Profits:
TP1= 25.75
TP2= 26.60
TP3= 28.30
TP4= 29.85
TP5= 33.45
TP6= 37.50
TP7= 44.20
TP8= 49.80
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💡SILVER (XAGUSD) - Weekly Technical Analysis Update
Midterm forecast:
While the price is above the support 23.75, a resumption of the uptrend is expected.
We make sure when the resistance at 28.75 breaks.
If the support at 23.75 is broken, the short-term forecast -resumption of uptrend- will be invalid.
Technical analysis:
The symmetrical triangle is taking shape. As a continuation pattern suggests, we will soon see another leg higher if the price breaks and closes above the downtrend line of the triangle.
The RSI support #1 at 48 is broken, so the probability of the resumption of the uptrend is decreased.
A peak is formed in the daily chart at 28.55 on 06/ 01 /2021, so more losses to support(s) 25.75, 24.50, and minimum to Major Support (23.75) is expected.
Price is below WEMA21. If the price rises more, this line can act as dynamic resistance against more gains.
The relative strength index ( RSI ) is 31.
Take Profits:
TP1= 25.75
TP2= 26.60
TP3= 28.30
TP4= 29.85
TP5= 33.45
TP6= 37.50
TP7= 44.20
TP8= 49.80
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💡SILVER (XAGUSD) - Weekly Technical Analysis UpdateMidterm forecast:
While the price is above the support 23.75, a resumption of the uptrend is expected.
We make sure when the resistance at 28.75 breaks.
If the support at 23.75 is broken, the short-term forecast -resumption of uptrend- will be invalid.
Technical analysis:
The symmetrical triangle is taking shape. As a continuation pattern suggests, we will soon see another leg higher if the price breaks and closes above the downtrend line of the triangle.
The RSI support #1 at 48 is broken, so the probability of the resumption of the uptrend is decreased.
A peak is formed in the daily chart at 28.55 on 06/01/2021, so more losses to support(s) 25.75, 24.50, and minimum to Major Support (23.75) is expected.
Price is below WEMA21. If the price rises more, this line can act as dynamic resistance against more gains.
The relative strength index (RSI) is 31.
Take Profits:
TP1= 25.75
TP2= 26.60
TP3= 28.30
TP4= 29.85
TP5= 33.45
TP6= 37.50
TP7= 44.20
TP8= 49.80
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🏛SILVER SUPPORT FOUND|LONG🚀
🏛SILVER fell massively against the dollar
Just as pretty much anything to be fair
However, Silver fell by more than 8%
Which is a lot and such a move needs a correction
And I think that it may start from the current support level
Which was hit today and we are already seeing a nice bullish reaction
The nearest resistance level is somewhat far away
But given the magnitude of the fall,
A pullback can be just as spectacular
So the target is realistic
LONG🚀
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Gold BanditsA long time ago, Gold - physical gold for that matter was in high demand. In recent years bitcoin has been talked about as the gold replacement, what do you think?
Is there still value in gold?
Think back when people would rush to the mountains, in search of gold! Usually the guys getting rich, where the ones selling the shovels. Similar in crypto today, exchanges, brokers and "information sites" are the new shovels!
If we look at how respectful Gold can be, it's an awful lot easier to trade than most crypto currently.
We can see from the last post, the fake out and mark down. If you look back at the previous calls - pretty much the same, out and out respect. We are currently looking at a DXY pullback (up) which will lower the gold price before a nice rally for Gold sets in.
It would be good to get your opinions on Gold - BTC kill it off as we know it or will gold prevail?
Have a good week!
Disclaimer
This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principle trader has over 20 years’ experience in stocks, ETF’s, and Forex. Hence each trade setup might have different hold times, entry or exit conditions, and will vary from the post/idea shared here. You can use the information from this post to make your own trading plan for the instrument discussed. Trading carries a risk; a high percentage of retail traders lose money. Please keep this in mind when entering any trade. Stay safe.
SILVER Bearish Bias! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
SILVER is retesting the horizontal resistance
After breaking the rising support line
Which makes me bearish
And although there is still some room for it go up
I think that it will fall eventually
To retest the lower demand levels
Buy!
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🏛SILVER WILL GO DOWN|SHORT🔥
🏛SILVER broke out of the rising channel
And is now retesting the resistance confluence
Of the rising resistance and the horizontal resistance lines
Which makes me bearish overall and I think a move down is likely
With the target being the recent local low
SHORT🔥
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🏛SILVER WILL GO DOWN|SHORT🔥
🏛SILVER broke out of the rising channel
After failing to break the strong resistance
And is now making a pullback, to retest the resistance
From where I am expecting a bearish move down
With the target being the support below
SHORT🔥
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Silver forecast - break it or make itWe have a bit different situation in Silver. The flagging formations on the monthly chart failed more compared to Gold. In fact, in 2012 there was a clear depreciation in this market – flagging formation that broke to the downside; tight consolidation followed by the final breakdown. Certainly, it is too early to jump into this market, but in the case, we see a breakup in this market, bulls could target the 38 – 40 range.
Overall a lot depends on the dynamic of key economic indicators. It’s worth noting that inflation is growing quite rapidly in China’s manufacturing sector, which many economists warn could translate to higher costs for a wide range of goods across the globe. If inflation worries spread on major markets, the precious metals sector will shine and deliver amazing returns for qualified traders.
💡SILVER (XAGUSD) - Weekly Technical Analysis UpdateMidterm forecast:
25.75 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
We will close our open trades, if the Midterm level 25.75 is broken.
Technical analysis:
While the RSI support #1 at 48 is not broken, the probability of price decrease would be too low.
A peak is formed in daily chart at 28.55 on 06/ 01 /2021, so more losses to support(s) 26.60 and minimum to Major Support (25.75) is expected.
Price is above WEMA21, if price drops more, this line can act as dynamic support against more losses.
Relative strength index ( RSI ) is 55.
Take Profits:
TP1= 25.75
TP2= 26.60
TP3= 28.30
TP4= 29.85
TP5= 33.45
TP6= 37.50
TP7= 44.20
TP8= 49.80
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💡SILVER (XAGUSD) - Weekly Technical Analysis UpdateMidterm forecast:
25.75 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
We will close our open trades, if the Midterm level 25.75 is broken.
Technical analysis:
While the RSI support #1 at 48 is not broken, the probability of price decrease would be too low.
A peak is formed in daily chart at 28.55 on 06/01/2021, so more losses to support(s) 26.60 and minimum to Major Support (25.75) is expected.
Price is above WEMA21, if price drops more, this line can act as dynamic support against more losses.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 55.
Take Profits:
TP1= 25.75
TP2= 26.60
TP3= 28.30
TP4= 29.85
TP5= 33.45
TP6= 37.50
TP7= 44.20
TP8= 49.80
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SILVER Breakout! Will Go Down! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
SILVER was trading in a rising channel
But the pair hit a strong horizontal resistance
And now we saw a breakout of the rising support
And then a retest of the broken resistance
Which makes me bearish on Silver
And I think that it will go down
Towards the support below
Sell!
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Silver: Booms, busts and a new opportunity?In today’s educational article we will analyze silver’s historical boom and bust cycles through the lens of financial history but we’ll also provide a forecast for the future price of this asset.
In the modern era of precious metals markets that began in 1971, silver (XAGUSD) had 2 previous bull markets that reached the fabled $50 USD level and then pulled back. We think that this current bull market that will unfold in the coming year/s has the power to break that $50 glass ceiling and reach an all-time high. First, we will look at some basic characteristics and things that set silver apart from its precious metal counterpart gold.
Silver is similar to Gold in many ways:
1. Accepted as a form of money since ancient times
2. It must be mined, isn’t made out of thin air
3. Total global supply is limited
But Silver has qualities that Gold doesn’t:
1. It has a myriad of industrial uses (batteries, dentistry, glass coatings, LED chips, medicine, nuclear reactors, photography, photovoltaic (or solar) energy, RFID chips (for tracking parcels or shipments worldwide), semiconductors, touch screens, water purification, wood preservatives)
2. There are few pure silver mines . Overwhelmingly silver is mined only as a byproduct of mining other metals, such as base metals (copper, zinc, etc.).
The 1979-1980 Silver crisis
In the era of high inflation with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) at the time reaching 10-12%, there were many books that recommended investments in precious metals and strong currencies to protect your wealth. Investors, in general, shared this view and the price of precious metals soared. Prices for silver rose from less than $10.61 an ounce in August 1979 to $52 an ounce in January 1980. Inflationary pressures from throughout the world pushed up prices.
Herbert and Nelson Bunker Hunt, who were buying silver in previously unheard-of quantities, also had an impact on prices. The Hunts had attempted to corner the silver markets in 1973 with little success, but their trade in 1979 would rock the financial world. Bunker Hunt had about 21 million ounces of silver bullion and coin on August 1, 1979, as well as over 9,000 silver futures contracts covering another 46 million ounces of the metal. Bunker's brother, Herbert Hunt, possessed another 21 million ounces of silver and over 4,000 silver futures contracts. To acquire even more silver, the Hunts founded the International Metals Investment Co. It had accumulated over 8,400 silver futures contracts by August of 1979.
When the Hunts started buying silver in 1979, they were billionaires. Nelson Bunker Hunt reportedly had a net worth of about $3 billion. Another $1.38 billion belonged to Herbert Hunt. When the value of the Hunts' silver investments surged to about $10 billion, their fortune grew significantly. Despite their affluence, the Hunts bought their silver largely with borrowed money.
Several banks loaned the Hunts over $650 million to fund their silver purchases including Citibank, the First National of Chicago, and Dallas. Also, a big source of funding for the Hunts was Bache &Co which was the second-largest brokerage firm at the beginning of the 1970s. The silver market was disrupted as prices shot up rapidly. On November 30, 1979, silver was trading at just under $19. By January 3, 1980, its price had risen to over $38 an ounce. Silver prices peaked at over $50 an ounce on January 18, 1980. Under pressure from the CFTC, the Commodity Exchange, Inc. (COMEX), the primary futures market for silver trading, announced on January 21 that it would allow trading for liquidation only. The exchanges increased margin levels to 100 percent, which further dried up the liquidity in the market. Prices plunged after the exchanges took those actions. In one twenty-four-hour period, silver prices dropped from $39.50 to $10.80 an ounce.
This generated massive margin calls on Hunt's positions. Margin calls had to be met in cash, and this strained even the enormous resources of the Hunts. They failed to meet $135 million in margin calls at Bache on March 26, 1980. Shortly thereafter, on March 28, 1980, the Hunts advised their brokers that they could not meet further margin calls in cash. That announcement threatened the financial stability of several large brokerage firms that had held Hunt positions, resulting in the “Silver Crisis.”
The CFTC was among those pursuing the Hunt brothers. The Hunts eventually agreed to a permanent bar from trading on all commodity exchanges, and they were assessed with a $10 million civil penalty by the CFTC. The Hunts were the subject of numerous private actions in which large judgments were returned. They then filed for bankruptcy.
The 2010-2011 Boom
In April of 2011 Silver traded at $49.80 per ounce in the spot exchange at the New York market. The Gold/Silver Ratio was one of the criteria that many traders were examining. Some people felt that silver was undervalued compared to gold and that it would eventually return to its historical price parity of around 16 ounces of silver per ounce of gold. Despite the fact that silver had not been this expensive in terms of gold in 28 years, and despite the fact that Dollar prices had doubled in 6 months, some traders believed the move wouldn't be complete until silver traded above the $50 price level it had reached in 1980.
The conditions for this bull market were very different compared to the boom of the 1980s. Thirty years later, the world economy was once again at risk. The US economy was still reeling from the housing crisis and the collapse of Lehman Brothers in 2008. Greece, Ireland, Portugal, Italy, and Spain have all revealed major financial issues, putting the Eurozone in jeopardy.
In the United States, consumer confidence in the economy had remained at all-time lows. The news from Europe only added to concerns of a fresh financial catastrophe. Then, in November 2010, the Fed announced the start of a new cycle of Quantitative Easing. The US Mint set a monthly record for silver coin sales, only topped by the rise in private-investor demand in early 2011. As a result, many investors believed the Dollar was under siege. It became critical to seek safe-haven investments that would hold or expand in actual value during a period of sustained inflation.
Meanwhile, there was news coming out of the silver market that seemed to support an optimistic long-term outlook on silver's industrial demand. For example, the solar sector began consuming substantially more silver than in prior years. Solar panel manufacture begins with silver paste, which necessitates a better quality of silver than is available on the wholesale market. As the sector's growing demand sucked in these 0.9999 fine bars, it drew a lot of attention. Because while there was no shortage of the more common 0.999 bars, there was a shortage of immediate supply of this higher purity. And because of the growing demand, and the coincidental rise in the silver price, the story stuck.
Furthermore, as the narrative progressed, the enormous private-investor demand for tiny bars and coins in silver grew as a result of the global economic crisis, causing immediately available retail items to command larger premiums than those scheduled for delivery later. In February 2011, this trend continued in the futures market. When demand for physical items exceeds expectations, it can be difficult for producers to fill additional client orders rapidly. If supply becomes erratic as a result, it provides the impression that there is a raw material scarcity when, in fact, there is just a product scarcity.
When the short-term risks were believed to have subsided, many investors reallocated their assets back into yielding (dividend or interest) investments such as stocks or bonds causing the price of silver to crash in the following months.
Today…
Inflation is historically bullish for silver and all commodity prices. We find ourselves in a low-interest rate environment (or zero) accompanied by a strong debasement of all currencies being done by central banks. Base metals, grains, oil, lumber have started a new boom cycle fueled in part by central bank policies, higher demand, and supply bottlenecks caused by the pandemic.
Based on the monthly chart we believe that Silver made the first impulse to the upside after reaching $11 in March 2020. It rallied to $29,90 in a couple of months reaching the top in August 2020. From August to the day this article is written (June 2021) it is still consolidating, preparing the next move up.
Trade with care.
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