NGAS
Can Natural Gas challenge 4.050 or 4.450Since the first of November, NGAS has had a nice run up but now appears to be pulling back for a correction. As part of my learning Renko Charts, I've created three views of NGAS:
Daily TF: source/close | style/traditional | blksz/.050
2Hr TF: source/close | style/traditional | blksz/.025
5Min TF: source/close | style/traditional | blksz/.010
With the price above the 20, 50, and 200 EMA and with the +DI of the DMI dominant, the overall trend of this market is up. However, looking at the 2Hr and 5Min charts, it looks like there is a correction in play. Once this correction concludes, NGAS can begin it's move up to challenge the 4.050 or even the 4.450 level.
On the 2Hr chart, the charcoal box is what the 5Min chart expands out to. Some key things to note and/or watch:
5Min price has moved off the 200EMA
5Min TSI has moved below 0 along with the -DI of the DMI dominant
2Hr chart is now correcting and attention should be paid to the TSI. If it breaks below 0, then wait for it to move back above 0 along with the PSAR signaling a buy
For now, on side until price and indicators signal that up move is beginning to continue
Natural Gas: Watching For Triangle or Bullish ButterflyEverything is pretty much shown in the chart. I have heard Natural Gas is hard to technically analyze but in my limited experience patterns seem to work pretty well.
---If price continues to the top trendline, I will look to see if it forms in 3 waves. If so, I will be more confident this is a triangle and will look to long around the E point (perhaps right after a break of the lower trendline)
---If price instead goes down from here I will watch the rectangle which is the completion of the potential Bullish Butterfly pattern.
---- Note : both of these scenarios can play out concurrently, which would make me feel even better for this trade!
I am always happy to receive any comments and/or feedback in my ideas. Good luck!
Natural Gas May Complete a Short Term AB=CD PatternEarly this morning Natural Gas broke the trendline and has begun to consolidate. Thus I am short-term bearish on Natural Gas and looking for sell set-ups.
I usually stay off of the 15 minute for trade ideas but as this is coherent with my short term analysis for this pair I will look to take this trade. The bearish AB=CD pattern may complete around the .5 retracement of this impulse down which would be a nice location for the short.
Once in the trade I will watch the recent bottom around 3.34 to depend whether I will take profit or hold for further targets (3.297 or beyond).
**This is not meant to be a trading signal so please do not use it as one -- I still have very much to learn as a trader and none of my ideas are trading advice. That said I always appreciate any comments and feedback on my charts and ideas!**