NZDCHF testing the 0618 🦐NZDCHF after the last bearish impulse got rejected by the trendline and started a retracement to the 0.618 Fibonacci level.
According to Plancton's strategy, If the price will provide us a sign of inversion, we will set a nice short order.
––––
Follow the Shrimp 🦐
Keep in mind.
🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
⚫️ Black structure -> >4h structure.
Here is the Plancton0618 technical analysis , please comment below if you have any question.
The ENTRY in the market will be taken only if the condition of the Plancton0618 strategy will trigger.
NZD-CHF
NZD CHF BUY (NEW ZEALAND DOLLAR - SWISS FRANC)NZD - FUNDAMENTAL BIAS: BULLISH
1. Developments surrounding the global risk outlook.
As a high-beta currency, NZD has benefited from the market's improving risk outlook over recent months as participants moved out of safe-havens and into riskier, higher-yielding assets. As a pro-cyclical currency, the NZD enjoyed upside alongside other cyclical assets going into what majority of market participants think was an early post-recession recovery phase. As long as expectations for the global economy remains positive the overall positive outlook for risk sentiment should be supportive for the NZD in the med-term.
2. The Monetary Policy outlook for the RBNZ
Going into 2021, the monetary policy outlook for the RBNZ were positive after the bank pushed back against the need for negative rates, as well as a string of positive economic data points showed the impact from the pandemic was less severe on the NZ economy than previously anticipated. At their May policy meeting the bank confirmed market expectations that they will follow in the BOC’s footsteps to signal a move away from ultra-easy monetary policy, by bringing forward rate hike expectations to as early as Q3 2022. Recall that during their February policy meeting the uncertainty was high enough for the bank to provide no guidance on interest rates past March 2021.
Going into the July meeting, the market has further increased their normalization expectations for the RBNZ with some participants expecting a first hike as soon as November this year. Even though the fundamentals such as the virus situation and economic data does point to a bank that can afford faster normalization, the expectation that the bank will completely ease QE and hike rates within four months from now seems very aggressive, which makes this week’s upcoming meeting very important for the NZD.
3. The country’s economic and health developments
Despite a hawkish tilt by the RBNZ as well as some stellar GDP data and NZIER survey data, the market have been happy to under-price the NZD despite a very positive fundamental outlook. In the past two weeks the NZD has slowly started to trade to the upside in line with its fundamentals, but all eyes are now on the upcoming July meeting where the bank will need to confirm whether they push back or validate the market’s expectations.
CHF - FUNDAMENTAL BIAS: BEARISH
1. Developments surrounding the global risk outlook.
As a safe-haven currency, the market's risk outlook is the primary driver for the CHF. Swiss economic data rarely proves market moving; and although SNB intervention can have a substantial impact on CHF, its impact tends to be relatively short-lived. Additionally, the SNB are unlikely to adjust policy anytime soon, given their overall bearish tone and a preference for being behind the ECB in terms of policy decisions.
The market's overall risk tone is improving with coronavirus vaccines being rolled out as well as the unprecedented amount of monetary policy accommodation and fiscal support from governments. Of course, risks remain as many countries are now battling third waves of the virus. As such, there is still a degree of uncertainty and risks to the overall risk outlook which could prove supportive for the CHF should negative factors for the global economy develop; however, on balance the overall risk outlook is continuing to improve and barring any major meltdowns in risk assets the bias for the CHF remains bearish.
Despite the negative drivers, the CHF has remained surprisingly strong over the past couple of weeks. This divergence from the fundamental outlook doesn’t make much sense, but the CHF often has a mind of its own and can often move in opposite directions from what short-term sentiment or its fundamental outlook suggests, thus be careful when trading the CHF and always keep the possibility of SNB intervention in mind.
NZD CHF SHORT TRADEthe evening star bearish candlestick reversal pattern has made us breach back into the channel
first confirmation for short is evening star candlestick pattern
second confrimation for short is breaking back within channel
third confirmation of short is bearish daily pinbar rejection of trendline and zone area
now we place a short to the downside: since stop is larger we reduce our regular lot size
NZDCHF Continuing its downwards spiral soon?
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💡Don't miss the great buy opportunity in NZDCHFTrading suggestion:
". There is a possibility of temporary retracement to the suggested support line (0.6419).
. if so, traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term targets."
Technical analysis:
. NZDCHF is in a range bound, and the beginning of an uptrend is expected.
. The price is above the 21-Day WEMA, which acts as a dynamic support.
. The RSI is at 69.
Take Profits:
TP1= @ 0.6503
TP2= @ 0.6534
TP3= @ 0.6569
TP4= @ 0.6632
TP5= @ 0.6701
SL= Break below S2
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💡Don't miss the great buy opportunity in NZDCHFTrading suggestion:
". There is a possibility of temporary retracement to the suggested support line (0.6419).
. if so, traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term targets."
Technical analysis:
. NZDCHF is in a range bound, and the beginning of an uptrend is expected.
. The price is above the 21-Day WEMA, which acts as a dynamic support.
. The RSI is at 69.
Take Profits:
TP1= @ 0.6503
TP2= @ 0.6534
TP3= @ 0.6569
TP4= @ 0.6632
TP5= @ 0.6701
SL= Break below S2
❤️ If you find this helpful and want more FREE forecasts in TradingView
. . . . . Please show your support back,
. . . . . . . . Hit the 👍 LIKE button,
. . . . . . . . . . Drop some feedback below in the comment!
❤️ Your support is very much 🙏 appreciated!❤️
💎 Want us to help you become a better Forex / Crypto trader?
Now, It's your turn!
Be sure to leave a comment; let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast.
Trade well, ❤️
ForecastCity English Support Team ❤️
💡Don't miss the great buy opportunity in NZDCHFTrading suggestion:
". There is a possibility of temporary retracement to the suggested support line (0.6406).
. if so, traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term targets."
Technical analysis:
. NZDCHF is in a range bound, and the beginning of an uptrend is expected.
. The price is below the 21-Day WEMA, which acts as a dynamic resistance.
. The RSI is at 66.
Take Profits:
TP1= @ 0.6476
TP2= @ 0.6504
TP3= @ 0.6542
TP4= @ 0.6575
TP5= @ 0.6620
SL= Break below S2
❤️ If you find this helpful and want more FREE forecasts in TradingView
. . . . . Please show your support back,
. . . . . . . . Hit the 👍 LIKE button,
. . . . . . . . . . Drop some feedback below in the comment!
❤️ Your support is very much 🙏 appreciated!❤️
💎 Want us to help you become a better Forex / Crypto trader?
Now, It's your turn!
Be sure to leave a comment; let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast.
Trade well, ❤️
ForecastCity English Support Team ❤️
💡Don't miss the great buy opportunity in NZDCHFTrading suggestion:
". There is a possibility of temporary retracement to the suggested support line (0.6406).
. if so, traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term targets."
Technical analysis:
. NZDCHF is in a range bound, and the beginning of an uptrend is expected.
. The price is below the 21-Day WEMA, which acts as a dynamic resistance.
. The RSI is at 66.
Take Profits:
TP1= @ 0.6476
TP2= @ 0.6504
TP3= @ 0.6542
TP4= @ 0.6575
TP5= @ 0.6620
SL= Break below S2
❤️ If you find this helpful and want more FREE forecasts in TradingView
. . . . . Please show your support back,
. . . . . . . . Hit the 👍 LIKE button,
. . . . . . . . . . Drop some feedback below in the comment!
❤️ Your support is very much 🙏 appreciated!❤️
💎 Want us to help you become a better Forex / Crypto trader?
Now, It's your turn!
Be sure to leave a comment; let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast.
Trade well, ❤️
ForecastCity English Support Team ❤️
NZDCHF bullish breakout | 21st June 202NZDCHF has shown a bullish breakout from the descending trendline resistance, where we could see a bounce from the Buy Entry level, in line with 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and 61.8% Fibonacci extension. Price could rise further towards Take Profit level, which is in line with 61.8% Fibonacci extension and horizontal swing high resistance. Price is also holding above moving average support, in line with our bullish bias.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
NZDCHF further downside from pivotNZDCHF is currently pushing downwards towards 1st resistance in line with 161.8% Fibonacci extension and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. If prices push down further, prices might take support from 78.6% Fibonacci extension and 127.2% Fibonacci retracement fibonacci confluence zone. If prices reverses from 1st resistance, prices might face resistance from horizontal swing high resistance in line with 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and 61.8% Fibonacci extension.
NZDCHF facing bullish pressure, potential for further upsideNZDCHF is currently facing bullish pressure from ascending trendline, in line with horizontal swing low support, 127.2% Fibonacci extension and 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Prices might push up towards horizontal swing high resistance in line with 127.2% Fibonacci extension and 127.2% Fibonacci retracement. If prices push down further, prices might take support from horizontal swing low support in line with 127.2% Fibonacci retracement. Ichimoku cloud is also below prices, showing a bullish pressure for prices.
NZDCHF potential for further upside| 17th June 2021NZDCHF has broken out of descending trend line resistance in line and is pushing up towards horizontal swing high resistance in line with 161.8% Fibonacci retracement and 161.8% Fibonacci extension. If prices push past buy entry, prices might continue to push up towards horizontal swing high resistance in line with 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. If prices reverses from pivot, prices might push down towards 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and 100% Fibonacci extension. EMA is also below prices, showing a bullish pressure for prices.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
NZDCHF on an inverse H&S 🦐NZDCHF on the 4 h chart creates an inverse head and shoulder pattern.
The price which was moving inside a descnedinding channel is now testing the resistance zone and according to Plancton's strategy if the market will break above we will set a nice long order.
––––
Follow the Shrimp 🦐
Keep in mind.
🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
⚫️ Black structure -> >4h structure.
Here is the Plancton0618 technical analysis , please comment below if you have any question.
The ENTRY in the market will be taken only if the condition of the Plancton0618 strategy will trigger.
NZDCHF - Channel Within A Channel!NZDCHF is in a bigger channel and has approached the channel support. We have reached the channel support within a descending channel which is typically a reversal pattern. Also, we can draw a descending trendline and watch for breakout and put stops below the channel.
Looking for the previous top as take profit.
Goodluck and trade safe!
NZDCHF Facing Bearish Pressure | 15 June 2021NZDCHF holding below long-term descending trendline resistance. A short-term drop below our entry at 0.64396 and also Fibonacci confluence zone towards graphical swing low level at 0.63979 could be possible. Stochastic is testing resistance as well where the price dropped in the past.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
NZDCHF: Precondition to Bearish Continuation 🇳🇿🇨🇭
Important breakout on NZDCHF.
The price has violated a previous structure low setting a new lower low lower close.
It looks like a long-term bearish trend will resume soon.
To catch the next swing move consider an underlined red resistance cluster,
based on a previous low and resistance of an expanding wedge pattern.
Goal - 0.637
❤️Please, support this idea with a like and comment!❤️
NZD - FUNDAMENTAL DRIVERSFundamental bias: Strong bullish
1. Developments surrounding the global risk outlook.
As a high-beta currency, NZD has remained broadly well supported in times of risk-on and as the overall risk outlook and tolerance of the market has improved over recent months. With coronavirus vaccines programs now underway in many countries, we expect the months ahead to see a further gradual improvement in the overall risk outlook and global economic outlook.
2. The Monetary Policy outlook for the RBNZ
Going into 2021, the monetary policy outlook for the RBNZ were positive after the bank pushed back against the need for negative rates, as well as a string of positive economic data points showed the impact from the pandemic was less severe on the NZ economy than previously anticipated. However, optimism has diminished in recent sessions as new legislation by New Zealand's government to cool its housing market is expected to provide the RBNZ with more time before being forced to normalize policy. Consequently, that saw market expectations for the timing of future rate hikes being pushed back. However, at their May policy meeting the bank confirmed the market’s expectations that they will follow in the BOC’s footsteps to signal a move away from ultra-easy monetary policy, by bringing forward rate hike expectations to as early as 2022. Recall that during their February policy meeting the uncertainty was high enough for the bank to provide no guidance on interest rates past March 2021, so for the bank to provide guidance for rates to rise next year and for further higher rates running into 2024 shows a very hawkish tilt as it was a material change in the bank’s optimism for the economy, both now and going forward. After the RBNZ’s shift we have upgraded our bias for the bank from BULLISH to STRONG BULLISH as we anticipate the shift to provide a favourable sentiment for the NZD in the short-term.
3. The country’s economic and health developments
With the new macroprudential policies put in place by the NZ government, it will be very important to keep close track of the virus situation in NZ as well as the incoming data. Due to the recent Macroprudential policies put in place by the NZ government our focus has turned to the incoming economic data as a guideline for whether the RBNZ will potentially move forward with tapering QE this year or not. Recent economic data has suggested that everything is still intact for the bank to follow in the BOC’s footsteps, which is of course exactly what the RBNZ did in their May policy meeting, which means the fundamental outlook for the NZD remains intact.
NZDCHF facing bearish pressure, potential for further downside!Prices are facing bearish pressure from horizontal pullback resistance in line with 100% Fibonacci extension and 50% Fibonacci retracement . Prices might push down towards horizontal swing low support in line with 50% Fibonacci extension . If prices continue to push up, prices might face resistance from horziontal swing high resistance in line with 127.2% Fibonacci extension and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement . Ichimoku cloud is also above prices, showing a bearish pressure for prices.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on our website.
NZDCHF testing a strong support 🦐NZDCHF on the 4h chart reached the weekly support level.
The price is moving inside a descending channel and is possibly looking for a lower low.
According to Plancton's strategy if the market will break below we will set a nice short order.
–––––
Follow the Shrimp 🦐
Keep in mind.
🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
⚫️ Black structure -> >4h structure.
Here is the Plancton0618 technical analysis , please comment below if you have any question.
The ENTRY in the market will be taken only if the condition of the Plancton0618 strategy will trigger.
NZDCHF looking up 🦐NZDCHF is moving inside a descending channel.
The market after the recent low at the 0.64300 started a move to the upside and currently is testing the descending trendline.
According to Plancton's strategy if the price will break above we will set a nice long order.
–––––
Follow the Shrimp 🦐
Keep in mind.
🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
⚫️ Black structure -> >4h structure.
Here is the Plancton0618 technical analysis , please comment below if you have any question.
The ENTRY in the market will be taken only if the condition of the Plancton0618 strategy will trigger.
NZDCHF - IN TREND ENGULFING LONG SETUP (D)Confluences:
Bullish engulfing
Lower bollinger band outbreak
Rejected strong support/demand zone
Long term uptrend
Close above 20 EMA
TP set at the candle body high of the previous highs.
SL set below engulfing candle low (safe) or below 4H engulfing candle low (riskier).
A close above the resistance trend line will confirm further increase in price.
Will be looking to re-enter this setup if price pulls back strongly then forms a strong bullish engulfing on the 15m, 30m or 1H time frames.