UKoil 60min, doble/triple top, FLAT BEAR DVG, short-possibillity. But wait for confirmation down, maybe under that red VWAP-line If it break's up above $56, then I don't know, if this idea is that good any further.... So it could be smart to look for what those next candle's become, b.c. oil look bullish in this upmove.
Bullish signals include: >Steady demand >Global inventory declines of 72m since January >Capex slashed year over year since 2015 >Potential for output cuts to come >Instability in the middle east >Rising marginal cost of production.
It seems like oil found the 61.8% fibo retracement resistance near 51.86 a few minutes before the inventory report at 10:30 am which showed a slight buildup in inventories. A break below the 50.75 support level would probably drive oil down to its more significant $50 support level if downside momentum continues.
4hr chart update on crude oil. Expecting crude to hold these level & push higher over the summer month were the demand for oil is at a high. This should be a great trend to play off, since the move back above $50 is imminent with OPEC cuts. April-August should be a great time to swing oil stocks.
When you see that kind of pattern where a big candle hits a support zone and multiple candles test it without success, it's wise go against it. MACD has started turning. There's a good possibility that the market will go beyong the 49,50~ price, you'd have to determine how strong the market is at that point.
2 months later, oil is still flat. As mentioned in my previous post about oil, I think this is a very crucial moment in the future price of oil. That's because oil is heavily manipulated and thus, if we fail to fulfill the consolidation and crash pattern as observed on 2015-06-29, I think oil will shoot to $65. All indicators on the weekly are very bearish and...
Excellent Crude Oil Short Opportunity. Trail your stops if in profit.
Dear shorts, I know most of us are extremely frustrated with the situation of OIL in the past (almost) 2 months. Whilst it should have retraced a long time ago, it can't seem to do so. In the early stages of this short trade, mostly technical indicators supported the idea whilst in the past ±4 weeks fundamental factors should cause oil to crash, since despite...
As you can see, we've been consolidating with very little movement last week. Actually, it's the weakest weekly candle since the year of 2003! Quite possibly resetting Indicators for a big move. As it appears, we might be at the cliff right now. It's edging on the 1.0 handle of that wide upsloper. If it dips below it, we might be negating that C and move towards...
WTI failed to break out of the green band and chased the highs of the band. However, This could be a complex correction followed by a pretty sharp dip to breach $50.76 thus opening up more future downside. If we fail to sell-off below $55.15, expect much more upside.
Crude has been trading the $50-$55 range for over a month so breaking $50 would be a big deal. If we do, i think $46 could be our next stop, followed by a retracement and then a dip down to test $43
RSI trending down, it has yet to be reflected in the price. I doubled down on my short friday when the price peaked, and the OPEC meeting hasn't change my mind. IMO the OPEC news was already priced in with oils run to $55, and until I see some solid statistics from OPEC and not just a bunch of words, my mind isn't changing.
I ended up holding my short position today, still in the hunt for the 40's. Bear divergence still there, RSI trending down towards oversold. Oil seems to be bouncing in between the two light blue bars, watch for a strong break either way. Pair this with my other ideas.
Talking Points: CrudeOil Technical Strategy: Buy on dip Elliottwave Count: Breakout confirmed. W-X-Y or sequence of impulse wave on reversal Analysis CrudeOil (CL) is able to break corrective cycle yesterday at 52.64. After breakout, it showed a five wave move towards 53.45 where it met monthly pivot resistance. We were expecting short term set back from...
Looking at a possible pull back to 50.00 area before further upside possibility.
Still short from $54, have not sold or added to my position at all. Blue line: $52 transition line, this line needs to be broken strong for us to head lower imo. Red trend-lines: We've see an increase in prices, with declining RSI. This is a bear divergence.(whether or not it will play it is another story, yet I believe it will) Orange line: This was a bull RSI...
There is a big target ahead. If the price range of 53-54 is broken, it may be possible to reach the range of 56-57. Let's wait for the price to reach the D point.