Oil 4H midday updateThe oil price is showing additional positive trading to gradually approach our first awaited target at 84.12, waiting for this level to be breached to confirm the continued dominance of the upward trend and achieve additional gains up to 85.94.
On the other hand, you should be aware that breaking 82.90 will stop the expected rise and force the price to decline again.
The general trend expected for today:bullish
Pivot Price: 82.90
Resistance Prices: 84.12 & 85.94 & 87.73
support price: 80.95 & 79.73 & 78.21
Oilsignals
Crude Oil Thursday Trading Signals
Through the analysis of the hourly chart of crude oil, we know that yesterday’s market rose first and then fell again in the evening and hit a new low at 80.30 below, stopping the decline and rebounding. We can clearly see from the attached picture below that there was a bottom-buying signal from a small institution below yesterday. It rebounded as expected. In early trading today, a low-priced signal from small institutions appeared again in the market. It is expected that it will continue to rebound. In the short term, we will focus on the pressure of moving averages No. 1 and 2, but we do not rule out further declines to the bottom during the session. The position of the No. 3 moving average is where we continue to think high, low and long. The specific suggestions are as follows:
sell 82-81.8 tp80
buy 79.5-80 tp 81.6
Crude oil Wednesday strategy
On Tuesday (October 31), under a series of negative impacts, WTI crude oil closed down 1.5% and broke through the key support of $82.00, indicating that the rise of WTI crude oil since the beginning of May is facing an end, and at the same time, downward space may be opened.
Looking at the daily chart of crude oil, oil prices have stopped rising at a high of 95 and entered a correction state. Oil prices have experienced a two-week decline and adjustment. Oil prices have crossed below the moving average system, and the objective trend has entered sideways consolidation. The original flag-shaped relay pattern has been destroyed. Under the uncertain war and conflict, oil prices continue to reverse upward. The current mid-term trend of crude oil has entered a high-level consolidation pattern. If the situation escalates, it is not ruled out to review the rise again.
The short-term (1H) trend of crude oil continued its volatile downward trend and hit a new low of 81.40. The moving average system is arranged in a short position, and the short-term objective trend remains downward. In early trading, oil prices adjusted weakly near the lows, and short-term momentum prevailed. Pay attention to the resistance of the yellow downward trend line on oil prices in the chart. It is expected that crude oil will continue to decline in the short term during the day. interval category. It is expected that crude oil will continue to decline during the day and test the support position at the lower edge of the 81.70 weekly chart range.
Trading signals: sell82.50 sl84.00, tp80.70.
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Pay attention to the key position 85.85
Crude oil has experienced two consecutive weeks of range-bound volatility. Attempts to break above resistance failed. The shortage of crude oil in the market is also constantly easing, limiting the upward range of oil prices and reducing investors' willingness to chase increases. The current low inventory situation will also limit the room for correction of oil prices, which means that oil prices will most likely remain within the range for some time to come. , pay attention to the rhythm and control the risks.
The daily trend of oil prices still remains below the mid-range and short-term moving averages. The indicators in the attached chart also maintain the development of bearish signals. The short-term trend is still likely to fall back. But combined with the weekly chart, crude oil is obviously bullish.
Pay attention to the resistance levels of 85.85 and 87.5 and the support level of 82.3. 85.85 is a bullish key level
Crude oil trading strategy for Tuesday
Through the analysis of the hourly chart of crude oil, we know that yesterday's market surged higher and fell back, showing that the main bulls were weak, and once reached the 81.80 line below to stop falling and rebound. From the picture below, we can clearly see that there has been a super main force buying the bottom signal. It is said that there will be a rebound in the short term. In the short term, we can focus on the pressure on Nos. 1 and 2. It is expected that the bottom area will continue to fluctuate and build a bottom. In the short term, in terms of operation, we will continue to think of going high and low and long. The specific suggestions are as follows:
Crude oil is short at 83.90 and 84.90 respectively, with a stop loss of 70 points and a profit stop of 200 points;
Crude oil is long at 82.10 and 79.80 respectively, with a stop loss of 70 points and a profit stop of 200 points.
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Crude oil trading strategy
Through the analysis of the hourly chart of crude oil, we know that the last trading day first fell, then rose and then fell. The pressure that reached the middle track of the Bollinger Band above was blocked and fell back. We can clearly see from the picture below that the main bulls continued to intervene in the bottom area of the market. , in the short term, there is currently a top-bottom-raising movement, which is very likely to break through the suppression of the middle track of the upper Bollinger Bands with heavy volume. In the short-term below, we focus on the support of the upward trend line. In terms of operation, we continue to think high, low and long, focusing on going long on dips. Specific suggestions are as follows:
Crude oil buy84.20/83.20 TP 85.5-85.8
Crude oil SELL 85.8/87.5 TP 83.5-84.5
WTI OIL Head and Shoulders within A Channel Up.WTI Oil (USOIL) eventually formed the Channel Up we projected on our most recent (see chart below) analysis 2 weeks ago:
As the price is below both the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) and the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line), we spot the completion of the Right Shoulder of a Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern inside that Channel. We will not short however before the price closes a 4H candle below the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the Channel Up. Technically the H&S targets the 2.0 Fibonacci extension (75.00) but for the time being, we will settle for a 79.00 target, which will be marginally above the 1W MA50 (red trend-line) and 1.5 Fibonacci extension.
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Oil Prices Plummet as Russia Boosts ExportsTh oil market that might present a potential opportunity for those who are interested in shorting oil. Please note that this opportunity should be approached with caution, as market dynamics can be unpredictable.
Over the past few weeks, we have witnessed a significant drop in oil prices, primarily driven by Russia's decision to ramp up its oil exports. As a result, the global oil market is experiencing an increased supply, which has put downward pressure on prices. As of today, oil prices have dipped below the $84 mark, signaling a potential bearish trend.
Considering the current situation, it may be prudent to explore the possibility of shorting oil. However, I must emphasize the importance of conducting thorough research and analysis before making any investment decisions. As experienced traders, you understand the importance of managing risks and being prepared for any potential market fluctuations.
To assist you in evaluating this opportunity, I recommend closely monitoring Russia's export levels, as well as keeping a close eye on global oil demand and geopolitical developments. Additionally, staying informed about any significant announcements or policy changes from major oil-producing countries will be crucial.
As always, it is essential to remember that the oil market can be highly volatile, and timing is of utmost importance. Therefore, I encourage you to exercise caution and carefully assess your risk appetite before engaging in any short positions.
Should you decide to explore this opportunity further, I encourage you to consult with your financial advisor or seek professional guidance. They will be able to provide tailored advice based on your individual circumstances and investment goals.
In conclusion, the recent drop in oil prices, driven by Russia's increased oil exports, presents a potential opportunity for those interested in shorting oil. However, I urge you to approach this opportunity with caution, conducting thorough research and analysis before making any investment decisions. Remember to stay informed, manage your risks, and seek professional guidance if needed.
Swing trade long for WTIWe saw the pullback into the support area we were waiting for, around the 200-dar EMA on the 4hour chart and weekly pivot point. A bullish engulfing candle also formed at the end of the session, and whilst prices have gapped lower at the open, we're now looking to enter long and target the resistance zone around $90.
WTI Crude Oil midday updateThe oil price has shown weak trading since the morning, stable around 90.70, and therefore, there is no change in the expected bullish trend scenario for today, which depends on stability above the 88.70 level, while its next targets are at 92.00 then 95.35.
Pivot Price:88.70
Resistance Price: 90.70 & 92.00 & 93.37
support price: 87.71 & 86.40 & 84.58
The general trend expected for today: bullish
OIL SELLPeace be upon you, according to my analysis of the oil market. There is a very good selling opportunity. The market has reached an important point, which is the 61% Fibonacci retracement of the golden ratio. It also reached a very strong resistance level at 89. We also notice the formation of a red candle with a tail on the 2-hour frame, indicating a strong entry by sellers. All these factors confirm that the market is for sale. Good luck everyone
Oil price is recoveringOil price trades rebounded strongly after finding strong support formed by the 50 moving average in front of the recent negative trading, to exceed the 88.79 level and attempt to return to the main ascending channel again, which leads the price to achieve expected gains during the coming sessions, on its way to visit the 90.39 and then 91.56 levels. As major positive stations.
Therefore, the upward bias will be likely for today, influenced by the double bottom pattern that appears on the chart, keeping in mind that trading below 88.79 again will put the price under negative pressure targeting testing the 88.79level initially.
WTI OIL Channel Up. Short-term sell opportunity.WTI Oil (USOIL) got heavily rejected following our sell signal (see chart below) earlier this month (October 02) after failing to close above the 12-month Double Top:
This long-term bearish trade is still valid but on the short-term (4H time-frame) we see another sell opportunity in the making. The Channel Up that is emerging after the price got rejected on the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) calls for a sell back to the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the pattern. Our target is 83.50 (-5.66 bearish leg as the one before it).
The 4H MACD is about to form a Bearish Cross so if the price breaks below the (dashed) Higher Lows trend-line, we will sell the break-out and target the 1W MA50 (red trend-line) at 78.50 (just above Support 1).
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The Unexpected Rise: How Potential USA Sanctions Drive Oil PriceAs I'm sure you are aware, recent developments have led to a rise in oil prices by a staggering $2. The main contributing factors to this increase are the potential imposition of sanctions by the USA and a significant tightening in global supply. This optimistic trend presents a golden opportunity for those looking to make a successful long play in the oil market!
Now, this is where your expertise comes into play, dear traders. With all the indicators pointing towards a promising future for oil, I encourage you to consider long positions in your investment strategy. By taking advantage of this upward momentum, you have the chance to capitalize on potentially lucrative gains. So, without further ado, I urge you to kick-start your trading journey, ride the wave of rising prices, and seize this golden opportunity before it passes you by.
Profiting from Oil Price Drops
Recent events have led to a significant drop in oil prices, primarily due to the phenomenon known as "demand destruction." I believe this presents an opportune moment for traders like yourself to consider shorting oil and potentially reap substantial gains.
Considering the conservative nature of your trading approach, shorting oil could be a prudent strategy to capitalize on this situation. By short selling oil, you can aim to profit from the further decline in oil prices. This approach aligns with a conservative trading philosophy, as it allows you to take advantage of the current market conditions while minimizing potential risks.
To maximize your potential gains, I recommend conducting thorough research and analysis before executing any trades. Keep a close eye on global economic indicators, such as GDP growth forecasts, industrial production figures, and travel restrictions. Additionally, monitor geopolitical developments, as they often have a direct impact on oil prices. By staying informed and vigilant, you can make well-informed decisions that align with your trading strategy.
I understand that shorting oil may not be suitable for everyone, and each trader has their own risk tolerance and investment goals. However, I believe that the present circumstances present a compelling opportunity for those who are willing to take a calculated risk.
In conclusion, the recent oil price drops resulting from demand destruction offer a promising chance to profit from shorting oil. As a conservative trader, this strategy allows you to capitalize on the current market conditions while adhering to your risk management principles. Remember to conduct thorough research, stay informed, and make well-informed decisions aligned with your trading strategy.
Should you have any questions or require further assistance, please do not hesitate to comment below. Wishing you success in your trading endeavors
USOIL - Waiting For Breakout...
Hey Traders !
The USOIL Price Broke a Strong Daily Support Level (85.90 - 84.15)
Currently,
-This Support Level Becomes a New Resistance Level.
-The Support Line is Broken.
So, I Expect a Bearish Move📉
i'm waiting for breakout...
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TARGET: 78.60🎯
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Trading advisory: Pause trading due to oil price target of 87.16I wanted to provide you with the latest update regarding the oil market and its recent volatility that demands immediate attention. After careful analysis, our experts have projected a significant revision in the oil price target, with the new estimated threshold being $87.16 per barrel.
Given the sudden change in the market, I strongly urge you to exercise caution and consider adopting a temporary pause on oil trading activities until further notice. This move will allow for a more prudent approach in dealing with the uncertainties surrounding the current market conditions.
Our decision to recommend this temporary halt is rooted in the desire to mitigate potential risks that may arise due to the oil price's downward trajectory. By taking a pause in oil trading, you can protect your investments and reassess your strategy in light of the evolving market dynamics. Remember, it is crucial to prioritize the long-term stability and profitability of your investments over short-term gains.
In summary, I strongly advise you to pause your oil trading activities and analyze the market situation closely before making any new decisions. Your diligence and careful consideration at this critical juncture will go a long way in safeguarding your investments and optimizing your future trading success.
Thank you for your prompt attention to this matter. We appreciate your understanding and willingness to adapt to the evolving market conditions. Together, we can weather this storm and emerge stronger.
Oil Spikes 5% Following Hamas Attack in Israel Following a recent attack by Hamas in Israel, oil prices have surged by 5%, and it is crucial for us to closely monitor this situation.
The attack in Israel has heightened geopolitical tensions in the region, which historically have directly influenced oil prices. As traders, it is essential for us to exercise caution and remain vigilant during times of increased volatility. The recent spike in oil prices serves as a stark reminder of the potential risks and opportunities that can arise in the energy markets.
Given the current circumstances, I strongly encourage you to closely watch the oil market and closely monitor any further developments in the region. It is essential to stay informed and be prepared to act swiftly if necessary. As we have seen in the past, geopolitical events can have a lasting impact on oil prices, and it is crucial to be proactive in managing our positions.
In light of this situation, I suggest the following actions:
1. Stay informed: Keep yourself updated on the latest news and developments in the Middle East, particularly regarding the Israel-Hamas conflict. Reliable news sources and market analysis can provide valuable insights into potential market movements.
2. Monitor oil prices: Regularly track the price of oil and observe any significant fluctuations. Pay attention to key support and resistance levels, as they can help inform your trading decisions.
3. Diversify your portfolio: Consider diversifying your trading portfolio to mitigate potential risks associated with geopolitical events. A well-diversified portfolio can help protect against unexpected market movements.
4. Implement risk management strategies: Review and reassess your risk management strategies to ensure they are robust and aligned with your trading goals. Set appropriate stop-loss orders and consider using trailing stops to protect your positions.
Remember, caution is key during times of heightened volatility. While the situation may evolve rapidly, it is essential to approach trading with a level-headed mindset and avoid making impulsive decisions based on emotions.
Oil price starts with a large upward gap
USOIL
stabilizing above 84.58 ill support rising to touch 86.74,87.67 and 88.54
stabilizing under 84.58 will support falling to touch 83.26 the 82.00
Pivot Price: 84.58
Resistance prices: 86.74& 87.67 & 88.54
Support prices: 83.26 & 82.00 & 80.56
timeframe: 4H
Oil 4H midday updateThe price of oil has been fluctuating sideways since the morning
Therefore, there is no change to the expected bearish trend scenario for today,
which targets breaking the 82.00 level to confirm the extension of the bearish wave towards the 80.56 then 78.21 levels
stabilizing above 83.26 will support rising to touch 84.55 , 86.08 then 87.67
Pivot Price: 82.00
Resistance prices: 84.55 & 86.08 & 87.67
Support prices: 80.55 & 78.21 & 74.52
The general trend expected for today: bearish
timeframe: 4H
[EN] Shoulder-Head-Shoulder in oil? // GaliortiTradingIn the more immediate term, EASYMARKETS:OILUSD accumulates a large oversold position. In the August/October period of this year there was a clear bearish divergence between the RSI and prices, which together with the proximity of the top of the bearish channel presaged a price correction. This has been the case.
The proximity to the 200-session EMA makes us expect an immediate rebound as the most likely scenario. Likewise, the entry into a liquidity zone ($80-82) will facilitate this rebound.
However, we believe that the weakness of the rebound will lead to a second wave of declines based on:
- the breakout of the 200 EMA support in a second attack
- having previously swept the buy orders from the liquidity zone .
It seems to us that this fall will be fast and vertical until it reaches the bullish trendline of May this year.
Consequently, EASYMARKETS:OILUSD could be developing a shoulder-head-shoulder chart pattern within its bearish channel that had been configured since the summer of last year. A return to the lower portion of the channel by the end of the first quarter of 2024 would not be out of the question.
This analysis, from a technical point of view, could be favored by the performance of the dollar index (depending on the Fed's rate decisions ) and by the weakness of global demand if global GDP slows down as current data suggest, which will slow down industrial activity. Also, the development of the Ukrainian war could condition Russia to unilaterally increase its production in order to finance its spending.
We do not expect a supply/demand shock, but we do expect a downward restructuring of demand . The production restrictions of the other OPEC members to keep oil prices stable may be partially offset by China's objective to increase its production in order not to depend so heavily on the outside world.
Pablo G.
Oil price is trying to recover
The price perfectly fulfills my last idea and the price reached our target.
Additionally Today we have US crude oil stocks and it will affect the market.
WTI Crude Oil has been correcting, more aggressively than most thought after a High outside of the Channel Up.
Therefore, we expect to witness negative trading during the coming sessions, with the need to be aware that failure to break 88.54 will push the price to achieve additional gains of up to 90.39 initially.
stabilizing above 88.54 will support rising to touch 90.39 , 91.04 then 92.45
stabilizing under 87.67 will support falling to touch 86.08 and then 85.31
I prefer not to trade at this moment until today to know what the OPEC Plus will do.
Resistance prices: 90.39 & 91.04 & 92.45
Support prices: 86.08 & 85.31 & 84.35
The expected trading range for today is between support 87.67 and Resistance 91.04