Leverage Your Way to Trading SuccessGood morning traders!
Today we're breaking down one of the most powerful yet misunderstood concepts in trading - leverage and margin. Think of this like the gym; leverage is your workout equipment, allowing you to lift more than you could with just your body weight. Margin, on the other hand, is like your gym membership fee; it's what you pay to access that equipment.
Understanding Leverage and Margin
-Leverage: In trading, leverage is about using a small amount of capital to control a much larger position. It's like using a barbell - it amplifies your strength, but if you're not careful, you can hurt yourself.
-Margin: This is the initial deposit required to borrow the "barbell." It's your skin in the game, ensuring you don't just run off with the equipment without working out.
The Power of Leverage
-Amplified Returns: Just like lifting weights can give you bigger muscles faster, leverage can significantly increase your returns if the market moves in your favor.
-Access to Bigger Plays: With leverage, you can dive into opportunities that would otherwise be out of your financial reach, like taking on a much heavier weight than you could lift solo.
The Risks You Must Navigate
-Magnified Losses: Here's where the gym analogy gets real - if you drop that heavy barbell, you're going to feel it. In trading, leverage can make small losses big ones if the market goes against you.
-Margin Calls: If your account balance dips below the required level, it's like the gym calling you to say, "Hey, you need more money for that membership!" You either add funds or have to stop using the equipment (close positions).
-The Temptation to Overdo It: Just like in the gym, where you might want to lift too much too soon, in trading, leverage can tempt you to overtrade, leading to exhaustion or injury (financial losses).
How to Lift with Leverage Smartly
-Set Stop-Loss Orders: This is like having a spotter in the gym. Decide beforehand how much weight (loss) you can handle before you need help (exit the trade).
-Only Use What You Can Afford to Lose: Never work out with weights that could crush you if they fall. Only use leverage on money you're prepared to part with.
-Know Your Limits: Understand how much margin you need to keep your positions open without getting a surprise bill from the gym.
-Position Sizing: Start small, like beginning with lighter weights before moving to the heavy stuff. Even with leverage, manage your trade sizes wisely.
-Keep Educating Yourself: Just as you'd learn new exercises or techniques in the gym, keep learning about markets and trading strategies.
A Gym Session Example
Imagine you've got $1,000 to invest, but with leverage, it's like you're trading with $10,000. If the market moves up by 5%, you're not just making a small profit; you're looking at a 50% return on your initial investment. But if it drops by 5%, you're facing a 50% loss, which could knock you out of the gym if you're not ready.
Wrapping Up
Leverage and margin are like your gym gear - they can make you stronger but only if used correctly.
If you're struggling to understand this concept, send me a DM - more than happy to help. If this article helped you, please boost, share, and comment; I truly appreciate it.
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
Risk
Understanding Risk Asymmetry in a Table▮ Introduction
With TradingView's new table creation feature , you can easily create and customize tables to enhance your trading analysis and presentations.
In this article I'll use it to explain Risk Asymmetry .
Trading involves a constant evaluation of risk and reward .
One of the critical concepts that traders need to understand is risk asymmetry .
This concept highlights how losses and gains are not symmetrical.
In other words, the percentage gain required to recover from a loss is greater than the percentage loss itself.
This article explores risk asymmetry and illustrates it with a practical example.
▮ What is Risk Asymmetry?
Risk asymmetry refers to the disproportionate relationship between losses and the gains required to recover from those losses.
For instance, if you lose 10% of your investment, you need to gain more than 10% to get back to your original amount.
This is because the base amount has decreased after the loss.
Understanding risk asymmetry is crucial for traders because it affects their risk management strategies.
Knowing that larger losses require exponentially larger gains to recover can help traders make more informed decisions about their trades and risk exposure.
▮ Illustrating Risk Asymmetry
To illustrate risk asymmetry, let's consider an initial investment of $1000.
The table below shows the required gain to recover from various percentage losses:
Explanation:
- Loss (%): The percentage loss from the initial amount.
- Value Lost ($): The lost monetary value from the initial amount.
- Amount After Loss ($): The remaining amount after the loss.
- Required Gain for Recovery (%): The percentage gain required to recover to the initial amount.
This table highlights the asymmetry in trading losses and gains.
As the loss percentage increases, the required gain to recover the initial amount increases disproportionately.
For example, if you lose 50% of your initial amount ( $500 ), it is not enough for you to gain 50% , because the amount left after the loss is $500 , and a 50% gain on the amount of $500 is $250 , which would result in a total amount of $750 with a remaining loss of $250 !
So, the most important question is not how much can I win , but how much can I lose .
Curiosity:
Why 100% is not applicable (-) in this table?
When you lose 100% of your investment, you have lost all your capital. Therefore, there is no remaining amount to recover from, and it is impossible to gain back to the initial amount from zero. This is why the required gain are marked as not applicable.
▮ Conclusion
Understanding risk asymmetry can help traders in several ways:
1. Risk Management:
traders can set stop-loss levels to limit their losses and avoid the need for large gains to recover.
2. Position Sizing:
by understanding the potential impact of losses, traders can size their positions more conservatively.
3. Psychological Preparedness:
knowing the challenges of recovering from significant losses can help traders maintain discipline and avoid emotional decision-making.
It is one thing to lose 100% of a dollar on a casino bet; it is quite another to lose 100% of a lifetime's worth of capital.
Therefore, the larger the capital at stake, the smaller the amount of money that should ideally be risked.
Mastering Risk Management: The Silent Key to Trading SuccessMastering Risk Management: The Silent Key to Trading Success
In the world of trading, risk management is often the unsung hero. While many traders obsess over finding the perfect strategy or predicting the next market move, those who truly succeed understand that managing risk is the cornerstone of long-term profitability. Without it, even the most brilliant trading plan can crumble. With it, you build a resilient foundation that allows you to weather the inevitable storms and capitalize on opportunities.
What is Risk Management?
Risk management isn't just a set of rules; it's a mindset and a discipline. It’s the process of identifying, assessing, and controlling potential losses. This goes beyond simply setting stop-loss orders or adjusting position sizes. It's about adopting a framework that ensures every trading decision is made with a clear understanding of the potential downside. Before entering any trade, ask yourself: "What am I willing to lose?" rather than "How much could I gain?"
Why Risk Management Matters
Imagine driving a car without brakes. No matter how powerful the engine or how skilled the driver, the lack of brakes turns every journey into a potential disaster. In trading, risk management is your braking system. It keeps you in control, preventing small mistakes from turning into catastrophic losses.
Many traders focus on their win rate, but it's the size of your losses that often determines your success. Even a strategy with a 50% win rate can be highly profitable if your average loss is much smaller than your average gain. Conversely, a trader who wins 80% of the time but suffers massive losses on the other 20% will likely fail in the long run.
Practical Steps to Effective Risk Management
Know Your Risk Tolerance:
Every trader is different. Understand how much capital you're comfortable risking per trade. For many, this is 1-2% of their total account. This ensures that no single loss can wipe you out.
Set Stop-Losses and Stick to Them:
A stop-loss isn't just a suggestion—it’s a commitment. Place your stop-loss at a point that invalidates your trade idea, not just where it feels convenient. Once it's set, never move it in the heat of the moment.
Position Sizing:
The size of your position should be based on the distance to your stop-loss and the percentage of your capital you're willing to risk. If a trade requires a wider stop, consider reducing your position size to maintain consistent risk.
Diversify Smartly:
Don’t put all your eggs in one basket. Diversification doesn’t mean trading more; it means spreading your risk. Avoid overexposure to a single market or asset class.
Accept and Learn from Losses:
Losses are part of trading. What separates successful traders from the rest is their ability to minimize those losses and learn from them. Every loss is a lesson—an opportunity to refine your approach and strengthen your discipline.
The Emotional Side of Risk Management
Emotions are one of the biggest challenges traders face. Fear and greed can lead to impulsive decisions, such as holding onto losing trades in the hope they’ll turn around or risking too much on a single "sure thing." Effective risk management helps counteract these emotional pitfalls. When you know your risk is controlled, you trade with greater confidence and clarity.
Sticking to your risk management plan, especially during a losing streak, can be tough. It requires discipline and patience. But remember, trading is a marathon, not a sprint. Protecting your capital today ensures you have the opportunity to trade tomorrow.
Conclusion
Risk management isn't the most glamorous part of trading, but it is the most vital. It's the foundation upon which all successful trading is built. Without it, even the best strategies and the most skilled traders are vulnerable. With it, you create a framework that allows you to navigate the unpredictable markets with confidence.
In trading, it's not about how much you can make—it’s about how much you can keep. Master risk management, and you master the art of trading.
The Importance of Financial Discipline in TradingThe Importance of Financial Discipline in Trading: A Pathway to Lasting Success
Achieving consistent success hinges on one fundamental principle: financial discipline. This concept encompasses adherence to a well-structured trading strategy, effective risk management, and emotional control. Distinguishing successful traders from those who struggle, financial discipline empowers individuals to make informed decisions while navigating the often chaotic world of financial markets.
Understanding Financial Discipline
Financial discipline is about maintaining a methodical approach to trading. It requires traders to exercise patience in waiting for favorable market conditions, the courage to cut losses promptly, and the self-restraint to avoid impulsive risks. By establishing clear trading rules and sticking to them, traders can minimize errors, conserve capital, and foster long-term profitability. In contrast, a lack of discipline can lead to devastating consequences, derailing even the most promising strategies and exposing traders to significant financial setbacks.
Also Read:
The Critical Role of Emotional Control
Emotions can be one of the biggest hurdles in trading. Decisions driven by fear, greed, or overconfidence often lead to regrettable outcomes. For instance, fear may result in prematurely exiting a position, causing traders to miss out on potential gains when they could have held on longer. Conversely, the lure of quick profits might tempt traders to overtrade or take on excessive risk.
Disciplined traders minimize the impact of emotions by adhering to a comprehensive pre-planned strategy that emphasizes consistency. This approach includes specific criteria for trade entries and exits, pre-defined risk thresholds, and clear guidelines for position sizing. By operating within these parameters, traders can cope with the inevitable volatility of the market without succumbing to emotional reactions.
Moreover, having financial discipline allows traders to maintain composure during turbulent market periods, a time when many make ill-advised choices. The essence of financial discipline lies in its ability to keep traders focused on their long-term objectives, adapt strategies when needed, and ultimately achieve sustained profitability over time.
Also Read:
Setting Achievable Goals
Successful trading begins with the establishment of realistic, achievable goals. Traders should clarify their objectives—in both the short and long term—to facilitate strategic decision-making. Short-term goals, such as monthly profit targets, should remain specific yet attainable, fostering motivation and providing benchmarks for progress. For example, rather than aiming for excessively high returns, a trader might target a modest monthly gain, reducing the urge to engage in risky behavior.
However, flexibility is essential. Financial markets are dynamic, and goals may need adjustment in response to changing conditions. What may seem feasible during a bull market could become unrealistic in a downturn. Long-term goals, such as building wealth over several years, can help traders keep sight of their overarching aims without getting sidetracked by temporary setbacks.
By setting realistic expectations, traders can avoid the pitfalls of ambition that often lead to burnout or reckless decisions. These well-defined goals serve not only as performance indicators but also as tools to cultivate patience and resilience in the trading journey.
Risk Management: The Heart of Discipline
Effective risk management is paramount for survival in trading, and disciplined traders recognize that controlling risk is essential for long-term sustainability. Every trade carries a degree of uncertainty, and without a robust risk management strategy, even minor losses can escalate, jeopardizing a trader's financial health.
One fundamental risk management technique is the implementation of stop-loss orders. A stop-loss automatically closes a trade once it reaches a predetermined loss threshold, helping traders avoid the pitfall of holding onto losing positions in hopes of recovery. By defining acceptable limits, traders can mitigate risks and safeguard their accounts.
Position sizing is another critical component of a prudent risk management strategy. Traders should only risk a small percentage of their total capital on any single trade, ensuring that a series of losses will not have a devastating impact on their overall account balance. This approach encourages traders to diversify their risks rather than overexposing themselves to any one market or trade.
Additionally, understanding and applying a favorable risk-reward ratio is central to disciplined trading. Aiming for trades where the potential reward significantly surpasses the risk taken helps ensure that traders remain profitable in the long run. For example, a risk-reward ratio of 3:1 means risking $100 to potentially earn $300. By consistently identifying trades with such favorable ratios, traders can weather inevitable losses while maintaining a path to profitability.
Also Read:
Mastering Emotional Control
The psychological aspects of trading cannot be overlooked. Emotions such as fear and greed can markedly hinder progress. Fear may lead to hasty exits from positions, while greed could incite traders to exceed their risk limits in pursuit of greater profits. Both scenarios jeopardize a structured trading plan and can have dire financial consequences.
Long-term success in trading requires emotional control, allowing traders to base decisions on careful analysis rather than spontaneous reactions to the market. Fostering a disciplined routine is key. This starts with a thorough trading plan that outlines clear entry and exit strategies, risk management protocols, and position sizes. Consistently revisiting and adhering to this plan will help mitigate impulsive decision-making influenced by market mood swings or personal stressors.
Embracing losses as an inherent part of trading is also vital. Even the most adept traders experience losing trades, and it's crucial to avoid allowing recent losses to cloud future judgment. Focusing on the broader strategy and long-term performance instead of fixating on individual trades enhances a trader’s capacity to remain rational and composed.
Also Read:
and...
Conclusion: The Path to Consistency and Success
Financial discipline is not merely a concept; it's the bedrock of effective trading. By prioritizing structured strategies, managing risk diligently, and controlling emotions, traders can position themselves for sustained success in the financial markets. The journey to mastery involves setting realistic goals, crafting sound risk management plans, and cultivating emotional resilience. Ultimately, by embracing these principles, traders can improve their decision-making processes and enhance their chances for consistent, profitable outcomes in the exciting yet challenging world of trading.
Mastering Risk-Reward Ratios in Trading: A Comprehensive GuideIn the world of trading, the risk-reward ratio is a critical tool that helps traders evaluate the potential profit of a trade relative to its potential loss. This ratio, which compares the amount of risk a trader is willing to take on for a potential reward, is fundamental to successful trading strategies. By calculating and applying favorable risk-reward ratios, traders can make more informed decisions, manage risks, and position themselves for long-term profitability.
In its simplest form, the risk-reward ratio is calculated by dividing the potential loss (risk) by the potential gain (reward). For example, a risk-reward ratio of 1:3 means that for every unit of risk, the trader anticipates a reward of three units. Understanding and utilizing this ratio is essential for every trader aiming to navigate the complexities of financial markets and maintain a profitable trading strategy.
Example Risk Reward 1:3
The Basics of Risk-Reward Ratios
Understanding Risk
In trading, risk refers to the potential for loss inherent in any trade. This could be a decline in the value of an asset, an adverse market movement, or other unforeseen events. Risk is an unavoidable aspect of trading due to the volatile nature of financial markets. Factors contributing to risk include market sentiment, economic news, and price fluctuations.
Understanding Reward
Reward represents the potential profit that can be gained from a trade. It is the positive outcome traders aim for when entering a position. Typically, traders set a target price for their reward, where they plan to exit the trade to realize gains.
Calculating the Risk-Reward Ratio
The risk-reward ratio is calculated using this formula:
Risk-Reward Ratio = Potential Loss / Potential Gain
For example, consider a scenario where a trader buys a stock at $1000, sets a Stop Loss at $950 (risking $50 per share), and sets a Take Profit at $1150 (aiming for a $150 gain per share). The risk-reward ratio for this trade would be:
Risk-Reward Ratio = $50 / $150 = 1:3
This means the trader is risking $1 to potentially gain $3, providing a solid foundation for a trade with favorable profit potential.
Why Risk-Reward Ratios Are Crucial
-Balancing Risk and Reward
The primary purpose of the risk-reward ratio is to balance risk and reward effectively. It ensures that the potential profit justifies the risk taken. This balance helps traders avoid taking on excessive risk for inadequate rewards, reducing the likelihood of substantial losses.
-Impact on Trading Strategies
Risk-reward ratios play a vital role in shaping different trading strategies. Here's how they apply to various approaches:
-Swing Trading: Swing traders aim for larger price movements, often using a risk-reward ratio of 1:2 or higher. This allows traders to profit even if only 50% of their trades are successful.
Swing Number Example using Stoch and SMA 200 Period
-Day Trading: Day traders may aim for a 1:1.5 or 1:2 ratio, balancing frequent trades with favorable risk-reward setups.
Example Double Top with SMA 200 Period and 1:1.5 Risk- Reward
-Scalping: Scalpers often use lower risk-reward ratios, such as 1:1, focusing on many small trades with minimal risk.
Mixed strategies for Scalping 1:1 Risk Reward
Psychological Benefits
Using risk-reward ratios provides traders with psychological benefits:
-Maintaining Discipline: Predefining risk and reward limits helps traders stick to their strategy, avoiding emotional trading decisions driven by fear or greed.
-Managing Emotions: Knowing the potential loss and gain upfront promotes a calm, calculated approach to trading, even in volatile markets.
Practical Application of Risk-Reward Ratios:
-Setting Up Trades
To effectively use risk-reward ratios, traders need to set up trades with clear parameters:
-Identify Entry Points: Based on market analysis, identify the price level to enter a trade.
-Set a Stop Loss Order: Define the maximum loss acceptable by placing a Stop Loss at a level that invalidates the trade idea if reached.
-Set a Take Profit Order: Specify the target price to exit the trade and lock in gains.
Using Stop Loss and Take Profit orders in conjunction with risk-reward ratios is essential for effective risk management:
-Stop Loss Orders: Limit potential losses by automatically closing a trade when the price hits a predefined level.
👇Check this Article for Deep details About Stop-Loss
-Take Profit Orders: Secure gains by automatically closing a trade when the price reaches the target level.
These orders provide traders with control over their trades, ensuring that risks are managed while profits are locked in.
Diversification
Diversification is another essential component of risk management. By spreading investments across various assets, traders can reduce the risk of major losses from a single trade. Diversification ensures that different trades with varying risk-reward ratios work together to stabilize the portfolio's overall performance.
Common Pitfalls and How to Avoid Them
Ignoring Risk-Reward Ratios: Failing to calculate and apply risk-reward ratios can lead to poor decision-making and financial losses. Always assess the potential risk and reward before entering a trade.
Overestimating Rewards: Avoid setting unrealistic expectations for profits. Overconfidence can lead to taking on unnecessary risks that outweigh the potential gains.
Underestimating Risks: Failing to account for potential losses can expose traders to excessive risk. Always factor in possible losses and use Stop Loss orders to mitigate them.
Conclusion: Mastering the Risk-Reward Ratio for Long-Term Success
👇Check this Article for Deep details about Risk Management
The risk-reward ratio is a powerful tool that helps traders make informed decisions, manage risk, and optimize profitability. By systematically evaluating potential trades based on this ratio, traders can maintain a disciplined approach, reduce emotional trading, and align their strategies with long-term financial goals.
Incorporating risk-reward ratios into a broader risk management plan, using Stop Loss and Take Profit orders, and diversifying across various assets are key practices for achieving consistent trading success. By mastering these principles, traders can navigate the complexities of financial markets with confidence, minimizing losses while maximizing gains.
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Risk Management: Essential Strategies for Success A staggering number of investment losses could have been mitigated with proper risk management strategies. This fact highlights the crucial importance of understanding and implementing effective risk management techniques.
In the dynamic world of investing, risk management serves as the protective barrier that shields investors from significant financial losses. It’s not just a defensive measure; it’s a strategic approach that every wise investor must adopt. By systematically identifying, analyzing, and mitigating potential risks, investors can navigate the unpredictable waves of financial markets with greater confidence and security.
This article aims to underscore the critical role of risk management in investing. We’ll explore its fundamental principles, examine the different types of investment risks, and outline the most effective strategies to protect your portfolio. Ignoring risk management isn’t just risky; it’s a recipe for financial disaster.
Understanding Risk Management in Investing
Risk management in investing is the process of identifying, assessing, and prioritizing potential risks to an investment portfolio, followed by applying coordinated strategies to minimize, monitor, and control the probability or impact of these risks. It’s about making informed decisions that balance potential rewards against possible losses.
Risk management is essential for several reasons:
1) It protects investments from unforeseen market downturns and volatility.
2) It enables more consistent returns by balancing risk and return.
3) It supports long-term financial goals, whether it’s saving for retirement or a child’s education, by ensuring steady growth over time without succumbing to sudden, devastating losses.
--Key Components of Risk Management for Investments
Diversification
Diversification involves spreading investments across different asset classes, sectors, and geographic regions. This strategy reduces the impact of poor performance in any single investment, thereby stabilizing the overall portfolio.
Asset Allocation
This strategy distributes investments among various asset categories, such as stocks, bonds, and cash, based on the investor's risk tolerance, financial goals, and investment horizon. Proper asset allocation helps balance risk and return according to individual preferences.
Risk Assessment
Regularly assessing the potential risks of an investment is crucial. This process involves analyzing market conditions, financial statements, and economic indicators to anticipate possible threats. Continuous risk assessments ensure that investors remain vigilant and responsive to market changes.
By employing these components, investors can build a solid risk management framework that not only protects their investments but also optimizes growth potential.
--Effective Trading Strategies for Managing Investment Risks
Successfully navigating financial markets requires not only a thorough understanding of risk management but also the implementation of effective trading strategies. Here’s how various approaches can help mitigate risks and protect your portfolio:
Diversification
Diversifying your investments across various asset classes, industries, and geographic regions can help mitigate the impact of poor performance in any one area. For example, a diversified portfolio might include stocks, bonds, real estate, and commodities, ensuring that a downturn in one sector doesn’t severely affect the entire portfolio.
__________________
Stop Loss Orders
Why a Stop Loss is Crucial in Financial Markets
A Stop Loss is an essential risk management tool that every trader and investor should use in the financial markets. It serves as a safeguard, automatically selling an asset when it reaches a predetermined price, preventing further losses. Here’s why it’s so important:
Protection Against Major Losses: Markets can be unpredictable and volatile. Without a Stop Loss, a small loss can quickly escalate into a significant financial setback. A Stop Loss helps limit potential losses by ensuring you exit a trade before the situation worsens.
Emotional Discipline: Trading can often trigger emotional decisions, such as holding onto a losing position in the hope of a reversal. A Stop Loss removes emotion from the equation by executing the trade automatically, helping traders stick to their strategies.
Preserving Capital: By controlling losses, Stop Loss orders protect your trading capital, allowing you to stay in the game longer and take advantage of new opportunities.
Focus on Strategy: With a Stop Loss in place, traders can focus on their overall strategy without constantly monitoring the market. It provides peace of mind knowing that losses are capped.
The Stop Loss is vital in managing risk, protecting capital, and ensuring emotional discipline in the financial markets. It’s a simple but powerful tool that no trader should overlook.
__________________
Hedging
Hedging involves taking offsetting positions to protect investments from adverse price movements. This can be done using derivatives such as options and futures. For example, if you own a stock, purchasing a put option on that stock can offset losses if the stock price drops.
Position Sizing
Position sizing is the process of determining how much capital to allocate to each investment. Proper position sizing ensures that no single asset can disproportionately impact the entire portfolio. For example, an investor might decide to allocate no more than 1% of their portfolio to any one stock to avoid excessive risk exposure.
--Why Regular Risk Assessments Are Crucial
Psychological Impact
Neglecting risk management can lead to emotional turmoil, causing investors to make irrational decisions like panic selling or abandoning long-term strategies. Consistent risk management practices help investors stay calm during market downturns, preventing emotional decision-making.
Financial Impact
Failing to manage risks effectively can result in devastating financial losses. Without proper risk management, a single market event could wipe out significant portions of an investment portfolio, derailing long-term financial goals like retirement or homeownership.
--Implementing Effective Risk Management Strategies
To safeguard your investments and ensure steady growth, implementing risk management strategies is essential. Here are key steps to managing risks effectively:
Risk Assessment
Analyze the risks associated with each investment by understanding market conditions, financial health, and external factors such as economic trends or geopolitical events. Use tools like SWOT analysis to gain a full understanding of the risk profile.
Setting Risk Tolerance
Determine your risk tolerance—how much variability in returns you’re willing to accept. This is crucial for aligning investments with your financial goals. Tools like risk tolerance questionnaires can help gauge your comfort with risk.
Regular Reviews!!!
Regularly review your portfolio to ensure it reflects your current risk tolerance and market conditions. Adjust your portfolio as necessary to maintain proper asset allocation and manage risks.
In Conclusion...
Ignoring risk management can lead to significant financial losses and emotional distress. By adopting strategies such as diversification, Stop Loss orders, hedging, and proper position sizing, you can safeguard your investments from unnecessary risks. Conduct regular risk assessments, set appropriate risk tolerance levels, and adjust your strategies to ensure steady growth and financial stability.
Effective risk management isn’t about eliminating risk but managing it wisely. As Warren Buffett famously said, “Risk comes from not knowing what you’re doing.” By understanding and controlling risks, you can build a more secure and prosperous financial future.
The 20 Trading Lessons from Top Traders I have read a lot of trading books since the time I started trading my own account and the one book that really helps me out and “I wish I’ve read this one first” – is Market Wizards Interview with Top Traders by Jack D. Schwager.
Here’s the list that struck me most that I’d like to share:
“Early trading failure is a sign that you are doing something wrong; it is not necessarily a good predictor of ultimate potential failure or success.” – Michael Marcus
“If you don’t stay with your winners, you are not going to be able to pay for the losers.” – Michael Marcus
“Liquidating positions is the way to achieve mental clarity when one is losing money and confused regarding market decisions.” – Michael Marcus
“Being a successful trader also takes courage: the courage to try, the courage to fail, the courage to succeed, and the courage to keep going when the going keeps tough.” – Michael Marcus
“Place your stops at a point that, if reached, will reasonably indicate that the trade is wrong, not at a point determined primarily by the maximum dollar amount you are willing to lose per contract. If the meaningful stop point implies an uncomfortably large loss per contract, trade a smaller number of contracts.” – Bruce Kovner
“The times when you least want to think about trading – the losing periods – are precisely the times when you need to focus most on trading.” – Richard Dennis
“Everybody gets what they want out of the market.” – Ed Seykota
“It is a happy circumstance that when nature gives us true burning desires, it also gives us the means to satisfy them.” – Ed Seykota
“Frankly, I don’t see markets; I see risks, rewards and money.” – Larry HIte
“ I have two basic rules about winning in trading as well as in life: 1. If you don’t bet, you can’t win. 2. If you lose all your chips, you can’t bet” – Larry Hite
“In my judgment, all traders are seekers of truth.” – Michael Steinhardt
“The more disciplined you can get, the better you are going to do in the market. The more you listen to tips and rumors, the more money you’re likely to lose.” – David Ryan
“When the market gets good news and goes down, it means the market is very weak; when it gets bad news and goes up, it means the market is healthy.” – Marty Schwartz
“Learn to take losses. The most important thing in making money is not letting your losses get out of hand. Also, don’t increase your position size until you have doubled or tripled your capital. Most people make the mistake of increasing their bets as soon as they start making money. That is a quick way to get wiped out.” – Marty Schwartz
“The best traders are the most humble.” – Mark Weinstein
“You have to learn how to lose; it is more important than learning how to win.” – Mark Weinstein
“Most traders who fail have large egos and can’t admit that they are wrong. Even those who are willing to admit that they are wrong early in their career can’t admit it later on. Also, some traders fail because they are too worried about losing.” – Brian Gelber
“You are never really confident in this business, because you can always be wiped out pretty quickly. The way I trade is: Live by the sword, die by the sword. There is always the potential that I could get caught with the big position in a fluke move with the market going the limit against me. On the other hand, there is no doubt in my mind that I could walk into any market in the world and make money.” – Tom Baldwin
“Clear thinking, ability to stay focused, and extreme discipline. Discipline is number one: Take a theory and stick with it. But you have to be open-minded enough to switch tracks if you feel that your theory has been proven wrong. You have to be able to say, my method worked for this type of market, but we are not in that type of market anymore.” – Tony Saliba
“ How do you judge success? I don’t know. All I know is that all the money in the world isn’t the answer.” Tony Saliba
There’s still a lot of golden information that I want to write in here – for ourselves and for everyday reading so as to keep us aligned with our trading goal, but I prefer to encourage you to read the book.
Hidden Costs of Trading You Must Know
In this educational article, we will discuss the hidden costs of trading.
1 - Brokers' Commissions
Trading commission is the brokers' fee for opening a trading position.
Usually, it is calculated based on the size of the trade.
Though most of the traders believe that trading commissions are too low to even count them, the fact is that trading on consistent basis and opening a couple of trading positions weekly, the composite value of commissions may cut a substantial part of our profits.
2 - Education
Of course, most of the trading basics can be found on the Internet absolutely for free.
However, the more experienced you become, the harder it is to find the materials . So you typically should pay for the advanced training.
Moreover, there is no guarantee that the course/coaching that you purchase will improve your trading, quite often traders go through multiple courses/coaching programs before they become consistently profitable.
3 - Spreads
Spread is the difference between the sellers' and buyers' prices.
That difference must be compensated by a trader if one wished to open a trading position.
In highly liquid markets, the spreads are usually low and most of the traders ignore them.
However, being similar to commissions, spreads may cut the substantial part of the overall profits.
4 - Time
When you begin your trading journey, it is not possible to predict how much it will take to become a consistently profitable trader.
Moreover, there is no guarantee that you will become one.
One fact is true, you should spend a couple of years before you find a way to trade profitably, and as we know, the time is money. More time you sacrifice on trading, less time you have on something else.
5 - Swaps
Swap is the fee you pay for transferring a position overnight .
Swap is based on a difference between the interests rates of the currencies that are in a pair that you trade.
Occasionally, swaps can even be positive, and you can earn on holding such positions.
However, most of the time the swaps are negative and the longer you hold your trades, the more costly your trading becomes.
The brokers' commissions, spreads and swaps compose a substantial cost of our trading positions. Adding into the equation the expensive learning materials and time spent on practicing, trading becomes a very expensive game to play.
However, knowing in advance these hidden costs, the one can better prepare himself for a trading journey.
How to Apply a Position Size Calculator in Forex Trading
In this educational article, I will teach you how to apply a position size calculator in Forex and calculate a lot size for your trades depending on a desired risk .
Why do you need a position size calculator?
Even though, most of the newbie traders trade with the fixed lot , the truth is that fixed lot trading is considered to be very risky .
Depending on the trading instrument, time frame and a desired stop loss, the risks from one trade to another are constantly floating .
With the constant fluctuations of losses per trade, it is very complicated to control your risks and drawdowns.
A lot size calculation , however, allows you to risk the desired percentage of your capital per trade , limiting the maximum you can potentially lose.
A lot size is calculated with a position size calculator .
How to Measure Lot Size for Trades?
Let's measure a lot size for the following trade on EURUSD.
Step 1:
Measure a pip value of your stop loss.
It is the distance from your entry level to your stop loss level.
In the example on the picture, the stop loss is 35 pips.
Step 2:
Open a position size calculator
Step 3:
Fill the form.
Inputs: Account currency, account balance, desired risk %, stop loss in pips, currency pair.
Let's say that we are trading with USD account.
Its balance is $10000.
The risk for this trade is 1%.
Step 4:
Calculate a lot size.
The system will calculate a lot size for your trade.
0.28 standard lot in our example.
Taking a trade on EURUSD with $10000 deposit and 35 pips stop loss , you will need 0.28 lot size to risk 1% of your trading account.
Learn to apply a position size calculator. That is the must-use tool for a proper risk management.
Growing Small Accounts Without High Risk### Growing Small Accounts Without High Risk
#### What to Avoid:
Do not rush to make massive gains in either pips or % returns.
Do not open yourself to large risk in hopes of equally large returns or profits.
Do not assume taking small risk-defined trades will not grow your account.
Do not sacrifice trading equity due to poor planning or lack of planning.
#### What to Aim For:
Determine how to realistically anticipate a favorable reward-to-risk model.
Learn to respect the risk side of trade setups more than the reward.
Identify trade setups that permit three reward multiples to one risk or higher.
Frame good reward-to-risk setups that have little impact if unprofitable.
### The Reality of Reward to Risk Ratios
| Winrate | Minimum Ratio |
|---------|---------------|
| 75% | 0.3 : 1 |
| 60% | 0.7 : 1 |
| 50% | 1 : 1 |
| 40% | 1.5 : 1 |
| 33% | 2 : 1 |
| 25% | 3 : 1 |
If your winrate is 50%, you only need 1:1 Risk to be profitable.
WHAT IS TRADING ACCOUNT DRAWDOWN | 3 Types Of Drawdown Explained
In my videos, I frequently use the term "trading account drawdown ".
Many of you asked me to explain the meaning of that term and share some examples.
What is Trading Account Drawdown?
The account drawdown is the highest observed loss from the highest
value of the deposit to the lowest value of the deposit at
a certain period of time.
Imagine you started to trade with 10,000$ account.
At the end of the year, your account size reached 15,000$ .
However, at some point through the year the deposit value dropped to 6,000$ . It was the absolute minimum for the one-year period.
At some point, your net loss was -4,000$ or 40% of your account balance.
The account drawdown is 40% .
❗️Knowing the account drawdown is very important for the risk assessment of the trading strategy. Usually, 50% and bigger drawdown signifies an extremely high risk.
3 Types of Drawdown
1. Current drawdown - a temporary drawdown associated
with the negative total value of opened trading position(s)
at present.
Once you start trading with 10,000$ deposit, you open several trading positions. Being opened, with the constant price movements, your potential gains fluctuates from positive to negative.
For example, with 3 active trades :
EURUSD ( -500$ at present);
GBPUSD ( +200$ at present);
GOLD ( -100$ at present)
Your current account drawdown is -400$ or 4% of your deposit.
2. Fixed drawdown - the negative value of the closed trading
position(s) at present for a certain period of time.
While some of your trades remain active, some are already closed .
Imagine the same deposit - 10,000$ .
On Monday you opened 6 trades,
2 still remain active ;
4 are already closed .
Your total loss from your closed trades is -500$. Your fixed Monday's drawdown is 5%.
3. Maximum Drawdown - the maximum observed loss from
the highest value of the deposit before a new maximum
is reached.
Starting to trade with 10,000$ you are already trading for 5 years .
Your account were growing rapidly and at some moment it reached 25,000$ . Then the recession started. You faced a dramatic loss of 12,500$ before you started to recover.
That was the maximum observed loss for the period.
Your maximum account drawdown was 50% .
❗️Different types of drawdown give a lot of insights about a trading strategy. Its proper assessment will help to spot a high risk strategy and to find a conservative one.
Constantly monitor your account drawdown and always check the numbers.
What is your highest account drawdown?
Risk Management Guide for Beginner TradersHello traders.
In this video, I delve into the fundamental principles of risk management tailored specifically for beginner traders entering the world of financial markets. I start by emphasizing the importance of understanding risk and its implications on trading outcomes. By setting clear goals and objectives, traders can align their risk management strategies with their investment aspirations.
We explore practical risk management tools such as stop loss orders, which act as a safety net to limit potential losses on trades. Calculating position sizes based on risk tolerance and stop loss levels ensures traders are not overexposed to any single trade. Continuous monitoring and review of trading performance enable adjustments to risk parameters in response to changing market conditions.
I also shared some tools that can be used to help make the process of calculating risk efficient and accurate. By mastering these risk management techniques, beginner traders can safeguard their capital and embark on their trading journey with confidence and resilience.
RISK MANAGEMENT the most important setting?Trading without a structured risk management strategy turns the market into a game of chance—a gamble with unfavorable odds in the long run. Even if you possess the skill to predict more than half of the market's movements accurately, without robust risk management, profitability remains elusive.
Why?
Because no trading system can guarantee a 100% success rate.
Moreover, the human element cannot be disregarded. Over your trading career, maintaining robotic discipline, free from emotional or impulsive decisions, is challenging.
Risk is inherently linked to trading—it represents the potential for financial loss. Continually opening positions without considering risk is a perilous path. If you're inclined to take substantial risks, perhaps the casino is a more fitting arena. In trading, excessive risk doesn't correlate with greater profits. This misconception often leads beginners to risk excessively for minimal gains, jeopardizing their entire account.
While eliminating all risk is impossible, the goal is to mitigate it. Implementing sound risk management practices doesn't guarantee profits but significantly reduces potential losses. Mastering risk control is pivotal to achieving profitability in trading.
A risk management system is a structured framework designed to safeguard trading capital by implementing specific rules. These rules aim to mitigate potential losses resulting from analytical errors or emotional trading decisions. While market predictions can be flawed, the margin for error in risk management should be minimal.
Key Principles of Risk Management:
1. **Implement a Stop Loss:**
- While this might seem elementary, it's often overlooked.
- Many traders, especially when emotions run high, are tempted to remove or adjust their stop loss when the market moves unfavorably.
- Common excuses include anticipating a market reversal or avoiding a "wasted" loss.
- However, this deviation from the original plan often leads to larger losses.
- Remember, adjusting or removing a stop loss is an acknowledgment that your initial trade idea might be flawed. If you remove it once, the likelihood of reinstating it when needed diminishes, clouded by emotional biases.
- Stick to your predetermined stop loss and accept losses as part of the trading process, void of emotional influence.
2. **Set Stop Loss Based on Analysis:**
- Never initiate a trade without a predetermined stop loss level.
- Placing a stop loss arbitrarily increases the risk of activation.
- Each trade should be based on a specific setup, and each setup should define its stop loss zone. If there's no clear setup, refrain from trading.
3. **Adopt Moderate Risk Per Trade:**
- For novice traders, a recommended risk per trade is around 1% of the trading capital.
- This means that if your stop loss is hit, the loss should be limited to 1% of your total account balance.
- Note: A 1% risk doesn't translate to opening a trade for 1% of your account balance. Position sizing should be determined individually for each trade based on the stop loss level and total trading capital.
By adhering to these risk management principles, traders can build a solid foundation for long-term success in the markets, safeguarding their capital while allowing for growth opportunities.
In the scenario of a losing streak—let's say five consecutive losses—with a conservative risk of 1% per trade, the cumulative loss would amount to slightly less than 5% of your trading capital. (The calculation of 1% is based on the remaining balance after each loss.) However, if your risk per trade is set at 10%, enduring five consecutive losses would result in losing nearly half of your trading capital.
Recovering from such losses, especially with a high-risk approach, presents a significant challenge. The table below illustrates this challenge: if you lose 5% of your capital (approximately five losing trades), you would need to generate a mere 5.3% profit to break even—equivalent to just one or two successful trades. However, if you overextend your risk and suffer, for instance, a 50% loss, you would need to double your remaining capital to restore your original deposit.
4. Utilize a Fixed Percentage of Risk, Not a Fixed Amount for Position Sizing
Position sizing should be dynamic, tailored to both your predetermined risk percentage and the distance to your stop-loss level. This approach ensures that each trade is individually assessed and sized according to its unique risk profile. In the following section, we will delve into the methodology for calculating position size for each trade.
5. Maintain Consistent Risk Across All Positions
While different trading styles like scalping, intraday, and swing trading may warrant varying risk levels, it's crucial to cap your risk at a reasonable threshold. A general guideline is to not exceed a 5% risk per trade. For those in the early stages of trading or during periods of uncertainty, a risk of 1% or less is advisable.
The table below offers an illustrative example of the outcomes achievable by adhering to risk percentages tailored to individual trades. Regardless of your confidence level in the potential profitability of a trade, maintaining consistent risk per trade is paramount.
6. Avoid Duplicating Trades Based on the Same Setup
Opening identical trades based on a single setup doubles your exposure to risk. This principle is especially pertinent when dealing with correlated assets. If you identify a favorable combination of factors across multiple trading pairs, opt to execute the trade on the pair where the setup is perceived to have a higher probability of success.
7. Aim for a Risk-to-Reward Ratio of at Least 1:3
The Risk-to-Reward (RR) ratio measures the potential profit of a trade relative to its inherent risk. A RR ratio of 1:3 signifies that for every 1% risked through a stop-loss activation, a trader stands to gain 3% of their deposit upon a successful trade.
With a 1:3 RR ratio, a trader doesn't need to be correct on every trade. Achieving profitability in just one out of every three trades can result in a net positive outcome. While RR ratios of 1:1 or 1:2 can also be profitable, they typically require a higher win rate to maintain profitability.
For instance, if you're willing to risk 1% to gain 1%, you'd need at least 6 out of 10 trades to be profitable to yield a positive return. It's worth noting that a high RR ratio doesn't guarantee profitability. It's possible to have trades with a 1:6 or greater RR ratio and still incur losses if the win rate is insufficient.
Trading Psychology and Your Losses
Hey traders,
In this post, we will discuss a common fallacy among struggling traders: overestimation of a one single trade .
💡The fact is that quite often, watching the performance of an active trading position, traders quite painfully react to the price being closer and closer to a stop loss or, alternatively, coiling close to a take profit but not being managed to reach that.
Fear of loss make traders make emotional decisions :
extending stop loss or preliminary position closing.
The situation becomes even worse, when after the set of the above-mentioned manipulation, the price nevertheless reaches the stop loss .
Just one single losing trade is usually perceived too personally and make the traders even doubt the efficiency of their trading system.
They start changing rules in their strategy, then stop following the trading plan, leading to even more losses.
❗️However, what matters in trading is your long-term composite performance . A single position is just one brick in a wall. As Peter Lynch nicely mentioned: “In this business, if you’re good, you’re right six times out of ten. You’re never going to be right nine times out of ten.”
There are so many factors that are driving the markets that it is impossible to take into consideration them all. And because of that fact, we lose.
The attached chart perfectly illustrates the insignificance of a one trading in a long-term composite performance.
Please, realize that losing trades are inevitable, and overestimation of their impact on your trading performance is detrimental.
Instead, calibrate your strategy so that it would produce long-term, consistent positive results. That is your goal as a trader.
How to Use Stop Loss Orders in Trading?Stop loss order is the order that automatically closes your trade once it reaches a specified price target. Learn all about it here.
Table of Contents:
🔹What Is a Stop Loss Order?
🔹Why Stop Loss Orders Matter?
🔹Setting Stop Loss Levels
🔹Types of Stop Loss Orders
🔹Adjusting Your Stop Loss Orders
🔹Summary
In trading, reducing risks is oftentimes all that matters to achieving success. One of the essential tools to protect your investments from steep or unexpected losses is the stop loss order. Understanding how to use stop loss orders can unlock your path to profitability by allowing you to balance your risk and reward ratio. In other words, with the right stop loss setup, you can shoot for asymmetrical risk returns by keeping your drawdown small and letting your profits run.
Let’s dive into the exciting world of trading and see how stop loss orders can be your greatest ally in trading.
📍 What Is a Stop Loss Order?
A stop loss order is an essential risk management tool used by traders to limit potential losses on a trade. By using a stop loss order, you instruct your broker to automatically sell the asset you’re holding when it reaches a predetermined price level that is below your purchase price, or entry.
A stop loss order allows you to control your losses and protect your investments so you don’t have to sit glued to the screen all the time.
📍 Why Stop Loss Orders Matter
Stop loss orders play a big role in risk management. These easy-to-set trading tools help traders stick to predefined risk tolerance levels by limiting the amount of money they are willing to lose on any given trade.
Without a stop loss order in place, traders may give in to emotional decision-making during periods of market volatility, leading to potential losses. If you have a hard time cutting your losses If you have a hard time cutting your losses when —ok, we get it, you're a bigshot— IF positions go against you, setting a stop loss when you enter the market will do the hard work for you.
➡️ Risk Management: One of the primary reasons stop loss orders are essential is because they help traders manage risk effectively. This is crucial in volatile markets where prices can fluctuate rapidly, as it prevents significant losses that could otherwise occur if trades were left unattended.
➡️ Emotional Control: Trading can evoke strong emotions such as fear and greed, which can lead to irrational decision-making. Without a stop loss order in place, traders may be tempted to hold onto losing positions in the hope that the market will reverse in their favor.
➡️ Peace of Mind: Knowing that there is a safety net in place can provide traders with peace of mind. Stop loss orders allow you to do your thing in the market without obsessively watching charts and tickers. Set your stop loss orders and focus on other aspects of your market study like catching up on the latest market-moving news and analysis .
➡️ Preventing Catastrophic Losses: In extreme market conditions, prices can experience sudden and significant declines. Without stop loss orders, traders risk experiencing catastrophic losses that could wipe out a significant portion of their capital.
➡️ Enforcing Discipline: Successful trading requires discipline and adherence to a well-defined trading plan. Stop loss orders help enforce discipline by striving to ensure that traders stick to their predetermined risk management rules. If trading is about discipline and consistency, then stop loss orders are the stepping stone to success.
📍 Setting Stop Loss Levels
Choosing the appropriate stop loss level is a critical aspect of using stop loss orders effectively. Traders should consider various factors, including their risk tolerance, investment objectives, market conditions, and the volatility of the asset being traded.
A common approach is to set the stop loss below a significant support level or a recent low in an uptrend (if you have a long position) and above a significant resistance level or a recent high in a downtrend (if you have a short position).
Example: Suppose you purchase shares of a company called X (not Elon Musk’s privately held X Corp., which he created by rebranding Twitter) at $50 per share. You estimate that a 5% decline in the stock price would indicate a potential trend reversal. Therefore, you set your stop loss order at $47.50 per share to limit your potential loss to 5% of your investment.
📍 Types of Stop Loss Orders
There are several types of stop loss orders that traders can utilize, each with its own special characteristics. The most common types include:
➡️ Market Stop Loss: a type of stop loss order that triggers a market order to sell the instrument at the prevailing market price once the stop loss level is reached.
➡️ Stop Limit: with a stop limit order, you have to deal with two types of prices. The first one is the price that will trigger a sell and the limit price. But instead of converting your order into a sell based on current market prices, you set a limit price.
➡️ Trailing Stop Loss: A trailing stop loss order is dynamically adjusted based on the movement of the instrument’s price. It allows traders to lock in profits while giving the trade room to move in their favor.
Example: You purchase shares of a big tech company at $100 per share, and the stock price then rises to $120 per share. You set a trailing stop loss order with a 10% trail. If the stock price declines by 10% from its peak, the trailing stop loss order will trigger, selling the shares at prevailing market prices.
📍 Adjusting Stop Loss Orders
While setting stop loss orders is essential, monitoring and adjusting them as market conditions evolve is equally important. Traders should regularly reassess their stop loss levels to account for changes in volatility, price action, and overall market sentiment. Additionally, as profits accumulate, trailing stop loss orders should be adjusted to protect gains and minimize potential losses.
📍 Summary
In conclusion, stop loss orders are one of the most essential and effective tools for traders seeking to manage risk and preserve and grow capital in the challenging world of trading. By understanding how to use stop loss orders effectively, you can rein in emotional decision-making, protect your investments, and increase your chances of long-term success.
Whether you're a novice or an experienced trader, integrating stop loss orders into your trading strategy is a smart approach to navigate the twists and turns of the financial markets. Remember, trading involves inherent risks, but with proper risk management techniques like stop loss orders, you can tilt the odds of success in your favor.
❓Do you use stop loss orders when trading? Which type ? Let us know in the comments ⬇️
Diversification: What It Is, Why It Matters & How to Do ItDiversification is a market strategy that enables you to spread your money across a variety of assets and investments in pursuit of uncorrelated returns, hedging, and risk control.
Table of Contents
What is portfolio diversification?
Brief history of the modern portfolio theory
Why is diversification important?
An example of diversification at work
How to diversify your portfolio
Components of a diversified portfolio
Build wealth through diversification
Diversification vs concentration
Summary
📍 What is portfolio diversification?
Portfolio diversification is the strategy of spreading your money across diverse investments in order to mitigate risk, hedge and balance your exposure in pursuit of uncorrelated returns. While it may sound complex at first, portfolio diversification could be your greatest strength when you set out to trade and invest in the financial markets.
As a matter of fact, once you immerse yourself into the markets, you will be overwhelmed by the wide horizons waiting for you. That’s when you’ll need to know about diversification.
There are thousands of stocks available for trading, dozens of indices, and a sea of cryptocurrencies. Choosing your investments will invariably lead to relying on diversification in order to protect and grow your money.
Diversifying well will enable you to go into different sectors, markets and asset classes. Together, all of these will build up your diversified portfolio.
📍 Brief history of the modern portfolio theory
“ Diversification is both observed and sensible; a rule of behavior which does not imply the superiority of diversification must be rejected both as a hypothesis and as a maxim. ” These are the words of the father of the modern portfolio theory, Harry Markowitz.
His paper on diversification called “Portfolio Selection” was published in The Journal of Finance in 1952. The theory, which helped Mr. Markowitz win a Nobel prize in 1990, posits that a rational investor should aim to maximize their returns relative to risk.
The most significant feature from the modern portfolio theory was the discovery that you can reduce volatility without sacrificing returns. In other words, Mr. Markowitz argued that a well-diverse portfolio would still hold volatile assets. But relative to each other, their volatility would balance out because they all comprise one portfolio.
Therefore, the volatility of a single asset, Mr. Markowitz discovered, is not as significant as the contribution it makes to the volatility of the entire portfolio.
Let’s dive in and see how this works.
📍 Why is diversification important?
Diversification is important for any trader and investor because it builds out a mix of assets working together to yield returns. In practice, all assets contained in your portfolio will play a role in shaping the total performance of your portfolio.
However, these same assets out there in the market may or may not be correlated. The interrelationship of those assets within your portfolio is what will allow you to reduce your overall risk profile.
With this in mind, the total return of your investments will depend on the performance of all assets in your portfolio. Let’s give an example.
📍 An example of diversification at work
Say you want to own two different stocks, Apple (ticker: AAPL ) and Coca-Cola (ticker: KO ). In order to easily track your performance, you invest an equal amount of funds into each one—$500.
While you expect to reap handsome profits from both investments, Coca-Cola happens to deliver a disappointing earnings report and shares go down 5%. Your investment is now worth $475, provided no leverage is used.
Apple, on the other hand, posts a blowout report for the last quarter and its stock soars 10%. This move would propel your investment to a valuation of $550 thanks to $50 added as profits.
So, how does your portfolio look now? In total, your investment of $1000 is now $1,025, or a gain of 2.5% to your capital. You have taken a loss in Coca-Cola but your profit in Apple has compensated for it.
The more assets you add to your portfolio, the more complex the correlation would be between them. In practice, you could be diversifying to infinity. But beyond a certain point, diversification would be more likely to water down your portfolio instead of helping you get more returns.
📍 How to diversify your portfolio
The way to diversify your portfolio is to add a variety of different assets from different markets and see how they perform relative to one another. A single asset in your portfolio would mean that you rely on it entirely and how it performs will define your total investment result.
If you diversify, however, you will have a broader exposure to financial markets and ultimately enjoy more probabilities for winning trades, increased returns and decreased overall risks.
You can optimize your asset choices by going into different asset classes. Let’s check some of the most popular ones.
📍 Components of a diversified portfolio
Stocks
A great way to add diversification to your portfolio is to include world stocks , also called equities. You can look virtually anywhere—US stocks such as technology giants , the world’s biggest car manufacturers , and even Reddit’s favorite meme darlings .
Stock selection is among the most difficult and demanding tasks in trading and investing. But if you do it well, you will reap hefty profits.
Every stock sector is fashionable in different times. Your job as an investor (or day trader) is to analyze market sentiment and increase your probabilities of being in the right stock at the right time.
Currencies
The forex market , short for foreign exchange, is the market for currency pairs floating against each other. Trading currencies and having them sit in your portfolio is another way to add diversification to your market exposure.
Forex is the world’s biggest marketplace with more than $7.5 trillion in daily volume traded between participants.
Unlike stock markets that have specific trading hours, the forex market operates 24 hours a day, five days a week. Continuous trading allows for more opportunities for price fluctuations as events occurring in different time zones can impact currency values at any given moment.
Cryptocurrencies
A relatively new (but booming) market, the cryptocurrency space is quickly gaining traction. As digital assets become increasingly more mainstream, newcomers enter the space and the Big Dogs on Wall Street join too , improving the odds of growth and adoption.
Adding crypto assets to your portfolio is a great way to diversify and shoot for long-term returns. There’s incentive in there for day traders as well. Crypto coins are notorious for their aggressive swings even on a daily basis. It’s not unusual for a crypto asset to skyrocket 20% or even double in size in a matter of hours.
But that inherent volatility holds sharpened risks, so make sure to always do your research before you decide to YOLO in any particular token.
Commodities
Commodities, the likes of gold ( XAU/USD ) and silver ( XAG/USD ) bring technicolor to any portfolio in need of diversification. Unlike traditional stocks, commodities provide a hedge against inflation as their values tend to rise with increasing prices.
Commodities exhibit low correlation with other asset classes, too, thereby enhancing portfolio diversification and reducing overall risk.
Incorporating commodities into a diversified portfolio can help mitigate risk, enhance returns, and preserve purchasing power in the face of inflationary pressures, geopolitical uncertainty and other macroeconomic risks.
ETFs
ETFs , short for exchange-traded funds, are investment vehicles which offer a convenient and cost-effective way to gain exposure to a number of assets all packaged in the same instrument. These funds pull a bunch of similar stocks, commodities and—more recently— crypto assets , into the same bundle and launch it out there in the public markets. Owning an ETF means owning everything inside it, or whatever it’s made of.
ETFs typically have lower expense ratios compared to mutual funds, making them affordable investment options.
Whether you seek broad market exposure, niche sectors, or thematic investing opportunities, ETFs are a convenient way to build a diversified portfolio tailored to your investment objectives and risk preferences.
Bonds
Bonds are fixed-income investments available through various issuers with the most common one being the US government. Bonds are a fairly complex financial product but at the same time are considered a no-brainer for investors pursuing the path of least risk.
Bonds have different rates of creditworthiness and maturity terms, allowing investors to pick what fits their style best. Bonds with longer maturity—10 to 30 years—generally offer a better yield than short-term bonds.
Government bonds offer stability and low risk because they’re backed by the government and the risk of bankruptcy is low.
Cash
Cash may seem like a strange allocation asset but it’s actually a relatively safe bet when it comes to managing your own money. Sitting in cash is among the best things you can do when stocks are falling and valuations are coming down to earth.
And vice versa—when you have cash on-hand, you can be ready to scoop up attractive shares when they’ve bottomed out and are ready to fire up again (if only it was that easy, right?).
Finally, cash on its own is a risk-free investment in a high interest-rate environment. If you shove it into a high-yield savings account, you can easily generate passive income (yield) and withdraw if you need cash quickly.
📍 Build wealth through diversification
In the current context of market events, elevated interest rates and looming uncertainty, you need to be careful in your market approach. To this end, many experts advise that the best strategy you could go with in order to build wealth is to have a well-diversified portfolio.
“ Diversifying well is the most important thing you need to do in order to invest well ,” says Ray Dalio , founder of the world’s biggest hedge fund Bridgewater Associates.
“ This is true because 1) in the markets, that which is unknown is much greater than that which can be known (relative to what is already discounted in the markets), and 2) diversification can improve your expected return-to-risk ratio by more than anything else you can do. ”
📍 Diversification vs concentration
The opposite of portfolio diversification is portfolio concentration. Think about diversification as “ don’t put your eggs in one basket. ” Concentration, on the flip side, is “ put all your eggs in one basket, and watch it carefully. ”
In practice, concentration is focusing your investment into a single financial asset. Or having a few large bets that would assume higher risk but higher, or quicker, return.
While diversification is a recommended investment strategy for all seasons, concentration comes with bigger risks and is not always the right approach. Still, at times when you have a high conviction on a trade and have thoroughly analyzed the market, you may decide to bet heavily, thus concentrating your investment.
However, you need to be careful with concentrated bets as they can turn against your portfolio and wreck it if you’re overexposed and underprepared. Diversification, however, promises to cushion your overall risk by a carefully balanced approach to various financial assets.
📍 Summary
A diversified portfolio is essentially your best bet for coordinated and sustainable returns over the long term. Choosing a mix of various types of investments, such as stocks, ETFs, currencies, and crypto assets, would spread your exposure and provide different avenues for growth potential. Not only that, but it would also protect you from outsized risks, sudden economic shocks, or unforeseen events.
While you decrease your risk tolerance, you raise your probability of having winning positions. Regardless of your style and approach to markets, diversifying well will increase your chances of being right. You can be a trader and bet on currencies and gold for the short term. Or you can be an investor and allocate funds to stocks and crypto assets for years ahead.
Potential sources of diversification are everywhere in the financial markets. Ultimately, diversifying gives you thousands of opportunities to balance your portfolio and position yourself for risk-adjusted returns.
🙋🏾♂️ FAQ
❔ What is portfolio diversification?
► Portfolio diversification is the strategy of spreading your money across diverse investments in order to mitigate risk, hedge and balance your exposure in pursuit of uncorrelated returns.
❔ Why is diversification important?
► Diversification is important for any trader and investor because it creates a mix of assets working together to yield high, uncorrelated returns.
❔ How to diversify your portfolio?
► The way to diversify your portfolio is to add a variety of different assets and see how they perform relative to one another. If you diversify, you will have a broader exposure to financial markets and ultimately enjoy more probabilities for winning trades, increased returns, and decreased overall risks.
Do you diversify? What is your strategy? Do you rebalance? Let us know in the comments.
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[EDU] Lossing How much is too Much? (Risk Management)Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post.
A picture speaks a 1000 words and that is so true!
Recently I came across this picture from moo moo.
It actually strike a chord with the message that I always wanted to bring across, which is the importance of risk management!
Always keep in mind that having your trade size manageable such that is wont devastate your trading account is very important.
So let's say you are trading between 1-2% risk per trade, if you are so unlucky to have 10 straight losses, you will be down with a drawdown of 10-20%, as shown in the picture you will need almost equal % of profit to get back your losses.
But, what if you were to trade with 4 or 5% risk per trade? With that,10 straight losses will get you a drawdown of 40-50%! And as you can see the gains you need to recoup these losses will be 67 to 100%. It is not hard to imagine what will happen if you are risky 10 or 20% risk per trade.
So anything can happen in trading and it is always wise to protect your downside!
Trade Safe!
Do check out my stream video for the week to have more explanation in place.
Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you!
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Disclaimers:
The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes.
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What Trading and Business Have in Common 📊💼Hello TradingView Family,
Lately, I've been contemplating the fascinating parallels between trading and running a business. 🤔 It's intriguing how both these worlds share common ground, and I wanted to share my thoughts with you.
📜 Trading Plan as the Blueprint: In the business of trading, a well-crafted trading plan serves as the blueprint for success. Just as a business plan outlines goals, strategies, and tactics, a trading plan details entry and exit points, risk tolerance, and overall market approach, providing a structured path to success.
🌐 Risk Management: Just as in business, where risks are inherent, traders need to manage risks effectively. Both environments demand a keen understanding of risk-reward ratios and the ability to make informed decisions to protect assets and investments.
🔄 Adaptability: Businesses must adapt to market changes and evolving customer needs, while traders navigate the dynamic landscape of financial markets. Flexibility and the ability to pivot are critical for success in both arenas.
🔍 Continuous Innovation: Businesses thrive on innovation to stay competitive, and traders constantly seek new strategies and tools to gain an edge in the market. The pursuit of improvement and staying ahead of the curve is a shared ethos.
📊 Performance Evaluation: Both traders and business leaders regularly assess their performance. Whether it's analyzing financial reports or evaluating trading strategies, the commitment to ongoing improvement is a common thread.
📉 Weathering Losses and Low Seasons: Every business faces downtimes, and traders experience losses. The ability to weather these storms, learn from setbacks, and maintain composure during low seasons is a shared challenge. Resilience and a long-term perspective are key to overcoming temporary setbacks.
🌱 Long-Term Sustainability: Just as businesses aim for long-term sustainability, traders seek lasting success in the market. Both require a focus on building a solid foundation, adapting to changes, and navigating challenges with resilience.
Reflecting on these similarities, it's clear that trading and business are two sides of the same coin, each requiring strategic thinking, adaptability, and a commitment to continuous improvement. What are your thoughts on this intriguing comparison?
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
How To Use RISK vs. REWARD RatiosHi Traders, Investors and Speculators 📈📉
Ev here. Been trading crypto since 2017 and later got into stocks. I have 3 board exams on financial markets and studied economics from a top tier university for a year. Daytime job - Math Teacher. 👩🏫
For today's post, we're diving into the concept " risk reward ratio " by taking a look at practical examples and including other relevant scenarios of managing your risk. What is considered a good risk to reward ratio and where can you see it ? This applies to all markets, and during these volatile times it is an excellent idea to take a good look at your strategy and refine your risk management. Let's jump right in !
You've all noticed the really helpful " long setup " or " short setup " on TradingView chart ideas. This clearly identifies the area of profit (in green), the area for a stop-loss (in red) and your entry (the borderline). It also shows the percentage of your increases or decreases at the top and bottom. This is achieved by using the tool you can find in your toolbar on the left, 7th from the top. The first two options are Long Position and Short Position. It looks like this :
💭Something to remember; It is entirely up to you where you decided to take profit and where you decide to put your stop loss. The IDEAL anticipated targets are given, but the price may not necessarily reach these points. You have that entire zone to choose from and you can even have two or three take profits points in a position.
Now, what is the Risk Reward Ratio expressed in the center as a number.number ?
The risk to reward ration is exactly as the word says : The amount you risk for the amount you could potentially gain. NOTE that your risk is indefinite, but your gains are not guaranteed . The risk/reward ratio measures the difference between the entry point to a stop-loss and a sell or take-profit point. Comparing these two provides the ratio of profit to loss, or reward to risk.
For example, if you're a gambler and you've played roulette, you know that the only way to win 10 chips is to risk 5 chips. Your risk here is expressed as 5:10 or 5.10 .You can spread these 5 chips out any way you like, but the goal of the risk is for a reward that is bigger than your initial investment. However, you could also lose your 5 and this will mean that you need to risk double as much in your next play to make up for your loss. Trading is no different, (except there is method to the madness other than sheer luck...)
Most market strategists and speculators agree that the ideal risk/reward ratio for their investments should not be less than 1:3, or three units of expected return for every one unit of additional risk.
Take a look at this example: Here, you're risking the same amount that you could potentially gain. The Risk Reward ratio is 1, assuming you follow the exact prices for entry, TP and SL.
Can you see why this is not an ideal setup? If your risk/reward ratio is 1, it means you might as well not participate in the trade since your reward is the same as your risk. This is not an ideal trade setup. An ideal trade setup is a scenario where you can AT LEAST win 3x as much as what you are risking. For example:
Note that here, my ratio is now the ideal 2.59 (rounded off to 2.6 and then simplified it becomes 1:3). If you're wondering how I got to 1:3, I just divided 2.6 by 2, giving me 1 and 3.
Another way to express this visually:
If you are setting up your own trade, you can decide at what point you feel comfortable to set your stop loss. For example, you may feel that if the price drops by more than 10%, that's where you'll exit and try another trade. Or, you could decide that you'll take the odds and set your stop loss so that it only triggers if the price drops by 15%. The latter will naturally mean you are trading at higher risk because your risk of losing is much more. Seasoned analysts agree that you shouldn't have a value smaller than 5% for your stop loss, because this type of price action occurs often during a day. For crypto, I would say 10% because we all know that crypto markets are much more volatile than stock markets and even more so than commodity markets like Gold and Silver, which are the most stable.
Remember that your Risk/Reward ratio forms an important part of your trading strategy, which is only one of the steps in your risk management program. There are many more things to consider when thinking about risk management, but we'll dive into those in another post.
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Trading &/or GamblingThe difference between trading and gambling.
This article will shine a light on the most frequent mistakes that traders make. These mistakes blur the thin line between trading and gambling.
Many people have spoken on this topic, but we truly believe that it is still not sufficient, and traders should be better educated on how to avoid gambling behaviour and emotional outbursts. When we speak about trading versus gambling, we define gambling as the act of making irrational, emotional and quick decisions.
Most of the time, these decisions are based on greed, and sometimes fear of the trader. Let’s dive into the exact problems we have personally experienced thousands of times, and want to help others avoid.
1 ♠ Bad Money Management
This is something that everyone has heard at least once, but seems to naively ignore in the hopes that it is not that important .
It is the most important . When a trader enters trades, it is exceptionally alluring to enter with all of their money, or close to all of it. In gambling terms, that is going “All in”, or “All or nothing”.
As a rule of thumb, both traders and gamblers should only place or bet money that they can afford to lose.
Thankfully, at least in trading one can limit their loss for that specific trade, by placing a stop loss or exiting before total liquidation. In Poker, you can’t fold when you are “All in” and take a portion of your money back. However, that does not mean entering trades with full capital, even with a stop-loss, is going to give you exponential returns and feed your greed for profits.
Traders should enter positions with a small amount of their full capital, to limit the damage from losses. Yes, you also limit the possibility that you win a few trades in a row with all of your money and… There goes the greed we mentioned.
The “globally perfect” percent of equity you need to enter trades to reach that balance between being too cautious and too greedy does not exist. There are methods, like the Kelly Criterion, as described in our previous Idea (see related ideas below), that help you optimize your money management.
Always ask yourself, “How much can I afford to lose?”. Aim for a balanced approach. This way you can position yourself within the market for a long and a good time, not just for a few lucky wins. Greedy money management, or lack thereof, ends in liquidations and heartbreak.
2 ♣ The Use of Leverage
Anyone who has tried using leverage, knows how easy it is to lose your position (or full) capital in seconds. Using leverage is mainly sold to retail traders as a tool for them to loan money from the exchange or broker and bet with it. It is extremely profitable for institutions, since it multiplies the fees you pay them ten to one hundred-fold.
In our opinion, leverage isn’t something that should be entirely avoided. However, it should be limited as much as possible.
We cannot deny that using 1-5x leverage can be beneficial for people with small accounts and a thirst for growth, however as the leverage grows, the more of a gambler you become.
We often see people share profits made using 20+ times leverage. Some even use ridiculous leverages within the range of 50-125x.
If you are doing that, do you truly trust your entry so much that you believe the market won’t move 1% against your decision and liquidate you immediately?
At this point, the gambling aspect should be evident, and it goes without saying that you should not touch this “125x Golden Apple”, like Eve in the Garden of Eden. Especially when you see a snake-exchange promote it.
If you use a low amount of leverage, and grow your account to the point where you don’t need it for your personal goals in terms of monetary profit. You should consider stopping the use of it, and at least know you’ll be able to sleep at night.
3 ♥ Always Being In A Position
Always being either long or short leads to addiction and becomes gambling. While we don’t have scientific proof of that, we can give you our own experience as an example. To be a profitable trader, you do not need to always be in a position, or chase every single move on the market.
You need to develop the ability just to sit back and watch, analyse and make conscious decisions. Let the bad opportunities trick someone else, while you patiently wait for all your pre-defined conditions to give you a real signal.
When you think of trading, remember that the market has a trend the minority (around 20-30%) of the time. If you are always in a position, this means that 70-80% of the time you are hoping that something will happen in your favour. That, by definition, is gambling.
Another aspect, that we have experienced a lot, is that while you remain in a position, especially if you have used leverage, you are constantly paying your exchange fees. You can be in a short position for a week and pay daily fees which only damage your equity, and therefore margin ratio. So why not just sit back, be patient and define some concrete rules for entering and exiting?
Avoid risky situations, and let the market bring the profits whenever it decides to.
4 ♦ Chasing Huge Profits
Hold your horses, Warren Buffett. Through blood, sweat and tears, we can promise you that you cannot seriously expect to make 100% every month, no matter what magical backtesting or statistics you are calculating your future fortune on.
Moreover, you will realise that consistently making 2-5% a month is an excellent career for a trader.
Yes, the markets can be good friends for a while, you may stumble into a bull-run and start making double-digit profits from a trade from time to time. Double-digit losses will also follow if you lose your sight in a cloud of euphoria and greed.
Many times, you can follow the “profit is profit” principle, and exit at a small win if the risk of loss is increasing.
5 ♠ Being Sentimental Towards Given Assets
You may have a fondness for Bitcoin and Tesla, and we understand that because we too have our favourites. Perhaps you’re deeply attached to the vision, community and purpose of certain projects. On the flip side, there may be projects that you completely despise and hope their prices plummet to zero.
What you personally like and dislike, should not interfere with your work as a trader. Introducing such strong emotions into your trading will lead you into a loop of irrational decisions. You may find yourself asking, “Why isn’t this price going parabolic with how good the project is?”.
This sounds, from personal experience, quite similar to sitting at a Roulette table and asking: “Why does it keep landing on red when I’ve been constantly betting black? It has to change any moment now”.
First and foremost, you may be completely wrong, but most importantly – it could go parabolic, but trying to predict the exact time or expecting it to happen immediately and placing your “bet” on that is again, gambling.
Don’t get attached to projects when trading. If you are an investor who just wants to hold their shares in an awesome company, or cryptocurrency, that is perfectly fine, hold them as much as you want.
The key is to make an important distinction between trading and investing, and to base your strategy on the hand that the market provides you with.
6 ♣ Putting Your Eggs In One Basket
We all have heard of diversification, but how you approach it is crucial. A trader should always have their capital spread between at least a few assets. Furthermore, the trading strategy for each asset must be distinct, or in other words – they should not rely on the same entry and exit conditions for different assets.
The markets behave differently for each asset, and you cannot be profitable with some magical indicator or strategy with a “one-size-fits-all” style. Divide your trades into different pairs and asset classes, and study each market individually to properly diversify. Manage the equity you put into each trade carefully!
Conclusion
The takeaway we want you as a reader to have from this article is that trading without consciously controlling your emotions inevitably leads to great loss and most importantly, a lot of stress.
We hate stress. Trading and life in general is exponentially harder when you are under stress. Control your risk, sleep easy, and let the market bring you profits.
Reaching this level of Zen will not be easy, but it is inevitable. Be happy when you make a profit, no matter how small or big. A lot of small profits and proper money management complete the vision you have of a successful business. Ultimately, trading is just that – work, not gambling or a pastime activity. Treat it as work and always remember to never rely on luck.
The advice we’ve included here is written by a few experienced gamblers… Oops, I meant traders 😉.
We hope that some of the lessons we’ve had to painstakingly learn through trial and error can now be shared with those who are interested. Of course, none of this constitutes investment advice. It’s merely a friendly heads-up.
Risk/Reward Ratios 101In trading, the risk/reward ratio stands as the beacon guiding every trader's decisions. But what exactly is this ratio, and how does it define your success in the market?
In this article we will describe how risk/reward ratio affects your trading performance.
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Understanding the Risk/Reward Ratio:
At its core, the risk/reward ratio quantifies the balance between the potential gain and the potential loss in a trade. It’s a critical tool that aids traders in choosing trades wisely, ensuring they opt for opportunities that promise high rewards while keeping risks minimal.
Calculating the Ratio:
The calculation itself is straightforward. By dividing the potential loss by the potential profit, traders can gauge the attractiveness of a trade. For instance, if a trade has a potential loss of $5 and a potential profit of $15, the risk/reward ratio would be 1:3, indicating that for every unit of risk, there's the potential for three units of reward.
Implementing the Ratio in Trading:
Successful traders plan their trades, setting predetermined entry and exit points. This strategy allows to calculate the risk/reward ratio accurately, ensuring trades with favorable ratios.
For instance, consider a scenario where a trader aims for a 15% profit and sets a stop-loss at 5%. By maintaining a discipline of setting targets based on market analysis rather than arbitrary numbers, traders can achieve a consistent profits.
The Synergy with Win Rates:
Combining the risk/reward ratio with win rates elevates a trader's strategy. A higher win rate indicates more successful trades, further enhancing the overall profitability. For instance, a trader with a 60% win rate can afford a lower ratio, say 1:1 minumum, as the majority of their trades are profitable.
The Power of the Risk/Reward Calculation:
The true power of the risk/reward ratio lies in its ability to provide traders with an asymmetric opportunity. This means that the potential upside is significantly greater than the potential downside, leading to more profitable trades over the long term.
Keeping Records for Improvement:
Maintaining a trading journal is crucial. By documenting trades, traders gain a comprehensive understanding of their strategies' performance. Analyzing these records aids in adapting strategies for different market conditions and asset classes, leading to refined decision-making.
In conclusion, mastering the risk/reward ratio is paramount for every trader aiming for consistent profitability. By understanding, calculating, and implementing this ratio alongside win rates, traders can make informed decisions, mitigate risks, and ensure sustainable success in the volatile world of trading. So, remember, in the world of trading, it's not just about how much you win; it's about how much you win concerning what you risk.
How to backtest Signals with different Risk to reward ratioHello traders , this is my very first video on this platform, so please bear with me as I plan to make better content in the future.
In this video, I aim to show you how to test your trading signals using various risk-to-reward ratios. The goal is to identify the most suitable ratio for your signals and create a profitable strategy.
What's crucial in strategy development is effective risk management and selecting the right risk-to-reward ratio. You might have a signal that performs poorly at a 1:1 ratio but becomes profitable at a 3:1 ratio. I'll explain how to use this indicator and why it can be highly beneficial for your trading.
In this section of the video, I'm demonstrating how to apply this method to internal signals like RSI, moving averages, and Supertrend.
Additionally, I'm planning to create another video to teach you how to backtest your own external signals.
Please let me know if this is something you'd like to learn more about.