Stocks
Weekend Update - Stocks and Bitcoin DivergenceTraders,
If you've been reading my static posts, you'll know that the SPY has reached its downside target of 410 for the head and shoulders pattern that we've been watching. It's now looking like a bounce can be expected. I'll briefly touch on what I am seeing on the SPY chart as well as the DXY, VIX, and, of course, Bitcoin.
I'll also quickly brief you all on my Bitcoin short trade and what I am expecting might occur here.
Best,
Stew
Navigating the S&P500 for different market scenarios, 27-10-2023P&500, ES, Emini, SPY / frame analysis.
Hello Traders, Welcome back to another market breakdown.
Today, I've got an exciting video for you as I dive into the current state of the S&P 500 and explore various strategies based on different market scenarios. Whether you're an experienced investor or just getting started, this video will help you better understand how to navigate the dynamic world of the stock market.
Trade safely,
Trader Leo
US500 - Detailed Video Analysis 📹 From Weekly To H4Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 Here is a detailed update top-down analysis for #US500.
Which scenario do you think is more likely to happen? and Why?
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good Luck!.
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Dissecting SPY Price trends With Fibonacci Price TheoryHave you ever wanted to learn the one technique you can use on any chart, any interval, or any technical or price set up to help you become a better trader?
Let me show you the basics of Fibonacci Price Theory and how to use it.
Price is always seeking new highs or new lows - ALWAYS.
You'll hear others talking about price filling voids or moving through accumulation/distribution phases - which is all true. Price moves through these support/resistance levels or quickly through price voids to reach new highs or lows. This is all part of Fibonacci Price Theory.
When you learn to understand various intervals using this technique (Weekly, Daily, 30 Min, or others), you'll quickly be able to identify short-term, long-term, and intra-day trends like a pro.
It is not about catching every trend reversal/setup. This technique is about teaching you to stay on the right side of trend and to target the Sweet Spot in the middle of breakaway/breakdown trends.
Follow my research. Learn how I can help you become a better trader.
Metals Setup Apex "V" (PANIC) Bottom - Rally Will ContinueGold and Silver are setting up a nearly perfect deep "V" bottom after a bout of PANIC selling over the past few weeks. This sets up a move for Gold to rally above $2250 and Silver to rally above $28.50.
Ultimately, I believe Gold will exit the Setup Phase and peak in the next phase, the Breakaway Phase, above $2450. Silver will follow with a rally to levels above $31 as it moves away from the Setup Phase and peaks in the Breakaway Phase.
These are big moves for Gold and Silver - 15% to 25% or more.
This also sends a clear message to the general/global markets that traders are hedging the uncertainties of the conflicts and the central bank/global economy credit issues. I see the next 14 months, before the US POTUS elections (Nov 2024) and possibly a few months beyond, as very concerning for the US/Global markets.
Where will the economic growth come from to drive expansion? China is contracting. Asia is contracting. Europe is contracting. The US is still operating reasonably well, considering much higher interest rates. Canada is still holding up okay, considering an extremely over-inflated asset bubble.
How long before something breaks if the US Fed decides enough is enough and moves to PAUSE rate hikes?
I guess we won't see a pause in the US Fed until possibly May/June 2024. And that will drive a fear/hedging/panic cycle where USD assets and precious metals become an effective hedge against risks.
Pay attention. This next move in metals should be very explosive.
NFLX, Severe Factors to Confirm Huge BEARISH-Wave Breakout Next!Hello There!
Welcome to my new analysis of NFLX. The NFLX price action already determined a heavily bearishly inclined bear-market wave towards the downside printing a bearish wave of over -70% and liquidating a ton load of bull-trapped positions with the crucial bearish wave A. Now, NFLX is in this meager uptrend which is not anything than a next continuation pattern as the volume is decreasing and the institutional smart money operator's short-side positions increased heavily.
Now, NFLX is already approaching the crucial upper distribution resistance channel within the gigantic bearish descending channel formation from where the next bearish wave towards the downside is likely to emerge next. In this case, the next bearish wave acceleration phase is going to happen when NFLX breaks out below the 100-EMA which will be the last frontier to the massive bearish determinations to follow once this breakout happened.
With the huge ascending wedge formation that NFLX formed before the bear market decline, NFLX already set the origin of this bearishly inclined structure. This means that with the current weak uptrend that has no volume, no momentum, and no smart money backing the final bearish bear flag breakout is more than overwhelmingly likely. Once this breakout has been activated it is going to be the origin of the bearish expansion wave C towards the lower levels.
Taking all these factors into consideration NFLX is definitely a bearish inclined stock currently and the major disruptional bearish momentum continuations are likely to emerge anytime soon. In this case, it is necessary to approach the short-side opportunity appropriately, a potential entry setup has already formed as the volume declines more and more and NFLX already finalized the bear flag formation. Because of the significance of this whole bearishly inclined determination, I am keeping NFLX on the short candidate's watchlist.
Thank you everybody for watching my idea about NFLX. Support from your side is greatly appreciated.
"In a bear market, you have to use sharp countertrend rallies to sell."
VP
DELL, Massive BULLISH Price-Action Spikes, EXPANSION-Setup!Hello There!
Welcome to my new analysis of DELL. In recent times I have spotted and analyzed important setups in the stock market that have the ability to emerge with a worthwhile hedge against the severe inflation, recession, and supply-chain events currently going on. In today's times, it is more than necessary to pick the gems that have the potential to be the primary hedge for the crucial transformational events going on. In this case, my main approach within the stock market is to only pick the top trading setup opportunities to move forward with a total-return approach to hedge against bearish liquidation events.
With DELL, it has to be mentioned that DELL had the ability to emerge with this momentous all-time-high breakout printing this over 30% bullish spike wave towards the upside. In this case, the volume is also an important factor here, because without the increased volume this would just be a huge bull trap and the bears are likely to turn the market again. However, this is not the case and DELL had the ability to confirm this important bullish price-action spike with the necessary volume confirming it as a legit breakout and establishing the base for further expansions.
Together with this major all-time-high breakout DELL also is trending in this gigantic expansional wave-count with the wave A and B already being completed and now the wave C is within the expansion phase. This means that with the bull-flag formation that completed wave B the DELL price-action already set a 350% wave expansion target within the 180-200 area. Especially when the volatility as it is currently doing increases 3x, 4x, 5x, or more this means that these targets will be reached at a much faster pace than is the case with other setups in the market.
Currently, DELL is already forming the continuation setup with the ascending triangle on the local term which will be completed within the next time, especially when this happens with a high volatility the increased momentum will be determined. Because of the significance of this important setup and because DELL has been approved as a major potential gem I am keeping the stock on my watchlist and elevating important changes, especially in terms of events that could trigger a huge demand rally here.
Thank you everybody for watching my idea about DELL. Support from your side is greatly appreciated.
“Price is what you pay. Value is what you get.”
VP
IBM, This is Huge, Massive BULL-Acceleration, BREAKOUT-Setup!Hello There!
Welcome to my new analysis of IBM. In recent times I have analyzed the stock and I have detected major important historical determinations within the analytics backend that are actually indicating an epical breakout has a high potential to emerge within the next times. Not every stock within the market is bullish however with IBM there are clear signs that it already had the potential to rebound since the grievous corona market shock lows and now as digitization increases this is already building a bullish base for IBM.
Within my chart, I have detected this gigantic inverse head-shoulder formation in combination with the paramount bull flag formation, both being two bullish formations that have the potential to be major bullish trend accelerants once the breakout above the boundary has shown up this is going to activate a major double confirmation here. The trend is supported by the major underlying demand structure as well as the EMAs and the main ascending trend line. Once the final breakout above the upper boundary of the inverse head-shoulder formation in combination with the upper boundary of the bull flag has shown up this is going to accelerate the demand trend dynamics.
Taking all these factors into consideration here as digitization since the corona pullback lows have been completed increased massively this is increasing the actual digitization demand within the market and for a stock like IBM, this means that there is a main underlying demand base that is accelerating a bullish trend dynamic. Once the main breakouts as mentioned within the next times have shown up this is going to activate the minimum target of 250 and above further continuations have an increased potential once the main demand and momentum spread into the trend direction increases. Because of the importance of this setup forming here, I am keeping the stock in my current watchlist.
In this manner, thank you everybody for watching my analysis of IBM. Support from your side is greatly appreciated.
VP
SPY Cycle Patterns CRUSH Day Leads Bearish TrendingMy proprietary SPY Cycle Patterns are an advanced predictive modeling system based on Fibonacci, Gann, and price cycles.
The most incredible thing about these patterns is they predict future price action/trends many days, weeks, and months in advance - very accurately.
The accuracy ratio of the SPY Cycle Patterns is usually about 85 to 90%. There are times when it is wrong.
My proprietary research suggests we have entered a very dangerous new crisis phase. The SPY will likely target $404 or lower (possibly $393).
I'm posting this short video to help you prepare for what comes next.
Follow my research.
FNV, GOLD-Mine GEM to Complete Historical Triangle-EXPANSION!Hello There!
Welcome to my newest idea about FNV from the gold market perspective. In recent times, the gold market is approaching severe developments that could lead to major price-action disruptions in any case, especially with the important underlying dynamics to consider as I am doing it within the market. Major innovations and implementations within the gold market sector have the potential to accelerate the price-action dynamic so that stocks like gold mine stock have the potential to move on with historical breakouts like never seen in the gold market history. I have mentioned the gold market developments already in previous ideas and with FNV I have spotted a new gem within the market that can unfold its whole potential with the major gold-backed currency-system implementation developments ongoing.
Historical Gold Market Developments and What Should be Derived for Today´s Market:
Throughout history, gold rushes have shown that the market had the ability to convert the gold market into exponential growth rates almost overnight. Today, with the appropriate technology and innovation provided by a fourth industrial evolution development such measurements within the gold market can top everything seen before in the gold market history. An implementation of a gold-backed currency system even in a small or medium-sized economy field is going to accelerate the demand for gold and therefore also gold mines as it is the case with FNV in such a manner that a major breakout of the established price action will almost be inevitable.
Major Formation to Increase the Potential for a Massive Trend-Acceleration Simultaneously With a Gold-Backed Currency-System Implementation.
FNV is forming this gigantic epic ascending triangle formation with several bullish bouncing within the whole trend direction and the major bullish wave already established before. Furthermore, FNV has major support zones within the whole structure determined by the triangle boundary, the 65-EMA, and the horizontal supports. Now as FNV already penetrates the upper boundary of the major ascending wedge formation this means that a final breakout of the triangle formation above the upper boundary is not far away and especially in this case the full acceleration and implementation of the new gold-backed currency system could be one of the primary triggers of such a final breakout.
Upcoming Perspectives, Determinations, Targets, and Underlying Dynamics as well as the Overall Gold Market to Consider for a Conversion-Breakout Wave-Expansion:
Within my analysis, I spotted the most important metrics, key factors, and price levels to watch out for within the current development, and therefore the finalization of the final breakout and acceleration of the price dynamic is not far away. Once a breakout above the upper boundary of the paramount triangle formation has shown up this is going to mark the origin setup of the huge expansion wave to accelerate within the whole chart. In this case, FNV is going to mark a target zone of at least a 180% continuation. Especially, when the gold-backed currency-system implementation appropriately moves forward simultaneously with the breakout and expansion wave C this is going to accelerate the dynamic even above the levels of the upper target zones.
Especially, today we should look at history and see how innovations and important market changes could transform a market such as the gold market into epic price actions with growth rates above average. Taking this into the perspective of the market today this could be the origin of a major transformational market like never seen before. Therefore, it is necessary that the necessary technology is implemented to actually realize the full potential that results from a gold-backed currency system and the acceleration of gold mines. In this case, I am going to re-analyze the developments with the major key metrics to estimate the trend ongoing within the gold market. It will be an important development.
In this manner, thank you everybody for watching my analysis of CHFAUD. Support from your side is greatly appreciated.
VP
META, BEARISH MARKET-View, Enormous SHORT-Side-Indications!Hello There!
Welcome to my newest idea about META on the major underlying dynamics that I have spotted in the chart, conditions, and dashboard recently. META has turned out to be one of the most bearish dumpers in the market with a massive bearish pressure momentum wave of over -76.00% to the downside liquidating over 800 positions in the market and elevating a gigantic bearish indication for the whole chart.
The recent trend is looking rather weak because of the massively declining volume which is not supporting this weak uptrend. This means that when a bearish wave to the downside shows up this wave is going to accelerate because the volume of this undercurrent weak uptrend is declining more and more. Especially, with a major supply structure staying between the 290 and 360 levels this is going to have the same bearish origin condition as it has been seen within the massive bearish pressure -76.00% dump.
Investors are losing more and more trust in the stock since huge allegations over several years are not decreasing and it seems that investors are decreasing their stakes and position sizes within the stock. This is underlined by the fact that the volume is decreasing within this weak trend and is not supported by investors because if this should be the case the volume would rise. Taking this into perspective here the underlying increasing attractiveness of the stock is increasing the bearish case and decreasing the bullish case almost completely.
As META is now approaching the upper resistance cluster zones with resistances marked by the upper distribution level together with the supply zone levels that already have been the origin of 800 Billion long liquidations in the past such a breakdown to the downside increases further the more often the META price-action penetrates the lower boundary of the crucial ascending-wedge the higher the possibility for a massive bearish breakout and continuation increases.
Once a breakout below the lower boundary of this gigantic ascending wedge formation has shown up similar to it already formed in the past before META dumped over -76.00% in a massive bearish pressure continuation this is likely to increase the possibility for further bearish momentum to accelerate and META is going to continue with this till support has been reached or till the bearish momentum is so severe that it is going to breakout below the lower boundary and just continues into the direction.
Therefore, it will be necessary to spot the actual wave-development to emerge within the next times and exactly because of this I am continuing to keep the stock in my dashboard watchlist and re-evaluate important changes as well as the major underlying factors once they emerged within the price-action.
In this manner, thank you everybody for watching my analysis about USDJPY. Support from your side is greatly appreciated.
VP