Support and Resistance
Commitment of Traders Modelled as Stratified Poissant Processes Hey! This video theorizes about the relevance of the poissant process in predicting areas of support and resistance in a way that accounts for temporal and probabilistic grounding. Essentially, the commitment of traders is modelled as a poissant process. Lambda is remeasured at each time step and the stratas' opacity reflects the strength of the probability, modelling trader capitulation as a time decay function. The recency and recurrence of information is intuitive and visible at a glance. Enjoy!
Market Forecast UPDATES! Jan 20 MondayIn this video, we will update the forecasts for the following markets:
ES \ S&P 500
NQ | NASDAQ 100
YM | Dow Jones 30
GC |Gold
SiI | Silver
PL | Platinum
HG | Copper
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Weekly Market Forecast Jan 20-24thThis is an outlook for the week of Jan 20-24
In this video, we will analyze the following FX markets:
ES \ S&P 500
NQ | NASDAQ 100
YM | Dow Jones 30
GC |Gold
SiI | Silver
PL | Platinum
HG | Copper
The indices look set to move higher this week, as Trump is inaugurated Monday, bringing a possible "Trump Pump" to the markets. The metals are a bit mixed, but may continue upward this week.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Weekly FOREX Forecast Jan 20-24thThis is an outlook for the week of Jan 20-24th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX markets:
USD Index
EURUSD
GBPUSD
AUDUSD
NZDUSD
CAD, USDCAD
CHF, USDCHF
JPY, USDJPY
The USD is at a higher time frame Supply Zone. This coincides with the Inauguration Day for Trump. The USD Index will potentially start to turn over here, if the 2016 Inauguration Day is used as a model. No selling until a bearish break of structure! But stay vigilant, and be careful buying into a HTF Supply Zone!
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Crude OIL SHORT Today Ran For +4R BreakdownNYMEX:CL1!
"Successful trading has always been about understand the convictions, the strength and the weakness of buyers and sellers. Once you understand what the other traders are doing in the market, you can successfully trade with them." -Michael Valtos
Confluence Profile 500K (Expectational Order-Flow + PA) 10pt Stop / +4R Run... Well Done!!
Remember; "Our Profession is to Manage the downside costs of printing HIGHSIDE returns of $$$ consistently. Done correctly, well Abundance awaits us." -500KTrey
Nasdaq Futures: Key Setups to End the Week Strong | January 17Finish the trading week with today’s analysis of Nasdaq futures for Friday, January 17, 2025. We break down key zones, potential setups, and strategies to navigate the market ahead of Monday's anticipated volatility.
📈 Long Opportunities: Watch for entries around 21,360 or 21,440, targeting 21,560 and 21,650.
📉 Short Setups: Key zones include 21,510–21,560, with potential moves toward 21,360 or lower.
📊 Market Insights: A possible trend shift is forming across multiple timeframes. Be ready for significant movements heading into the weekend.
💬 Join our daily lives at 9:30 AM (NY time) for live analysis and Q&A. Let us know in the comments what other assets you’d like us to analyze or if you’d prefer swing trading strategies in future videos.
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I've got some wisdom to share. Take some notes #BitcoinHey members, apologies for being offline for a while...I'm back (kinda)
Tradingview is happy to ban me from speaking to you and for these reasons I might not be making videos on here for much longer
Today I want to share with you some truths that others dont speak about. It's beyond trading mentality, which is why it works
Please learn from my pain (or don't, but do)
"Energy" runs the you and it runs the markets, focus on respecting market energy and your managing your emotions within it
Know the game you're in
Humans have emotions, and if can't manage them those then you're not playing the game right
The market has energy, if you can't identify the energy of the market then you're not playing the game right
Hopefully I'll be catching up with you soon
Ciao for now.
Blayno
Bearish mean reversion kicks in for USD/JPYIts bullish trend struggled to gain any traction above 158, and now momentum has finally turned against USD/JPY bulls. A retracement is now underway, but as to how deep really comes down to whether incoming US data continues to soften to bolster Fed-cut bets, or if the BOJ get their hawkish skates on.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
Nasdaq Futures: Intraday Setups and Key Zones for Today Dive into today’s Nasdaq futures analysis for Wednesday, January 15, 2025. With key support levels and recent price action shaping the market, we explore high-probability setups for both long and short trades.
📈 Long Opportunities: Look for entries near 21,145 or above 21,357, with potential targets at 21,650.
📉 Short Setups: Key zones include 21,330 and 21,248, targeting moves toward 21,150 and 20,975.
📊 Market Insights: With important news and volatility expected, today’s market could present significant opportunities.
💬 Join our daily lives at 9:30 AM (NY time) for live analysis and Q&A. Let us know in the comments what other assets you’d like us to analyze or if you’re interested in swing trading strategies for future videos.
🔗 Subscribe now for expert trading insights, daily updates, and exclusive content. Let’s optimize your trading together!
This China A50 bounce could have legsThe China A50 futures market topped in October after a near 50% surge in just three weeks. Yet as price action since appears to have been corrective, I'm seeking evidence that its retracement has ended. And that is why Tuesday's bounce from the 200-day SMA has grabbed my attention.
MS
SPX Flow concepts in real timeThe **flow concept** in trading refers to the way markets move, either easily or with difficulty, in an upward or downward direction. It is a critical tool for traders to anticipate price movements and market behavior.
Key Points:
1. Types of Flow :
- Good Flow: Market moves easily in the expected direction, aligning with targets.
- Poor Flow: Market struggles or moves contrary to expectations.
2. Indicators of Flow :
- Range and direction of the bar.
- Location of the close within the bar (near highs or lows suggests direction).
- Degree of progress toward expected targets within an envelope system.
3. Using Flow in Trading :
- Flow helps traders anticipate targets and identify when market behavior deviates from expectations.
- It integrates multiple timeframes: higher time periods (HTP), lower time periods (LTP), and focus time periods (FTP).
4. Energy and Strength :
- Flow derives from the energy between support and resistance levels (e.g., PL Dot, envelope confines).
- Observing energy shifts at key levels helps predict future price movements.
5. Practical Applications :
- Monitor Real-Time Flow: Recognize changes in direction or strength to adjust strategies.
- Avoid Stops with Flow: Understanding flow can reduce reliance on stop-loss orders by enabling better decision-making.
Conclusion:
The flow concept emphasizes studying and monitoring market behavior dynamically, leveraging multi-timeframe analysis and energy zones. Mastery of flow allows traders to anticipate changes, make informed decisions, and reduce errors.
In the video you see three timeframes from right to left: 5 minutes, 15 minutes and 60 minutes. At key moments in time (at close) the flow shifts and this is marked with 3 green/red boxes allowing the candles to confirm/reject the flow concept. You can see on the 5 minute and 60 minutes the flow changes is identified and confirmed. The 15 minute timeframe shows quickly the same change but it is not confirmed. Then on the opposite side you several flow shifts that are not confirmed, but eventually they also provide confirmation on the 15 and the 5 minute timeframe. This concept shows the importance to flow above terminations or levels.
Nasdaq Futures: Intraday Strategies and Key Levels | January 14Today’s analysis of Nasdaq futures for Tuesday, January 14, 2025, highlights key zones and strategies to navigate a potential trend reversal. With the market reacting to important support levels, we explore opportunities for both longs and shorts.
📈 Long Opportunities: Entries above 21,030 or near 20,850, with targets at 21,160 and 21,320.
📉 Short Setups: Zones like 21,060 or 21,140, aiming for moves toward 20,860 and 20,650.
📊 Market Context: We discuss how recent price action suggests a possible trend change, and key events to watch that could impact volatility.
💬 Join our daily lives at 9:30 AM (NY time) for real-time analysis and Q&A. Let us know in the comments what other assets you'd like us to analyze or if you’d prefer swing trading strategies in future videos.
🔗 Subscribe now for expert trading insights, daily updates, and exclusive content. Let’s optimize your trading together!