💲Learn DXY - US. Dollar Index
✅Why Be Interested?
The strong dollar has been getting a lot of attention lately. Some U.S. companies are blaming the strong U.S. dollar for lackluster earnings, while economists say it's helping the Federal Reserve’s ongoing fight against high inflation.
But how do you know when the dollar is strong or weak? That’s the job of the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY)
☑️What Is the U.S. Dollar Index?
The U.S. Dollar Index is a market index benchmark used to measure the value of the U.S. dollar relative to other widely-traded international currencies.
The Federal Reserve established the dollar index in 1973 to track the value of the U.S. dollar. Two years earlier, President Richard Nixon had abandoned the gold standard, which allowed the value of the dollar to float freely in foreign exchange (forex) markets.
Since 1985, the dollar index has been calculated and maintained by Intercontinental Exchange (ICE).
☑️The Dollar Index History and Makeup
The formula for calculating the value of the U.S. Dollar Index includes the dollar’s relative value compared to a basket of foreign currencies. Initially, it included the Japanese yen, British pound, Canadian dollar, Swedish krona, Swiss franc, West German mark, French franc, Italian lira, Dutch guilder, and Belgian franc.
Following the creation of the euro in 1999, the number of currencies was reduced and the formula for the dollar index was adjusted. Today, the basket includes just six currencies: the euro (EUR), Japanese yen (JPY), British pound (GBP), Canadian dollar (CAD), Swedish krona (SEK) and Swiss franc (CHF).
✅How Is the U.S. Dollar Index Used?
The USDX allows traders and investors to monitor the purchasing power of the U.S. dollar relative to the six currencies included into the index's basket.
Investors also use the dollar index as a litmus test for U.S. economic performance, particularly when it comes to imports and exports. The more goods the U.S. exports, the more international demand there is for U.S. dollars to purchase those goods. When demand for the dollar is high, USDX rises.
☑️Dollar Index Shortcomings:
The weightings of the currencies used to calculate the index were based on the United States’ biggest trading partners in the 1970s.
As a result, its calculation doesn't include emerging market currencies, like the Mexican Peso (MXN) or commodity currencies. It also doesn't include China’s renminbi (CNY), even though China is now the largest U.S. trading partner by a wide margin.
Therefore, the index may be less useful as an economic measure than in previous decades.
✅What Makes the U.S. Dollar Strong?
A combination of higher inflation, the Fed's aggressive tightening campaign and a global search for yield have all contributed to the strong dollar.
A strong dollar means other global currencies have been relatively weak, which exacerbates inflationary pressures and financial market volatility.
📍In Conclusion:
The Dollar Index can be used as a gauge of the Dollar strength or weakness, and it’s futures can be used to profit form Dollar moves without betting on any individual Dollar currency pair which provides diversification. However, the Index is somewhat outdated which needs to be accounted for when using it.
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Trading
Cracking the Code of Bull and Bear TrapsHey Friends, let's dive into the captivating world of bull and bear traps. These traps can be quite the wild ride, so buckle up and get ready for some trading knowledge! A bull trap, my friends, is a sneaky maneuver by the market. It lures unsuspecting traders into believing there's a bullish breakout on the horizon. But guess what? It's a trap! The price quickly reverses and sends those traders into a tailspin, caught in a frenzy of false signals. Don't let the allure fool you!
Now, on to the bear trap. It's the flip side of the coin, my friends. Just when you thought the market was about to take a nosedive, it surprises you with an upward surge. It's like a magician's trick, leaving all those who bet on a bearish breakdown scratching their heads. Bam! The bear trap strikes, and those traders find themselves caught in a bullish whirlwind they never saw coming.
To navigate these treacherous traps, my dear traders, exercise patience and wait for confirmation. Don't jump the gun at the first sign of a breakout or breakdown. Look for additional indicators to support the move and keep a close eye on volume. Strong volume is the key, my friends! And don't forget to set those stop-loss orders, strategically placing them to protect your positions.
Now, remember, studying market structure and learning from past mistakes is essential. Analyze historical traps, dissect their patterns, and absorb every little detail. The more you educate yourself, the better prepared you'll be to dodge those cunning traps in the future.
So, my fellow traders, stay sharp, stay nimble, and stay ahead of those traps. It's a wild journey out there, but armed with knowledge and experience, you can conquer the trading world. May your trades be prosperous, and may you always stay one step ahead of those crafty bull and bear traps!
Secret of Success in Trading: Patience, Emotions, Psychology
I vividly remember how I started to trade 8 years ago, how I was learning, and the things that I was doing.
Contemplating my old self, I notice a dramatic shift in my mindset in regard to trading.
Staring at the charts and desiring to make money on price action, I wanted to become a consistently profitable trader. Making the priorities, I decided to sacrifice my time on studying technical analysis, totally neglecting trading psychology and risk management.
Learning different trading strategies, I always came to the same result: the account went blown and nothing seemed to work.
Strategies of fancy traders on YouTube, strategies from best-selling books on Amazon, nothing could produce any penny.
Not giving up and pursuing my ultimate goal, I came to the conclusion that I set my priorities absolutely incorrectly.
To be honest, I always thought that trading psychology (like psychology in general) is s*cks. Moreover, I considered risk management to be kind of obvious, banal topic not deserving much attention.
Learning risk management techniques, applying them in day trading, I finally saw a glimmer of hope.
Reading a dozen of books on trading psychology, contemplating my mistakes, and observing my behavior I noticed so many wrong, incorrect things that I did on a daily basis.
With time and practice, my mindset shifted.
I realized that most of the strategies that I applied and that seemed losing to me, in fact, were decent.
It turned out that mastery of technical analysis is not enough for profitable trading. Instead, that is just a tiny part of what must be learned.
Now, when my students ask me about the most important things to learn & study in trading, I always say:
trading psychology and risk management go first, technical analysis is the secondary.
❗️ Do not neglect these topics and give them due attention. They are an essential part of your success in trading.
🤔 Do you agree with the pyramid that I drew?
HOW TO TRADE 1-2-3 PATTERNHello everybody! 👋 🤗. Today we are going to learn about the 123 chart pattern. The 123 pattern is a typical reversal pattern that traders use to identify if an existing trend might change. These patterns can be a signal to enter the market. At the peaks or bottoms of the market trend, you can see 123-patterns, which signal a change in the trend. Sometimes they form after the completion of corrections in the current trend and may also occur in sideways markets.
The Pattern Formation 📈
1. The price makes a pullback following the rally
2. The price hardly shows a new maximum/minimum. No sign trend continuation
3. A breakout the previous high/low, shows a change in market trend
This happens as a result of traders opening positions when they anticipate the rally is going to continue. Furthermore, these traders will immediately close their trades and enter in the opposite direction if their stops are taken out.
How to Identify a Solid Pattern ✔️
1. The first step in trading the 123 pattern is to determine the existing trend by analyzing and identifying the highs and lows of the price action. The chart below shows one of the setups; it is labeled 1, 2 and 3. The trend was bullish. The market reached a peak. Then a pullback occurred. The result was point 2. Price then attempted to retest the high which was not successful. The price started a bearish movement and then reversed. We should not open the sell trade until we get confirmation of the breakout of line 2.
2. Look for a potential reversal. After identifying the existing trend, the next step is to look for a potential reversal point. This is done by looking for high or low points on the chart. Once a potential reversal point is identified, we can then look for signs that the reversal is actually happening. These signs can include things like a change in price momentum or candlestick patterns. The candlestick that represents the first point should have a wick, and the longer it is and if the wick is directed against the main price movement.
3. Once a potential reversal point has been identified, the we should wait for confirmation that the reversal is happening before taking any action. This confirmation can be provided by a subsequent candlestick close above or below the reversal point 2.
4. Finally, we should place stop-loss and take-profit orders to manage out risk and lock in profits. A breakout of the previous high (or low, depending on the context) is the area to place the orders. Depending on whether the pattern is bullish or bearish, the stop loss should be placed at level 1 below or above. Price should be given breathing room to avoid hitting the stop loss. Determine the distance between the low at point 3 and points 1 and 2 in this formation.
As you can see from the previous example, the price initially was in the bullish trend. After the pullback, the price breaks the support line of the trend, signaling a trend shift which indicates that price doesn’t have enough momentum to move above the previous high. Stops should be placed above point 1 of this formation. This illustration shows how easily the price exceeds price target, providing an opportunity to successfully open a sell trade with R:R ratio 1 to 1.
The 123 pattern can be a great tool for traders looking for a simple yet effective way to open trades in the markets. It is important to remember that no trading strategy is perfect, and traders should always use risk management to protect their capital. With practice and experience, traders can learn to identify the 123 pattern and use it to trade successfully in the forex market.
DOW THEORY OR HOW TECHNICAL ANALYSIS EVOLVEDSometimes it's useful to go back to the basics in order to fully comprehend the progress achieved. Today technical analysis is taken for granted, and very few people think about what is really behind the well-known market terms. The Dow Theory, and Charles Dow himself in particular, we can say, were at those very basics. In this case, at the present moment the postulates of the theory have not lost their relevance. How they can be applied in practical work on the market, particularly in Forex, is presented in today's post.
Dow Theory and Technical Analysis
At the beginning of the formation of financial markets there were no suitable automatic tools, and most of the work on the analysis was done manually for a long time. That's why you can notice a great attention to detail in the description of the theory, when nowadays many details are usually omitted.
A brief biography of Charles Dow
Dow's first job in the financial environment was as a reporter for the Wall Street news bureau. It was there that he met his partner, Edward Jones. Unlike most other journalists, their work was characterized by straightforwardness - Doe and his partner did not take bribes as a matter of principle. In 1882 Doe and Jones felt the need for a separate publication. So, they founded their own company, Dow Jones & Company, which at first issued daily financial reports.
Later the two-page booklet grew into a full-fledged newspaper, The Wall Street Journal, which is now one of the most authoritative publications in the financial environment. The publication's slogan stated that its main purpose was to tell the news, but not opinions. By 1893, there were many mergers taking place, which increased the proportion of speculation in the markets. At this time Dow saw the need for some indicator of market activity. Thus, he created the Dow Jones Industrial Average, which at that time was a simple arithmetic average of the prices of 12 companies (it now included the 30 largest U.S. companies). Dow drew attention to the fact that prices capture much more information than many people assume. That is, by analyzing prices alone, we can predict their future behavior with great probability, which eventually became the basis of his theory.
Principles of the Dow Theory
The Market Discounts Everything
Of course, the market cannot take into account events which, by definition, cannot be predicted. However, the price takes into account the emotions of participants, economic data of some companies and states, including inflation and interest rates, and even possible risks in case of unforeseen developments. This does not mean that the market or its participants know everything, even future events. This only means that all what has happened has already been recorded in the price, and any new information will also be taken into account.
On this basis, a huge number of technical indicators have been created, and today you can find an indicator for the analysis of literally anything. But while indicators are often used thoughtlessly, Dow analyzed the entire market, relying on the natural segmentation of market players.
An extreme reflection of his work is the industry and transportation indices. The very composition of the index plays an important role. It is not fixed and is periodically reconsidered taking into account changes of the situation on the markets. The essence is that shares of enterprises working in one field are analyzed. As a result, the index is in some way a closed system, where the major part of funds is distributed between the participants and does not go beyond the portfolio.
Three Market Trends
A straight-line market movement is a science fiction. In fact, price almost always moves in a zigzag pattern, forming characteristic ascending/descending highs/minimums. In other words, forming an uptrend or a downtrend. There is a major initial trend in the market. It is the most important to find out, because the basic trend reflects the real price movement direction, when all the lower trend levels depend on the basic one. The duration of the initial trend is from 1 to 3 years.
The most important thing is to determine the direction of the initial trend and trade in accordance with it. The trend remains in force, as long as there was no confirmation of its reversal. The price closing below the previous extremum, for example, can be a prerequisite for trend reversal.
So, the initial trend determines the main market direction. In turn, the secondary trend moves in the direction opposite to the main trend. In fact, it is a correction to the main trend. The secondary trend has one interesting characteristic - its volatility is usually higher than the initial movement.
The last, the smallest trend is nothing more than a secondary trend pullback. Such movement lasts no longer than one week. The classical representation pays the least attention to it. It is considered that there is too much price noise on this time period, and fixation on the smallest movements can lead to irrational trade decisions.
Trend phases
The next principle of the theory of Dow the phases of the trend formation:
The first phase is usually characterized by price consolidation. This is a period of market indecision, when the previous trend is at exhaustion. In other words, this period is marked by the accumulation of forces before the spurt and is also the most attractive entry point (although risky). As soon as the new direction is confirmed, the participation phase begins. This is the main trend phase, the longest of the three, which is also marked by a large price movement.
When the motivating conditions have been exhausted, the saturation phase begins. During this period, savvy players begin to exit positions as soon as there are signs of instability, such as increased corrections. This phase can be described as "irrational optimism", when the price may continue to rise by inertia, despite the lack of clear prerequisites.
Identification of trend movements
In order to identify both trends and reversals on a chart, it is necessary to understand the techniques used by Dow. The main technique in identifying reversals a sequential analysis of extremes. For example, in the picture, points 2, 4, and 6 mark the maximum of the upward movement, while points 1, 3, and 5 mark the minimum. An uptrend is formed when each successive top and trough is higher than the previous one.
A downtrend, on the contrary, is characterized by descending highs/minimums.
The Dow Theory states that until we get a clear signal for a reversal, the trend remains in force. Here we can draw a parallel with Newton's law of inertia, where a moving object tends to move in the intended direction until another force interrupts its movement. The formation of a lower minimum (5) within the upward movement is an obvious signal of the coming reversal.
In the case when the trend is directed downward, the situation is the opposite. If the price failed to form a lower low and still closed above the current high, it means that the market is influenced by a force opposite to the original movement.
Conclusion
The Dow Theory, as many hope, does not answer the question "how to enter the market at the stage of trend formation?" It is a long-term reversal strategy aimed at minimal risk. Nevertheless, the theory helps us better understand technical analysis in general, and why it works at all because price and is a derivative of all the factors affecting it.
WHAT IS ATR AND HOW TO USE IT?Investing and trading in the stock market can be a daunting task, especially for those new to the game. With so many different indicators and metrics to consider, it can be difficult to know which ones to focus on. One key metric that traders often use to measure market volatility is Average True Range (ATR). In this blog post, we’ll explore what ATR is, how it’s calculated, why it’s important for analysis, and how it can be used as an exit strategy. We’ll compare ATR with other popular technical indicators as well, so you have all the information you need to make informed decisions about your trading strategies.
Defining ATR
Average True Range (ATR) is an important metric used by traders to measure market volatility. It’s a technical indicator that can provide insight into strength or weakness in the markets, and can be used to identify breakouts and set stop-loss points for trades.
ATR is calculated as an exponential moving average of true range values over a given period. True range is defined as the maximum of three values: the current high minus the current low, the absolute value of the current high minus the previous close, and the absolute value of the current low minus the previous close. This calculation provides a more accurate reading than simply measuring one day’s trading range or attempting to track changes in individual stock prices.
ATR values are generally presented in decimal form (e.g. 0.1 or 0.3) rather than percentage form (e.g. 10% or 30%). This allows for more precise measurements when tracking market movement, which can be especially important for day traders who need to act quickly on market changes and opportunities.
Traders use ATR to gauge overall market volatility as well as individual stock movements over time; it can also be used for trend identification and momentum strategies when combined with other technical indicators such as moving averages and Bollinger bands. And because ATR takes into account both recent highs and lows, it can also help traders set stop-loss points for their trades – at least until they become comfortable enough with markets to make decisions without them.
Whether you’re new to trading or seasoned professional, ATR is an invaluable tool that should be incorporated into your analysis strategy if you want to stay ahead of markets and take advantage of opportunities when they present themselves.
How to Calculate ATR
In conclusion, ATR is a valuable tool for traders and investors alike. It helps measure market volatility and can be used to set stop-loss points as well as combine with other technical indicators to get a more accurate picture of where the markets are headed. Understanding and employing ATR can help traders become better informed about their investments, allowing them to make more informed decisions when entering or exiting positions.
Analyzing ATR in Trading
When it comes to analyzing the markets for trading decisions, Average True Range (ATR) is an invaluable tool that helps traders gain insight into market volatility. By understanding how ATR works, investors can measure the current conditions of a stock or index in comparison to its past performance, allowing them to identify trends and set stop losses accordingly. It also provides them with an effective exit strategy so they can take advantage of opportunities while minimizing their risk exposure. Ultimately, having a good grasp of this indicator will allow traders to make more informed decisions when engaging in securities markets globally.
Using ATR as an Exit Strategy
Using ATR as an Exit Strategy Average True Range (ATR) is a powerful technical indicator that can be used to measure market volatility and identify trends. It can also be employed as an exit strategy in trading, allowing traders to determine when the best time is to exit their positions and take profits or minimize losses. When using ATR as an exit strategy, it is important for traders to set the parameters for their strategy correctly. The most common approach is to set a multiple of ATR for both profit taking and stop loss levels. For example, if a trader sets the multiple at two times ATR, then they will take profits when the price moves by two times the average true range from their entry point and cut their losses if it moves against them by two times the average true range. In addition to setting up these parameters in advance, traders should also consider any potential rewards and risks associated with using ATR as an exit strategy. On one hand, it can help protect capital from large losses due to quick market movements, but on the other hand, it may cause traders to miss out on larger gains if prices move further than expected. There are various types of ATR-based exit strategies that traders can employ. Some of these include: fixed percentage or dollar exits; trailing stops; dynamic exits; time-based exits; or support/resistance exits based on chart patterns or technical indicators such as moving averages. Each type of strategy has its own advantages and disadvantages depending on market conditions so it is important for traders to understand which one will work best for them before implementing it into their trading system. Finally, traders should look at real-world examples of profitable trades made using ATR as an exit strategy. By studying these examples they can gain insight into how successful trades were managed and use this knowledge when formulating their own strategies going forward. With enough practice and experience, traders will eventually become adept at using ATR as part of their trading system and be able to capitalize on profitable opportunities more effectively in future investments.
ATR vs Other Technical Indicators
Average True Range (ATR) is a technical indicator used to measure market volatility and identify trends. Unlike other indicators, ATR measures the degree of price movement instead of the strength or weakness of a trend; this makes it ideal for spotting trading opportunities in volatile markets. Compared to indicators like Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), ATR offers traders a greater understanding of market volatility so they can more easily recognize good entry and exit points.
In addition, ATR allows traders to set stop-loss points that are tailored to their individual risk tolerance levels. This helps them reduce losses when prices move against them but still provides an opportunity for profits if prices turn back in their favour. Ultimately, ATR is not meant to be used as an isolated indicator when making decisions about trades, but combining it with other indicators will improve accuracy when entering and exiting positions.
Overall, ATR is a powerful tool designed for those looking to gain insight into market volatility and make informed decisions about their trades. By using this indicator in combination with others, such as RSI and MACD, traders can better understand the kind of environment they are working with which can help them maximize profits while minimizing losses.
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
Top 5 Tips to Increase Your Profits in Trading 📈
In this educational article, I will share with you very useful tips how to improve your profitability in trading the financial markets.
1. Decrease the number of financial instruments in your watch list. ⬇️
Remember that each individual instrument in your watch list requires attention. The more of them you monitor on a daily basics, the harder it is to keep focus on them.
In order to not miss early confirmation signals and triggers, it is highly recommendable to reduce the size of your watch list and pay closer attention to the remaining instruments.
2. Avoid taking too many positions. ❌
For some reason, newbie traders are convinced that they should constantly trade and keep many trading positions.
Firstly, I want to remind you that the management of an active position is a quite tedious process that requires time and attention.
Therefore, more positions are opened, more time and effort is required.
Secondly, if the newbies can not spot a good setup, they assume that they are obliged to open some positions and they start forcing the setups.
Remember, that in trading, the quality of the trading setup beats the quantity. I advise taking less trades, but the better ones.
3. Let winners run if the market is going in the desired direction. 📈
Once you caught a good trade and the market is moving where you predicted, do not let your emotions close the trade preliminary.
Try to get maximum from your trade, closing that only after the desired level is reached.
4. Open a trade after multiple confirmations.✅
Analyzing a certain setup remember, that more confirmations you spot, higher is the accuracy of the trade that you take. In order to increase your win rate, it is recommendable to wait for at least 2 confirmations.
5. Don't trade on your cellphone. 📱
A good trade always requires a sophisticated analysis that is impossible to execute on the small screen of the cellphone.
A lot of elements and nuances simply will not be noticed. For that reason, trade only from a computer with a wide screen.
Relying on these tips, you will substantially increase your profits.
Take them into the consideration and good luck to you in your trading journey.
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HOW TO IDENTIFY ORDER BLOCKSHello traders! Today we are going to look at the pattern Order Blocks, what this pattern means and how to trade it.
✳️ What is Order Block?
The largest (from open to close) closest bearish candle to support before a strong impulsive bullish move (last sell candle before the buy candle). The last falling candle before the impulse growth. The high of this candle must be broken by the next candle to confirm it is an order block.
The largest (from open to close) closest bullish candle to resistance before a strong impulsive bearish move (the last buy candle before the sell candle). The last rising candle before the impulsive decline. The low of this candlestick must be broken by the next candlestick to confirm that it is an order block. Order blocks are those areas/zones where financial institutions have manipulated the price and where some of their orders are in drawdown. This "footprint" they are leaving is clearly visible in the order block. Price will usually return to these areas and we will react to this in some way. Order block is a sign of big players in the market.
✳️ The idea behind the pattern and why it works
The movements triggered by big players leave open positions which must be closed. And in order to do that, the price has to test those levels.
Smart money works according to certain algorithms, and we are trying to make money on this. Behind these candlesticks are financial institutions: they deliberately move the market, themselves falling into a drawdown, so they need to return the price to the order block with an imbalance, to reduce losses (to return their open positions to breakeven levels).
Why not close manipulative positions earlier? There is no one to cover them.
When we close large positions, the price automatically moves in the direction of the order block, and it is convenient for the large capital to close the previous manipulated positions, which causes a bounce which we want to jump into. In other words, we find a liquidity gathering point and wait for the return to it.
Order Block is a level to enter or exit.
✳️ Order Block Trading Strategy
Mitigation is a test of a supply/demand area. In our case a block of orders. Closing of old manipulative positions.
1) We are looking for a block of orders.
2) Were the stops pulled out (collecting liquidity, breaking through the obvious highs and lows)? If no, then it is not an order block, let it go. You are not sure? Do not enter.
3) If yes, we consider entering.
A bullish block of orders:
We enter - on price returning to this candle (at least to the high).
Stop - for low.
Take - the nearest level.
A bearish block of orders:
Entry - on the return of the price to this candle (at least to the low).
Stop - behind the high.
Take - the nearest level.
Each Order block can be tested only once.
What is Heiken Ashi and how to use it?Are you looking for a new way to analyze the markets and identify trends? Heiken Ashi is a powerful charting technique that can help you do just that. It provides traders with an easy-to-read visual representation of price movements that can be used to make more informed trading decisions. In this blog post, we'll cover what Heiken Ashi is, why it's so beneficial, how to read the candlesticks, when to use it, and offer tips for trading with it. With this knowledge, traders can use Heiken Ashi to take their trading to the next level.
Definition of Heiken Ashi
Heiken Ashi is a charting technique used to identify trends and smoothen out price fluctuations. It was derived from the Japanese candlestick charting techniques, and it is based on open, high, low and close prices from the previous session. When these prices are averaged, they form Heiken Ashi candlesticks which can be used to analyse market movements. The colors of the Heiken Ashi candlesticks are determined by the relationship of the current open and close prices compared to the previous session's open and close price. If the current open price is greater than or equal to that of the previous session, then a green or blue candle will appear on your chart; conversely if the current open price is less than that of the previous session, then a red or yellow candle will appear. By using this information traders can make informed decisions about when to enter and exit positions in order to maximize profits. Heiken Ashi also helps reduce volatility in comparison with regular Japanese candlesticks as it takes into account both recent and historical information when plotting candles. This allows traders to see a clearer picture of what’s going on in their chosen markets without being overwhelmed by too much noise or irrelevant data points. Additionally, since Heiken Ashi plots values over time rather than simple one-time snapshots like traditional candlestick charts do, traders can use this information to better predict future trends in their chosen markets. Overall, Heiken Ashi is an incredibly useful tool for any trader who wants to accurately identify trends in their chosen markets and make more informed trading decisions based on real-time data analysis. By leveraging its capabilities traders can gain insight into market movements more quickly and accurately than ever before.
Benefits of Heiken Ashi
The Heiken Ashi charting technique is a valuable asset for traders of any skill level. It can help investors easily identify trends, smoothing out the price action to offer a clearer picture of the market. This strategy is especially useful in range-bound markets, where it can signal when trends are likely to change direction.
Heiken Ashi also assists in identifying potential entry points with greater accuracy by recognizing patterns earlier on. In volatile markets, this technique can be even more beneficial as it helps traders prepare for sudden price movements before they occur. By combining Heiken Ashi with other strategies such as Fibonacci retracements and Elliot Wave Theory, traders have a better chance at predicting market direction and making sound trading decisions for increased profits.
Overall, Heiken Ashi's ability to smooth out price action and recognize potential entry points gives investors an advantage in their chosen markets that unassisted candlestick charts cannot offer. With its multitude of benefits, traders of all levels may find this tool very advantageous when trying to achieve success in their investments and trades.
How to read Heiken Ashi Candlesticks?
Heiken Ashi candlesticks are constructed using open, high, low and close prices from the previous session. The colors of the Heiken Ashi candles indicate whether the current open and close prices are higher or lower than the previous session’s open and close price. Red/black Heiken Ashi candles indicate a bearish candle, while green/white Heiken Ashi candles indicate a bullish candle. If the red/black candle is followed by a green/white candle - this indicates an uptrend, while if the green/white candle is followed by a red/black one - it indicates a downtrend.
The Doji candlestick is another type of Heiken Ashi candle which occurs when the opening and closing prices of a session are equal to each other - this typically indicates some indecision in the market. When trading with Heiken Ashi, it is important to always be aware of support and resistance levels as they can help you identify potential entry points in your chosen markets. Support levels occur when there is enough buying pressure to push prices back up after they have dropped below them, while resistance levels occur when there is enough selling pressure to push prices back down after they have risen above them. A break of either support or resistance could signal an impending trend reversal, so traders should always pay attention to these levels when trading with Heiken Ashi.
Finally, traders should also be aware that false signals may appear on their charts due to lagging indicators like moving averages or oscillators; therefore it's important to use additional strategies such as Fibonacci retracements or Elliot Wave Theory in order to confirm any potential trade opportunities before entering them into your chosen markets. With this knowledge about how to read Heiken Ashi candlesticks combined with other strategies like Fibonacci retracements or Elliot Wave Theory, traders can make more informed decisions when trading with Heiken Ashi.
When to use Heiken Ashi?
When it comes to trading with Heiken Ashi, timing is key. The Heiken Ashi technique can be used to identify trends and trend reversals, allowing traders to make more informed decisions about when to enter or exit the markets. It is especially useful in volatile and ranging markets, where traditional analysis techniques may not provide enough information to accurately predict price movements.
Heiken Ashi candles can also help traders identify entry and exit points. By looking at the color of the candles, traders can determine whether a trend is likely to continue or reverse. For example, if the most recent candle is red, indicating a bearish trend, then this could signal an upcoming reversal in price. Similarly, a green candle indicates that the current bullish trend may continue for some time longer. However, it’s important to remember that Heiken Ashi signals should only be used as part of a larger trading strategy; they should not be relied upon alone as they do not always accurately indicate future market direction.
Many traders use additional indicators such as Fibonacci retracements or Elliot Wave Theory in combination with Heiken Ashi candles for even more accurate signals. When combined with other analysis techniques such as support and resistance levels or moving averages, Heiken Ashi can provide valuable insight into potential entry and exit points in any given market. Additionally, traders should pay attention to volume when using Heiken Ashi candles; if there is an unusually high volume on a particular day this could indicate that there are larger players at play who may influence future market direction.
Finally, it’s worth noting that although Heiken Ashi works on all timeframes from one minute up to monthly charts, it tends to be more accurate on longer timeframes such as daily or weekly charts due to its smoothing effect which reduces noise from shorter-term fluctuations in prices. Ultimately however which timeframe you choose depends on your personal trading preferences and goals; so experiment with different settings until you find something that works for your particular situation.
Tips for Trading with Heiken Ashi
Using Heiken Ashi in trading can be a great way to identify and take advantage of market trends. Here are some tips for using Heiken Ashi in trading:
Utilizing Trend Lines: Utilizing trend lines is an important part of trading with Heiken Ashi. When the candles begin to form a pattern, traders should draw trend lines to better understand the direction of the market. These trend lines can help traders identify potential entry and exit points, as well as any potential stops that need to be set.
Pay Attention To Color and Direction: Traders should pay close attention to changes in color and direction of the Heiken Ashi candles. When there is a change in color or direction, this could be an indication of a potential reversal or continuation of a trend.
Multiple Time Frames: Using multiple time frames can help traders get an overall picture of the trend they are looking at. For example, looking at both daily charts and hourly charts may give traders an idea of whether current trends will continue or if they have reached their peak.
Risk Management: Practice risk management when trading with Heiken Ashi. Risk management includes setting stop loss orders to protect against possible losses due to sudden price movements, utilizing proper position sizing according to your current account balance, and keeping emotions such as fear and greed out of your trading decisions.
Setting Stop Loss Orders: Setting stop loss orders can help protect against unexpected losses due to sudden price movements. By setting these orders ahead of time, it allows traders to minimize their losses if the trade does not work out as expected.
By following these tips for trading with Heiken Ashi, traders can use this technique effectively when making more informed decisions about their trades.
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Why Failure Is Key Of Success
Like anyone else on Earth, I’ve had successes (and failures) in years past, at both the personal and professional level. If you’re scoring at home, that’s called being a human being. I can probably make a case that failure is more important than success in many respects because you can’t really succeed unless you’ve truly inhaled your failures (own it!) and then exhaled them to improve your future approach.
There is no finality about failure, said Jawaharlal Nehru. Perhaps, that is why learning from failure is easier than learning from success, as success often appears to be the last step of the ladder. Possibilities of life, however, are endless and there are worlds beyond the stars-which is literally true. What appears as success in one moment may turn out to be a failure or even worse in the next moment.We often do not know what is failure and what is success ultimately.
Failure gives us the opportunity to bounce back, to learn from our mistakes, and helps us appreciate success.
Failure is therefore not the end, but only a stage in our journey. If it crosses our path and we know how to draw the necessary lessons from it, it even allows us to question ourselves when it's necessary and by doing so, it moves us forward.
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What Are The Different Types of Trends?
Trend trading strategies play a vital role in every trader’s life because it helps them identify early trades to exit from the market when there is a reverse trend. Typically, there are three different types of trends given below:
1. Uptrend
2. Downtrend
3. Sideways trend
Uptrend
An uptrend is formed when a price is rising in value. Usually, a bullish trend has a very common structure. The price keeps setting new higher highs, simultaneously setting new higher lows.
Downtrend
A trader can see a downtrend when the price is falling in value.
Usually, a bearish trend has a very common structure. The price keeps setting new lower lows, simultaneously setting new lower highs.
Sideways trend
The sideways trend is formed when the market remains static, i.e., the price neither sets new lows or new highs.
Trend identification is the essential part of any trading strategy. Learn to identify the market trend with objective and reliable rules.
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Market Capitalization and Price Volatility in CryptocurrenciesIntroduction
The cryptocurrency market has grown substantially in recent years, not just in terms of its size, but also in terms of its complexity and the variety of investment options available.
One of the key aspects that investors consider when evaluating potential investments is the market capitalization of a cryptocurrency, which is calculated by multiplying the total supply of the cryptocurrency by its current price.
Another important aspect is price volatility, which refers to the degree of variation in the price of a financial instrument over time. The relationship between these two factors - market capitalization and price volatility - forms the basis of this article.
Understanding Market Capitalization and Price Volatility
Market capitalization provides an indication of the size and scale of a cryptocurrency, and it is a useful measure for comparing different cryptocurrencies.
Larger market-cap cryptocurrencies, like Bitcoin and Ethereum, have established a significant presence in the market and are generally considered more stable.
On the other hand, smaller market cap cryptocurrencies, often referred to as 'altcoins', have the potential for high returns but come with a higher risk.
Price volatility, on the other hand, is a measure of price fluctuations over a given period. High volatility means that a cryptocurrency's price can change rapidly in a short time, making it possible for investors to experience significant gains or losses. Cryptocurrencies are generally more volatile than traditional fiat currencies, which means that the potential for gains or losses can be high.
The Correlation Between Market Capitalization and Price Volatility
Existing literature and market analysis suggests that there is a negative correlation between market capitalization and price volatility in cryptocurrencies, meaning that cryptocurrencies with larger market caps tend to have lower volatility and vice versa. This makes intuitive sense, as larger market cap cryptocurrencies have a wider user base and more liquidity, which helps stabilize their prices.
For instance, Bitcoin, which has the largest market cap, has relatively lower volatility compared to smaller market cap cryptocurrencies. This lower volatility is due to the fact that Bitcoin, being the most established cryptocurrency, has a wider distribution and a large number of holders, which helps in maintaining its price stability.
Conversely, smaller market cap cryptocurrencies are more susceptible to price swings, often driven by speculation and sentiment rather than fundamental value. These cryptocurrencies can exhibit high volatility, leading to potential for large gains, but also high risk.
Implications for Investors and the Market
Understanding the relationship between market capitalization and price volatility is crucial for investors in the cryptocurrency market. It can help them tailor their investment strategies based on their risk tolerance. For instance, risk-averse investors might opt for larger market cap cryptocurrencies due to their lower volatility, while risk-tolerant investors might be attracted to smaller market cap cryptocurrencies due to their potential for high returns.
Furthermore, this relationship has implications for the stability and maturity of the cryptocurrency market as a whole. As the market matures and more capital flows into it, it is likely that overall volatility will decrease, making cryptocurrencies a more viable asset class for traditional investors.
Conclusion
The relationship between market capitalization and price volatility in cryptocurrencies is a key dynamic that has important implications for investors and the market as a whole. As the market continues to evolve and mature, it will be interesting to observe how this relationship changes and what that means for the future of cryptocurrency investing.
Trade with care.
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TRADING ON THE WEEKLY CHARTToday we're going to talk about how to trade on the weekly timeframe. Trading on the weekly chart makes it clear that this trading strategy is for those who are patient, do not rush anywhere, and are willing to wait for signals for weeks or even months.
The idea behind the trading system
So, it is designed for those who have no hurry, or vice versa, for those who have very little time, and they can check the charts for a minute on weekends at most. Trades on this strategy are made once a week. It is possible to enter at the opening of the market, but the best entry will be on Monday morning; at this time prices are more attractive, and the entry time does not make any sharp moves in the weekly timeframe.
The strategy is very simple, and it is possible to trade "anything that moves", because the system is based on a simple and plain idea. We wait until the weekly chart shows three candlesticks in a row in the same direction, either bullish or bearish, and then we enter in the same direction. That's it. That's how easy it is. The fact is that this pattern of three consecutive weekly candlesticks in one direction shows that there are a large number of big traders buying or selling.
Because it takes a lot of money to move the price three weeks in a row in one direction, when that happens, it means that someone really needs the price to move. And this impulse attracts other participants into the market. Not necessarily a very strong trend is formed. But one can count on the continuation of the movement equal to the found formation from the opening of the first candle to the closing of the third one, without tails. It is often possible to see stronger movements. Once again, the idea is very simple: if we see three weekly candlesticks in a row in one direction, it means that there is a lot of money in the market, which pushes the price in this direction.
Strategy Rules
The basic rules you've probably already figured out are: we wait for three one-way candlesticks in a row, and then we enter on Monday morning in the same direction. The candlesticks must be obvious and clean; their bodies should be visible to the naked eye without zooming in on the chart. The doji with practically no body is not considered.
Moreover, if the candle's body is not visible on the distant chart and interrupts our formation, then we start the counting of three candles in a row again. In other words, it should be obvious even to a child who has won this week with the bulls or the bears.
A stop-loss should be placed right after the formation. It will not trigger very often because the strategy is very reliable, but sometimes it still happens. Take profit is set at a distance equal to the formation. As a result, it turns out that the stop-loss and take-profit ratios in the strategy are approximately 1 to 1. You can, of course, experiment with your own variations, but this approach is the most effective in terms of winrate.
If, after the signal is worked out, we see three candles in a row in the same direction again, it may be too risky to re-enter. It is more reliable if there is at least one opposite candle between two unidirectional signals that the market still needs to correct.
If the price missed taking profit just a bit and started to correct, you'd better exit. The profit may be somewhat smaller, but it will still be there. This method protects not only from losing profits but also from triggered stop-losses. Those who use classic price action can also monitor strong levels, and if the price hits one of them, they can exit with a smaller profit.
In case the opposite entry signal for this strategy was formed before our trade closed at take profit or stop loss, it is better not to argue with the market. Close the current trade and enter immediately on the new signal.
Money Management Strategy
Money management is very important in this system. The strategy uses large take and stop positions, so the lots should be small. Fortunately, small capital allows for competent money management even with a $100 deposit. The trade volume should not exceed 1% of the capital. For an exact calculation, it is better to use the lot calculator.
Examples of trades
On the weekly timeframe of the GBP, three bearish candles were formed in a row. We wait for Monday morning to enter; the quotes open with a gap, but taking into account the target take level of 382 pips, the order accuracy does not play a big role in the trade. After selling GBPUSD, set a take profit equal to the distance from Friday's closing price to the opening price of the first of the three candles of the pattern. We put a stop just above the upper tail of the first candle.
Despite the long fall, the quotes have not reached take-profit. This is exactly the case when it is worth going out and not waiting. As described above in the strategy rules, if a candle visually misses the take-profit mark, we exit the trade. The trader who left the short would have to close the trade with a loss due to the opposite signal. Three rising candles are a signal to close any opposite positions and open a long position in GBPUSD.
As we can see from the chart, the pound did not go up, and the trade was closed with a stop loss. The rules of the trading system do not override the principles of technical analysis, which can be seen in another example of using this strategy when trading gold. Three candles in a row, the first of which passed the minimum "body visibility" requirements, gave a buy signal. After one week of fall, quite far from the set take profit, a reversal pinbar is formed. In favor of fixing the position at the support level. The trader would have received a stop if he had not exited the position.
On the same chart later, the quotes again give a signal to go short, but in this case, the bears manage to break the support. On the next wave, the traders break through the suppport with momentum, and the price eventually reaches our take profit. Above are specially cited examples of complex cases; as the setups can be seen with the naked eye, you can find more simple examples on your own.
Conclusion
The strategy works flawlessly on the major currency pairs. Even on such volatile days. The weekly strategy is also suitable for very aggressive instruments, such as gold. Stop-losses, of course, will be knocked out a bit more often than on more "calm" instruments, but the trading system remains effective. In addition, it perfectly protects against a flat, as three unidirectional candles clearly indicate the end of the consolidation and the formation of a trend.
ACCOUNT SIZE AND ITS CORRELATION TO SUCSESSFUL TRADING The data presented does not clearly and consistently show a relationship between account size and trading success. Trading success is complex and influenced by a variety of elements, including trading strategy, risk management, market conditions, and psychological variables. While having a larger account may have certain benefits, such as the capacity to open more positions and use more sophisticated trading tools, the ability of a trader to succeed in the market ultimately rests on their abilities, discipline, and risk management.
According to certain studies, traders with smaller accounts may even have an advantage over those with larger balances. For instance, over a 4-year period, a study by the University of California discovered that traders with smaller accounts typically outperformed those with larger balances. According to the study, this might be because traders are more likely to take smaller positions when their accounts are smaller, which can assist traders manage risk and prevent significant losses.
Overall, while having a larger account may have some benefits, it's crucial to keep in mind that trading performance isn't solely a function of account size. Regardless of the size of the account, successful trading takes dedication, talent, and the capacity to adjust to shifting market conditions.
Lets speak generally now.
Generally speaking, having a large account can provide some advantages over trading with a small account, but it can also bring some challenges. Here are a few ways in which a large account can affect trading performance compared to a small account:
Advantages of a Large Account:
🔹Ability to take larger positions: With a larger account, traders can take larger positions in the market without having to risk a high percentage of their account on a single trade. This can allow for potentially greater profits, as well as the ability to diversify their portfolio across multiple positions.
🔹More flexibility in trading strategies: A larger account can provide more flexibility in terms of trading strategies that can be employed, including the ability to trade a wider range of instruments, and to use more advanced strategies like hedging and options trading.
🔹Access to better trading tools: Many trading platforms offer access to advanced trading tools, such as algorithmic trading and advanced charting, which can help traders make more informed decisions and execute trades more efficiently.
Challenges of a Large Account:
🔹Psychological pressure: With a larger account, the psychological pressure to perform and avoid losses can be higher, leading to potentially irrational decision-making.
🔹Liquidity limitations: Depending on the size of the account and the instruments being traded, it may be more difficult to find enough liquidity in the market to execute trades quickly and efficiently without impacting the price.
🔹Greater regulatory scrutiny: With larger accounts, there may be more regulatory requirements and oversight, which can add complexity and cost to the trading process.
Trading with a small account can present some unique challenges, but there are also some advantages to consider. Here are a few ways in which trading with a small account can affect trading performance:
Advantages of a Small Account:
🔹Lower risk: With a smaller account, traders have less capital at risk, which can make it easier to manage risk and avoid large losses. This can help traders to stay in the game and continue trading over the long term.
🔹Simplicity: Trading with a small account can simplify the trading process, as traders may be limited to a smaller number of positions or instruments. This can make it easier to focus on a few key trades and develop a clear trading strategy.
🔹Lower costs: Trading with a small account can help traders to keep costs low, as they may not have to pay as much in commissions or other fees. This can make it easier to achieve profitability over time.
Challenges of a Small Account:
🔹Limited capital: With a small account, traders may be limited in terms of the size of positions they can take, which can make it more difficult to generate significant profits.
🔹Limited flexibility: Trading with a small account can limit the types of trades that can be made, as some instruments may require a larger account size to trade.
🔹Psychological pressure: Despite the lower capital at risk, trading with a small account can still present psychological pressure, as traders may feel the need to make up for losses quickly or take on more risk than they should.
GOLD vs CRYPTOAre you an investor looking to make the best of your money? If so, you may be wondering if gold or cryptocurrency is the right investment for you. In this article, we will take a look at both gold and cryptocurrency and compare their pros and cons for investing. We will begin by defining and characterizing each asset, followed by examining the reasons to invest in them. Finally, we will provide a comparison of the pros and cons of investing in gold versus cryptocurrency, helping readers make an informed decision on which asset to invest in. So let’s get started!
Definition and Characteristics of GOLD
Gold is a precious metal with a yellow hue that is used for jewelry and coins. Its chemical element is Au (Aurum), and has an atomic number of 79. Gold is a soft metal, with a melting point of 1064.43 degrees Celsius, making it relatively easy to work with when crafting into jewelry or coins. It also has the distinct advantage of being chemically inert, meaning it resists corrosion and tarnishing over time, which allows it to retain its original beauty even after years of use.
The price of gold can be influenced by many factors, such as supply and demand in the market, as well as geopolitical events. For example, when there are wars or political unrest in certain regions of the world, investors tend to flock to gold as a safe haven asset which drives up the price due to high demand. Conversely, when markets are stable and economies are doing well, investors may prefer other assets such as stocks or bonds since they provide higher returns than gold does during these times. Furthermore, changes in technology can influence the price of gold; if there is an advancement that makes extracting gold easier or more efficient then this may result in lower prices for consumers due to increased supply.
In conclusion, gold has stood the test of time as one of the most valuable commodities on earth thanks to its characteristics such as its yellow hue, softness and resistance against corrosion and tarnishing. Additionally, its price can be influenced by various factors such as supply and demand in the market or geopolitical events. Investors should take all these factors into consideration before deciding whether or not to invest in gold.
Reasons to Invest in GOLD
Gold has been a reliable source of currency and value for centuries, making it a desirable option for those interested in diversifying their portfolios and protecting their wealth. With its intrinsically high liquidity, gold is also an excellent safe-haven asset that can provide stability in times of economic or political unrest. Additionally, gold often does well during periods of high inflation, providing investors with the means to safeguard themselves from financial losses in volatile markets.
Moreover, gold offers diversification benefits due to its low correlation with other assets such as stocks and bonds. This allows investors to spread out their risk across different types of investments while still maintaining strong returns on investments. The convenience to buy and sell gold quickly makes it an attractive asset for those seeking rapid access to cash without having to divest from other holdings first.
Furthermore, gold's accessibility makes it suitable for all kinds of investors regardless of budget size or experience level. There are many ways one can invest in gold including physical bullion coins, ETFs (exchange traded funds), or even owning stock in companies involved with mining or processing precious metals such as gold and silver. All these factors make investing in gold a viable choice for anyone looking for long-term portfolio growth and protection against market volatility.
Definition and Characteristics of CRYPTO
Cryptocurrency is a digital or virtual currency that is secured by cryptography, making it nearly impossible to counterfeit or double-spend. It uses decentralized control, with no central authority or government controlling it. Cryptocurrency transactions are secure and anonymous, making them attractive to investors who value privacy.
The most popular cryptocurrency is Bitcoin, created in 2009. Other cryptocurrencies use blockchain technology and are often referred to as altcoins. Blockchain technology provides a secure and transparent way of storing transaction records which cannot be modified or tampered with. Transactions are also processed quickly and securely due to the distributed ledger system used by many cryptocurrencies.
Cryptocurrencies have several unique characteristics that make them an attractive choice for investors. They are highly liquid assets as they can be bought, sold, and exchanged for other currencies at any time of day. They also have low transaction costs compared to traditional payment methods such as credit cards and bank transfers. Additionally, since cryptocurrencies are not tied to any country’s economic conditions or policies, they provide greater stability than fiat currencies can offer in times of economic unrest or political turmoil.
However, there are some drawbacks associated with investing in cryptocurrencies that should be taken into account before investing in them. Cryptocurrencies are highly volatile assets due to their speculative nature; prices can rise and fall sharply at any time without warning as traders attempt to profit from short-term price movements rather than long-term trends. Additionally, cryptocurrency exchanges do not offer the same level of consumer protection as traditional financial institutions; if you invest in a cryptocurrency exchange you should ensure it has sufficient security measures in place before entrusting it with your money. Finally, because of their pseudonymous nature – meaning users’ identities remain anonymous – cryptocurrencies can be used for illegal activities such as money laundering which could put off potential investors from entering the market altogether.
Reasons to Invest in CRYPTO
Cryptocurrency has become an increasingly sought-after investment option due to its unique properties. Decentralization of the network allows users complete control over their funds and transactions, making it more secure than traditional methods. Low transaction costs and fast processing times give cryptocurrencies an edge in terms of efficiency compared with other payments systems.
By investing in crypto, investors can diversify their portfolios and reduce the risk of market volatility associated with physical commodities like gold or silver. Moreover, depending on timing and individual decisions, cryptocurrency can offer high returns; many digital coins have seen huge gains due to their limited availability and strong demand.
Finally, there is potential for impressive capital appreciation in cryptocurrency due to its global acceptance and capacity for growth. Open markets around the world make price movements accessible at any given time - allowing savvy traders to capture profits from various markets if managed correctly. As a relatively new form of investment asset, those who choose to invest early are presented with greater opportunity for growth compared to other options available.
In summary, investing in cryptocurrency provides investors with a range of advantages that could lead to long-term portfolio growth or protection against inflationary risks. As such, it is important that all prospective investors conduct thorough research before committing funds into this asset class as there are both risks and rewards involved in this type of investment.
Comparative Pros and Cons of Investing in GOLD vs CRYPTO
Weighing up the pros and cons of investing in gold or cryptocurrency is a key factor to consider when it comes to making an informed decision on which asset type would best suit one's individual needs. Gold has traditionally been seen as a reliable source of currency and value, offering stability during times of economic or political unrest. Additionally, gold provides diversification benefits due to its low correlation with other assets while also having high liquidity and accessibility for all types of investors.
Conversely, crypto investments have become increasingly popular due to their unique properties such as decentralization of the network, low transaction costs, fast processing times, and potential for high returns. Investing in cryptocurrency can help diversify portfolios and reduce risk associated with market volatility; furthermore, crypto is not affected by inflationary pressures like gold is.
However, it's important to be aware that both gold and cryptocurrency have their own set of drawbacks that should be factored into any investment decision. For example, gold prices are more volatile than cryptocurrencies but also more stable over long periods of time; additionally, gold has higher liquidity than crypto meaning it’s easier to liquidate investments quickly if needed.
Ultimately investors should conduct thorough research into both asset types before deciding which will best meet their own personal goals when investing money. By being aware of the advantages and disadvantages outlined here they will be able to make an educated choice when selecting either gold or cryptocurrency as part of their portfolio.
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
❗️5 CRUCIAL TRADING CONCEPTS❗️
✅Forex trading can be an exciting and lucrative way to make money. However, it can be very challenging, even for seasoned traders. To be successful, it's essential to understand some essential concepts that can help you navigate the market and make more informed decisions.
✅One crucial concept to keep in mind is the impact of position sizing on trading success. Position sizing refers to the number of units you buy or sell when entering a trade. A lot of traders overlook the importance of proper position sizing, which can lead to significant losses. To increase the chances of success, traders should aim to limit their risk per trade to less than 2% of their account balance.
✅Another idea that can help traders is to focus on the outcome of their trades rather than their hit rate. Many traders believe that having a high hit rate is critical to success; this is not true. While accuracy is essential, profitability ultimately depends on the amount of money you make versus what you lose on each trade. Therefore, it's more crucial to focus on a trading strategy that controls losses and maximizes profits.
✅The third concept that successful traders implement is simplicity. Simple and robust systems tend to perform better than complex strategies. Overcomplicating a trading plan can lead to confusion and can even trigger emotional responses that may drive you to make impulsive decisions during trading.
✅This brings us to the fourth critical concept, which is psychology. Trading is 80% psychology, and the remaining 20% is skills and knowledge. A trader with the right mindset is much more likely to succeed than one who lacks the discipline to adhere to a trading plan.
✅Finally, traders who focus on learning one pattern or strategy tend to be more profitable than those who search for fancy strategies or systems. As the trading market constantly evolves, traders must always stay on their toes and keep learning. However, instead of trying to master everything, it is helpful to focus on a single pattern or strategy until it becomes your specialty.
✅In conclusion, Forex trading is a complex practice that requires patience, discipline, and the ability to adapt. With these five principles in mind, traders can become more successful, minimize risk, and increase their profits. By keeping things simple, controlling emotions, and making smart decisions about position sizing, traders can maximize their potential and achieve their financial goals.
I Hope you guys learned something new today✅
Wish you all Best Of Luck👍
😇And may the odds be always in your favor😇
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Ichimoku SwingHere a swing forms. The bearish engulfing pattern is followed by a doji harami pattern...there are other patterns but they are incomplete. The cloud helps time entries for late resistance. If the swing is reversing bearish, fill bearish under the engulfing swing -- on the bearish side of the cloud. Note: the lows are first order volatility, so omit them...the highs are second order volatility, so include them.
Trader ⚔️VS⚔️ Analyst !!!(Differences)Hi, everyone👋.
Do you like surfing or guiding surfers?
In this article, I will talk about how analysis differs from trading. A good analyst is not necessarily a good trader📉. Do you know what the point is❗️❓
The point is that analysts talk about all aspects, so they always tell the truth and explain what really happens on the market, but the traders ride the waves. Financial markets include high and low waves, so if a trader makes a mistake in measuring its depth, speed, and height may drown in the sea. If you are a trader, don’t be proud of yourself because the financial market sea is very cruel or a beast.
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There are four trading keys in financial markets:
Trading Strategy
Capital Management
Market Psychology
Trader Psychology
These keys are like four legs of a chair🪑 which should be sat on carefully and calmly. Although by removing one of the legs, it’s possible to sit on the chair, safety has to be considered.
I’ll explain all the trading keys in the market in other posts later, but for now, let me dig into the differences between Analysis📈 and Trading💰 .
What is considered in the analysis are the price targets in both rising🟢 and falling🔴 markets, the probability of its occurrence and non-occurrence, and the necessary conditions for both.
Considering the subtlety of an analyst's words and the mentality of the people studying - who are mainly looking for confirmation of their position - generally, the analyst will always be right unless he has declared only one direction decisively, which is not an analysis, but a signal and prediction.
Declaring an upward↗️ or downward↘️ trend in only one direction is not an analysis but a prediction. It’s noted that any prediction can be wrong. But in the comprehensive analysis of both sides, the necessary conditions for their occurrence and their probability are stated, so whatever happens, the analyst is right, and you will hear the famous saying "as predicted."
🔷 A successful trader can take the following steps:
Comprehensive analysis of the market situation in which he wants to trade:
The technical analysis must be prepared before opening a trade position. A wrong analysis does not always lead to a wrong trade, and vice versa, a correct analysis does not lead to a correct trade because you have to see whether the position trigger is activated or not.
Find useful trading strategies to achieve profitable trading:
A trading strategy can be a system that includes a combination of different indicators and oscillators, which can finally indicate the entry and exit points as well as profit and stop loss while trading. This system makes you behave like a robot; after understanding and analyzing the market, you’ll wait for the entry and exit points to appear. Trusting this trading strategy is one of the critical keys to successful trading.
All the points mentioned so far are related to the technical analysis aspects; otherwise, in the Fundamental field, a daily checklist of various factors affecting the market is needed, which is vital for Fundamental analysis.
Find your own timeframe:
Chart analysis and trading can be viewed from the 1-second time frame(short-term) to several years(long-term), but every trader should have his own time frame based on his trading strategy.
The time frame is important because:
The trading strategy should help traders find the entry and exit signals in the same time frame.
The Stop Loss(SL) should be determined based on entry points in the same time frame.
The time required to reach profitability is estimated based on the same time frame. You can't analyze on a daily time frame and expect to get a very good profit immediately after entering the position.
After determining the time frame and with the help of the trading strategy, the following tasks should be done.
Studying market analysis to identify market trends, the state of market movement waves, and daily, weekly, and monthly support and resistance zones.
Determining the Entry Points(EP) based on the strategy
Determining the Stop Loss(SL) based on the strategy
Determining the Take Profits(TP) based on the strategy
All the above must be done before entering the market, and the only thing done after entering the market is the last step—changing the exit point based on the variable stop loss to increase profit.
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🔷 Conclusion:
According to the explanations given, it can be understood that analysis and trading have a significant differences. It should be noted that every wrong analysis published on social networks does not indicate that the analyst does not trade well and vice versa. So, to profit from the financial markets, you must be trained in the first step. Become an analyst and then trade. For this, you have to go step by step, don't be greedy, don't rush, so that you can stay in the financial markets and earn profit every day until you get a continuous profit one day.
The Foundations of Real Estate InvestingIntroduction
Real estate investing has long been an attractive method of wealth creation for both individual and institutional investors. The allure of real estate as an investment vehicle stems from its ability to generate stable cash flow, provide tax benefits, and appreciate in value over time.
As such, understanding the basics of real estate investing is essential for those interested in building a robust, diversified investment portfolio. This article aims to provide an overview of the fundamental concepts and strategies associated with real estate investing, focusing on the various types of investments, sources of funding, and risk management techniques.
Types of Real Estate Investments
Residential Properties: These investments primarily include single-family homes, townhouses, condominiums, and multi-family properties. The primary source of income from residential properties is rent, which can offer a stable, long-term cash flow.
Commercial Properties: Commercial real estate encompasses a wide range of property types, such as office buildings, retail spaces, and warehouses. These investments typically involve longer lease terms, which can provide more consistent income and reduced vacancy risk.
Industrial Properties: This category consists of manufacturing facilities, distribution centers, and storage facilities. Industrial properties are characterized by their potential for higher yields and lower tenant turnover compared to other asset types.
Land: Investing in land involves purchasing undeveloped or underdeveloped property with the intention of holding or developing it for future profit. This strategy can be risky but offers substantial appreciation potential.
Sources of Funding
Personal Savings: Many real estate investors begin by utilizing their personal savings to fund their first investment. This strategy allows for greater control and flexibility, though it may limit the investor's ability to diversify their portfolio.
Bank Loans: Traditional bank loans are a common source of financing for real estate investors. These loans are typically secured by the property itself, and their terms and interest rates vary based on the borrower's creditworthiness and the property's potential for generating income.
Private Lenders: Private lenders, such as hard money lenders or individuals, can provide short-term financing for real estate investments. These loans often have higher interest rates and fees but can offer faster approval and funding than traditional bank loans.
Real Estate Crowdfunding: Crowdfunding platforms allow investors to pool their resources to invest in real estate projects. This method can provide access to a diverse range of investment opportunities and enables investors to participate in deals that may have been out of reach individually.
Risk Management Techniques
Diversification: Spreading investments across different property types, geographic locations, and tenant industries can help mitigate risks associated with market fluctuations, economic downturns, and property-specific issues.
Thorough Property Analysis: Conducting a comprehensive assessment of a property's location, condition, and potential for generating income is crucial for managing risks and making informed investment decisions.
Leverage Management: While leverage can amplify returns, it can also increase risk. Investors should carefully assess their ability to handle debt and maintain a sustainable debt-to-equity ratio to minimize the risk of default.
Exit Strategies: Having a clear exit strategy in place, such as selling the property, refinancing, or converting it to a different use, can help investors protect their investment and maximize returns.
Conclusion
Understanding the basics of real estate investing is vital for those seeking to participate in this potentially lucrative market. By familiarizing oneself with the various types of investments, sources of funding, and risk management techniques, investors can make more informed decisions and position themselves for success. As with any investment, conducting thorough research and seeking professional advice is essential for maximizing returns and minimizing risks. As real estate markets continue to evolve, investors must remain adaptable and flexible to capitalize on new opportunities and navigate challenges.
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How to catch the great trade entriesAfter the price falls below the contraction zone on the higher timeframe (4H in this case)
We look at the MCVF that I made; go to a lower timeframe (5m in this case)
The indicator finds contractions in momentum and tells you when price will reverse; almost right at the top;))
I linked the indicator below, make sure to give me a follow and a boost if you like the code + content that I make
TRADING OR A JOB? DEEP DIVE❗️
Are you torn between choosing a job and getting into trading? Both have their advantages and pitfalls, but by combining the two, you can reap the rewards of both worlds.
🚷Firstly, let's consider a traditional job. A job offers security, stability, and a predictable income. You work for a set number of hours, and you receive a paycheck. You have employer benefits such as healthcare, 401k matching, and paid time off.
On the downside, you are limited to your salary, which may not always reflect your hard work and dedication. You may feel stuck in your role as there are usually limited opportunities for career advancement. And if you lose your job, you lose that source of income.
💹Now let's consider trading. Trading offers the potential for uncapped income, flexibility, and the autonomy to make your decisions. You can trade anywhere with an internet connection, and there are many different markets to choose from, such as forex, stocks, and commodities. You have complete control over your financial destiny.
However, trading is not for everyone. It requires a lot of time, effort, and discipline to become successful. There are risks involved, and you can lose money if you do not know what you are doing. It can also be a lonely profession as you may be working alone most of the time.
💡Now, what if we combine the two? This is where the concept of "side hustles" comes into play. You can keep your job for the stability and security, but you can also trade on the side to increase your income and diversify your portfolio.
By trading on the side, you can use the abundance of time outside of your job to learn, practice, and implement trading strategies. Gradually, you may earn enough money from trading to eventually quit your job and become a full-time trader.
However, the combination of the two must be approached with caution. Trading can be time-consuming, and you do not want to sacrifice the quality of your work at your job. It is also essential to practice risk management and not invest money that you cannot afford to lose.
⚖️In conclusion, both a job and trading have their advantages and disadvantages. Combining the two is an excellent way to increase your income, diversify your portfolio, and potentially become a full-time trader. But proceeding with caution, discipline, and good money management is key to success. Remember, the goal is to build a better future for yourself, and with the right balance between a job and trading, you can achieve it.
Thanks for reading bro, you are the best☺️
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CONFLUENCE IN TRADINGHave you ever wondered what confluence in trading is? How can you combine several elements into one to increase your chances of making significant profits? Regardless of what type of trader you are or what your trading goals are, a confluence is always a great choice for many reasons, which we will discuss below in this post.
A definition of confluence in trading is the combination of more than one trading technique or analysis to increase the chances of winning a trade when you use multiple trading indicators that give the same "signal" as the best way to confirm the validity of a likely buy or sell signal. This applies to any situation where you see multiple trading signals lining up on a chart and signaling you to take a trade.
✳️ WHEN DOES THIS HAPPEN?
It occurs when several technical analysis methods give the same trading signal. Often, these are technical indicators. They can also, however, be combined with the following things:
Price action
Chart patterns
Indicators or oscillators
✳️ A BRIEF EXAMPLE OF CONFLUENCE IN TRADING
Suppose you use one technical analysis tool that provides 40% accuracy in predicting the correct price movement. In addition, you use a second, correlating technical analysis tool to better filter your decision. In this way, you increase your chances of making a profit. In this way, you use the concept of synthesis to find a trading setup using multiple technical analysis methods. Keep in mind that all of these analyses signal the same price direction. This can occur when support and resistance levels are closely related to expansion levels and Fibonacci retracements. The following things can also act as areas of interest:
Dynamic support and resistance levels such as
Moving average
Bollinger bands
Previous highs and lows
Psychological levels
When these levels follow each other, they form more significant resistance and support levels. All of these can be used as take profit levels or entry points.
✳️ FOUR METHODS OF PRICE ACTION FOR TRADING
The main four levels or areas in which a confluence can occur are as follows:
Resistance levels
Support levels
Fibonacci levels
Trend Lines
In short, price action confluence trading is a technical analysis method for observing. To trade on price action, it is important to have the ability to detect price "confluence" as soon as resistance levels, support levels, trend lines, Fibonacci lines, etc. bring the price to a confluence point. So, what are some of the most effective confluence trading strategies that every trader should know about?
✳️ BASIC STRATEGIES FOR CONFLUENCE
Here are some of the most valuable confluence strategies in trading that you can consider for your trading goals and objectives:
▶️ Market Structure (Support and Resistance)
Market structure is a collective reference to support and resistance. These areas in the market act as walls, especially ceilings and floors, that try to prevent price swings up and down.
▶️ Areas of supply and demand
Supply and demand areas are another useful example of trading. They represent a more prominent form of resistance and support and act as a solid barrier to price. In most cases, these are reversals or complete trend reversals.
▶️ Direction of the primary trend
One of the most favorable variables for this type of trade is the direction of the main trend.
▶️ Price action patterns
If you, as a Forex trader, know the different price action patterns, this will allow you to predict and assess the trend reversal. Keep in mind that this is a crucial variable in the confluence list in trading.
▶️ Candlestick Patterns
When it comes to candlestick patterns, it is important to understand that they are important as patterns of price action or even more. If you understand what price is doing and the fundamental philosophy behind the various candlesticks, you can gain an advantage over the market. Thus, this is one of the basic methods of the confluence trading strategy.
▶️ Trend Lines
The trend line and moving averages are also defined as "market structure." The reason for adding market structures to the list is the same as for adding trend lines and/or moving averages. Remember, the main reason for all of this is the underlying market structures, which are horizontal. However, they can also be diagonal in the form of a trend line or dynamic in the form of a moving average.
▶️ Price reversal zones with Fibonacci retracement
Fibonacci retracement zones represent the most important confluence of trading variables that traders should consider, especially when the trading structure has 61.8%, 50%, and 38.2% levels.
▶️ Price rejection
A price rejection indicates that the market is having difficulty breaking through one particular structure. In this case, the price is likely to rebound from the structure, while all price rejection candlesticks come in different shapes.
▶️ Indicators
Nevertheless, the list of confluence trading strategies is complemented by forex indicators, which are generalized graphical representations of past candle data. Traders mostly use these indicators to help themselves understand exactly what the market is doing.
✳️ How can you use confluence to place a good trade in forex?
Suppose you use price patterns formed by candles on your chart, and then you see a pattern that is a buy signal. You may have found that pattern confirmation and confluence may help you be right 70% of the time. Also, if you have tested and found that Fibonacci retracement levels can help you in the right context, you can expect the following.
If your price pattern signals to buy and coincides with a Fibonacci level, this is a great example of an "A" trade. All you can see are price patterns. You only overlay an indicator when you want to check for the right context around a price pattern. If you notice that the pullback level confluences with the pivot point you have been following, keep in mind that this is another form of confluence and that there are numerous other examples of confluences that result in great forex trades.
✳️ Some examples:
USD/CHF 1H
AUD/JPY 4H
UKOIL D
NZD/JPY 4H
GBP/AUD 4H
EUR/NZD 4H
🌀MOVING AVERAGE AND ITS TYPES🌀
❓Have you ever wondered what moving averages are and how they can benefit your financial decision-making? A moving average is a technical analysis tool that helps you visualize the trend of a particular stock, index or commodity over a specific period. It is calculated by adding together the closing prices of an asset for a certain number of periods and dividing them by that same number.
❗️Moving averages are used by traders and investors to identify trends and potential buying or selling opportunities in the market. There are various types of moving averages that one can use for their analysis.
🧿Simple Moving Average (SMA)
The simple moving average is the most common type of moving average, and it is calculated by adding together the closing prices of a particular asset over a specific period and dividing that sum by the number of periods. For example, if you are using a 10-day SMA, you would add together the closing prices over the last 10 days and divide by 10. SMA’s are easy to calculate and interpret, making them popular among traders.
🧿Exponential Moving Average (EMA)
EMA is another type of moving average that is widely used in technical analysis. It is similar to SMA, but it weighs recent prices more heavily than older prices, and as a result, it reacts more quickly to price changes. The EMA gives more importance to the most recent prices, making it more sensitive to market fluctuations. As a result, it is more useful in choppy and volatile markets.
🧿Weighted Moving Average (WMA)
A weighted moving average gives more weight to recent prices than older prices, similar to EMA, but it differs in terms of its calculation method. Each price is assigned a weight depending on its position in the data series. Unlike the exponential moving average, the weighted moving average is also more suitable for markets with low volatility.
🗝Final Thoughts
Moving averages provide a valuable tool for analyzing the market and identifying trends. While there are various types of moving averages, the choice of which one to use is entirely up to you based on your analysis and trading strategy. It is essential to remember that moving averages are just one of many technical indicators that traders use to make investment decisions.
I Hope you guys learned something new today✅
Wish you all Best Of Luck👍
😇And may the odds be always in your favor😇
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