GBP/AUD ShortGBP/AUD Short
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
Trading
UK100: Continuation watchToday's focus: UK100 Index
Pattern – Continuation Pattern
Support – 7629 - 7588
Resistance – 7720, 7916
Thanks for checking out today's update. Today, we have run over UK100, breaking down the overall price picture, levels, and patterns and incorporating moving average and RSI into the analysis.
The primary focus of today's look at the UK100 is the current uptrend, forming a new higher low in today's session. This continues to push the case for a new leg high from buyers. Resistance at 7720 is the first big test, and if we can see a new move up, this level needs to be cleared to break the current range.
If today's fightback from 7629 support fails, we could see a move that may try to retest the range base. We will be watching Price and mainly Buyers over the next several sessions to see if we get a breakout.
Good trading.
EUR/CAD Long, EUR/USD Long, GBP/AUD Short and GBP/NZD ShortEUR/CAD Long
• If price pushes down to and ideally just below our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back up followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get long with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If price simply impulses up, it does so in a convincing manner and a tight flag forms, then I'll again be looking to get long with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
EUR/USD Long
• If price pushes down to and ideally just below the lower trend line of our most recent piece of structure, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back up followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get long with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If price simply impulses up, it does so in a convincing manner and a tight flag forms, then I'll again be looking to get long with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
GBP/AUD Short
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
GBP/NZD Short
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
BRIEFING Week #39 : Something is Brewing, be Cautious !Here's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
Don't forget to hit the like/follow button if you feel like this post deserves it ;)
That's the best way to support me and help pushing this content to other users.
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Phil
EUR/CAD Long and SUGAR/USD ShortEUR/CAD Long
• If price pushes down to and ideally just below our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back up followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get long with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
SUGAR/USD Short
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above the upper trend line of our most recent piece of structure, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
GBP/AUD Short and GBP/NZD ShortGBP/AUD Short
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
GBP/NZD Short
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
GBP/USD Long, EUR/AUD Short and GBP/AUD ShortGBP/USD Long
• If price breaks below our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back up followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get long with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If price impulses up, it does so in a convincing manner and a tight flag forms, then I'll be looking to get long with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
EUR/AUD Short
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
GBP/AUD Short
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
USD Index: Breakdown before the FOMCToday's focus: USD Index
Pattern – Nill
Support – 105.00 - 104.45
Resistance – 105.10 - 105.55
Thanks for checking out today's update. Today, we have run over the USD Index, breaking down the overall price picture, levels, and patterns and incorporating moving average and RSI into the analysis.
The USD index sits in an interesting spot with the FOMC to come. Price still sits in its uptrend, and we saw a nice fightback yesterday from buyers after sellers were once again rejected below 105. price also looks to be losing some upward momentum, and the RSI is also warning us of this, with divergence forming on the RSI.
A lot could come down to the FOMC. If we see a hawkish tone, could we see a new move by buyers to test the 105.55 resistance? On the other hand, if it is more to the doveish side, the momentum warnings could come true, and we may see a new test lower by sellers.
Sorry that today's update is a touch this way or that way, but it looks like the market is waiting for some direction in the short term.
The fund's rate, projections and statement are due at 4:00 a.m. AEST Thursday morning.
Have a great day and good trading.
GBP/AUD ShortGBP/AUD Short
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
GBP/AUD ShortGBP/AUD Short
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value and it doesn't do so impulsively, then I'll be looking to get short with a risk entry either after a phase line break on either the one hour or the fifteen minute chart, or just below a one hour rejection from it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
BRIEFING Week #38 : ECB done, FED incoming !Here's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
Don't forget to hit the like/follow button if you feel like this post deserves it ;)
That's the best way to support me and help pushing this content to other users.
Kindly,
Phil
US2000: Thoughts and AnalysisToday's focus: US2000
Pattern – Descending Triangle Pattern
Support – 1840
Resistance – 1870
Thanks for checking out today’s update. Today, we have run over US2000, breaking down the overall price picture, levels, and patterns and incorporating moving average and RSI into the analysis.
The Russel isn’t a market I normally watch or trade, but the descending triangle pattern did catch my eye today. Overall price sits in a range, but it has broken a trend on the inside and set up a LH. These patterns are normally seen as bearish after a trend break, but support looks rather firm at this stage.
With the FOMC coming up later this week, watch out for a false breakout lower that closes higher. This could set up a higher breakout. If sellers continue to push at support, look for a solid close-through support with a new failed rally that sets a new weekly low.
It’s going to be interesting to see which side gets the win here.
Have a great day and good trading.
EUR/USD Short and USD/CAD ShortEUR/USD Short
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
USD/CAD Short
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
Advanced Analysis Of SPX500 Using Fibonacci, Channels, & MoreTo continue to expand your learning experiences and to see what I do in the background (trying to figure out advanced price theory and Fibonacci secrets), I created this video to share some of my work.
The idea is for you to watch and learn - trying to pick out what you see as valuable and possibly sparking some insights into advanced Technical Analysis concepts.
Fibonacci Price Theory is the basis for almost all of my work. But price channels, price action, cross-market analysis, and multi-timeframe analysis are all part of what I use to determine probable outcomes - and I'm still wrong sometimes.
I see trading/investing is "the attempt to use your best judgment to move probability onto your side related to trade actions." After you have reasonably attempted to use your best abilities to determine the "smart trade", the next stage is determining allocation (how much you want to trade).
Remember, the easiest way to accomplish this is to focus on your RISK levels. If you have a 3% risk on a trade, figure that risk level out as real dollars - then as yourself if you are comfortable risking that amount of money on the trade.
Again, this may be a bit more advanced than you are ready for, but I'm trying to build on the basics of trend channels, basic Fibonacci Price Theory, and more. The deeper you get, the deeper it goes.
Visit my profile to see all my videos and learn how I attempt to identify future price trends (I read the charts and see the data). Plus, I pay attention to historical price trends and cycles.
How you enjoy.
A Simple Method Of Evaluating Trade Setups For Everyone - PART IThis is a simple example of how anyone can attempt to understand price action, trade setups, and determine if the current trade setup is valid for any trading action.
Unless you have a trading system that helps you identify highly successful trade setups, most people struggle to find opportunities before they turn into breakout trends (up or down). Ideally, most traders want to get into trades before the big breakout, or breakdown, happens.
This video, part I of an extended series, will help you learn to use simple tools to identify qualified trade setups from invalid setups.
You can trade whatever you want. But remember, the trend is your friend, and learning to understand price theory, trends, channels, and support/resistance is all you need to make better decisions.
Watch this video to see if it helps you. Over the next few weeks, I'll create more videos highlighting simple techniques to help you become a better trader. I'll review dozens of charts and highlight what works and what doesn't.
Trading is a matter of managing risks while attempting to generate profits. This will be a great way for me to share my thoughts with all of you while trying to help you learn techniques to help you build solid skills.
Hope you enjoy this first video.
Learn To Trade Breakout/Flags More Efficiently - Part IIn my first tutorial, I tried to show how price channels can be used to identify and validate strong trade setups. Additionally, I attempted to show you how to identify better trade setups from what I consider invalid trade setups.
Understanding and maintaining at least a 2:1 Reward-to-risk factor for any trade you consider taking is essential. Secondly, it is essential to understand and use proper allocation levels for trades.
The simple way to understand allocation levels is to focus on the RISK amount. If your trade risks $5 per share and you can't afford to risk $500 on this trade, then you should NOT attempt to trade 100 shares of this stock.
Set your risk level based on how much you intend to risk for the trade - nothing more.
If you can only risk $250, then you would only trade 50 shares.
If you can only risk $125, then you would only trade 25 shares.
Learning to find and identify proper trade setups on Daily and Weekly charts is critical for success in the long run. I firmly believe price tells us everything we need to know about a chart, and indicators reflect price.
As you continue to learn some of the techniques I use in various price chart setups, I hope you can refine your techniques to become better traders.
I will likely create a PART II and PART III version of these types of advanced trade setups.
Hope you enjoy.
USD/CAD Long and GBP/NZD ShortUSD/CAD Long
• If price pushes down to and ideally just below our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back up followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get long with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
GBP/NZD Short
• If price corrects and a larger one hour flag forms, then I'll be looking to get short with a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
ETHUSD: Support bounce to start a new move higher? Today's focus: ETHUSD
Pattern – Divergence, demand bounce.
Support – 1538
Resistance – 1647
Thanks for checking out today’s update. Today, we have run over ETHUSD, breaking down the overall price picture, levels, and patterns and incorporating moving average and RSI into the analysis.
ETHUSD continues to build after sellers look to have formed a washout bar retesting support and demand seen at 1538. Since that test, we have seen buyers quickly jump back into the market, lifting price back up to resistance. We also can see divergence forming supporting the buying, but the pattern is not a classic example but still worth noting.
If we continue to follow a bullish line, we want to see buyers break resistance and test the main trendline. If we see a reaction lower, it is fine for it to move back into the previous resistance as long as we see a new higher low with firm buying. A move back to support is a worry, and a break of that level could set off a new push back down to 1422.
Have a great day and good trading.