USD
USDJPY: Thoughts and Analysis Today's focus: USDJPY
Pattern – HL Continuation
Support – 149 - 149.15
Resistance – 151.80 - 149.65
Hi, and thanks for checking out today's update. Today, we are looking at USDJPY on the daily chart.
Today's video asks if USDJPY has further to fall or if we will see buyers continue to find some support from 149- 149.15. For now, price continues to trade below the last fast trend, but we haven't seen a new move back to the next trendline.
Traders will watch this week's FOMC meeting minutes to see if it continues to guide the USD lower as previous data and Fed comments have done.
Good trading.
US Dollar analysisUS Dollar analysis.
The dollar gained sharply across the board after Powell’s comments. This exaggerated reaction in just goes to show you how dovish the FX market has been leaning in recent days.
Chair Powell joined the Fed’s pushback efforts.
Powell noted that while monetary policy was working in ways it should, some households and businesses are not feeling the impact of higher rates. Powell also said the Fed is trying to make a judgment about whether it needs to do more. This is basically what Powell said at his press conference on November 1.
U.S. economy remains fairly robust.
Data highlight will be preliminary November University of Michigan consumer sentiment. Headline is expected to remain steady at 63.8,
GBPUSD: Thoughts and AnalysisToday's focus: GBPUSD
Pattern – Continuation
Support – 1.2270
Resistance – 1.2390
Hi, and thanks for checking out today's update. Today, we are looking at the GBPUSD on the daily chart.
For now, we contnue to watch a continuation pattern that's currently developing. We have selected the G/$ as, in this case, the confirmation bar has yet to form, and it's a decent example of trying to forecast the bar based on the pattern we are watching.
We have listed what we are looking for in today's video to confirm the pattern and warning signs to look out for in case it fails.
The EURUSD also shows the same setup but is further along in terms of confirmation. This pair is also worth watching for a potential continuation.
Both pairs rely on USD momentum remaining bearish, and we have also covered the USDX quickly in today's video.
Good trading.
Dollar Index (DXY): Top-Down Analysis & Bearish Outlook 💰
Dollar Index reached a confluence point based on a recently broken
horizontal support and a trend line.
Approaching that the price formed a tiny double top pattern,
violated its neckline and a support of a rising wedge then.
We can anticipate a further decline.
Goals: 105.5 / 105.17
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Is The Cable Going Bearish Again...?On the 1 hour, we have seen how the market has danced back and forth in the past few days.
In our last analysis from yesterday, we noticed a strong threat by the bulls to invalidate our zone. The zone was finally invalidated and the bulls took over without giving us a chance to take the trade to the downside.
Following the bullish shift, we witnessed the market stay bullish for a very short term as it again u-turned bearish with the invalidation of our 1 hour zone and PB. It would be safe to say that the seeming bullishness was nothing but the market aiming to make a deeper retracement on the 4 hour timeframe.
THe 4 hour chart is still bearish and we expect prices to switch into the extension swing and stay so. With the 1 hour now aligning bearish with the 4 hour, we are confident the extension is here and that prices will ultimately begin to dip towards our liquidity target below.
We will look to catch this bearish trade and milk the market as it moves towards our target.
AUDUSD: Thoughts and Analysis pre-RBA Today's focus: AUDUSD
Pattern – Range /Distribution?
Support – .6287
Resistance – .6520
Hi, and thanks for checking out today's update. Today, we are looking at the AUDUSD on the daily chart.
Today, we have run over the AUDUSD as price continues to test resistance after Friday's fantastic rally after US employment data sunk the USD.
Technically price looks good. We have run over price action we want to see to show a continuation in the AUDUSD. Two factors are the USD strength and the RBA rate decision. Rates are expected to rise tomorrow, but will this be it, or will the door be left open? The USD momentum change is another key. If this trend continues, we will look for the AUDUSD to contnue its current trend. We do want to see a new higher low to show a solid trend structure.
Good trading.
USD Index: Thoughts and Analysis pre-NFP Today's focus: USDX
Pattern – Range /Distribution?
Support – 105.50 - 106
Resistance – 106.75 - 107.05
Hi, and thanks for checking out today's update. Today, we are looking at the USDX on the daily chart.
Today, we have run over the USDX as price continues to trade range-bound after a choppy week and mixed influences. The FOMC failed to boost the USD after rates remained on hold, and comments pushed it lower on fears we could contnue to see further holds.
With this in mind, we have started to look at the possibility of distribution creeping in. Could we see a new move lower to test or break support? Could a miss in today's NFP data add to the USD woes and contnue to push seller momentum in the short term?
Be wary; this could also be a consolidation, and if we did see a new move through resistance, this could set up a new bullish continuation and cancel out any ideas of distribution.
US Employment data is due at 8:30 a.m. EST today.
Good trading.
USDJPY: Thoughts and Analysis Today's focus: USDJPY
Pattern – Ascending Triangle Break (BoJ Intervention?)
Support – 149.28 - 148.43
Resistance – 149.90 - 150.16
Hi, and thanks for checking out today's update. Today, we are looking at the USDJPY on the daily chart.
Speculation continues as to whether we will see intervention from the BoJ as the USDJPY continues to trade above 150. Currently, the breakout of an ascending triangle pattern yesterday continues to confirm today as buyers continue the run above 149.90 resistance and 150.
Pricewise, things look firm on the buyer side, but will we see any surprises today with BoJ intervention? Last time price was above 150, we saw a 1.75% decline. Could another round be on the cards if prices contnue to push higher?
Good trading.
US500 - Detailed Video Analysis 📹 From Weekly To H4Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 Here is a detailed update top-down analysis for #US500.
Which scenario do you think is more likely to happen? and Why?
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good Luck!.
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
EURUSD, BEAR-Wedge Completed, BEAR-Market Ongoing, BEAR Waves!Hello There!
Welcome to my new analysis of EURUSD from several timeframe perspectives, on the current underlying market dynamics, and on what should be expected within the current market. There is a main primary indication, the massively spreading inflation within the EUR that is creating a huge inflation gap between the EUR and USD, and when such an inflation gap develops between two currencies this means the inflation gap in currency pairs in which the inflation is higher compared to the other pair is highly bearishly inclined.
From my chart perspective, this means that EURUSD has been in a continued bear-market since July 2023 forming several lower lows and already completing this gigantic bearish ascending wedge formation with the breakouts towards the downside accelerating the bearish momentum and confirming the 200-EMA as the most prevalent resistance factor. Now EURUSD is already continuing to form the bear flag below the 200-EMA which is simultaneously the wave B within the whole bearish wave-count.
Once the bear-flag formation has been completed in the near future with the inflation gap developments reaching further bearish inclinations this is going to activate the massive wave C acceleration. In this case, the first target will be the at pari level at 1 EURUSD, with a continued bearish momentum the next targets will be under pari at 0.98872 and below this at 0.977. Especially when the bearish momentum accelerates further with further smart money market operators increasing the bearishness the wave is going to continue.
The bearish market wave setup, confirmed by the enormous inflation rate gap, together with the bearish smart money operators to increase the short side open interest is so present that that the upcoming bear market wave will be inevitable. In this case, it will be important for a trader to position on the right side of the markets before all these major disruptions are actually set up. Nonetheless, it will be a highly important dynamic to consider here especially once the EURUSD has reached the target zones.
In this manner, thank you everybody for watching my analysis of EURUSD. Support from your side is greatly appreciated.
VP