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Wave Analysis

GOLD → Correction for accumulation of potentialFX:XAUUSD is growing during the week. The asset enjoys interest on the background of economic risks and dollar correction. After a small correction, the train may move north again Markets are watching the US-China trade talks, easing fears of a global trade war, as well as Trump's initiatives on the Middle East, weakening demand for the USD as a safe-haven asset. In addition, a rising yen is pressuring the USD, supporting gold. Investors' focus is on Friday's NFP data, which could influence the Fed's next steps. Attention is also paid to weekly jobless claims and Fed comments. The market is quite aggressive on any drastic action by Trump as this assessment is correlated relative to global risks Technically, the price is correcting to accumulate liquidity and potential for possible upside. Below are quite strong support areas that could push the price back. Support levels: 2845-2850, 2830 Resistance levels: 2860, 2872, 2882 As part of the correction in the uptrend, the price may test 0.5-0.7 Fibo as well as the previously broken resistance of the ascending channel. There are no technical and fundamental reasons to break the trend, the growth may continue after a false breakdown. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
22
Bitcoin Pullback or Trend Reversal? Key Levels to Watch!Bitcoin failed to Break the $107,000 Resistance as in the Previous post (the 7th attack failed ). Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT )is moving in the Resistance zone($100,520-$97,200) , near the Support lines , the 50_SMA(Daily) , and Monthly Pivot Point . This upward movement these few hours can be in the form of a pullback to 50_SMA(Daily) and Support lines (broken) . Of course, the worrisome point is the momentum of this upward movement . According to the theory of Elliott waves , this increase of these few hours can be in the form of the main wave 4 . The main wave 4 structure so far is a Zigzag correction(ABC/5-3-5) . I expect Bitcoin to once again attack the 100_SMA(Daily) and the Heavy Support zone($93,300-$90,500) . Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $102,926-$100,450 Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $92,570-$91,249 Note: If Bitcoin goes below $97,000, we should have more confidence that this analysis is correct. Note: If the CME Gap($102,580-$100,320) fills in this uptrend, we should expect another attack on the $107,000 resistance. Do you think the correction of Bitcoin continues, or should we wait for Bitcoin re-pumps in the coming hours? Please share your ideas in the comments. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
28
Gold's Uptrend Nearing Key Reversal Zone—Time to Sell?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) is creating a new All-Time High(ATH) during these few days; finally, how far can gold continue this upward trend? What do you think? Educational Note : From the point of view of Technical Analysis , when the asset is forming an All-Time High(ATH) and the previous history of the price is not around the price, the analysis becomes a little difficult, but we must be able to make the best use of the technical analysis tool. ---------------------------------------------------- Gold is entering the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . Also, Gold is facing a Series of Resistance lines that can stop its increase . From the point of view of Classical Technical Analysis , it seems that Gold is in the Ascending Broadening Wedge Pattern formation. Do you agree!? Educational Note : An Ascending Broadening Wedge is a bearish technical pattern characterized by higher highs and higher lows that expand over time. It signals increasing volatility and weakening bullish momentum, often leading to a breakdown below support. Traders watch for a confirmed breakdown as a short-selling opportunity. According to the theory of Elliott waves , Gold seems to be completing microwave 5 of the main wave 5 . Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks. I expect Gold to start falling after entering the PRZ and at least to the lower line of the wedge pattern and Support zone($2,800-$2,787) . Note: If Gold breaks the Resistance lines and goes above $2,873, we should expect Gold to increase further. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by pejman_zwin
15
Gold: Potential Reversal Zone - Selling Carries High RiskGold: Potential Reversal Zone - Selling Carries High Risk From our yesterday's analysis, GOLD moved only up. Overall it was without any strong reason and it has days that continue to perform in this way. Given that the current situation is not like 2 or 3 months ago in the Middle East and across all countries this strength is just strange. All websites are saying that the market is not clear about Trump decisions and that is why GOLD is growing. This is not a strong reason because we have seen Trump before leading the US and nothing happened. He makes a big mess but not real damage. It's very risky selling gold under these conditions. GOLD is very strong and in a strong bullish trend. I draw only a strong resistance zone where the price may react in order to make a correction today or a short-term bearish wave. You may use this as trading information on your side and take some profits if you have long positions or you may sell with a well-managed risk by your side. PS: Again is very risky to sell GOLD. I placed only some calculated zones that I think the price may react and show some weakness You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
FX:XAUUSD
by KlejdiCuni
9
OMUSDT → Consolidation in a triangle before the rallyBINANCE:OMUSDT is a paranormal coin in this case, as it is one of the few projects that shows bullish dynamics while all altcoins are finding bottom after bottom. Perhaps the situation partly depends on BINANCE:BTCUSD . If it starts to fall even deeper, nothing and no one will help here. But locally bitcoin is forming a resistance breakout and if the bulls hold this trend, the BINANCE:OMUSDT.P coin may have a bullish driver that can support the bullish movement. At the moment, the focus is on the triangle (wedge) resistance and the base of the 5.6756 pattern. Two bullish scenarios should be considered: Growth after a resistance breakout or growth after a false breakdown of support. Resistance levels: 5.9821, 6.30 Support levels: 5.75, 5.6756 At the moment, a consolidation within the triangle boundaries is being formed. But when the resistance is broken, the market may move to the realization phase and the impulse may be quite sharp. Ahead, beyond 6.3, there is no resistance... Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
12
Ethereum - We Will See This Breakout!Ethereum ( CRYPTO:ETHUSD ) is ready to catch up: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 For the past couple of months, Ethereum has been retesting the previous all time high resistance and was actually not able to break it. However, following the rising channel pattern, the bullish break and retest and price action, the breakout is about to happen. Levels to watch: $4.000 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
CRYPTO:ETHUSDLong
by basictradingtv
45
PEPE price trading plan🐸 The OKX:PEPEUSDT price is moving quite nicely between the dynamic fib levels on the chart. But given that in a few hours there will be an announcement of a “fresh” Fed rate (forecast of a decrease of -0.25%), the crypto market may be volatile!) Therefore, we highlight the critical level of $0.0000184 for the CRYPTOCAP:PEPE price, from where: 🐳 if the price is kept above - growth according to the blue scenario, at least to $0.0000332 💔 in case of failure and breakdown, a protracted corrective red scenario will be activated, somewhere to around $0.0000106 What do you prefer?)
by P_S_trade
8
The Moment We've Been Waiting Prime Opportunity on $TOSHIUSDA golden long opportunity has emerged as COINBASE:TOSHIUSD taps into a fresh daily demand zone, aligning perfectly with an M15 demand zone. This setup signals a high-probability bullish move from a key liquidity area. 🔥 Key Levels to Watch: ✅ M15 Demand Zone – Fresh liquidity, strong potential for an impulsive move. ✅ Daily Demand Zone – Higher time frame confluence for added confidence. ✅ H1 Demand Zone – For those who prefer extra confirmation, waiting for the H1 zone may provide additional confluence for a safer entry. With market momentum shifting, this could be the perfect time to enter a long position on $TOSHIUSD! 📈 Keep an eye on price action and manage your risk accordingly. #TOSHUSD #CryptoTrading #Forex #SupplyAndDemand #LongOpportunity #TechnicalAnalysis
COINBASE:TOSHIUSDLong
by theunscriptedacademy
5
GOLD → Price enters buying zone ahead of NonFarmsFX:XAUUSD resumes gains Friday after brief pause, retesting liquidity accumulation support, but traders cautious ahead of US NFP release NFP decline may support gold - if the actual NFP comes in below forecast (169K), it will reinforce expectations of an imminent Fed rate cut. Weaker labor market → pressure on the dollar → gold rises. Fed and policy: At 15:00, the Fed's monetary policy report will be released, which could clarify the regulator's future course. If signaling easing → gold up. If there will be hawkish notes → pressure on XAUUSD, but we should also take into account Trump's policy on economic risks Conclusion on XAUUSD: In the medium term there is every chance to reach $3,000, locally it all depends on the news: weak NFP and lack of wage growth could send gold above $2,900. If the data turns out to be strong → a downward correction is possible Resistance levels: 2870, 2882 Support levels: 2858, 2848 Technically, the focus is on the 2870 resistance. If the price can break this resistance and consolidate above, this maneuver will open the way to further upside. I do not rule out a retest of the channel boundary or 2858 before further upside. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
3
Weekly CLS, H4 OB nested in WOB, Model 2Technically, the Weekly CLS is still in play, though I must admit I'm not entirely confident with this idea at the moment. The chart looks clear, but what truly challenges me sticking to my trading plan is emotions and the external noise: ➡️The upward move was sharp. What if it reverses? ➡️I've already lost on this idea; I don't want to lose more. ➡️There’s Big GBP news today... what if that changes everything? ➡️NFP Tomorrow, what if I will be stuck in a position I do not want to be? These doubts are natural even experienced traders face them. You can’t eliminate any emotions. They still will be coming. But you can learn to recognize them and manage them. It will give you control and strength in your trading journey. Stay focused, stay disciplined, and let your strategy lead the way. Don't hesitate to comment with your thoughts and share your charts or questions below, I like any constructive discussion. What is CLS? is the smart money of all markets. This company aggregates capital from the biggest investment banks and central banks. Its daily volume is over 6.5 trillion. CLS operates in specific modes and times. By understanding their models, we get an unfair advantage against others with fantastic precision for your entries and mechanical definition of the targets. Follow me and pay attention to my model 1 and 2. It's the key to the markets. None of the strategies of the world has a 100%-win rate and I'm just a human. We make big profits, but sometimes we can miss something or make mistakes. Good luck and I hope this educational post helps you to become a better trader “Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own.” Dave Hunter ⚔
by Dave-Hunter
3
Gold XAUUSD Possible Move 06.02.2025Market Analysis: Incomplete Head and Shoulders Pattern with Breakout & Retest Strategy Pattern Identified: The chart presents an incomplete Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern, which suggests a potential reversal or continuation depending on price action at key levels. The neckline of the pattern aligns with the green support zone. Key Levels: Resistance Zone (Red Area - ~2,872): Price has tested this zone multiple times, making it a key level for a breakout. Support Zone (Green Areas - ~2,860 and ~2,844): These zones act as crucial demand areas, where price could either bounce or break lower. Possible Trade Scenarios: Bullish Breakout: If price breaks above the red resistance (~2,872) and successfully retests it as support, this would confirm a bullish continuation. Entry Signal: Buy after a confirmed retest with bullish momentum. Target: Next resistance levels around 2,884 - 2,890. Stop-Loss: Below the previous structure (~2,864). Bearish Breakdown: If price fails at resistance and breaks below the green support (~2,860), a bearish move is likely. Entry Signal: Sell after a successful retest of the broken support (~2,860) as new resistance. Target: Lower support zone around 2,844. Stop-Loss: Above the broken level (~2,868). Neutral Range-Bound Scenario: If price remains trapped between 2,860 and 2,872, traders should wait for a breakout before entering trades. Trade Signal (Based on Breakout Confirmation) Buy Signal: If price breaks and retests above 2,872, enter long with a target of 2,884+. Sell Signal: If price breaks and retests below 2,860, enter short with a target of 2,844. This strategy ensures safe trading by waiting for confirmation before taking positions. Kindly follow, comment, and like to show support.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Quinn901
2
Gbpusd 📉 GBP/USD Elliott Wave & ICT Analysis - Long-Term Bearish Outlook 🟢 Key Observations from the Chart: 1. Macro Structure: The pair completed a corrective B wave at 1.3050 before reversing sharply. Wave (1) of the new bearish cycle has likely been established, with support found at 1.2096. 2. Wave (2) in Progress: Price is currently in a relief rally, forming wave (2). Ideal retracement zone for wave (2) lies between 1.30 - 1.34, aligning with key liquidity zones & potential fair value gaps (FVG). A rejection from this zone will confirm the start of wave (3). 3. Projected Wave (3) Decline: Wave (3) should be the strongest leg downward, targeting 1.13 - 1.10 initially. Further breakdown may see sub-wave extensions reaching 1.00 and beyond. This aligns with major institutional liquidity resting below the parity level (1.00). 4. Wave (4) Retracement: A corrective pullback is expected after a strong wave (3) selloff. Potential lower high formation between 1.13 - 1.15 before resumption of the final selloff. 5. Final Wave (5) Drop: Ultimate bear target lies in the 0.95 - 0.92 region, marking the end of a full ABC cycle. ICT models suggest deep liquidity pools beneath 1.00, making a drop below this level highly probable. --- 📌 Trading Plan & Execution Strategy 💰 Short Entries: 🔹 Sell Limit: 1.30 - 1.34 (Wave 2 Completion Zone) 🔹 Stop Loss: Above 1.35 (Invalidation of Bearish Bias) 🔹 Take Profit 1 (TP1): 1.20 (Break of Structural Low) 🔹 Take Profit 2 (TP2): 1.13 (End of Wave 3) 🔹 Take Profit 3 (TP3): 1.00 (Liquidity Target) 🔹 Take Profit 4 (Final TP): 0.95 - 0.92 (Wave 5 Completion) ✅ ICT Confluence: Liquidity Pools: Sell-side liquidity below 1.20 & 1.00 Breaker Blocks & Order Blocks: Resistance zone at 1.30 - 1.34 FVG Gaps: Aligning with Elliott Wave wave (2) retracement targets --- 🎯 Summary: GBP/USD has entered a long-term bearish cycle after failing at 1.30 - 1.34 resistance. Expect wave (3) to deliver the strongest downside move, targeting 1.13 - 1.10 first. Final bear target sits below 1.00, where a multi-year cycle low could be formed. ICT & Elliott Wave align perfectly for a strong sell bias, making this a high-confidence short setup. 🚨 Bearish Confirmation: If price rejects 1.30 - 1.34 zone, expect strong sell momentum!
Short
by HuntingTraps
3
expanding leading diagonalThe past week has been a tumultuous and volatile week for bitcoin, with Trump imposing tariffs and then having a 30 days' tariffs reprieve for both Mexico and Canada. Who knows what is going to happen next ? I would label the volatile movement as a expanding leading diagonal. wave (1), with wave 5 overshooting the line from waves 1 and 3 and then retracing back 0.618 of wave (1) to form a (1)-(2) setup as depicted. Target price of 74K USD as mentioned in the previous post remains intact.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by brown_maverick
1
BTC -- Whats next ??Bitcoin has been on a wild ride lately, currently sitting around $96.5K. But if we zoom out and take a closer look at the charts, there’s a strong case for a pullback—possibly all the way down to $70K. Why? Well, let’s break it down. First off, Bitcoin made a rapid move from $70K to $90K without much resistance, creating a massive liquidity gap. In simple terms, that means there wasn’t enough trading activity in between to establish solid support levels. And what happens when there’s a liquidity gap? The market often comes back to “fill” it, meaning prices could revisit that zone before making their next big move. On top of that, I’ve developed an indicator based on wave trends that calculates price differences between key cross points. My latest calculation shows that the last cross happened on December 23, 2024, at a price of $93.5K. Historically, there’s been an average price difference of about $8.5K between these waves. My estimated cross points are 85.2K, 76.5K, and lastly 70K. These values are rounded, but the logic remains the same—the price will likely move in waves, oscillating up and down between these indicated points before deciding its next major direction. That said, if there’s a trend change, Bitcoin could push beyond 102.5K and move even higher. The previously mentioned three cross points aren’t something to fear; they’re just part of Bitcoin’s natural volatility. And let’s be real—volatility is the lifeblood of a trader. Without it, there’s no profit to be made. Those who buy Bitcoin at lower price ranges will naturally sell when the price moves higher to secure profits. Who can blame them? I’d do the same thing too. Now, this doesn’t mean Bitcoin is doomed or that it won’t recover. It just means that based on historical price action and liquidity gaps, a correction to $70K makes a lot of sense. Of course, crypto markets are notoriously unpredictable. While technical factors like liquidity gaps and wave trends point to a downside move, things like macroeconomic news, institutional demand, and unexpected hype could change the game in an instant. ( Micro - Strategy , USA - Greatest BTC HODL?? , Musk Factor ? , Regulatıon for Stable Coins :| ) So, what’s next? Keep an eye on those key levels—85.2K, 76.5K, and 70K. If Bitcoin dips into that zone, it might just be a golden buying opportunity before the next leg up. And if a trend shift happens, we might see it shoot past 102.5K. Stay sharp, stay informed, and trade wisely! ////////////// ### General Weekly Technical Analysis **Current Status:** Bitcoin is currently trading around $96.5K, showing some signs of uncertainty after a strong upward move. The market has been highly volatile, and traders are closely watching key levels to determine the next move. **Resistance Levels:** - **$100K-$102.5K:** A psychological and technical resistance level. If BTC breaks this range, it could confirm a strong bullish trend. - **$98.5K- GETTEX:97K :** Immediate resistance, as Bitcoin is struggling to maintain stability above this level. **Support Levels:** - **$85.2K:** A mid-level support where buyers might step in to slow a potential decline. - **$76.5K:** A key support zone where Bitcoin could find stronger demand. - **$70K:** A major support level, aligning with previous price movements and filling the liquidity gap left from earlier rapid price increases. **Indicator Status:** - **Moving Averages:** The shorter-term moving averages are showing some weakness, indicating a potential slowdown in momentum. However, the long-term moving averages remain bullish. - **RSI (Relative Strength Index):** Currently hovering around neutral levels, suggesting that Bitcoin is neither overbought nor oversold. - **MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):** A possible bearish crossover is forming, which could indicate short-term downside pressure. Bitcoin's current position suggests a make-or-break moment. If it can break above GETTEX:97K and push toward $100K-$102.5K, we could see a bullish continuation. However, failure to hold above current levels could lead to a test of the support zones at $85.2K, $76.5K, or even $70K. This is not a investment advice , we are saying only what we see in the chart with analytical mind , trade at your own disretion.
Short
by Oracle_Systems
1
PROM/USDTKey Level Zone: 4.550 - 4.600 HMT v5 detected. The setup looks promising, supported by a previous upward/downward trend with increasing volume and momentum, presenting an excellent reward-to-risk opportunity. HMT (High Momentum Trending): HMT is based on trend, momentum, volume, and market structure across multiple timeframes. It highlights setups with strong potential for upward movement and higher rewards. Whenever I spot a signal for my own trading, I’ll share it. Please note that conducting a comprehensive analysis on a single timeframe chart can be quite challenging and sometimes confusing. I appreciate your understanding of the effort involved. Important Note : Role of Key Levels: - These zones are critical for analyzing price trends. If the key level zone holds, the price may continue trending in the expected direction. However, momentum may increase or decrease based on subsequent patterns. - Breakouts: If the key level zone breaks, it signals a stop-out. For reversal traders, this presents an opportunity to consider switching direction, as the price often retests these zones, which may act as strong support-turned-resistance (or vice versa). My Trading Rules Risk Management - Maximum risk per trade: 2.5%. - Leverage: 5x. Exit Strategy Profit-Taking: - Sell at least 70% on the 3rd wave up (LTF Wave 5). - Typically, sell 50% during a high-volume spike. - Adjust stop-loss to breakeven once the trade achieves a 1.5:1 reward-to-risk ratio. - If the market shows signs of losing momentum or divergence, ill will exit at breakeven. The market is highly dynamic and constantly changing. HMT signals and target profit (TP) levels are based on the current price and movement, but market conditions can shift instantly, so it is crucial to remain adaptable and follow the market's movement. If you find this signal/analysis meaningful, kindly like and share it. Thank you for your support~ Sharing this with love! HMT v2.0: - Major update to the Momentum indicator - Reduced false signals from inaccurate momentum detection - New screener with improved accuracy and fewer signals HMT v3.0: - Added liquidity factor to enhance trend continuation - Improved potential for momentum-based plays - Increased winning probability by reducing entries during peaks HMT v3.1: - Enhanced entry confirmation for improved reward-to-risk ratios HMT v4.0: - Incorporated buying and selling pressure in lower timeframes to enhance the probability of trending moves while optimizing entry timing and scaling HMT v4.1: - Enhanced take-profit (TP) target by incorporating market structure analysis HMT v5 : Date: 23/01/2025 - Refined wave analysis for trending conditions - Incorporated lower timeframe (LTF) momentum to strengthen trend reliability - Re-aligned and re-balanced entry conditions for improved accuracy
Long
by Ren_MomentumTrader
1