How to trade at NFP? Usually, average hourly earnings don't print positive. I have seen very few times NFP and Hourly earnings published positive together in the last 13 years.
When companies hire more people, it's expected that they don't want to pay more and overtime. But, on the other side, companies don't recruit new people, and then they pay more overtime to their existing workers.
That's why most of the time, we see Either NFP prints post or hourly earnings.
Hourly earning is essential for the following CPI report. I mean, inflation reports are related to hourly earnings.
NFP is the main report; there is no doubt. But in some cases, hourly earnings and unemployment play a significant role than the NFP. Moreover, especially when central banks want to raise rates, in the meantime inflation is essential.
Central banks need more than 2% inflation to raise bank rates. In that case, hourly earnings are more important than NFP.
So, it is expected that NFP will print positively than the previous report today, and hourly earnings may not fulfill its forecast. But last CPI reports were positive, So, it won't be wrong as well.
What to do while you are trading NFP?
When central banks are not hiking bank rates market always follows NFP. Whatever the other's reports are. If NFP print is upbeat, we should buy the USD.
But keep in mind, though NFP reports are printed positive, hourly earnings and unemployment may drop.
It is essential to keep in mind always that the market follows NFP eventually, not initially.
So, if other reports print negative, The USD will become weak first. Then, after 5 minutes or 15 minutes, the USD will follow NFP from any swing area.
On the other hand, If other reports prints positive but NFP report prints negative. In that cases, the USD will spike to the upside, but ultimately it will drop.
Just keep in mind the situation that central banks are in rate-hiking mode or not. So give priority hourly earnings reports when the central banks are in rate-hiking mode. And usually, give priority NFP reports every time.
How To Handle Technically While Trading NFP?
If you want to handle the market at NFP, you should know swing trading and the uses of Fibonacci retracement and Fibonacci extension.
Use 5 minutes candle. For example, the market closed with 5 minutes bearish candle, NFP printed negative, and other reports printed positive. So, the USD will spike to the upside first.
So, if you are good at swing trade, you can sell from the swing area. Otherwise, you should use Fibonacci tools.
If the market closed with a bearish candle, that means it will correct to the upside nearly 50% fibo area. So, go short from fibo 50% area and use Fibonacci extension tolls to set your take profit area at 61.8%.
Just do opposite things if NFP prints positive and other reports prints negative.
Wave Analysis
5 YEAR BEAR MARKET AHEADMY Chart clearly show's that SPX just completed it's 5th wave expansion after major 4th wave which was ended on 2009
As per NEO wave analysis the ''TERMINAL 5 TH WAVE'' in S&P500 INDEX is ended this month after a spectacular Rally for 13 years.
Now the game has to change on the hands of BEARS for at least 5 years.
I invite any querries about my wave counts and timing.
B.selvam ,B.E,MBA,
ANALYST
✅ How to approach Trendline BreakoutsIt's a very simple strategy. It is more reliable the longer the timeframe.
1. Find a TREND LINE
2. Wait for the BREAKOUT
3. Buy while price is RETESTING the TrendLine
4. During LATERAL movements Keep in mind other indicatores such as RSI or other support lines.
5. Enjoy profits during the UPWARD movement (Take profits gradually during the upward move)
Why breakout never worksHello traders!
This is another educational post just to break your false perspective which will benefit you and it will also help you not to fall into the trap of uneducated traders.
I have seen traders who just make a trendline line and put a bullish arrow and say that after the breakout price will go to heaven but in reality breakouts never works and they are very far from reality.
If you buy a breakout blindly then there is only 1 out of 6 chance that you are correct. In other words, you will keep losing again and again with that strategy.
So why breakout never works?
The patterns that we see are illusions, they are not real but the market does react to the trendlines and patterns.
What I mean by the reaction is that after a breakout market forms different kinds of reactive patterns. These patterns help the market to move further up or they push the market back in the trendline and most of the time these pattern pushes the market back in the trend.
If you can figure out what pattern is formed after the breakout then you can predict easily that the breakout will work or it will fail.
Do your research and ask the questions.
Here is the tip: Selling on bullish breakouts is more effective than buying on bullish breakouts.
Gold Proven Trading strategy that will help to to achieve ..... Do you want to be a profitable and successful gold trader?
Know about the economic conditions in the USA.
Use Pure Price action.
Use your trading psychology.
As long you are good at a fundamental and technical chart, it will constantly develop your trading psychology.
Then use pure price action as I said in the video. if fundamental and analysis support help try to combine it \go
3 Wave Flat Patterns to Know and Understand📕📗📘In Elliott wave theory, a flat is a figure consisting of three waves, the ends of which are called ABC . This is a corrective pattern going against the trend. This pattern may look like a simple range that spends more time on sideways movement than on a real price increase. The pattern, as a rule, is a shallow pullback of the previous trend and can sometimes be a "flag" of the general flag pattern .
❗️In fact, there are 3 types of flat correction: regular (1), elongated (2) and launched (3). The name of the template by which you identify the correction is not as important as what it implies. In each of the above-mentioned corrections, lateral consolidation is implied, which will eventually resolve as a complete recovery of the model and continuation of the trend until entering the flat model.
📊Trying to define a plane Elliott wave , we are looking for several characteristics.
1.ABC-plane subwaves (regardless of the 3 types above) are divided into 3-3-5.
2.In the flat, look for the second wave or the "B" wave, which rolls back by 78-138% from the "A" wave.
📈The three waves on the plane ( ABC ) are divided into 3-3-5, which means that there are 3 sub-waves in leg "A", 3 sub-waves in leg "B" and 5 in leg "C". underwater waves in it. Since both branches "A" and "B" contain three subwaves each, this illustrates the struggle of the instrument to create a new trend against the previous trend. Consequently, prices eventually fluctuate sideways, eating up more time than prices.
📉When defining corrective patterns, one thing should be kept in mind: there will always be five sub-waves in the "C" legs (the only exception is triangles, since they contain only three sub-waves). Therefore, if you see a 5-wave movement preceded by several 3-wave movements, count in reverse order and see if the flat pattern works.
🚀Flats appear where any three-wave corrective movement can manifest itself. For example, you will find flats in the position of the 2nd or 4th wave of the pulse, in the wave "B" of the zigzag , in the waves W, Y, Z or X of the complex correction, or in the waves "A" of the wave of another flat. However, one corrective structure in which you won't find a flute is triangles. Triangles are constructed from zigzags or other triangles.
🍁As a result, their identification in real time may be difficult. Go to the next higher trend level to see what the larger structure might be, and use wave measurements to anticipate the end point of the pattern. Since they essentially form a range, range trading methods and risk levels are recommended for trading on them.
Elliott wave for beginners📓Back in 1930, Ralph Nelson Elliott decided to figure out how the market works. After a long analysis of the charts, Elliott made a discovery that still does not lose its relevance. Elliott was able to identify the "breath" of the market. This new method of graph analysis is called Elliott Wave Analysis . As it turned out, the theory of wave analysis can be used on all timeframes and assets.
🚀The basis of the analysis is the idea that the market moves by impulses and corrections. As Elliott noted, the trend movement consists of 5 waves - 3 impulsive and 2 corrective, after which a correlation of three waves against the trend begins.
❗️There are a couple of rules worth remembering when determining waves:
1. Wave 2 never recovers more than 100% of wave 1. Usually the recovery is from 50% to 61.8% of wave 1.
2. Wave 4 never recovers more than 100% from wave 3. It usually declines between 38.2% and 50% of wave 3.
3. Wave 3 always extends beyond the end of wave 1 and is never the shortest; Wave 3 usually expands by 161.8 x wave 1.
It is important to remember these rules in order to correctly identify the waves.
In order not to make a mistake or go ahead of time, it is worth looking for the end of the second wave and go to the third, since it is the strongest and will bring the most profit. Indicators such as: MACD, RSI can be used to accurately determine the wave.
📌There are a couple more observations that will help your profitable trading:
-If wave 3 is the longest wave, then wave 5 will be approximately equal to wave 1.
-Wave 2 and Wave 4 will alternate. If wave 2 represents a sharp correction, wave 4 represents a flat correction and vice versa.
-After the sequence of five Elliott waves is completed, the ABC corrective waves usually end near the bottom point of wave 4.
🏆In order to learn how to correctly identify waves, enter a position in time and exit it in time, you need experience, so follow the charts, analyze and eventually the profit will come to you. Good luck!
Technical Analysis. HOW to identify trend,support and resistanceTechnical analysis
Technical analysis is a way to predict the future price movement according to the price chart. The price takes everything into account - this is the main idea of technical analysis. This idea means that we only need to see the price chart to find out where it will go in the future.
The main tools of technical analysis are trend lines, support and resistance lines. So how do you find them on the chart?
Downtrend and Uptrend.
The price is always in motion and when the price shows each new high below the previous one and each new low below the previous one - we say that there is a downtrend now and to make it clearly visible, analysts connect the highs and lows with lines - this is how the downtrend lines are drawn.
To identify an uptrend, the same idea is used, only in a different direction - every time the price forms new highs above the previous ones and new lows above the previous ones, we say that there is an uptrend now.
Support and resistance
Combining the highs and lows, technical analysts noticed that the price is facing resistance on the one hand and support on the other. These zones prevent the price from going higher or lower, depending on the trend. It is very important to see these zones, because, as a rule, trade is conducted from them.
Also, there are frequent moments when support, after its penetration, becomes resistance.
Remember
It is important to remember that the trend, resistance and support lines are just zones and the price sometimes goes beyond the lines, but then comes back. The price will make false breakouts of resistance or support from time to time. This is normal and it should always be remembered.
It is important that the price rebounds from these zones at least twice, so that there are reasons to draw lines and identify the trend.
Profitable Result
Thanks to these simple methods of technical analysis, a trader can easily determine the trend and avoid stupid money losses, the method will also help in the correct setting of stop orders, which will make your trading more accurate and more profitable.
Trend is your friend, be able to find it.
Master's way to use Fibonacci ToolHello traders and dear followers!
I have not posted any idea since the start of this month but today I am back with a powerful strategy that will help your trading easy and the strategy is also very easy to apply. It works exactly as you have ever imagined/wished that God should give you.
1. A strategy that can predict the Target perfectly.
2. At the same time strategy should predict the next drop.
3. Plus strategy should also guide you through every up and down before reaching your target. LOL
We will only use the Fibonacci retracement tool and you can select Fibonacci tool from the Tool column on your left and it's inside the third option. To make it your favorite toll hit the star button.
In this strategy, you just have to find a chain of bullish candles. A chain should be of at least 3 or more continuous bullish candles and after that look for the first bearish candle and that's the first step.
Now look at the chart it's W1 btcusdt candlestick chart. If we see from 14-dec-2020 there is a set of 4 continuous bullish candles. Start the Fibonacci toll from the bottom of the bullish candle and put '0.618' Fibonacci level at the point where the first bearish candle is closed. Now Fibonacci '0' level is your target.
We can see BTC hit the Target and then drop. It's simple as that.
Let's move to the second example
The second example is the ethusdt D1 chart. In this chart, there are 2 examples. The first one has 4 continuous bullish candles and the second one has a set of 5 continuous bullish candles.
I started the Fibonacci Retracement tool from the start of bullish candles then set my Fibonacci '0.618' level at the point where the first bearish candle is closed and '0' is the Target.
We can see ETH has already achieved both targets.
In the first case of ETH it dropped after completing the target and the current one is still live means it is ready to drop soon.
You can use this tool in any timeframe.
At the beginning I gave 3 points and above you saw it complete target which was my first point and all dropped well after completing the target which was my second point and for the third point set these Fibonacci pairs the same way in any pair in 4hr or above timeframe than after that change the timeframe to 15/30/1hr timeframe and you will be amze to see how perfectly Fibonacci levels are respected.
If you want more just hit the like button and follow to stay connected.
You won't like this one BITCOINFor the die hard crypto fanatics; you won't like this idea one bit. This is coming from someone who was Bullish from 2011, so don't shoot it down without giving it a read either.
You might have seen the film: Wall street, money never sleeps?
Well, in this film Gekko shows a chart on the wall of his apartment;
This chart shows the Tulip Mania curve, it was insane - below, I have taken the story from Investopedia (word for word) and below each section I will edit it ever so slightly...
First - here's a little background.
What Was the Dutch Tulip Bulb Market Bubble?
The Dutch tulip bulb market bubble, also known as 'tulipmania' was one of the most famous market bubbles and crashes of all time. It occurred in Holland during the early to mid-1600s when speculation drove the value of tulip bulbs to extremes. At the height of the market, the rarest tulip bulbs traded for as much as six times the average person's annual salary.
Today, the tulipmania serves as a parable for the pitfalls that excessive greed and speculation can lead to.
Here's the chart up close;
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History of the Dutch Tulip Bulb Market’s Bubble
Tulips first appeared in Europe in the 16th century, arriving via the spice trading routes that lent a sense of exoticism to these imported flowers that looked like no other flower native to the continent. It is no surprise then that tulips became a luxury item destined for the gardens of the affluent: according to The Library of Economics and Liberty, "it was deemed a proof of bad taste in any man of fortune to be without a collection of tulips."
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The first ₿itcoin appeared on the internet circa 2009; becoming a luxury item to own, a symbol of hope and freedom. it seem to mirror the quote exactly "a proof of bad taste in any man of fortune to be without a ₿itcoin wallet".
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Following the affluent, the merchant middle classes of Dutch society (which did not exist in such developed form elsewhere in Europe at the time) sought to emulate their wealthier neighbors and, too, demanded tulips. Initially, it was a status item that was purchased for the very reason that it was expensive.
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The middle class want affluence and wealth and see Crypto as a way to make money the easy way - thus driving up price, of such a status item.
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Cycles
The market moves in cycles which can be broken down into waves, this can then be forecasted using tools such as Fibonacci to predict price in the future.
In Elliott wave principle; You have cycles that fit into time. While exact time spans may vary, the customary order of degrees is reflected in the following sequence:
Grand supercycle: multi-century
Supercycle: multi-decade (about 40–70 years)
Cycle: one year to several years, or even several decades under an Elliott Extension
Primary: a few months to two years
Intermediate: weeks to months
Minor: weeks
Minute: days
Minuette: hours
Subminuette: minutes
So we would have to count the current move as a Cycle on the current count and a primary cycle inside of that (Monthly & weekly in essence) as in theory we are still inside a 1 move of anything larger.
This is the current (perceived count);
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Back to the Tulips
According to Smithsonian Magazine, the Dutch learned that tulips could grow from seeds or buds that grew on the mother bulb. A bulb that grew from seed would take seven to 12 years before flowering, but a bulb itself could flower the very next year. So-called "broken bulbs" were a type of tulip with a striped, multicolored pattern rather than a single solid color that evolved from a mosaic virus strain. This variation was a catalyst causing a growing demand for rare, “broken bulb” tulips which is what ultimately led to the high market price.
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According to some technical guys, ₿itcoin can be mined and with enough equipment 1 full coin can flower over a year - due to the halving, which causes an increase in demand. It is driven to high market prices.
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In 1634, tulipmania swept through Holland. The Library of Economics and Liberty writes, "The rage among the Dutch to possess was so great that the ordinary industry of the country was neglected, and the population, even to its lowest dregs, embarked in the tulip trade.
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In 2021 ₿itcoin swept the world reaching as far as El Salvador. The rage amongst the Tweeter crowd was so great that, every man and his dog neglected common sense and even with stimulus money being used to embark on the ₿itcoin ladder.
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At this point; you probably hate this! I understand, majority of people only want opinions that mirror their own beliefs - trust me, I'm Bullish overall, I want a buy n hold strategy, but I cannot ignore factors out of my control. Regulation, Government stupidity and the world melting.
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Some simple logic.
Back in March I posted simple roadmap;
Inside the post (click the image above) you will see exact co-ordinates for the move and the current situation. See below;
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
So where next and why?
If we are seeing a monthly 3 being formed (cycle phase) then we will go into another decline. Collecting new found liquidity at the high.
And this making larger cycle 1 when it hits the 5th of this current cycle.
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Some more on Tulips
A single bulb could be worth as much as 4,000 or even 5,500 florins—since the 1630s florins were gold coins of uncertain weight and quality it is hard to make an accurate estimation of today's value in dollars, but Mackay does give us some points of reference: among other things, 4 tuns of beer cost 32 florins. That's around 1,008 gallons of beer, or 65 kegs of beer. A keg of Coors Light costs around $90, and so 4 tuns of beer ≈ $4,850 and 1 florin ≈ $150.4 That means that the best of tulips cost upwards of $750,000 in today's money (but with many bulbs trading in the $50,000 - $150,000 range). By 1636, the demand for the tulip trade was so large that regular marts for their sale were established on the Stock Exchange of Amsterdam, in Rotterdam, Haarlem, and other towns.
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A single ₿itcoin could be worth as much as $67,000 which is hard to make an accurate estimation as it could be as little as $8,200 if you buy on Binance (and you have fast reflexes) Depending on where you drink beer, depends on how you can compare this. In Norway you can pay upward of $9, whereas In Antananarivo you can buy a beer for 6 cent.
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It was at that time that professional traders ("stock jobbers") got in on the action, and everybody appeared to be making money simply by possessing some of these rare bulbs. Indeed, it seemed at the time that the price could only go up; that "the passion for tulips would last forever." People began buying tulips with leverage, using margined derivatives contracts to buy more than they could afford. But as quickly as it began, confidence was dashed. By the end of the year 1637, prices began to fall and never looked back.
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At the time ETF's become available, it seems like the price can only go up. This Bull run will last forever, people start using leverage to buy ₿itcoin. Then - maybe a correction sets in.
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Never happen I hear you say; I often get asked about Plan B and the model - which of course makes some sense. But people are only reading the words and not seeing the chart;
Firstly, what happens when you see yellow dots? we go orange, yellow - boom.
Ok and then secondary to that; look at the line straight across until mid 2024 >
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Play this move out - another I posted in March this year, the logic was there for what I would regard as a weekly 3-4 move up for 5 giving a monthly 3. As per the Elliott post above in the roadmap.
Here's the outcome;
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Tulip conclusions;
A large part of this rapid decline was driven by the fact that people had purchased bulbs on credit, hoping to repay their loans when they sold their bulbs for a profit. But once prices started their decline, holders were forced to liquidate—to sell their bulbs at any price and to declare bankruptcy in the process. Smithsonian Magazine indeed notes that "hundreds who, a few months previously had begun to doubt that there was such a thing as poverty in the land suddenly found themselves the possessors of a few bulbs, which nobody would buy," even at prices one-fourth of what they paid. By 1638, tulip bulb prices had returned to from whence they came.
---------------------------------
A large part of what will be seen as a shock horror, will be people thinking they have diamond hands until the wife finds out they have over leveraged a position that might not come back for (2 years) - unable to pay back loans on money borrowed to buy crypto. No poverty in the world, is of course the dream.
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The Bubble Bursts
By the end of 1637, the bubble had burst. Buyers announced they could not pay the high price previously agreed upon for bulbs and the market fell apart. While it was not a devastating occurrence for the nation's economy, it did undermine social expectations. The event destroyed relationships built on trust and people's willingness and ability to pay.
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Prior to 2024; people announced they could not afford to hold such positions and the game mostly passed to the wealthy who could buy when the blood is running in the streets. This destroying the trust and belief, re-affirming the "rich get richer and the poor, get REKT"
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Bullish or Bearish - I hope you enjoyed it.
I've been lucky, planted my bulbs and waiting for the to flower. If the price comes back right I'll add to the position.
Just be careful, use proper risk management and don't just buy the hype. Do some research for your own entries.
Disclaimer
This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principle trader has over 20 years’ experience in stocks, ETF’s, and Forex. Hence each trade setup might have different hold times, entry or exit conditions, and will vary from the post/idea shared here. You can use the information from this post to make your own trading plan for the instrument discussed. Trading carries a risk; a high percentage of retail traders lose money. Please keep this in mind when entering any trade. Stay safe.
Trading Chaos Part 5 | CorrectionsHello, everyone!
Last time we considered the Elliott waves 1-2-3-4-5 cycle. Today we are going to talk about correction types. Corrections contains of 3 waves A-B-C. Bill Williams recommends to trade only Simple Zigzag corrections, but we also should be able to distinguish other types of corrections. Let's go!
Simple Zigzag Correction
If you find that the corrective Wave A consists of 5 waves there is a high probability that current correction type is simple zigzag. If you decided to trade this correction, you should wait the Wave B end and execute the short trade. How to spot it's end? Find the target zone, usually it is between 50% and 62%, one of the three bars on the top should be the squat bar. Also you should find the fractal on the top.
Trading Chaos Part 4 | Elliott WavesHello, everyone!
Today we are going to spot the most important and challenging part of Trading Chaos by Bill Williams(BW) – the Elliott waves. This analysis is the most efficient in combination with other techniques of Trading Chaos. Market always moves with the waves and BW developed the conception which eliminate the uncertainty of Elliott Waves. In this article we will consider every wave and explain how to spot their target areas.
First of all we need to understand the 5 “magic bullets” which kill the trend. They are:
Divergence with the Oscillator
Target zone
The squat bar at the one of three top bars
Fractal at the top
Momentum change
Today we are goin to consider only the target zone. Other tools we will reveal in the next articles about Trading Chaos.
How to spot Wave 1 start?
Research the last wave from the previous trend. This should be wave 5 or c. This last wave have the typical structure of waves with less scale. You can use the technique for Wave 5 end defining to spot when trend is finished.
How to spot Wave 1 end?
Search the 5-waves structure inside the Wave 1. You also should spot the 5-th wave end. Use the 5 “magic bullets” which usually kill the trend.
SPX'S Elliot. What's ABC- WXY- WXYXXZ = Coffee Espresso shots !THE ONLY NOTICABLE DIFFERECNE IS THE CONNECTION WAVE "X" & "XX" IN WHICH THEY CAN
BE ANYTHIGN BUT AN EXPANDING TRIANGLE !!!
Double and Triple ZigZag Rules:
Double (DZ) and Triple (TZ) Zigzags are similar to Zigzags, and are typically two or three Zigzag patterns strung together with a joining Wave called an x Wave, and are corrective in nature. Doubles are not common, and Triples are rare. Zigzags, Double Zigzags and Triple Zigzags are also known as Zigzag family patterns, or 'Sharp' patterns. Double Zigzags are labeled w-x-y, while Triple Zigzags are labeled w-x-y-xx-z. Both these patterns are included in the list of rules and guidelines below. Only a Double Zigzag is illustrated below.
Wave W must be a Zigzag.
Wave C of W cannot be a failure.
Wave X can be any corrective pattern except an ET.
Wave X must be smaller than Wave W by price.
Wave X must retrace at least 20% of W by price.
The gross price movement of Wave X must be less then 3 times the price movement of Wave W.
Wave X must be no more than 5 times Wave W by time.
Wave Y must be a Zigzag
Wave Y must be greater than or equal to Wave X by price.
Back to back and double failures are not allowed.
Wave Y must be greater than 90% of Wave W by price, and Wave Y must be less than 5 times Wave W by price.
Wave Y must be no more than a factor of 5 times either Wave X or W in price or time.
Wave C of Y cannot be a failure.
Wave XX can be any corrective pattern except an ET.
Wave XX must be smaller than Wave Y by price.
Wave XX must retrace at least 20% of Y.
The gross price movement of Wave XX must be less than 3 times the gross movement of Wave W.
Wave Z must be a Zigzag
Wave Z must be greater than or equal to Wave XX by price.
Wave Z must be less than 5 times Wave Y by price, and must also be less than 5 times Wave W by price.
Wave Z must be no more than a 5 times either Waves XX, Y, X or W in both price and time.
Double and Triple ZigZag Guidelines:
The largest Wave in Wave W is usually less than Wave W by price.
Wave X is usually a Zigzag family pattern.
Wave X is usually less than 70% of Wave W by price.
Wave X will usually retrace at least 30% of Wave W.
Wave X is most likely to be a 38.2% retracement of Wave W.
Wave X is next most likely to be a 50% retracement of Wave W.
Wave X is next most likely to be a 61.8% retracement of Wave W.
The largest Wave in Wave X is usually less than 140% of Wave W by price.
The time taken by Wave X is usually between 61.8% and 161.8% of Wave 1.
Wave Y is next most likely to be equal to 61.8% or 161.8% of W by price.
Expect the time taken by Wave Y to be between 61.8% of Wave W and 161.8% of shortest of Wave W and X.
Wave XX is usually a Zigzag family pattern.
Wave XX is usually less than 70% of Wave Y by price.
Wave XX will usually retrace at least 30% of Wave Y.
Wave XX is most likely to be a 38.2% retracement of Wave Y.
Wave XX is next most likely to be a 50% retracement of Wave Y.
Wave XX is next most likely to be a 61.8% retracement of Wave Y.
The largest Wave within Wave XX is usually less than 140% of Wave Y by price.
Wave Z is most likely to be about equal to Wave Y by price.
Wave Z is next most likely to be about equal to 61.8% or 161.8% of Wave Y.
The largest Wave in Wave Z is usually less than Wave Y by price.
Learn To Identify The Variations Of PullbacksLast week, I spoke about the types of pullbacks (check related links)---Today, I will be talking about its variations.
Pullbacks have four variations: rbr, dbd, rbd, dbr.
You'll have to watch the video. . .learn its uses. . .and tell me what that has done to your view on the market.
Have a great week---everyone!
DIVERGENCE IS CONVERGENCE
✅There are several main ways to work on the stock exchange in trading. Technical analysis, for example, is recognized as effective and is used by almost all market participants. But the disputes about indicator analysis do not stop for a long time. Some traders talk about the backwardness of the method because trading operations are performed faster every day. Others build successful strategies based on one or more indicators. Still, others combine two methods to find successful market entries and get an effective tool for making money on the stock exchange. Divergence is often used for this, which will be discussed below.
🔴What is divergence
Divergence is one of the strongest signals that indicator analysis can demonstrate. To obtain it, one of the possible oscillators is used. The divergence conditions are that the curve of the price chart diverges from the indicator data. For example, with an uptrend, the price continues to move up, while the oscillator shows a decrease in the interest of the main participants of the trading system. In this case, we should expect a change in the direction of the price.
Such a change does not always mean a new trend. Sometimes it can be a normal correction or price fluctuation. To determine the exact forecast, the methods of technical analysis of divergence are used. The result largely depends on the timeframe, sometimes on the support and resistance levels.
⚠️There is also an opposite process — convergence when the price of an asset decreases, and the indicator shows growth. This process is called convergence. Both signals are used in the Forex market, but they are known collectively as "divergence".
There are bullish and bearish divergences in the Forex market. In addition, divergence is divided into three types:
1️⃣Classic divergence.
2️⃣Hidden divergence.
3️⃣Extended divergence.
❗️To successfully trade currency pairs on Forex, taking into account divergence, you need to learn how to correctly read information from the market. A combination of indicators and fundamentals of technical analysis will help in this. Divergence plays an important role, so its indicators cannot be ignored.
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✅Think like a Whale, act like a Whale! ✅In Crypto Space most of the Whales keep their value in BTC (900B marketcap) instead of USDT. (65B marketcap). There are significant exchanges from btc to large-scale projects such as XRP when these reach favorable relative values. Trading volumes are ridiculously higher in 2021, so we anticipate a big rise in the price of XRP over the next few weeks.
PS: Some people think that studing prices versus BTC is not important but, special if you are a swing trader, it is crucial.
How to measue targets in EW perspective; ''Wave 5''There are a lot of traders,
Contacting me with the question, how to identify the target of wave 5 after an 4 wave impulse wave structure.
Well, general rule, in which you can identify the wave 5 pattern target after completion wave 4 is following;
1. Measure wave 1 and use the lenght of the wave to identify your wave 5 target. Thus by starting at the end of wave 4.
2. Measure the 61.8% ratio of wave 2-3, apply the same rule as mentioned above. So the lenght of the 61.8% of wave 3, is your target at the end of wave 4.
3. Measure the 127.2% Fibonacci Retracement ratio of Wave 4. By connection the high of wave 3 with the low of wave 4.
--> Important NOTE: Some correctional Flat running waves intend to have a deeper A wave then C wave. So do not connect the retracement from the high of wave 3, to the low of wave A. By doing this, you will find inproper targets for wave 5.
Please rate this education chart, and if you want more to these, please let me know in the comments. Also other feedback is mostly welcome!