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BTCUSD trade ideas

BITCOIN → The price is getting ready to drop to 100K - 97KBINANCE:BTCUSD is facing strong resistance. The price is being pushed away from the 105-107K zone as much as possible, forming a defense conglomerate. But, this resistance cannot overshadow the global bullish situation yet A controversial situation is forming on H1-H4: a descending channel and a symmetrical triangle. And everything depends on what part of the market sees which figure. The primary reaction to the triangle support may be accompanied by a rebound, but based on the situation with the resistance, we can assume that the rebound from the triangle will not be deep and the price will try to go down. If we look at the descending channel, the price is held back from falling by the support at 101.600. Yes, technically, it is the support of 101.600 that plays the main role now. The main question is whether this level will hold the price or not. Fundamentally, the situation is debatable, as the situation mainly depends on America, on how Trump and officials will use rhetoric regarding cryptocurrencies. It could be a bubble, a scam to win an election, or empty talk. Or it could be an actual strategy Resistance levels: 103.4K, 105.8K Support levels: 101.6K, 99.6K Emphasis on 101.6. In the short term, I expect a breakdown and price consolidation below the level followed by a drop to 100-97K BUT! Since there is a symmetrical triangle on the chart, a false breakdown of 101.6 may lead to a small upward bounce before a further fall to 100K Regards R. Linda!
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by RLinda
62
Are You a Technical or Fundamental Trader? (And Why It Matters)Financial markets are a battleground of opposing forces: buyers vs. sellers, bulls vs. bears, diamond hands vs. paper hands. But one of the oldest rivalries in trading doesn’t involve price movements at all — it’s the ongoing feud between technical and fundamental traders. One side believes the charts hold all the secrets (you, maybe?), while the other insists that cold, hard data dictates market direction (you, maybe?). In this Idea, we break down the two and ask: which side are you on? 📈 The Chartists: The Lost Art of Tape Reading Technical traders are the wizards of the candlestick, seeing patterns where others see chaos. To them, a moving average isn’t just a squiggly line — it’s guidance. Fibonacci levels ? More sacred than grandma’s secret pie recipe. They don’t care if a company just launched the greatest product of the century — if the RSI says it’s overbought, they’re out. Technical analysis thrives on one simple principle: price action reflects all available information and hints at the next possible move. Instead of diving into earnings reports or economic data — the fundamental traders’ bread and butter — technical traders study past price movements, volume, and momentum indicators to predict the next leg up or down. They’re the ones glued to their TradingView charts, eyes darting between support and resistance levels, waiting for the perfect breakout. 💸 The Fundamentalists: Betting on Real-World Events Fundamental traders scoff at the idea that lines on a chart can predict the future. Instead, they dig into earnings reports , economic calendars , and all sorts of reports and data. They believe markets, like everything else in life, move based on value, supply and demand, and macroeconomic forces—not just on price action. To them, a stock isn’t just a ticker symbol; it’s a business with revenues, expenses, and growth prospects. If they’re trading forex , they’re looking at interest rates USINTR and inflation reports USCPI , not head-and-shoulders patterns. The goal? To determine an asset’s intrinsic value and bet on it going up or down, ideally running ahead of the pack. If a company’s earnings are strong, like Spotify’s SPOT latest earnings figures , they buy—regardless of what a stochastic oscillator says. And vice versa, if a company’s earnings are weak, like Google parent Alphabet’s GOOGL latest showing , they sell. 👉👈 Who’s Right? Both, depending on who you ask. Technical traders argue that prices move in patterns, and those patterns repeat. Fundamental traders counter that real-world events drive prices, and charts are just a delayed reflection of reality. The truth may actually be somewhere in the middle — markets are a mix of both. Even the most die-hard fundamentalist will glance at a chart before making a trade, and many technical traders keep an eye on economic calendars to avoid being blindsided by major news. 💡 Why It Matters Your trading style affects everything: the markets you trade, the tools you use, and even your level of stress. If you’re a fundamentals-first trader trying to scalp five-minute charts, you’re in a world of pain. Conversely, if you’re a technical trader attempting to hold trades for years without considering financial data, you might miss obvious warning signs. Understanding your own tendencies can help refine your strategy and improve your results. Are you more comfortable crunching numbers and reading financial statements? You might be in the same boat with other cash-flow guys like Warren Buffett and Ray Dalio. Do you prefer spotting patterns and reacting to price action? Say hello to your billionaire buddies Paul Tudor Jones and Stanley Druckenmiller. 💚 Final Thoughts Bottom line, trading isn’t about proving one method superior — it’s about making the right decisions, and, let’s be frank, turning a profit. Whether you’re a chart junkie or an earnings aficionado, what matters most is having a strategy that works for you. So now the big question… which side are you on? Fundamental analysis or technical analysis? Comment below and let’s see who’s who!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by TradingView
27
"BTC Entry for the Big Move" 1. Market Structure & Price Action The chart shows Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on a 15-minute timeframe, meaning each candlestick represents 15 minutes of price movement. • Uptrend Formation: o The market has been in a clear uptrend, characterized by higher highs and higher lows. o Multiple trendlines suggest that price was following a structured move upward before reaching resistance. • Current Price Behavior: o A pullback is happening. After a strong upward push, BTC is consolidating. o Short-term bearish movement is visible, with price testing lower support zones. ________________________________________ 2. Key Technical Levels Resistance Zones (Red Lines) • These levels are areas where sellers previously stepped in, halting upward movement. • If BTC pushes higher again, these zones will be the next major obstacles. Support Zones (Green Lines) • The green levels indicate price areas where buyers have historically shown interest. • BTC is testing these support areas now, and a reaction here could determine the next move. Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP - Blue Line) • This dynamic level acts as a moving support/resistance. • Price is currently hovering around it, meaning buyers and sellers are closely balanced. ________________________________________ 3. Highlighted Zones & What They Mean Volume Pocket (Gray Label) • This marks an area where a large amount of trading activity took place. • These pockets often act as magnetic zones, meaning price is attracted to them. • If BTC holds above it, it signals strong buyer interest; if it breaks below, it may indicate weakness. Consolidation Block (Blue Box) • This is a range where price is moving sideways. • When price enters a consolidation phase, it's gathering momentum before the next big move. • A breakout above means a continuation of the uptrend; a breakdown below could lead to a further drop. ________________________________________ 4. Trendlines & Price Projection • Dotted Green Uptrend Line: Shows the larger trend direction—if price respects this, we may see further upside. • Dotted White Lines: These mark smaller trends and breakout zones. • Dotted Red Line: Indicates recent short-term bearish pressure—price is struggling to break above this. ________________________________________ 5. What to Watch Next 1. Holding Support? o If BTC stays above the support and VWAP level, we could see a bullish move back toward resistance. o A strong bounce from this zone would confirm buyers are stepping in. 2. Breaking Below the Consolidation Block? o If BTC loses support, price may enter the consolidation block. o This could lead to a retest of lower levels, possibly near $97,000. 3. Volume Confirmation o If volume increases on a move upward, it strengthens the bullish case. o If BTC drops with rising volume, it signals sellers gaining control. ________________________________________ Final Takeaway BTC is at a critical decision point. Either: ✅ Bulls defend support, leading to a continuation of the uptrend. ❌ Bears push price lower, and BTC may enter a bigger consolidation or downtrend. This is a neutral-to-bullish setup, but confirmation is needed. _____________________________________________________________ Now that we’ve broken down the chart structure, let’s focus on potential trade setups based on different scenarios. 1. Bullish Trade Setup (If Support Holds) Entry Plan: • Ideal Entry Zone: $100,250 - $100,750 (Green Support Area & VWAP) • Confirmation: o A strong bounce with bullish candles. o Increasing volume on the upside move. o Breakout above the recent consolidation block (Blue Box). Take Profit (TP) Levels: • TP1: $101,390 - $101,500 (First resistance level) • TP2: $103,780 - $104,000 (Stronger resistance zone) • TP3: $106,100 - $106,470 (Major resistance & potential reversal area) Stop Loss (SL): • Below $100,250 (Invalidation level; if price breaks below, sellers take control). • A tight stop could be around $99,900, while a wider stop would be $99,500 for safety. Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR): • Aiming for at least a 1:2 or 1:3 RRR, meaning for every $1 risked, the target should be $2-$3 in return. ✅ Best Entry Signal: • Price bouncing off support with increasing volume. • A bullish engulfing candle appearing near VWAP. • Reclaiming the consolidation block (Blue Box) as support. ________________________________________ 2. Bearish Trade Setup (If Support Breaks) Entry Plan: • Entry below: $100,250 or after a clear breakdown from the consolidation block. • Confirmation: o Failure to reclaim the support zone. o Increasing selling volume. o Breakdown below trendlines, confirming downside pressure. Take Profit (TP) Levels: • TP1: $99,500 - $99,000 (First liquidity zone) • TP2: $97,000 (Consolidation Block mid-level) • TP3: $95,000 or lower (Stronger demand area) Stop Loss (SL): • Above $100,800 (Invalidation level; if price reclaims the lost support, it’s no longer a short setup). Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR): • Looking for a 1:2 or 1:3 ratio. • Better entry would be on a retest of the broken support, ensuring confirmation. ❌ Best Short Signal: • A strong rejection candle at resistance. • Breaking below VWAP with selling volume. • Lower highs forming, confirming bearish structure. ________________________________________ 3. Range-Bound Strategy (If BTC Stays Inside the Consolidation Block) • If price remains stuck in the blue box, you can play a scalping range strategy: o Buy near the bottom of the box (~$99,500-$100,250). o Sell near the top of the box (~$101,000-$101,500). o Use tight stops in case of a breakout. ________________________________________ Risk Management Tips ✔ Always use a stop loss to protect capital. ✔ Avoid chasing price—wait for confirmations. ✔ Adjust position size based on risk—never risk more than 1-2% of your total capital on a single trade. ✔ Volume analysis is key—strong volume confirms direction. ________________________________________ Final Thoughts • Bullish Scenario: Watch for support hold, volume increase, and a push above $101,000. • Bearish Scenario: Breakdown of $100,250 with selling volume could trigger a drop to GETTEX:97K or lower. • Neutral/Scalping Play: If price stays in the consolidation block, play the range. (I added a price of $99,566 in connection with the red trend line) This is a 15-minute timeframe idea, but be warned—this can be the most chaotic noise you’ll face. It can work for you or against you, but let’s be clear: if it fails and you’ve entered the trade, stay calm. The bigger picture remains—$117K is the true target, with $108,727 as the next key level.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by The_ForexX_Mindset
57
"The Master Pattern Framework" Smart Money Concepts (SMC) – Explained Simply Alright, let's break this down in a way that makes sense for everyone. We’re looking at how Smart Money moves price, where they buy, where they sell, and how we can trade alongside them instead of getting trapped. ________________________________________ 1. Accumulation – Where Smart Money is Buying 🟢 📍 Main Zone: $90,882 - $98,604 This is where Smart Money is loading up on buy orders at discounted prices. • What happens here? o They push price down to grab liquidity (stop losses from retail traders). o Once they trap enough sellers, they start pushing price up. o The key signal that Smart Money is in control is when price dips below $96,154 but quickly reclaims $97,667. 💡 How to trade it: ✅ Look to buy when price dips into this zone and quickly reverses up. ✅ Stop loss should go below $95,137 (where Smart Money may make one last grab). ✅ Target: $98,604 first, then $102,823 if momentum continues. 📌 If price drops all the way to $90,882, that’s another deep accumulation area—expect a strong bounce. ________________________________________ 2. Distribution – Where Smart Money is Selling 🔴 📍 Main Zone: $99,216 - $109,450 This is where Smart Money is unloading their buy positions and selling to late buyers (retail traders chasing the move up). • What happens here? o They push price up to make it look like a breakout. o Retail traders FOMO in, thinking price will keep rising. o Smart Money sells into their orders, causing price to stall and reverse. 💡 How to trade it: ✅ Look for price to spike above $102,767 and then reject strongly—that’s a sign Smart Money is selling. ✅ Stop loss should go above $109,450 (where Smart Money would fully exit before a major drop). ✅ Target: $99,216 first, then down to $96,154 if price collapses. 📌 If price consolidates inside this range for too long, it could mean Smart Money is preparing a bigger move. ________________________________________ 3. Consolidation Blocks – Where Smart Money Sets the Trap 🔵 📍 Marked as "Distribution Blocks" on the Chart This is where Smart Money holds price in a tight range to trap traders before the next big move. • What happens here? o Price moves sideways for a while. o Traders think it's a "safe" range and start placing breakout trades. o Smart Money suddenly spikes price up or down to trap them before reversing the real move. 💡 How to trade it: 📌 If price breaks out of consolidation, wait! It’s often a fake move before the real direction is revealed. 📌 Look for a liquidity grab (a spike above or below the range) and enter when price reverses back inside. ________________________________________ 4. The Forex Master Pattern Block – The Final Decision Zone 🔥 📍 Located around $106,959 This is a major decision level where Smart Money previously controlled the market. • What happens here? o If price breaks through it cleanly, it could mean continuation higher. o If price rejects hard here, it could be a major sell-off signal. 💡 How to trade it: 📌 If price reaches $106,959, watch closely—it’s a major battle zone for Smart Money. 📌 A rejection here could mean a sharp move down toward $102,823 or even lower. ________________________________________ 5. How to Trade Smart Money Moves (Step by Step) ✅ Long Trade Setup (Buy Smart Money Accumulation) 1️⃣ Wait for a dip below $96,154 and a quick recovery above $97,667. 2️⃣ Enter long (buy) when you see strong rejection or a bullish candle. 3️⃣ First target: $98,604, second target: $102,823. 4️⃣ Move stop loss to breakeven once price clears $99,216. ________________________________________ ✅ Short Trade Setup (Sell Smart Money Distribution) 1️⃣ Wait for price to spike above $102,767, then watch for rejection. 2️⃣ Enter short (sell) when price shows a strong wick or bearish engulfing candle. 3️⃣ First target: $99,216, second target: $96,154. 4️⃣ Move stop loss to breakeven once price drops below $99,216. 📌 If price reaches $106,959, pause—this could be a major turning point. ________________________________________ 6. What’s Smart Money Doing Right Now? ✅ Accumulation is happening near $96,154 - $98,604 → Smart Money is likely buying. ✅ Distribution is happening near $99,216 - $109,450 → Smart Money is likely selling. ✅ Consolidation means price is waiting for a breakout—watch for the trap! ✅ The Forex Master Pattern Block at $106,959 is the key decision point—big move coming. ________________________________________ Final Takeaway – How to Use This 🚀 If you’re bullish: Look for long entries near $96,154, confirm a breakout, and target $102,823+. 📉 If you’re bearish: Watch for a liquidity grab above $102,767, enter short on rejection, and target $96,154. ⚠️ If price reaches $106,959, be cautious—Smart Money will decide the next big move there. 📌 The goal is to follow Smart Money, not fight against them. If you see consolidation, liquidity grabs, and strong reversals, you know where they’re positioned. ________________________________________ This is how you trade like Smart Money, not against them. 🧠🔥
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by The_ForexX_Mindset
45
Probabilistic RealmI remember taking the CMT exam, where one question referenced the Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH), which asserts that price action is purely random. To avoid losing points, I had to select “random” as the correct answer, despite knowing that market behavior is far more structured than EMH suggests. Despite of passing I still won't ever agree that market is random. Prices are neither random nor deterministic. Market fluctuations follow a chaotic structure, but chaos is not the same as randomness. Chaos operates within underlying patterns and scaling, whereas randomness lacks any order or predictability. Although chaos makes predictions difficult, keep in mind that the universe is not random— effects still follow causes in continuity . No matter how chaotic a system may seem, it always follows a trajectory toward a certain point. For example, in Lorenz’s model of chaos, the trajectory formed a pattern resembling the wings of a butterfly. Understanding these patterns of chaos has practical applications. In the market, even a slight fluctuation can trigger irreversible changes, reinforcing the idea that we cannot rely on absolute forecasts— only probabilities . The market is not necessarily a reflection of the economy; rather, it reflects participants’ feelings about the “economy.” The human emotional component drives the uncertainty and chaos, making it essential to visualize price dynamics exclusively through "systematic" lens. Market Structure Is Self-Referential Markets move in proportion to their own size, not in fixed amounts. Price is arbitrary, but percentage is universal – A $10 move on Bitcoin at $100 is not the same as a $10 move at $100,000. Percentage metrics reflects this natural scaling and allows comparability across assets and timeframes – A 50% swing in 2011 holds similar structural significance to a 50% swing in 2024, despite price differences. Using log scale is a must in unified fractal analysis. Percentage swings quantify the intensity of collective emotions—fear, panic, euphoria—within market cycles. Since markets are driven by crowd psychology, percentage changes act as a unit of measurement for emotional extremes rather than just price fluctuations. After all it's the % that make people worry.. The magnitude of percentage swings encodes emotional energy, shaping the complexity of future market behavior. This means that larger past emotional extremes leave deeper imprints on market structure, influencing the trajectories future trends. The inverse relationship between liquidity and psychology of masses partially explains the market’s fractured movements leading to reversals. In bullish trends, abundant liquidity fosters structured price behavior, allowing trends to develop smoothly. In contrast, during bearish conditions, fear-driven liquidity contraction disrupts market stability, resulting in erratic price swings. This dynamic highlights how shifting sentiment can amplify price distortions, causing reactions that are often disproportionate to fundamental changes. PROBABILISTIC REALM Rather than viewing fluctuations as a sequence of independent events, price action unfolds as a probabilistic wave shaped by market emotions. Each oscillation (outcome) is relative to historical complexity, revealing the deep interconnectedness of the entire chart that embodies the “2-Polar Gravity of Prices.” Fibonacci numbers found in the Mandelbrot set emphasizes a concept of order in chaos. The golden ratio (Phi) acts as a universal constant, imposing order on what appears to be a chaotic. This maintains fractal coherence across all scales, proving that price movements do not follow arbitrary patterns but instead move relative to historic rhythm. The reason why I occasionally have been referring to concepts from Quantum Mechanics because it best illustrates the wave of probability and probabilistic realm of chaos in general. Particularly the Schrodinger's wave equation that shows probability distributions. Key intersections in Fibonacci-based structures function as "quantum" nodes, areas of market confluence where probability densities increase. These intersections act as attractors or (and) repellers, influencing price movement based on liquidity and market sentiment. Similar to Probability Distribution in QM. Intersections of Fibonacci channels reveal the superposition of real psychological levels, where collective market perception aligns with structural price dynamics. These points act as probabilistic zones where traders’ decisions converge, influencing reversals, breakouts, or trend continuations. Don’t expect an immediate reversal at a Fibonacci level—expect probability of reversal to increase with each crossing. To prove that Efficient Market Hypothesis is wrong about prices being random, I'd go back to a very distant past from current times. For example, price fell 93% from 2011 ATH, reversed and established 2013 ATH. Using a tool "Fibonacci Channels" to interconnect those 3 coordinates reveals that markets move within its fractal-based timing derived from direction. If prices were random, this would have never happened. The bottomline is that viewing current price relative to history is crucial because markets operate within a structured, evolving framework where proportions of past movements shape future probabilities. Price action is not isolated—it emerges from a continuous interaction between historical trends as phases of cycles, and liquidity shifts. By analyzing price within its full historical context , we can differentiate between temporary fluctuations and meaningful structural shifts justified by the fractal hierarchy. This approach helps identify whether price is expanding, contracting, or aligning with larger fractal cycles. Without referencing historical complexity, there is a risk misinterpreting patterns from regular TA, overreacting to short-term noise, and overlooking the deeper probabilistic structure that governs price behavior.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by fract
20
BITCOIN You can't get a more bullish symmetry than this.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) marginally breached its 1D MA100 (green trend-line) two days ago and immediately rebounded in a mirror price action like last year's bounce of January 23 2024. We analyzed this on our previous publication but what we bring you today is the amazing RSI based symmetry of the two fractals. The dominant long-term pattern remains a Channel Up and this is what will most likely guide BTC to the finish line and the Top of this Cycle. This pattern displays two (blue) Accumulation Channels, which is the formation we're currently at. In fact Bitcoin has most likely started the process of breaking above this Channel as the January 23 2024 1D MA100 bounce was the starting point of the Bullish Leg (green) that made a Higher High at the top of the long-term Channel Up. As mentioned, what's incredibly interesting is the 1D RSI symmetry between the two Accumulation Channels. As you can see on the current Accumulation Channel, the time between the 2nd RSI Lower High (blue circle) and 3rd (yellow circle) was 25 days and between the 3rd and 4th (red circle) was 32 days. The respective ranges on the previous Accumulation Channel were 25 and 34 days, which showcase a striking degree of symmetry. The Bullish Leg peaked on the 2.618 Fibonacci extension from the last High (red circle) and as a result, we can expect the new rally to follow an equally symmetric/ proportional rise and target the new 2.618 Fib at $145000. Can this be the case by March/ April 2025 or is it to soon? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
14
Bitcoin - An unexpected scenario that no one will tell u about!We all know about Bitcoin’s four-year cycle, and many compare the 2025 cycle to those of 2017 and 2021, analyzing common factors like the bull run and the massive price surges Bitcoin and altcoins experienced during those years. But let me ask you an important question: What if the bull run doesn’t happen in 2025 at all and this cycle extends until mid-2026? As you know, the traders who truly profit in financial markets are the ones who think like market makers. Does it seem logical to you that everyone expects a huge rally in 2025, and it actually happens just as anticipated? Of course not. 2025 will be a year filled with price volatility designed to exhaust portfolios, drain liquidity, and spread uncertainty among traders. We’ll see months where Bitcoin and altcoins surge parabolically, followed by months of brutal corrections, which will be less severe for Bitcoin but extremely painful for altcoins. This price behavior may persist until Q4 2025 -Q1 2026, at which point Bitcoin will likely trade between $130K and $140K. All the analysts will tell you that the cycle has ended and that you should completely exit the market. But in reality, that will be the true beginning of the bull run. Bitcoin will continue its uptrend, targeting $300K, aligning with the Cup & Handle pattern target. This level also corresponds to the 2.0 Fibonacci Retracement , reinforcing its significance as a major price objective. It will be a violent surge within a short period, with a maximum duration of two months. Most traders won't anticipate this move, and they will enter the market too late—right at the peak. That’s when the real bear market begins, trapping everyone in the market, just like in every previous cycle. Best regards Ceciliones🎯
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by ceciliones
36
Bitcoin: Price Bounce Back To 100K Area?Bitcoin has rejected the 105K AREA resistance (wrote about this for two weeks see previous). Risk for longs was very high in that area, if you bought, now you pay. The 100K support was cleared but there is some minor support around the mid to high 96Ks (see arrow). There may be a brief retrace from here back to the low 100Ks over the next day or two. IF the 95K area is cleared, the 90K support can be tested quickly. This is a very high momentum environment, the key to navigating this is paying more attention to the bigger picture and adjusting risk by sizing smaller. Knowing your environment is key to adjusting effectively. For example, in the recent weeks, price action on smaller time frames has been extreme, moving 500 points in less than a minute. While this may sound great on paper, the problem is getting caught in noise will be very expensive, since the whole point of working on smaller time frames is to utilize larger size. This is where zooming out and getting smaller with the plan of averaging into a position can help to better control risk while minimizing getting caught in noise. On the daily chart, pay attention to the levels and how price reacts on time frames like the 4 hour (swing trades). Notice the pin bar (arrow) off the 96K area recently. This serves as a point of reference for longs. A reversal candle or strong close on a smaller time frame like 4 hour or 1 hour can prompt you to take a smaller position with a much wider than usual stop (like 2 to 3K points). If Bitcoin fails, and price action stays bearish, you get stopped out but you never add to the position. You lose on small size. IF Bitcoin shows strength off this level instead you can justify an add, and aim for at least 2 to 3K profit objective (100K to 102K area). The point is you are adjusting your risk to the environment. If there is any skill to this game, it is knowing how to adjust your style, size, risk as the environment changes. The market gives the clues and that is the best source to acknowledge them from. Bitcoin has been in a consolidation since mid December with the 108K AREA being the high and the 90K AREA being the low. While the general trend is bullish, there are going to be numerous swing trade opportunities within the range, especially at the extremes. In ranging environments BOTH support and resistance levels can hold UNTIL the range eventually breaks. You are better off adjusting to the price action around the major and minor levels within this range rather than trying to forecast the breakout to 200K. Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by MarcPMarkets
12
White House Now Has a Crypto Working Group. Bullish or Bearish?President Donald Trump last week signed the White House’s first crypto-centric executive order after months of speculation and buzz, which led to a broad rise in crypto and a record for Bitcoin. The new directive outlines a bold plan to strengthen American leadership in digital financial technology . In Trump’s words, “make America the crypto capital of the world.” "The digital asset industry plays a crucial role in innovation and economic development in the United States, as well as our Nation's international leadership," the order's preamble states. It’s a 180-degree turn from the near-constant battering the crypto industry endured during President Biden’s administration. 🤝 Who’s on the team? The initiative will be headed by venture capitalist (and All-In podcast host) David Sacks, who Trump appointed as the White House crypto and artificial intelligence czar. It will also include the heads of the Treasury Department, Justice Department, and Securities and Exchange Commission, among other agency bosses. 📌 What’s on the agenda? While the order doesn’t go into much detail, it’s clear that its purpose is to pivot the US government to favor digital currencies . In the first 180 days of the group’s existence, the participants will need to hammer out an overall federal strategy for regulating crypto assets and stablecoins. The report will then be presented to President Trump. 📦 Anything on a Bitcoin strategic reserve? Bitcoin maxis were likely disappointed to see that there was no mention of Bitcoin BTCUSD in that order. Trump’s order didn’t announce the creation of a Bitcoin strategic reserve, which the President touted in the days leading up to the election (and then some more right after). Instead, the executive action only calls for studying the creation of a national stockpile of digital assets (more than just Bitcoin?), rather than whipping one up straight away. The US already has about $21 billion worth of mostly Bitcoin, but some other coins as well. 🚀 What’s next? The crypto working group now has 30 days to present its first report to the President. It will contain possible ways for the involved agencies to work together toward their goal of coming up with relevant pro-crypto policies. 👉 What do you think? Do you think this new group will move together for the benefit of the broader crypto industry? Or maybe serve their interests first before working for the common good? Share your thoughts in the comment section!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradingView
26
Bitcoin - This Cycle Is Pretty Clear!Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) is still 100% bullish: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 It is actually quite a surprise that we did not see new all time highs on Bitcoin for the past two months. However we had the same thing happening back in 2017 before Bitcoin actually finished the cycle with a parabolic blow off top. So we all know what is very likely to happen next. Levels to watch: $70.000, $300.000 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by basictradingtv
30
Bitcoin’s Incoming Bear Market!🚀 Bitcoin’s Bullish Phase: The Final Push Before the Fall? Bitcoin is currently in the parabolic uptrend phase of its halving cycle, with price action closely following historical patterns. Since the last halving on April 15, 2024, Bitcoin has mined approximately 42,480 blocks, pushing the market closer to the 70,000-block threshold where the trend historically reverses into a deep bear market. Based on historical patterns, Bitcoin’s next major bull market peak is expected around 150,000 USD, approximately 70,000 blocks post-halving (projected for August 2025). However, investors must prepare for what follows—a severe bear market fuelled by miner capitulation. 🔥The 70,000-Block Bearish Reversal: Why It Happens Every Cycle 1. The Mining Difficulty Trap & Rising Costs Bitcoin’s mining difficulty adjusts every 2,016 blocks (~2 weeks) to maintain the 10-minute block interval. As BTC price surges in the bull market, more miners join the network, driving competition and difficulty higher. This raises mining costs and squeezes profit margins, making it harder for smaller miners to stay afloat. ✅ Bull Market (~0-70,000 Blocks Post-Halving) High BTC prices offset increased difficulty, allowing miners to hold rather than sell. Low sell pressure from miners keeps Bitcoin in an uptrend. ❌ Bear Market (~70,000 Blocks Post-Halving) After BTC peaks, prices decline but difficulty remains high. Mining costs remain constant, while block rewards drop. Weaker miners can’t afford to mine at a loss and are forced to sell their BTC holdings to cover operational expenses. 2. The Snowball Effect: How Miner Capitulation Triggers a Crash Once inefficient miners begin selling, a chain reaction unfolds: 1️⃣ Bitcoin price starts declining after the cycle peak (~12-18 months post-halving). 2️⃣ Miners struggle to remain profitable due to high difficulty and lower block rewards. 3️⃣ Miners begin offloading BTC to cover expenses, increasing supply in the market. 4️⃣ More BTC supply leads to further price drops, triggering panic selling. 5️⃣ Additional miners shut down operations, selling off reserves, further flooding the market. 6️⃣ Capitulation accelerates, causing a cascading effect similar to leveraged liquidations seen in past bear markets. 🔄 This cycle repeats until enough miners exit, difficulty adjusts downward, and BTC stabilizes. 3. Historical Proof: How Miner Capitulation Has Marked Every Bear Market Each Bitcoin bear market aligns with major miner capitulation events. Here’s how past cycles have played out: 📌 2012 Halving: Bull top in late 2013, miner capitulation in 2014, BTC fell -80%. 📌 2016 Halving: Bull top in late 2017, miner capitulation in 2018, BTC fell -84%. 📌 2020 Halving: Bull top in late 2021, miner capitulation in 2022, BTC fell -78%. 📌 2024 Halving: Expected bull top in late 2025, miner capitulation likely in 2026?, BTC decline TBD but estimated to be around -60%. 🔹 In all cases, BTC topped ~70,000 blocks after the halving, followed by a deep drawdown driven by miner capitulation. 🔹 The selling pressure from miners perfectly aligns with the start of major market crashes. 4. The Accumulation Phase: What Follows the Crash? After miners capitulate and difficulty adjusts downward, Bitcoin enters a sideways accumulation phase (~140,000-210,000 blocks post-halving). Weaker miners have already exited, reducing sell pressure. Surviving miners adjust to lower rewards and stop mass selling BTC. Smart money (whales & institutions) begin accumulating at undervalued prices. The MVRV ratio drops below 1, signalling a market bottom. Bitcoin stabilizes, setting the stage for the next bull cycle. This predictable recovery cycle lays the groundwork for Bitcoin’s next exponential rally into the next halving period. The Bitcoin Bear Market Prediction for 2025-2026 ✅ Bitcoin is currently on track to peak near ~$150,000 around 70,000 blocks post-halving (August 2025). ✅ Following this, BTC is expected to enter its bear market, with prices potentially falling to ~$60,000 (by December 2026). ✅ The primary catalyst for this crash will be miner capitulation, just as it has been in every prior cycle. Final Thoughts If history repeats, the Bitcoin market is set to follow a sharp parabolic rise to ~$150,000 before undergoing a 70,000-block miner-driven selloff into a multi-month bear market. Investors should be aware of this pattern and plan accordingly. Sources & Data Validation The insights presented in this article are based on historical Bitcoin price cycles, on-chain analytics, and mining difficulty trends from various sources, including: Blockchain Data (Glassnode, CoinMetrics) Historical BTC Halving Data (Bitcoin Whitepaper, Blockchain Explorers) Market Analysis Reports (Messari, Arcane Research) Macroeconomic Influences (Federal Reserve Reports, Global Liquidity Cycles) Disclaimer: Not an Investment Recommendation This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. Bitcoin and cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Conduct your own research and consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Theperfectionist
9
BITCOIN → Down to $90,000. Downside risks are risingBINANCE:BTCUSD feels the change of mood and continues to form set-ups hinting at a possible continuation of the correction. Another retest of the 90K risk zone is possible. On the medium-term timeframe bitcoin failed to hold near ATH, in the upper consolidation range and entered the local selling zone, under the level of 99800. A negative note is felt in the cryptocurrency market, as well as a change in sentiment. Altcoins continue to break through bottom after bottom without any positive prospects. Bitcoin at this time is most likely resentful of the US governing apparatus due to the fact that no promises from Trump have been kept so far, and the price is moving into a protracted correction in the local perspective Briefly, here's what's going on: Expectations: Bitcoin reserve, cryptocurrency market support, transparent regulation, pumping the market ... Reality: new scam coins created before the US election that sucked all liquidity, market manipulation, trade war with almost every country on the planet, dumping the market into the abyss. Support levels: 95.8 (trigger), 91300, 90K Resistance levels: 100.2, 102.67 Technically, the situation is that bitcoin may continue its decline and test 90K again, from which the risks around 90K will grow. At the moment, the price is in consolidation between 95.8 - 100.2. A pre-breakdown consolidation is forming near the support, foreshadowing the support breakdown and further fall to 90K. But, due to the dependence of the asset before the actions of politicians in the U.S., the price may shake out to 100.2 before further falling Regards R. Linda!
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by RLinda
16
BITCOIN (15m)The price will rise to the trend line and then drop towards the support. This analysis is in the 15-minute time frame. Give me some energy !! ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard.💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by CobraVanguard
10
Bitcoin is Going Down, soonWhy would you risk your $ at this level? If you enter btc, there's no logic behind it, just emotions. Don't forget to check SPX/Nasdaq : expecting soon a strong down-move on those aswell. - On the other hand, you might play the borders of the wedge on Alts for 20-30% bounces : Fast Entry - Fast Exit. - Once this breaks below the wedge, we'll see a retest of the border, then going to 74-75k. => I expect top of the cycle 111-112k if we see one more move upwards, but don't risk on it. This is a classic Wyckoff Distribution scheme where shrimps are sucked with chaotic candles to don't understand what's happening, while whales unload their bags. Plan : At 75-76k on btc, I'll enter some strong Alts for a good bounce of 30-50%, then exit and stay out of the market till next good dump.
BITFINEX:BTCUSDShort
by Lucky-trader3
8
BTCUSD - Watching for a Pullback Before the Bounce?COINBASE:BTCUSD is retracing, and I’m keeping a close eye on the 98,500 - 99,200 zone. My expectation? A tap into this area, followed by a bounce back toward 102,000. Why I’m watching that particular zone is because it has provided relatively strong reactions before. So, if buyers step in again, we could see a potential reversal. 🎯My target is 102,000 – If we get a bounce, this is my first price of interest. It’s a realistic target, and how it behaves there will shape the next move. My plan: ⚡ Waiting for price to tap the zone – with patience. ⚡ Looking for bullish signs – Strong wicks, a shift in structure, or clear buying pressure would confirm the idea. ⚡ Watching 102,000 closely – If price reaches it, I’ll reassess whether it has strength to push even higher. I’m expecting Bitcoin to pull back into that zone before making its way back to 102,000. If it plays out as expected, this could be a clean move. ⚠️ This is how I see the support and resistance zones—not financial advice! Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by TrendDiva
10
BITCOIN's situation+next targets and expected movements.Bitcoin can reach above $100k tomorrow... Give me some energy !! ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard.💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ❗Disclaimer ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by CobraVanguard
3
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Breakdown: Bearish Trend Continues After UptreThis is a Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 1-hour chart Key Observations: 1. Uptrend Channel (Green Lines - Past Trend) Bitcoin was in an upward channel for several days, moving within parallel trendlines. The price was making higher highs and higher lows, indicating a bullish trend. 2. Breakdown of the Uptrend The price broke below the lower boundary of the green channel, signaling a bearish reversal. This suggests a shift from an uptrend to a downtrend. 3. Downtrend Confirmation (Red Arrow & Trendline) A steep downward trendline (red) has been drawn, showing continuous lower highs and lower lows. The red arrow suggests further bearish movement, possibly targeting lower price levels. 4. Economic Events (U.S. Flag Icons) The U.S. flag icons indicate upcoming economic events that could impact Bitcoin’s price. These events might be related to economic data releases (such as interest rates, employment reports, or CPI data), influencing market sentiment. 5. Current Price Action Bitcoin is trading at $99,648, down 0.98% at the time of the chart. The price is struggling to hold above $98,000, with a possibility of further declines if selling pressure continues. Conclusion: The bearish trend is dominant after breaking the previous uptr
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by FOREX_QUEEN_10
5
BITCOIN Reaches Critical Level - Will Bitcoin Sell Off?COINBASE:BTCUSD is reached a significant resistance zone, aligning with past price rejections and a strong supply area. This region has historically triggered strong selling pressure, making it a key level to watch. If price struggles to break higher and forms bearish signals—such as rejection wicks, a bearish engulfing candle, or a shift in order flow—a pullback toward $102,500 could follow. This would confirm sellers stepping in to defend the level. However, if BTC manages a strong breakout and holds above resistance, bullish momentum could extend further, invalidating the short setup. Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management! Please boost this post, every like and comment drives me to bring you more analyses! Best of luck , TrendDiva
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by TrendDiva
22
$BTC closes above the $97 support, WAR on crypto OFFICIALLY overCRYPTOCAP:BTC update before bedtime, plus a couple of thoughts that I didn’t fit into my last post. First of all, the GETTEX:97K seems to be holding strong. Perfect retest of that lower trendline, to the T. You can zoom in—I love this kind of thing, but I could be perverted in this aspect. Too much charting, perhaps. 💙 Now, if you zoomed in, look to the right where those horizontal red & green stripes are. That’s VRVP—they show how much trading has been done at each level. The bigger they are, the more trading. This means support. Lots of support at the current levels. But, if Bitcoin loses this level, the last serious support is expected at $94.5–$95K. Lose that, and we revisit $91K or worse, because the recent flash crash swept all liquidity down there. So, from the Market Maker’s perspective, it would make sense to use the panic and push prices to the mid-$80Ks. That would be some payday for Smart Money—and for all the exchanges. So, the $95K– GETTEX:97K zone is crucial. Prepare accordingly. And watch that DXY—it’s at 108 right now, so looking okay, but if it starts flying, we’re in trouble. RSI is right at key support as well. In other news, FTX will pay back $16 billion to customers mid-Feb. And February is a brilliant month for CRYPTOCAP:BTC , in case you’ve forgotten. And one more important headline that I consider a game-changer for this industry—read the tweet from Eric Balchunas. The war on crypto is OFFICIALLY over in the US. Stuff like this is what makes me bullish on crypto, no matter how bad the market sentiment is at this moment. 💙👽 I publish my stuff regularly on Binance SQUARE, more images are allowed there, and no cap on a number of posts/updates, unlike here. Check it out: app.binance.com/uni-qr/cpro/Square-Creator-52b223424?l=en&r=81770287&uc=app_square_share_link&us=copylink
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by ColdBloodedCharter
10