In US Treasury Auctions, the Bid to Cover ratio signals the strength of an auction. A higher ratio implies greater demand. As rate cut expectations and economic outlook evolves, so do the spreads across different maturities.
This paper provides US economic overview, resultant rate outlook, and divergence in auction demand across different...
While many of us celebrate the stock markets reaching new highs, central banks worldwide are actively purchasing gold, and institutions are hedging into treasuries and yields.
Interest rates are determined by the central banks whereas Yields are determined by the investors.
If you choose to lend or borrow money over a longer period, such as 10 or 30 years, you...
We have an inverted yield curve today - When the near end yields or interest rates is higher than the far end, we have an inverted yield.
What is its implication and any attributes?
To understand the implications of an inverted yield curve, it is crucial to know what a yield curve is and how it works.
A healthy yield curve –
It shows the relationship between...
Those who have been reading our past 2 ideas will know we’ve been harping on and on about expected rate path and policy timelines. Why the recent obsession you ask? Because we think we’re on the cusp of major turning points.
So, for the third time, let’s look at the market’s expected policy rate path.
With FOMC coming up this week, we are expecting a 25bps...
If you're trading this market right now you have to keep your eye on Interest Rates. Why? Interest Rates have the largest web in the market. They impact every market we trade (even crypto :) What rates are doing not only impact the markets we trade, they impact us in everyday life. In this video I go over the best way to trade interest rates and even if...
Not expecting interest on the 2-year note to tank, but will try to clip off a bit of the regression toward the mean. Entered at 1.082; ready to pull out on the first 4-hour green candle. A longer-term play could be SL at 1.093 and TP at 1.015.
There've been rumblings of a yield curve inversion. Will believe it when I see it, but won't be beneath shorting 2-year T-note interest tomorrow if it turns in a red 4-hour HA candle. On a 1.08 short entry, would look at a TP of 1.02 and a SL of 1.10. Stay tuned.
