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6E1! trade ideas

Volatility 19 May 22 Currency Futures Eur, Gbp Aud, Chf YenAUD Futures Futures 19 May 2022 Based on the HV measures from the last 5397 candles our expected volatility for today is around 0.96% However, in order to increase our accuracy I am going to use a 1.25x multiplier => 1.21% This is translated into a movement from the current opening point of 0.008 With this information our top and bottom , with close to 81% probability for today are going to be TOP 0.704 BOT 0.687 GBP Futures Futures 19 May 2022 Based on the HV measures from the last 5408 candles our expected volatility for today is around 0.78% However, in order to increase our accuracy I am going to use a 1.25x multiplier => 0.98% This is translated into a movement from the current opening point of 0.012 With this information our top and bottom , with close to 81% probability for today are going to be TOP 1.246 BOT 1.222 EUR Futures Futures 19 May 2022 Based on the HV measures from the last 5408 candles our expected volatility for today is around 0.65% However, in order to increase our accuracy I am going to use a 1.25x multiplier => 0.82% This is translated into a movement from the current opening point of 0.009 With this information our top and bottom , with close to 81% probability for today are going to be TOP 1.056 BOT 1.039 CHF Futures Futures 19 May 2022 Based on the HV measures from the last 5399 candles our expected volatility for today is around 0.58% However, in order to increase our accuracy I am going to use a 1.25x multiplier => 0.73% This is translated into a movement from the current opening point of 0.007 With this information our top and bottom , with close to 81% probability for today are going to be TOP 1.02 BOT 1.006 YEN Futures Futures 19 May 2022 Based on the HV measures from the last 5399 candles our expected volatility for today is around 0.75% However, in order to increase our accuracy I am going to use a 1.25x multiplier => 0.93% This is translated into a movement from the current opening point of 0.007 With this information our top and bottom , with close to 81% probability for today are going to be TOP 0.0078 + 0.008 BOT 0.0078 - 0.008
CME:6E1!
by exlux
Timing is everything! While the general direction for the US Fed and the ECB are similar, their timelines differ greatly! On the US Fed (USD) front, we are days away from the next FOMC meeting (4th May 2022) where market participants are expecting a 50 bps hike. On the ECB (EUR) front, the ECB is expected to taper its asset purchase program by early Q3, before it will consider any rate hikes. The difference in timelines of the Fed and ECB could provide some interesting hints on where the EURUSD is heading in the short term. With the Dollar being the first mover here, we expect strength in the dollar to drive the EURUSD lower over the short term before the ECB firms up its hike schedule. The EURUSD pair is also trading just below the 7- year support level. Zooming in on a shorter timeframe, we also spot a breakout and retest at this level, suggesting the move has begun. Entry at 1.08070, stop above 1.12080. Targets are 1.06760 and 1.03835. Disclaimer: The contents in this Idea are intended for information purpose only and do not constitute investment recommendation or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products or services. They serve as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate fundamental concepts in risk management under given market scenarios.
CME:6E1!Short
by inspirante
Bullish Divergence in Euro FuturesBasically the same idea that I posted last week about the Bearish Divergence in $DXY but more time has passed, and it looks even more pronounced in the Euro itself. Pick your poison: /6E, /M6E, EURUSD are all good Long candidates to play this idea. Another good option could be to short /SFX - which is the Small Exchange's US Dollar Futures contract. If you don't know about The Small Exchange, I'd highly recommend looking into their products. community.thesmallexchange.com
CME:6E1!Long
by InnerMotionTrading
Front running CPI on Thursday with analysis of strong CPIFeb 8th Techonomic Trading Strategies posted we were reversing our long position from a bounce off a multiyear trendline with anticipation of strong resistance holding with a hot CPI. Not only did we get it right, then Fed Gov. Bullard made comments of a 50-basis point hike in March and with the addition of possible Russian invasion of Ukraine this week in the news seemed to put wind to our back for this trade. We've held our position through the weekend an expect the yearly lows to be tested with-in the coming weeks. Techonomic Trading Strategies, 90% Technical Analysis with 10% Fundamental Analysis. Trading made simple.
CME:6EH2022Short
by ctrade-77