SPY to pullback AFTER bullish Thursday Friday Gap Fill TargetI was initially skeptical of the bearish case because we were able to stand strong against the Moody's downgrade, but I guess all good things come to an end, at least temporarily, especially with the bond yields spiking higher today.
I drew a channel off the downtrend and I think it is pretty wide, so I would expect us to follow it at least for the next week, obviously if we break to the upside then you can probably put the bearish concerns to rest, but until then with the lower low I think we are decidedly bearish for now, especially if we make a lower high to end the week (pretty likely)
I wouldn't pile into puts just yet, as that is what the greedy retail trader is doing, and we all know how that works, also seasonally the Thursday Friday leading into memorial day are usually bullish, combined with Bitcoin making new highs, I think we will actually have relatively neutral to bullish price action to close the week.
The Tuesday-Thursday after memorial day are seasonally a bit more bearish, so I think that is where we will see a surprise sell-off and possible fill of that huge bar around the 5720 area.
There is a lot of price action between 5600 and 5700 so I think the support there will be strong, this is only a pullback and I am still bullish long term.
Good Luck and Happy Trading.
