Sideways to higherThe expectation for Tuesday in the S&P 500 is sideways to higher. However, be cautious on the long side as a potential double top could be forming.01:39by DanGramza223
Nasdaq, DJ and SP500 selling has startedIn my opinion today the market shifted from buying to selling. The shift was mostly obvious in DJ30 but I think all will fall heavily this week. Disclaimer: Not a financial advice. Do your own analysis before investing or tradingShort09:53by MoemenAwadalla0
Small Account Challenge Day 6 Recap - QQQ, COIN, SLV, and GMESorry for the audio issues with my mic, will fix it next time. I had high hopes for today and it delivered. I thought conditions were really good for calls and it played out early on, but I didn't expect such a weak close. I'm wondering if there may be trouble tomorrow, but staying bullish until VX breaks out or ES breaches critical support. Long09:25by AdvancedPlays0
ESM2024 gravitating towards ATH!Look at that beautiful 1/3 ADR at ATH + Previous Week High that is good confluence for us going higher! Also Range +4 STDV there this looks very solid to me! Range deviations + Average Range Levels = 🔥Longby KeclikkUpdated 2
Morning Session REview ES 5-20-24Going over the price action Morning Session ES looking for clues and trying to see how we could have traded the morning session better. Pain + Reflection = Growth. do the hard work. no easy path if you want to be a trader. 01:10by BobbyS8130
ES UpdateLooks like sideways chop, my board is a mixed bag Staying cash for now.by hungry_hippoUpdated 5
Trading Plan for Monday, May 20th, 2024Trading Plan for Monday, May 20th, 2024 Market Sentiment: Bullish, consolidating after a historic rally. Key Supports Immediate Supports: 5309-11 (major), 5302 (major), 5294 Major Supports: 5267-72 (major), 5232-35 (major), 5208-11 (major), 5150-55 (major) Key Resistances Near-term Resistance: 5329, 5333 (major), 5342-5345 (major) Major Resistances: 5375-77 (major), 5404-07 (major) Trading Strategy Consolidation & Pattern Formation: The market is in a post-rally consolidation phase, likely forming a bull flag pattern between 5309 and 5342. Expect choppy trading with potential for breakouts or breakdowns. Long Opportunities: Wait for a test of 5309-11 support, followed by a bounce and reclaim above 5317, as a potential long entry signal. Short Opportunities: As always, avoid shorting green candles and breaking trends. If considering shorts, wait for a confirmed breakdown of 5302, then look for an entry around 5300 after a bounce or failed breakdown. Level-to-Level Trading: Focus on scalping profits within the range as the market consolidates. Exercise patience and avoid overtrading in this choppy environment. Bull Case Bull Flag Continuation: The market may continue to fill out the 5309-5342 range, potentially leading to a breakout toward new all-time highs. Target 5359 and 5375-77 in this scenario. Adding on Strength: Monitor overnight action for potential flagging above 5309 and below 5219 as a possible entry point for adding to long positions. Bear Case Breakdown Signals: A breakdown below 5302, with confirmation from a bounce attempt and rejection, would signal a more significant correction. Use caution with breakdown trades as they are prone to traps. News: Top Stories for May 20th, 2024 🇨🇳 Steady Benchmark Lending Rates in China: Amidst ongoing efforts to stabilize the property sector, China's central bank has maintained its benchmark lending rates. This decision follows a series of bold measures aimed at addressing challenges in the property sector, highlighting the delicate balance the government seeks to maintain in its economic policies. 🏦 Federal Reserve's Upcoming Policy Meeting Minutes: Investors are keenly awaiting the release of the minutes from the Federal Reserve's recent policy meeting. This document is expected to provide critical insights into the Fed's economic outlook and future policy directions, influencing market sentiments and investment strategies. 🌐 Geopolitical Tensions and Trade Policies: The global trade environment remains tense as geopolitical issues continue to unfold. Notably, the U.S. President's decision to raise tariffs on Chinese goods has reignited debates over the economic impacts of such tariffs, with potential repercussions for international trade relations and domestic economies. 📉 Global Market Reactions to Mixed Economic Data: As the world economies emit mixed signals, global markets are poised for a potential summertime rally, albeit with an awareness of the risks that could derail such optimism. This scenario underscores the complex interplay of economic indicators and market psychology in shaping investment landscapes. 🏦 Regulatory Adjustments and Financial Sector Implications: Discussions among regulators about reducing proposed capital requirements signify a shift that could enhance the clout of banks. Such regulatory adjustments are crucial as they could affect the stability and operational strategies of financial institutions globally, reflecting broader trends in financial regulation and oversight.Longby spytradingpro1
ES Long IdeaI think ES will see a nice bounce if it retest this trendline it just broke out above.Longby AdvancedPlays0
Quick ES Setup RecapJust a quick entry setup recap in the midst of today. Overall, we are still basing within the range I posted Saturday though. CME_MINI:ES1! CME_MINI:MES1! by ESMorg1
ES UpdateHeh, slept in today Anyways, MFI headed to oversold and all we get is a small dip. Chart seems to be pointing at going long on Monday, so I'll wait until Monday.by hungry_hippoUpdated 116
Prep and Lean ES/SPX ES Weekly Trade Plan Inflection: 5323-5326 Upper lvls: 5370-5377 / 5409 / 5448 Lower lvls: 5292 / 5273 / 5258 / 5248 / 5230 ES Monday Trade Plan Inflection: 5323-5326 Upper lvls: 5340 / 5357 / 5370-5377 Lower lvls: 5304-5308 / 5292-5296 / 5272-5274 NQ Weekly Trade Plan Inflection: 18660-18700 Upper lvls: 18812 / 18974-18982 / 19397 Lower lvls: 18413-18447 / 18308 / 18230 / 17995 / 17685 NQ Monday Trade Plan Inflection: 18660-18700 Upper lvls: 18812 / 18974-18982 Lower lvls: 18542 / 18413-18447 / 18308 Stay Frosty!06:31by Beyond_Charts0
Going over the Price ACtion Sun night to now ES 5-20-24Going over the price action from sunday night looking for clues and trying to listen to what the markets are telling us. listen more, talk less. listen 2x as much as you Talk. 01:29by BobbyS8131
SP500**SP500:** New all time high at 5347. This week's forecast is for the price to descend and match the EMA55 level.Shortby simaoxceps1
BUY IDEA S&P 500-E MINIThe S&P 500 index can be bought in two specified support areas in two steps and profit from it up to the specified targetsLongby Ali-Rezaei-FX111
S&P 500 (ESM2024)... BULLISH BIAS!Bias is Bullish. Price swept the External LQ, then went for the Internal LQ. Price swept the old high, but didn't displace through it. With the formation of a +FVG, and price pulling back to tag it Friday, we may see price trade through the new high. Ideally, price will form FVGs to give us clear indications as to its intentions. Thank you for viewing! Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! May profits be upon you.Longby RT_Money2
202421 - a weekly price action market recap and outlook - sp500 overall market comment This week we found out how high the squeeze could get and markets made new all time highs. PPI was bad but market rallied anyway and bears gave up on CPI numbers. We are at the highs where we saw a bigger sell-off in April and it’s more reasonable to look for shorting the double tops, than betting on another melt-up for the biggest asset bubble in market history. If you don’t agree, it’s fine. I post enough links to support that thesis but you have to make up your own mind. My broader market view has not changed in the last weeks. I was early, yes but markets are forming tops and they always return to more reasonable valuation levels. Since we are at levels where you can’t find any metric that supports higher prices, I will only look for shorts for longer term trades. Does that mean the tops are in and we trade down from here on? Absolutely not. Markets can be irrational much longer than you can stay solvent. I will happily scalp long when markets move higher again. current market drivers (non price action part of my publication) second wave of inflation: PPI surprised upwards, commodities on a tear again (except oil for now) and CPI came in line. Market used everything as an excuse to squeeze shorts more and print new ath’s. Soon bad news will get interpreted as bad news again, since markets will trade lower instead of higher, before and after releases. rate-cuts: No new opinion on this one. Your guess is as good as anyone’s. If you can name 2-3 highly respected finance people, who say inflation is defeated and we will see many rate cuts, please share them with me. I’m always curious of other opinions and try to see what they see. job market: My assumption is that over the next 4-8 weeks we will see a further decline on job metrics. For now no updates. sp500 e-mini futures Quote from last week: bull case: 7 consecutive bull bars on the daily tf is as bullish as it gets. We are still in a lower high but clearly on our way to make new ones. We are right below the 2024-03 high, which was also resistance in early 2024-04. Bulls want the market to move sideways here and poke enough at 5260 until bears give up and we see the melt-up to 5333 and probably higher. The big green bull trend line is an obvious magnet as well as the big round number 5400 or even 5500. As long as bears don’t print big bear bars on the daily chart and drop the market below 5200, bulls are in full control. Next target for bulls is 5300 and if we have enough momentum, we can print 5333 again. comment: Very climactic rally and a pull-back is in order. We will probably retest the ath early next week and if bear’s do not step in, we could also just melt above 5350 for much higher prices. The depth of the pull-back (if it happens) will determine if we get another leg up or a bigger second leg down like the 370 point correction in April. Monday will be very interesting since opex is over and this rally looks, swims and quacks like short squeeze. current market cycle: trading range until new ath or drop below 5000 or breaks above 5350 key levels: 5000 - 5350 bull case: Bulls have every argument on their side for printing higher prices. Bears created 1 bear bar in 11 days and Friday closed 1 point below the daily high. That is as clear of a buy signal as it can get. At the minimum they want to retest 5349 but if bears step aside enough, we will melt right through for much higher prices. As of right now, the weekly chart printed an obvious double top but to confirm that, bears would need a strong sell-off next week. If bears will not get it, the big bull trend line pointing to 5450-5500 is the next magnet. Invalid below 5300. bear case: Bears see this as a climactic rally to retest the ath and want to sell-off now as we did the last time in late March. Market is trading very far above the daily 20ema and a 300 point gain without much of a pull-back, it’s overdue. Does that mean this was the top? No. It can go longer but talking probability-wise, a smaller second leg sideways to down is due. We had 3 clear pushes up with only very small side-ways corrections and this is climactic and unsustainable market behavior. outlook last week: “Pull-back should happen but longs are favored until bears make lower lows and break the 1h 20ema. I updated my daily chart but it’s only a very rough guess. Inflation prints will dominate the markets this week and I will give daily updates.” → Last Sunday we traded 5246 and now we are at 5349. Pull-back was very weak and even then the day printed green. Bulls wanted the new ath and they got it after CPI numbers were in line. My W4 was a bit too deep but W5 was spot on, so I hope you made some. short term: Slightly bearish - Retest of ath or 5330 expected before we should see more sideways to down price action. If bears are reasonably strong, we should see 5260 or 5200. Invalid above 5350 with follow through. medium-long term: Trading Range until 5000 is clearly broken and has turned resistance. If bulls can break strongly above 5350, it’s obviously a continuation of the bull trend and my next target would be 5500. current swing trade: Waiting for bears to show up since I’m only looking for longer term shorts up here. Chart update: Bullish targets are met and some correction is overdue. Shortby priceactiontds2
ES - Market Maker Buy Model (MMBM)On Friday ES did beautiful retracement with SMT at Smart Money Reversal with YM. A lot of confluences much as seasonality, orderflow and structure.Longby Keclikk2
5/18 | $ESLast week, we were expecting a dip and rip. That is exactly what we got! However we dipped a bit less than expected, hence why I never alerted a big buy signal. Missed the easy move to new all time highs. On Friday, we saw end of day strength, creating a few gaps of interest below. Lower time frame areas of interest around 5317 and 5310 looking for support. If those fail, watching 5295 as a strong support. by StonksSociety0
Just picturing in my charts what I think will happen next weekLong, trap for buyers coming soon. Overall market been oversold for years when will we dig deeper is the questions for me every quarter... a broken clock has to be right at least once ??Longby zaewayfx0
Short term analysis for ES or MESCME_MINI:ES1! Broke out a 1 month flag on May 6th (in white). This pushed us to all time highs and now the spot buyers want to get over for next week is the 3 month megaphone resistance at 5349 area (in green). Get above there and buyers can push for 5374. If sellers want to dip us this upcoming week, it can start on the fail of 5302. which will target 5274 area. now realize, it has been one hell of a run, coming off 10 straight greed days. Consolidation between 5302-5349 is ideal for Monday in my opinion. Only time will tell! by ESMorg1
ES1!, big picturePutting on my bear hat this morning and reflecting on how difficult the move up from October 2022 low has been to interpret, from an Elliott Wave perspective. If you were trying to convince yourself of a major market top and completed five-wave impulse, I think this is how you'd have to do it. Wave ((5)) ends of being an expanding ending diagonal off October 2022 low. The price action off the October 2022 low has just been "weird". If you are a bull, you might see a leading diagonal and running flat to get wave ((5) started. Bears likely see double and triple-threes until the move up off October 2023 low. I think the thing that supports this idea the most is the parallel channel that connects waves ((1)), ((3)), and ((5)) and supports ((2)) and ((4)) of this proposed wave count. I'm not saying this is my primary count, but it is a count I am following.by discobiscuit1
Buyers returnedBuyers return to the S&P 500 and Friday's market action. The challenge now will be the expectation of follow through to the upside on Monday. Friday's price action implies that Thursday and Friday's market movement was buyers selling to take profits.01:43by DanGramza1
Can we time the market? YES!There is an old, seemingly wise saying, that says "time in the market beats timing the market!" This works for people that do not want to do the work... to study repeatable patterns. Throughout the bull market of 2024 (yes, the market is in a bull market) I have been waiting for and been asked by followers "is THIS the pullback to go long?" Generally, the answer is no and I have a reason rooted in Technical Analysis that I talk about in this video. But eventually... the market reveals itself to us with repeating phenomenon in price action. I have posted individual videos over the last two months as this pullback has gone on in the S&P 500. When it finally reached its culmination I talked about making my yearly allocation in tax advantages accounts. You can see these too and in this video I teach exactly how.Long10:15by norok4421